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Abstract: West Antarctic Ice Sheet mass loss is a major source of uncertainty in sea level projections. The primary driver of this melting is oceanic heat from Circumpolar Deep Water originating offshore in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Yet, in assessing melt variability, open ocean processes have received considerably less attention than those governing cross-shelf exchange. Here, we use Lagrangian particle release experiments in an ocean model to investigate the pathways by which Circumpolar Deep Water moves toward the continental shelf across the Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean. We show that Ross Gyre expansion, linked to wind and sea ice variability, increases poleward heat transport along the gyre’s eastern limb and the relative fraction of transport toward the Amundsen Sea. Ross Gyre variability, therefore, influences oceanic heat supply toward the West Antarctic continental slope. Understanding remote controls on basal melt is necessary to predict the ice sheet response to anthropogenic forcing.

The West Antarctic Ice Sheet is experiencing rapid thinning of its floating ice shelves, largely attributed to oceanic basal melt. Numerical models suggest that the Bellingshausen Sea has a key role in setting water properties in the Amundsen Sea and further downstream. Yet, observations confirming these pathways of volume and tracer exchange between coast and shelf break and their impact on inter‐sea exchange remain sparse. Here we analyze the circulation and distribution of glacial meltwater at the boundary between the Bellingshausen Sea and the Amundsen Sea using a combination of glider observations from January 2020 and hydrographic data from instrumented seals. Meltwater distributions over previously unmapped western regions of the continental shelf and slope reveal two distinct meltwater cores with different optical backscatter properties. At Belgica Trough, a subsurface meltwater peak is linked with hydrographic properties from Venable Ice Shelf. West of Belgica Trough, the vertical structure of meltwater concentration changes, with peak values occurring at greater depths and denser isopycnals. Hydrographic analysis suggests that the western (deep) meltwater core is supplied from the eastern part of Abbot Ice Shelf, and is exported to the shelf break via a previously‐overlooked bathymetric trough (here named Seal Trough). Hydrographic sections constructed from seal data reveal that the Antarctic Coastal Current extends west past Belgica Trough, delivering meltwater to the Amundsen Sea. Each of these circulation elements has distinct dynamical implications for the evolution of ice shelves and water masses both locally and downstream, in the Amundsen Sea and beyond. Plain Language Summary: Floating ice shelves in West Antarctica are thinning, which is largely due to melting of the ice shelf base by the ocean. Here, measurements of ocean temperature, salinity, and dissolved oxygen, collected by a remotely‐controlled underwater vehicle (a glider), are used to estimate the amount of ice shelf meltwater released in the Bellingshausen Sea. Distinct cores of meltwater can be distinguished by the amount of suspended material that is present in the water, which we attribute to meltwater following different circulation pathways after entering the ocean. Historical data from seals equipped with temperature and salinity sensors provide additional information about how the meltwater circulates in the region. The seal data show the presence of a narrow coastal current that brings meltwater from the Bellingshausen Sea into the Amundsen Sea. The pathways of meltwater revealed in this study suggest an important influence of the Bellingshausen Sea on ice shelves throughout West Antarctica. Key Points: Hydrographic observations identify both shelf‐break and coastal meltwater pathways from the western Bellingshausen Sea into the Amundsen SeaDifferences in optical backscatter properties associated with meltwater are related to distinct coast‐to‐shelf break pathwaysThe main pathway to the shelf break is via Seal Trough, identified as the de facto western boundary of the Bellingshausen Sea [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Antarctic sea ice has exhibited significant variability over the satellite record, including a period of prolonged and gradual expansion, as well as a period of sudden decline. A number of mechanisms have been proposed to explain this variability, but how each mechanism manifests spatially and temporally remains poorly understood. Here, we use a statistical method called low-frequency component analysis to analyze the spatiotemporal structure of observed Antarctic sea ice concentration variability. The identified patterns reveal distinct modes of low-frequency sea ice variability. The leading mode, which accounts for the large-scale, gradual expansion of sea ice, is associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and resembles the observed sea surface temperature trend pattern that climate models have trouble reproducing. The second mode is associated with the central Pacific El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode and accounts for most of the sea ice variability in the Ross Sea. The third mode is associated with the eastern Pacific ENSO and Amundsen Sea Low and accounts for most of the pan-Antarctic sea ice variability and almost all of the sea ice variability in the Weddell Sea. The third mode is also related to periods of abrupt Antarctic sea ice decline that are associated with a weakening of the circumpolar westerlies, which favors surface warming through a shoaling of the ocean mixed layer and decreased northward Ekman heat transport. Broadly, these results suggest that climate model biases in long-term Antarctic sea ice and large-scale sea surface temperature trends are related to each other and that eastern Pacific ENSO variability is a key ingredient for abrupt Antarctic sea ice changes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ocean heat exchanges at the marginal ice zone (MIZ) play an important role in melting sea ice. Mixed‐layer eddies transport heat and ice floes across the MIZ, facilitating the pack's access to warm waters. This study explores these frontal dynamics using disk‐shaped floes coupled to an upper‐ocean model simulating the sea ice edge. Numerical experiments reveal that small floes respond more strongly to fine‐scale ocean currents, which favors higher dispersion rates and weakens sea ice drag onto the underlying ocean. Floes with radii smaller than resolved turbulent filaments (∼2–4 km) result in a wider and more energetic MIZ, by a factor of 70% each, compared to larger floes. We hypothesize that this floe size dependency may affect sea ice break‐up by controlling oceanic energy propagation into the MIZ and modulate the sea ice pack's melt rate by regulating lateral heat transport toward the sea ice cover. Plain Language Summary: Sea ice forms as a thin layer of frozen ocean waters, which breaks into individual floes due to the action of waves, ocean currents, and atmospheric winds. At the edge of the pack, these floes are vulnerable to warm waters in the open ocean, which can favor the melt of sea ice. The transport of heat from the open ocean into ice‐covered regions is not well represented in existing climate models, notably due to their poor spatial resolution and their inability to represent the dynamics of individual floes. In this study, we use a regional numerical model to investigate how fine‐scale ocean currents (2–30 km) can help transport heat toward a sea ice pack composed of broken‐up floes. We find that this heat transport is most efficient when floes are small, because they cannot efficiently damp the mechanical energy from the surface currents and they are easily transported into the open ocean by these currents. These two processes combined may lead to sea ice melt feedbacks that are currently not captured by coarser climate models. Key Points: The sensitivity of sea ice dispersion and upper‐ocean energetics to floe size is considered at a mesoscale frontFloes smaller than turbulent filaments disperse more strongly and lead to a wider marginal ice zoneThese small floes allow for stronger eddy kinetic energy propagation and heat transport into the pack [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]