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Importance: Incidence of distant stage prostate cancer is increasing in the United States. Research is needed to understand trends by social and geographic factors., Objective: To examine trends in prostate cancer incidence and mortality rates in California by stage, age, race and ethnicity, and region., Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used mortality data from the California Cancer Registry and California Department of Public Health's Center for Health Statistics, and incidence data from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program and the US Census. The dataset for these analyses was released in April 2024. Participants included males residing in California between 2004 and 2021. Analyses were conducted from April to October 2024., Exposures: Stage at diagnosis, age, race and ethnicity, and region of California., Main Outcomes and Measures: The delay-adjusted incidence rates and mortality rates were calculated and age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population. Annual percentage changes (APC) were calculated using NCI's Joinpoint Regression Program., Results: Between 2004 and 2021, there were 387 636 prostate cancer cases (27 938 distant stage) and 58 754 prostate cancer deaths in California. In this study, 203 038 cases (52.4%) occurred among males aged 55 to 69 years, and 153 884 (39.7%) occurred among males 70 years or older. The distribution of race and ethnicity among cases was: 1031 American Indian or Alaska Native (0.3%); 31 366 Asian American, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander (8.1%); 66 695 Hispanic or Latino (17.2%); 36 808 non-Hispanic Black (9.5%); 238 229 non-Hispanic White (61.5%); and 13 507 unknown or other races (3.5%). On average, the incidence of distant prostate cancer increased 6.7% (95% CI, 6.2% to 7.3%) per year between 2011 and 2021. By race and ethnicity, the APC ranged from 6.5% (95% CI, 4.2% to 13.4%) among Asian American, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander males between 2011 and 2021 to 8.0% (95% CI, 6.9% to 9.5%) among Hispanic males between 2014 and 2021. In 9 of the 10 California regions, the incidence of distant prostate cancer increased by approximately 6% or more per year. Prostate cancer mortality rates declined 2.6% per year between 2004 and 2012 but plateaued between 2012 to 2021 (APC, 0.1%; 95% CI, -0.6% to 1.6%). The plateau in mortality occurred across ages, races and ethnicities, and regions., Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study among California residents, the incidence of distant stage prostate cancer increased throughout the state between 2011 and 2021. Mortality rates plateaued between 2012 and 2021, ending previous decades of decline. Implementation of more effective prostate cancer screening strategies are critically needed.

Purpose: Serial biopsy is a mainstay for patients on active surveillance (AS) for prostate cancer. multiparametric MRI targeting has become a standard. It is unclear whether targeted biopsy alone reliably identifies the dominant lesion, thereby obviating the need for systematic sampling., Materials and Methods: Participants enrolled in AS with early-stage prostate cancer (PSA <20, cT1-2, GG1-2) and underwent 2+ systematic biopsy sessions with or without magnetic resonance (MR)-targeted sampling. The findings for dominant Gleason Grade Group (GG) and tumor localization were assessed., Results: Among 821 men who underwent MR fusion biopsies, 82% were diagnosed with GG1 and 18% with GG2. Sixty-two percent had their first MR fusion biopsy as diagnostic or confirmatory. Across all fusion biopsies, MRI-targeted detection of GG and/or tumor location overlapped with systematic sampling for 95% of cases. For 5% of cases, systematic biopsy was unique in detecting GG and location outside the target. Most unique lesions detected outside the target had marginally aggressive features: 73% GG2 of low-volume and favorable histologic subtypes., Conclusions: In men with MR fusion biopsies, targeting alone identified the dominant GG and location most of the time (95%); 25% of dominant lesions were contiguous to the target, suggesting that better sampling of the target improves detection. The remaining 5% of men had higher-grade, low-volume disease outside the targeted lesion, of which only 2% had aggressive risk features. MR fusion targeting, without systematic sampling, may be sufficient to monitor men on AS. Few high-risk cancers are missed, all of limited volume and favorable histology.