50 results on '"de Lusignan, Simon"'
Search Results
2. Modifiable risk factors for asthma exacerbations during the COVID-19 pandemic: a population-based repeated cross-sectional study using the Research and Surveillance Centre primary care database
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Mukherjee, Mome, Okusi, Cecilia, Jamie, Gavin, Byford, Rachel, Ferreira, Filipa, Agarwal, Utkarsh, Weatherill, David, Fletcher, Monica, Quint, Jennifer K., Romel Bhuia, Mohammad, de Lusignan, Simon, and Sheikh, Sir Aziz
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- 2024
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3. Effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on mental health visits in primary care: an interrupted time series analysis from nine INTRePID countries
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Tu, Karen, Ortigoza, Angela, Lapadula, Carla, Zingoni, Paula, Scattini, Luciano, Manski-Nankervis, Jo-Anne, Hallinan, Christine Mary, Laughlin, Adrian, Wong, William Chi-Wai, Ng, Amy Pui Pui, Li, Zhou, Wensaas, Knut-Arne, Flottorp, Signe Agnes, Baste, Valborg, Cuba-Fuentes, Maria Sofia, Silva-Valencia, Javier, Soto-Becerra, Percy, Jye Ling, Zheng, Hoon Goh, Lay, Kristiansson, Robert, Martinell, Mats, de Lusignan, Simon, Hoang, Uy, Heald, Adrian, Pace, Wilson, Westfall, John M., Gaona, Gabriela, Kidd, Michael, Kristiansson, Robert Sarkadi, Ling, Zheng Jye, Goh, Lay Hoon, Flottorp, Signe, Chi-Wai Wong, William, and Pui Ng, Amy Pui
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- 2024
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4. Ivermectin for COVID-19 in adults in the community (PRINCIPLE): An open, randomised, controlled, adaptive platform trial of short- and longer-term outcomes
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Hayward, Gail, Yu, Ly-Mee, Little, Paul, Gbinigie, Oghenekome, Shanyinde, Milensu, Harris, Victoria, Dorward, Jienchi, Saville, Benjamin R., Berry, Nicholas, Evans, Philip H., Thomas, Nicholas P.B., Patel, Mahendra G., Richards, Duncan, Hecke, Oliver V., Detry, Michelle A., Saunders, Christina, Fitzgerald, Mark, Robinson, Jared, Latimer-Bell, Charlotte, Allen, Julie, Ogburn, Emma, Grabey, Jenna, de Lusignan, Simon, Hobbs, FD Richard, and Butler, Christopher C.
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- 2024
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5. AZD1222 effectiveness against severe COVID-19 in individuals with comorbidity or frailty: The RAVEN cohort study
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Meeraus, Wilhelmine, Joy, Mark, Ouwens, Mario, Taylor, Kathryn S., Venkatesan, Sudhir, Dennis, John, Tran, Trung N., Dashtban, Ashkan, Fan, Xuejuan, Williams, Robert, Morris, Tamsin, Carty, Lucy, Kar, Debasish, Hoang, Uy, Feher, Michael, Forbes, Anna, Jamie, Gavin, Hinton, William, Sanecka, Kornelia, Byford, Rachel, Anand, Sneha N., Hobbs, F.D. Richard, Clifton, David A., Pollard, Andrew J., Taylor, Sylvia, and de Lusignan, Simon
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- 2024
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6. Disparities in COVID-19 mortality amongst the immunosuppressed: A systematic review and meta-analysis for enhanced disease surveillance
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Leston, Meredith, Elson, Willam, Ordóñez-Mena, Jose M., Kar, Debasish, Whitaker, Heather, Joy, Mark, Roberts, Nia, Hobbs, F.D. Richard, and de Lusignan, Simon
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- 2024
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7. Diagnostic accuracy of a point-of-care antigen test for SARS-CoV-2 and influenza in a primary care population (RAPTOR-C19)
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Hayward, Gail N., Hobbs, F.D. Richard, Kenyon, Heather, Lee, Joseph J., Logan, Mary, Lucas, Kathryn, Moore, Abigail A., Nicholson, Brian D., Seeley, Anna E., Smylie, Jessica, Tonner, Sharon, Turner, Philip J., Williams, Alice J., Fanshawe, Thomas R., Cogdale, Jade, Glogowska, Margaret, de Lusignan, Simon, Okusi, Cecilia, Perera, Rafael, Sebastianpillai, Praveen, Williams, Alice, and Zambon, Maria
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- 2024
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8. Implementation of chronic kidney disease guidelines for sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitor use in primary care in the UK: a cross-sectional study
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Forbes, Anna K., Hinton, William, Feher, Michael D., Elson, William, Joy, Mark, Ordóñez-Mena, José M., Fan, Xuejuan, Cole, Nicholas I., Banerjee, Debasish, Suckling, Rebecca J., de Lusignan, Simon, and Swift, Pauline A.
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- 2024
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9. Risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes after autumn 2022 COVID-19 booster vaccinations: a pooled analysis of national prospective cohort studies involving 7.4 million adults in England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales
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Bedston, Stuart, Almaghrabi, Fatima, Patterson, Lynsey, Agrawal, Utkarsh, Woolford, Lana, Anand, Sneha N., Joy, Mark, Crawford, Anna, Goudie, Rosalind, Byford, Rachel, Abbasizanjani, Hoda, Smith, Deb, Laidlaw, Lynn, Akbari, Ashley, Sullivan, Christopher, Bradley, Declan T., Lyons, Ronan A., de Lusignan, Simon, Hobbs, F.D. Richard, Robertson, Chris, Sheikh, Sir Aziz, and Shi, Ting
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- 2024
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10. External UK validation of the ENDPAC model to predict pancreatic cancer risk: A registered report protocol
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Price, Claire A., primary, Claridge, Hugh, additional, de Lusignan, Simon, additional, Khalaf, Natalia, additional, Mold, Freda, additional, Smith, Nadia A. S., additional, Winn, Martyn, additional, and Lemanska, Agnieszka, additional
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- 2024
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11. Interim 2023/2024 Season Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness in Primary and Secondary Care in the United Kingdom
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Whitaker, Heather, primary, Findlay, Beth, additional, Zitha, Jana, additional, Goudie, Rosalind, additional, Hassell, Katie, additional, Evans, Josie, additional, Kalapotharakou, Panoraia, additional, Agrawal, Utkarsh, additional, Kele, Beatrix, additional, Hamilton, Mark, additional, Moore, Catherine, additional, Byford, Rachel, additional, Stowe, Julia, additional, Robertson, Chris, additional, Couzens, Anastasia, additional, Jamie, Gavin, additional, Hoschler, Katja, additional, Pheasant, Kathleen, additional, Button, Elizabeth, additional, Quinot, Catherine, additional, Jones, Tim, additional, Anand, Sneha, additional, Watson, Conall, additional, Andrews, Nick, additional, de Lusignan, Simon, additional, Zambon, Maria, additional, Williams, Christopher, additional, Cottrell, Simon, additional, Marsh, Kimberly, additional, McMenamin, Jim, additional, and Lopez Bernal, Jamie, additional
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- 2024
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12. EFFECT OF ANTIHYPERTENSIVE DEPRESCRIBING ON SERIOUS ADVERSE EVENTS, MORTALITY, AND CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE: LONG-TERM FOLLOW-UP OF THE OPTIMISE RANDOMISED CONTROLLED TRIAL
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Sheppard, James, primary, Temple, Eleanor, additional, Wang, Ariel, additional, Smith, Anne, additional, Pollock, Stephanie, additional, Ford, Gary, additional, Hobbs, Richard, additional, Kenealy, Nicola, additional, Lown, Mark, additional, De Lusignan, Simon, additional, Mant, Jonathan, additional, Mccartney, David, additional, Payne, Rupert, additional, Williams, Marney, additional, Yu, Ly -Mee, additional, and Mcmanus, Richard, additional
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- 2024
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13. #60 Implementation of chronic kidney disease guidelines for sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitor use in primary care: a cross-sectional study
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Forbes, Anna, primary, Hinton, William, additional, Feher, Michael, additional, Elson, Willim, additional, Joy, Mark, additional, Ordonez-Mena, Jose, additional, Fan, Xuejuan, additional, Cole, Nicholas, additional, Banerjee, Debasish, additional, Suckling, Rebecca, additional, de Lusignan, Simon, additional, and Swift, Pauline, additional
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- 2024
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14. #58 SGLT2 inhibitor kidney outcome trials: under-representation of the majority of people with chronic kidney disease in real-world clinical practice
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Forbes, Anna, primary, Hinton, William, additional, Feher, Michael, additional, Ordonez-Mena, Jose, additional, Joy, Mark, additional, Banerjee, Debasish, additional, Cole, Nicholas, additional, Munro, Neil, additional, Whyte, Martin, additional, Suckling, Rebecca, additional, Swift, Pauline, additional, and de Lusignan, Simon, additional
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- 2024
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15. End of 2022/23 Season Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness in Primary Care in Great Britain
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Whitaker, Heather J., primary, Willam, Naoma, additional, Cottrell, Simon, additional, Goudie, Rosalind, additional, Andrews, Nick, additional, Evans, Josie, additional, Moore, Catherine, additional, Agrawal, Utkarsh, additional, Hassell, Katie, additional, Gunson, Rory, additional, Zitha, Jana, additional, Anand, Sneha, additional, Sebastian‐Pillai, Praveen, additional, Kalapotharakou, Panoraia, additional, Okusi, Cecilia, additional, Hoschler, Katja, additional, Jamie, Gavin, additional, Kele, Beatrix, additional, Hamilton, Mark, additional, Couzens, Anastasia, additional, Quinot, Catherine, additional, Pheasant, Kathleen, additional, Byford, Rachel, additional, Marsh, Kimberly, additional, Robertson, Chris, additional, de Lusignan, Simon, additional, Williams, Christopher, additional, Zambon, Maria, additional, McMenamin, Jim, additional, and Watson, Conall H., additional
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- 2024
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16. Phenotype execution and modeling architecture to support disease surveillance and real-world evidence studies: English sentinel network evaluation
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Jamie, Gavin, primary, Elson, William, additional, Kar, Debasish, additional, Wimalaratna, Rashmi, additional, Hoang, Uy, additional, Meza-Torres, Bernardo, additional, Forbes, Anna, additional, Hinton, William, additional, Anand, Sneha, additional, Ferreira, Filipa, additional, Byford, Rachel, additional, Ordonez-Mena, Jose, additional, Agrawal, Utkarsh, additional, and de Lusignan, Simon, additional
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- 2024
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17. P052 Rheumatoid arthritis associated risk of venous thromboembolism is not dependent on disease duration: United Kingdom-based population study
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Galloway, James, primary, Basey, Victoria, additional, Rana, Saqib, additional, de Lusignan, Simon, additional, and Buch, Maya H, additional
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- 2024
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18. P126 Use of oral contraceptives in females with rheumatoid arthritis is not associated with an increased risk of venous thromboembolism: United Kingdom-population based study
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Galloway, James, primary, Basey, Victoria, additional, Barkaway, Anna, additional, de Lusignan, Simon, additional, and Buch, Maya H, additional
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- 2024
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19. Validation of an acute respiratory infection phenotyping algorithm to support robust computerised medical record-based respiratory sentinel surveillance, England, 2023.
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Elson, William H., Jamie, Gavin, Wimalaratna, Rashmi, Forbes, Anna, Leston, Meredith, Okusi, Cecilia, Byford, Rachel, Agrawal, Utkarsh, Todkill, Dan, Elliot, Alex J., Watson, Conall, Zambon, Maria, Morbey, Roger, Bernal, Jamie Lopez, Hobbs, F. D. Richard, and de Lusignan, Simon
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- 2024
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20. COVID-19 and influenza vaccine uptake among pregnant women in national cohorts of England and Wales.
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Gu, Xinchun, Agrawal, Utkarsh, Midgley, William, Bedston, Stuart, Anand, Sneha N., Goudie, Rosalind, Byford, Rachel, Joy, Mark, Jamie, Gavin, Hoang, Uy, Ordóñez-Mena, Jose M., Robertson, Chris, Hobbs, F. D. Richard, Akbari, Ashley, Sheikh, Aziz, and de Lusignan, Simon
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VACCINATION status ,COVID-19 vaccines ,INFLUENZA vaccines ,PREGNANT women ,COVID-19 pandemic ,PREGNANCY - Abstract
Vaccines against COVID-19 and influenza can reduce the adverse outcomes caused by infections during pregnancy, but vaccine uptake among pregnant women has been suboptimal. We examined the COVID-19 and influenza vaccine uptake and disparities in pregnant women during the COVID-19 pandemic to inform vaccination interventions. We used data from the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre database in England and the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank in Wales. The uptake of at least one dose of vaccine was 40.2% for COVID-19 and 41.8% for influenza among eligible pregnant women. We observed disparities in COVID-19 and influenza vaccine uptake, with socioeconomically deprived and ethnic minority groups showing lower vaccination rates. The suboptimal uptake of COVID-19 and influenza vaccines, especially in those from socioeconomically deprived backgrounds and Black, mixed or other ethnic groups, underscores the necessity for interventions to reduce vaccine hesitancy and enhance acceptance in pregnant women. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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21. Uptake of COVID-19 vaccinations amongst 3,433,483 children and young people: meta-analysis of UK prospective cohorts
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Aldridge, Sarah J., primary, Agrawal, Utkarsh, additional, Murphy, Siobhán, additional, Millington, Tristan, additional, Akbari, Ashley, additional, Almaghrabi, Fatima, additional, Anand, Sneha N., additional, Bedston, Stuart, additional, Goudie, Rosalind, additional, Griffiths, Rowena, additional, Joy, Mark, additional, Lowthian, Emily, additional, de Lusignan, Simon, additional, Patterson, Lynsey, additional, Robertson, Chris, additional, Rudan, Igor, additional, Bradley, Declan T., additional, Lyons, Ronan A., additional, Sheikh, Aziz, additional, and Owen, Rhiannon K., additional
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- 2024
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22. Primary and secondary care service use and costs associated with frailty in an ageing population: longitudinal analysis of an English primary care cohort of adults aged 50 and over, 2006–2017
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Fogg, Carole, primary, England, Tracey, additional, Zhu, Shihua, additional, Jones, Jeremy, additional, de Lusignan, Simon, additional, Fraser, Simon D S, additional, Roderick, Paul, additional, Clegg, Andy, additional, Harris, Scott, additional, Brailsford, Sally, additional, Barkham, Abigail, additional, Patel, Harnish P, additional, and Walsh, Bronagh, additional
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- 2024
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23. Risk of COVID-19 death in adults who received booster COVID-19 vaccinations in England
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Ward, Isobel L., primary, Robertson, Chris, additional, Agrawal, Utkarsh, additional, Patterson, Lynsey, additional, Bradley, Declan T., additional, Shi, Ting, additional, de Lusignan, Simon, additional, Hobbs, F. D. Richard, additional, Sheikh, Aziz, additional, and Nafilyan, Vahé, additional
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- 2024
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24. An eDElphi STudy to defINe and risk-stratify ImmunosupprESsion: Protocol for the DESTINIES Study (Preprint)
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Leston, Meredith, primary, Lee, Lennard, additional, Ordóñez-Mena, José, additional, Joy, Mark, additional, de Lusignan, Simon, additional, and Hobbs, Richard, additional
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- 2024
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25. Determining the feasibility of calculating pancreatic cancer risk scores for people with new-onset diabetes in primary care (DEFEND PRIME): study protocol
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Claridge, Hugh, primary, Price, Claire A, additional, Ali, Rofique, additional, Cooke, Elizabeth A, additional, de Lusignan, Simon, additional, Harvey-Sullivan, Adam, additional, Hodges, Catherine, additional, Khalaf, Natalia, additional, O’Callaghan, Dean, additional, Stunt, Ali, additional, Thomas, Spencer A, additional, Thomson, Joanna, additional, and Lemanska, Agnieszka, additional
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- 2024
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26. Deploying an asthma dashboard to support quality improvement across a nationally representative sentinel network of 7.6 million people in England.
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Mukherjee, Mome, Okusi, Cecilia, Jamie, Gavin, Byford, Rachel, Ferreira, Filipa, Fletcher, Monica, de Lusignan, Simon, and Sheikh, Aziz
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Every year, there are ~100,000 hospital admissions for asthma in the UK, many of which are potentially preventable. Evidence suggests that carefully conceptualised and implemented audit and feedback (A&F) cycles have the potential to improve clinical outcomes for those with chronic conditions. We wanted to investigate the technical feasibility of developing a near-real time asthma dashboard to support A&F interventions for asthma management in primary care. We extracted cross-sectional data on asthma from 756 participating GP practices in the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre (RCGP RSC) database in England comprising 7.6 million registered people. Summary indicators for a GP practice were compared to all participating RCGP RSC practices using practice-level data, for the week 6–12th-Mar-2023. A weekly, automated asthma dashboard with features that can support electronic-A&F cycles that compared key asthma indicators for a GP practice to RCGP RSC could be created (https://tinyurl.com/3ydtrt85): 12-weeks-incidence 0.4% vs 0.4%, annual prevalence 6.1% vs 6.7%, inhaled relievers to preventer 1.2 vs 1.1, self-management plan given 83.4% vs 60.8%, annual reviews 36.8% vs 57.3%, prednisolone prescriptions 2.0% vs 3.2%, influenza vaccination 56.6% vs 55.5%, pneumococcal vaccination ever (aged ≥65 years) 90.2% vs 84.1% and current smokers 14.9% vs 14.8%. Across the RCGP RSC, the rate of hospitalisations was 0.024%; comparative data had to be suppressed for the study practice because of small numbers. We have successfully created an automated near real-time asthma dashboard that can be used to support A&F initiatives to improve asthma care and outcomes in primary care. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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27. Unlocking the Potential of Free Text in Electronic Health Records with Large Language Models (LLM): Enhancing Patient Safety and Consultation Interactions.
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KUMARAPELI, Pushpa, HADDAD, Tia, and de LUSIGNAN, Simon
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Computer-mediated clinical consultation, involving clinicians, electronic health record (EHR) systems, and patients, yield rich narrative data. Despite advancements in Natural Language Processing (NLP), these narratives remain underutilised. Free text recording in EHRs allows expressivity, complements structured data from clinical coding systems, and facilitates collaborative care. Large language models (LLMs) excel in understanding and generating natural language, enabling complex dialogue processing. Integrating LLM tools into consultations could harness the untapped potential of free text to identify patient safety concerns, support diagnosis and provide content to enhance clinical-patient interactions. Tailoring LLMs for specific consultation tasks through pre-training and fine-tuning is viable. This paper outlines approaches for adopting LLMs in primary care and suggests that using fine-tuned LLMs with prompt engineering could enhance computer-mediated clinical consultation cost-effectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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28. Prevention and treatment of infection in patients with an absent or hypofunctional spleen: A British Society for Haematology guideline.
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Ladhani, Shamez N., Fernandes, Savio, Garg, Mamta, Borrow, Ray, de Lusignan, Simon, and Bolton‐Maggs, Paula H. B.
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SPLENECTOMY ,INFECTION prevention ,MEDICAL education ,SPLEEN ,HEMATOLOGY ,DRUG resistance in microorganisms - Abstract
Summary: Guidelines for the prevention and treatment of infection in patients with an absent or dysfunctional spleen were published by the British Committee for Standards in Haematology in 1996 and updated in 2002 and 2011. With advances in vaccinations and changes in patterns of infection, the guidelines required updating. Key aspects included in this guideline are the identification of patients at risk of infection, patient education and information and immunisation schedules. This guideline does not address the non‐infective complications of splenectomy or functional hyposplenism (FH). This replaces previous guidelines and significantly revises the recommendations related to immunisation. Patients at risk include those who have undergone surgical removal of the spleen, including partial splenectomy and splenic embolisation, and those with medical conditions that predispose to FH. Immunisations should include those against Streptococcus pneumoniae (pneumococcus), Neisseria meningitidis (meningococcus) and influenza. Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) is part of the infant immunisation schedule and is no longer required for older hyposplenic patients. Treatment of suspected or proven infections should be based on local protocols and consider relevant anti‐microbial resistance patterns. The education of patients and their medical practitioners is essential, particularly in relation to the risk of serious infection and its prevention. Further research is required to establish the effectiveness of vaccinations in hyposplenic patients; infective episodes should be regularly audited. There is no single group ideally placed to conduct audits into complications arising from hyposplenism, highlighting a need for a national registry, as has proved very successful in Australia or alternatively, the establishment of appropriate multidisciplinary networks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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29. The effect of general practice team composition and climate on staff and patient experiences: a systematic review.
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Abrams, Ruth, Jones, Bridget, Campbell, John, de Lusignan, Simon, Peckham, Stephen, and Gage, Heather
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TEAMS in the workplace ,MEDICAL information storage & retrieval systems ,CORPORATE culture ,FAMILY medicine ,PSYCHOLOGICAL burnout ,MEDICAL quality control ,RESEARCH funding ,WORK environment ,CINAHL database ,PRIMARY health care ,SEX distribution ,JOB satisfaction ,SYSTEMATIC reviews ,MEDLINE ,MEDICAL databases ,CONCEPTUAL structures ,LABOR supply ,HEALTH care teams ,PATIENTS' attitudes ,PSYCHOLOGY information storage & retrieval systems ,INTEGRATED health care delivery ,WELL-being - Abstract
Background: Recent policy initiatives seeking to address the workforce crisis in general practice have promoted greater multidisciplinarity. Evidence is lacking on how changes in staffing and the relational climate in practice teams affect the experiences of staff and patients. Aim: To synthesise evidence on how the composition of the practice workforce and team climate affect staff job satisfaction and burnout, and the processes and quality of care for patients. Design & setting: A systematic literature review of international evidence. Method: Four different searches were carried out using MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and Web of Science. Evidence from English language articles from 2012-2022 was identified, with no restriction on study design. Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines were followed and data were synthesised thematically. Results: In total, 11 studies in primary healthcare settings were included, 10 from US integrated healthcare systems, one from Canada. Findings indicated that when teams are understaffed and work environments are stressful, patient care and staff wellbeing suffer. However, a good relational climate can buffer against burnout and protect patient care quality in situations of high workload. Good team dynamics and stable team membership are important for patient care coordination and job satisfaction. Female physicians are at greater risk of burnout. Conclusion: Evidence regarding team composition and team climate in relation to staff and patient outcomes in general practice remains limited. Challenges exist when drawing conclusions across different team compositions and definitions of team climate. Further research is needed to explore the conditions that generate a 'good' climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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30. Uptake of COVID-19 vaccinations amongst 3,433,483 children and young people: metaanalysis of UK prospective cohorts.
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Aldridge, Sarah J., Agrawal, Utkarsh, Murphy, Siobhán, Millington, Tristan, Akbari, Ashley, Almaghrabi, Fatima, Anand, Sneha N., Bedston, Stuart, Goudie, Rosalind, Griffiths, Rowena, Joy, Mark, Lowthian, Emily, de Lusignan, Simon, Patterson, Lynsey, Robertson, Chris, Rudan, Igor, Bradley, Declan T., Lyons, Ronan A., Sheikh, Aziz, and Owen, Rhiannon K.
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SARS-CoV-2 infection in children and young people (CYP) can lead to lifethreatening COVID-19, transmission within households and schools, and the development of long COVID. Using linked health and administrative data, we investigated vaccine uptake among 3,433,483 CYP aged 5–17 years across all UK nations between 4th August 2021 and 31st May 2022. We constructed national cohorts and undertook multi-state modelling and meta-analysis to identify associations between demographic variables and vaccine uptake. We found that uptake of the first COVID-19 vaccine among CYP was low across all four nations compared to other age groups and diminished with subsequent doses. Age and vaccination status of adults living in the same household were identified as important risk factors associated with vaccine uptake in CYP. For example, 5–11 year-olds were less likely to receive their first vaccine compared to 16–17 year-olds (adjusted Hazard Ratio [aHR]: 0.10 (95%CI: 0.06–0.19)), and CYP in unvaccinated households were less likely to receive their first vaccine compared to CYP in partially vaccinated households (aHR: 0.19, 95%CI 0.13–0.29). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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31. Lessons from the English primary care sentinel network's response to the COVID-19 pandemic
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de Lusignan, Simon, Hobbs, FD Richard, and Sheikh, Aziz
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- 2024
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32. Sleeper frameworks for Pathogen X: surveillance, risk stratification, and the effectiveness and safety of therapeutic interventions.
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de Lusignan, Simon, Shi, Ting, Fowler, Tom, Andrews, Nick, Todkill, Dan, Gu, Xinchun, Meza-Torres, Bernardo, Robertson, Chris, and Sheikh, Aziz
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PATHOGENIC microorganisms , *SAFETY - Published
- 2024
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33. Advancing Healthcare Sustainability: Embracing MACH Architecture for Health IT System Transformation.
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HADDAD, Tia, KUMARAPELI, Pushpa, de LUSIGNAN, Simon, BARMAN, Sarah, and KHADDAJ, Souheil
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The emergence of new collaborative systems, coupled with uncontrolled data accumulation in traditional systems, poses sustainability challenges. This poster advocates the adoption of the MACH architecture as a potential framework to enhance sustainability and credibility within healthcare systems by offering robust system designs and management controls. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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34. Correction: Seasonal influenza: Modelling approaches to capture immunity propagation.
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Hill, Edward M., Petrou, Stavros, de Lusignan, Simon, Yonova, Ivelina, and Keeling, Matt J.
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SEASONAL influenza ,IMMUNITY - Abstract
This document is a correction notice for an article titled "Seasonal influenza: Modelling approaches to capture immunity propagation" published in PLoS Computational Biology. The correction addresses an error in Figure 3, where the row labels for rows 4 and 5 were ordered incorrectly. The correct labels should read 'B/Victoria' and 'B/Yamagata' respectively. The article discusses the interaction between exposure history and susceptibility to different strains of influenza, categorizing them into distinct groups based on infection and vaccination status. The authors also introduce variables to represent modified susceptibility due to previous infections, cross-reactivity between influenza lineages, and vaccination. The correction notice is authored by Edward M. Hill, Stavros Petrou, Simon de Lusignan, Ivelina Yonova, and Matt J. Keeling. [Extracted from the article]
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- 2024
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35. Diagnostic accuracy of a point-of-care antigen test for SARS-CoV-2 and influenza in a primary care population (RAPTOR-C19).
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Fanshawe, Thomas R., Tonner, Sharon, Turner, Philip J., Cogdale, Jade, Glogowska, Margaret, de Lusignan, Simon, Okusi, Cecilia, Perera, Rafael, Sebastianpillai, Praveen, Williams, Alice, Zambon, Maria, Nicholson, Brian D., Hobbs, F.D. Richard, and Hayward, Gail N.
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ANTIGEN analysis , *INFLUENZA , *POINT-of-care testing , *PRIMARY care , *SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant , *COVID-19 , *FLU vaccine efficacy - Abstract
Limited evidence exists for the diagnostic performance of point-of-care tests for SARS-CoV-2 and influenza in community healthcare. We carried out a prospective diagnostic accuracy study of the LumiraDx™ SARS-CoV-2 and influenza A or B assay in primary care. Total of 913 adults and children with symptoms of current SARS-CoV-2 infection were recruited from 18 UK primary care practices during a period when Omicron was the predominant COVID variant of concern (June 2022 to December 2022). Trained health care staff performed the index test, with diagnostic accuracy parameters estimated for SARS-CoV-2 and influenza against real-time reverse-transcription PCR (rtRT-PCR). 151/887 participants were SARS-CoV-2 rtRT-PCR positive, 109 positive for Influenza A, 6 for Influenza B. Index test sensitivity for SARS-CoV-2 was 80.8% (122 of the 151, 95% CI, 73.6–86.7%) and specificity 98.9% (728 of the 736, 95% CI, 97.9–99.5%). For influenza A, sensitivity was 61.5% (67 of the 109, 95% CI, 51.7–70.6%) and specificity 99.4% (771 of the 776, 95% CI, 98.5–99.8%). Sensitivity to detect SARS-CoV-2 and influenza dropped sharply at rtRT-PCR cycle thresholds (Ct) > 30. The LumiraDx™ SARS-CoV-2 and influenza A/B assay had moderate sensitivity for SARS-CoV-2 in symptomatic patients in primary care, with lower performance with high rtRT-PCR Ct. Negative results in this patient group cannot definitively rule out SARS-CoV-2 or influenza. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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36. Favipiravir for COVID-19 in adults in the community in PRINCIPLE, an open-label, randomised, controlled, adaptive platform trial of short- and longer-term outcomes.
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Hobbs FR, Gbinigie OA, Shanyinde M, Yu LM, Harris V, Dorward J, Hayward G, Saville BR, Berry NS, Evans PH, Thomas NP, Patel MG, Richards D, Hecke OV, Detry MA, Saunders CT, Fitzgerald M, Robinson J, Latimer-Bell C, Allen J, Ogburn E, Grabey J, de Lusignan S, Andersson M, Little P, and Butler CC
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Background: Evidence for the effect of favipiravir treatment of acute COVID-19 on recovery, hospital admissions and longer-term outcomes in community settings is limited., Methods: In this multicentre. open-label, multi-arm, adaptive platform randomised controlled trial participants aged ≥18 years in the community with a positive test for SARS-CoV-2 and symptoms lasting ≤14 days were randomised to: usual care; usual care plus favipiravir tablets (loading dose of 3600mg in divided doses on day one, then 800mg twice a day for four days); or, usual care plus other interventions. Co-primary endpoints were time to first self-reported recovery and hospitalisation/death related to COVID-19, within 28 days, analysed using Bayesian models. Recovery at six months was the primary longer-term outcome., Trial Registration: ISRCTN86534580., Findings: The primary analysis model included 8811 SARS-CoV-2 positive mostly COVID vaccinated participants, randomised to favipiravir (n=1829), usual care (n=3256), and other treatments (n=3726). Time to self-reported recovery was shorter in the favipiravir group than usual care (estimated hazard ratio 1·23 [95% credible interval 1·14 to 1·33]), a reduction of 2·98 days [1·99 to 3·94] from 16 days in median time to self-reported recovery for favipiravir versus usual care alone. COVID-19 related hospitalisations/deaths were similar (estimated odds ratio 0·99 [0·61 to 1·61]; estimated difference 0% [-0·9% to 0·6%]). 14 serious adverse events occurred in the favipiravir group and 4 in usual care. By six months, the proportion feeling fully recovered was 74·9% for favipiravir versus 71·3% for usual care (RR = 1·05, [1·02 to 1·08])., Interpretation: In this open-label trial in a largely vaccinated population with COVID-19 in the community, favipiravir did not reduce hospital admissions, but shortened time to recovery and had a marginal positive impact on long term outcomes., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: Drs. Saville, Berry, Detry, Fitzgerald and Saunders report grants from The University of Oxford, for the Sponsor's grant from the UK NIHR, for statistical design and analyses for the PRINCIPLE trial during the conduct of the study. Prof de Lusignan is Director of the Oxford-RCGP Research and Surveillance Centre and reports that through his University he has had grants outside the submitted work from AstraZeneca, GSK, Sanofi, Seqirus and Takeda for vaccine related research, and membership of advisory boards for AstraZeneca, Sanofi and Seqirus. Profs Hobbs and Butler reports grants from UKRI, during the conduct of the study. All other authors have no competing interests to declare., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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37. Creating a Modified Version of the Cambridge Multimorbidity Score to Predict Mortality in People Older Than 16 Years: Model Development and Validation.
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Kar D, Taylor KS, Joy M, Venkatesan S, Meeraus W, Taylor S, Anand SN, Ferreira F, Jamie G, Fan X, and de Lusignan S
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- Humans, Aged, England epidemiology, Female, Male, Middle Aged, Systematized Nomenclature of Medicine, Adult, Adolescent, Aged, 80 and over, Pandemics, Young Adult, SARS-CoV-2, Multimorbidity, COVID-19 mortality, COVID-19 epidemiology
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Background: No single multimorbidity measure is validated for use in NHS (National Health Service) England's General Practice Extraction Service Data for Pandemic Planning and Research (GDPPR), the nationwide primary care data set created for COVID-19 pandemic research. The Cambridge Multimorbidity Score (CMMS) is a validated tool for predicting mortality risk, with 37 conditions defined by Read Codes. The GDPPR uses the more internationally used Systematized Nomenclature of Medicine clinical terms (SNOMED CT). We previously developed a modified version of the CMMS using SNOMED CT, but the number of terms for the GDPPR data set is limited making it impossible to use this version., Objective: We aimed to develop and validate a modified version of CMMS using the clinical terms available for the GDPPR., Methods: We used pseudonymized data from the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC), which has an extensive SNOMED CT list. From the 37 conditions in the original CMMS model, we selected conditions either with (1) high prevalence ratio (≥85%), calculated as the prevalence in the RSC data set but using the GDPPR set of SNOMED CT codes, divided by the prevalence included in the RSC SNOMED CT codes or (2) conditions with lower prevalence ratios but with high predictive value. The resulting set of conditions was included in Cox proportional hazard models to determine the 1-year mortality risk in a development data set (n=500,000) and construct a new CMMS model, following the methods for the original CMMS study, with variable reduction and parsimony, achieved by backward elimination and the Akaike information stopping criterion. Model validation involved obtaining 1-year mortality estimates for a synchronous data set (n=250,000) and 1-year and 5-year mortality estimates for an asynchronous data set (n=250,000). We compared the performance with that of the original CMMS and the modified CMMS that we previously developed using RSC data., Results: The initial model contained 22 conditions and our final model included 17 conditions. The conditions overlapped with those of the modified CMMS using the more extensive SNOMED CT list. For 1-year mortality, discrimination was high in both the derivation and validation data sets (Harrell C=0.92) and 5-year mortality was slightly lower (Harrell C=0.90). Calibration was reasonable following an adjustment for overfitting. The performance was similar to that of both the original and previous modified CMMS models., Conclusions: The new modified version of the CMMS can be used on the GDPPR, a nationwide primary care data set of 54 million people, to enable adjustment for multimorbidity in predicting mortality in people in real-world vaccine effectiveness, pandemic planning, and other research studies. It requires 17 variables to produce a comparable performance with our previous modification of CMMS to enable it to be used in routine data using SNOMED CT., (©Debasish Kar, Kathryn S Taylor, Mark Joy, Sudhir Venkatesan, Wilhelmine Meeraus, Sylvia Taylor, Sneha N Anand, Filipa Ferreira, Gavin Jamie, Xuejuan Fan, Simon de Lusignan. Originally published in the Journal of Medical Internet Research (https://www.jmir.org), 26.08.2024.)
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- 2024
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38. Changes in reasons for visits to primary care after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic: An international comparative study by the International Consortium of Primary Care Big Data Researchers (INTRePID).
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Tu K, Lapadula MC, Apajee J, Bonilla AO, Baste V, Cuba-Fuentes MS, de Lusignan S, Flottorp S, Gaona G, Goh LH, Hallinan CM, Kristiansson RS, Laughlin A, Li Z, Ling ZJ, Manski-Nankervis JA, Ng APP, Scattini LF, Silva-Valencia J, Pace WD, Wensaas KA, Wong WCW, Zingoni PL, and Westfall JM
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Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has reshaped healthcare delivery worldwide., Objective: To explore potential changes in the reasons for visits and modality of care in primary care settings through the International Consortium of Primary Care Big Data Researchers (INTRePID)., Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional, retrospective study from 2018-2021. We examined visit volume, modality, and reasons for visits to primary care in Argentina, Australia, Canada, China, Peru, Norway, Singapore, Sweden, and the USA. The analysis involved a comparison between the pre-pandemic and pandemic periods., Results: There were more than 215 million visits from over 38 million patients during the study period in INTRePID primary care settings. Most INTRePID countries experienced a decline in monthly visit rates during the first year of the pandemic, with rate ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) ranging from RR:0.57 (95%CI:0.49-0.66) to RR:0.90 (95%CI:0.83-0.98), except for in Canada (RR:0.99, 95%CI:0.94-1.05) and Norway (RR:1.00, 95%CI:0.92-1.10), where rates remained stable and in Australia where rates increased (RR:1.19, 95%CI:1.11-1.28). Argentina, China, and Singapore had limited or no adoption of virtual care, whereas the remaining INTRePID countries varied in the extent of virtual care utilization. In Peru, virtual visits accounted for 7.34% (95%CI:7.33%-7.35%) of all interactions in the initial year of the pandemic, dipping to 5.22% (95%CI:5.21%-5.23%) in the subsequent year. However, in Canada 75.30% (95%CI:75.20%-75.40%) of the visits in the first year were virtual, decreasing to 62.77% (95%CI:62.66%-62.88%) in the second year. Diabetes, hypertension and/or hyperlipidemia and general health exams were in the top 10 reasons for visits in 2019 for all countries. Anxiety, depression and/or other mental health related reasons were among the top 10 reasons for virtual visits in all countries that had virtual care., Conclusions: The pandemic resulted in changes in reasons for visits to primary care, with virtual care mitigating visit volume disruptions in many countries., Competing Interests: I have read the journal’s policy and the authors of this manuscript have the following competing interests: KT receives a Chair in Family and Community Medicine Research in Primary Care at UHN and a Research Scholar award from the Department of Family and Community University of Toronto. She has received grants from the following organizations in the past 3 years: The Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Rathlyn Foundation Primary Care EMR Research and Discovery Fund, College of Family Physicians of Canada/Foundation for Advancing Family Medicine/CMA Foundation Heart and Stroke Foundation of Ontario, Department of Defense United States of America, St. Michael’s Hospital Foundation, Ontario Health Data Platform First Movers Fund, Queen’s University CSPC Research Initiation Grant, Diabetes Canada, Heart and Stroke Foundation and Brain Canada Heart-Brain IMPACT Award, CANSSI ICES Data Access Grant, North York General Hospital Exploration Fund, CFPC Janus Grant. MSCF receives honoraria and stocks from the Peruvian Cayetano Heredia University (Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia). SDL research group receives payments from the University of Oxford and the University of Surrey for conducting health services and primary care research. Moreover, they receive payments from pharmaceutical companies AstraZeneca, GSK, Sanofi, Seqirus, and Takeda for vaccine-related research. Additionally, SDL receives payments for membership on advisory boards for AstraZeneca, Sanofi, and Seqirus. RSK teaches at the Swedish advanced training program in quality improvement, Jonkoping Academy, and owns stocks in the Swedish healthcare company Ambea. AL received datasets and software from the University of Melbourne for data analysis in the present manuscript. He received remuneration as part of contracted wages from the University of Melbourne as part of his existing employment. JMN has received funding from the following organizations in the past 3 years: National Health and Medical Council, Medical Research Future Fund, Paul Ramsay Foundation, RACGP Foundation, and Astra Zeneca. This funding has all been provided to institutions, not personally. Related to use of general practice data, she holds shares in Torch Recruit, clinical trial recruitment software which is a spin off company from The University of Melbourne. WDP sits on the AT Still Research Advisory Board, for which he receives $1000 per year when meetings occur, although these meetings are irregular. He also serves voluntarily on the CO Aca. Fam Med. Leg. Com, Colorado Medicaid Provider Rate Review Com, and NAEPPCC Expert WG #4. He holds stocks in Johnson and Johnson, Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer, Stryker, Amgen, Moderna, and Novartis, managed by independent advisors. Additionally, he receives supplies from Boehringer Ingelheim and AstraZeneca for COPD quality improvement studies and data analysis using secondary data. JMW was Past President at NAPCRG, an international primary care research organization holding an unpaid position. All other authors have declared that no competing interests exist. No funding sources were involved in the study design; in the collection, analysis, and interpretation of data; in the writing of the report; and the decision to submit the article for publication. The researchers are all independent of funders, and KT, AOB, MCL had full access to all the data and authors from each country had full access to the country-specific data in the study and can take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis., (Copyright: © 2024 Tu et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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39. Validation of an acute respiratory infection phenotyping algorithm to support robust computerised medical record-based respiratory sentinel surveillance, England, 2023.
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Elson WH, Jamie G, Wimalaratna R, Forbes A, Leston M, Okusi C, Byford R, Agrawal U, Todkill D, Elliot AJ, Watson C, Zambon M, Morbey R, Lopez Bernal J, Hobbs FR, and de Lusignan S
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- Humans, England epidemiology, Acute Disease, Medical Records Systems, Computerized, Influenza, Human diagnosis, Influenza, Human epidemiology, Male, Female, Primary Health Care, Electronic Health Records, Sentinel Surveillance, Algorithms, Respiratory Tract Infections diagnosis, Respiratory Tract Infections epidemiology, Phenotype
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IntroductionRespiratory sentinel surveillance systems leveraging computerised medical records (CMR) use phenotyping algorithms to identify cases of interest, such as acute respiratory infection (ARI). The Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) is the English primary care-based sentinel surveillance network.AimThis study describes and validates the RSC's new ARI phenotyping algorithm.MethodsWe developed the phenotyping algorithm using a framework aligned with international interoperability standards. We validated our algorithm by comparing ARI events identified during the 2022/23 influenza season in England through use of both old and new algorithms. We compared clinical codes commonly used for recording ARI.ResultsThe new algorithm identified an additional 860,039 cases and excluded 52,258, resulting in a net increase of 807,781 cases (33.84%) of ARI compared to the old algorithm, with totals of 3,194,224 cases versus 2,386,443 cases. Of the 860,039 newly identified cases, the majority (63.7%) were due to identification of symptom codes suggestive of an ARI diagnosis not detected by the old algorithm. The 52,258 cases incorrectly identified by the old algorithm were due to inadvertent identification of chronic, recurrent, non-infectious and other non-ARI disease.ConclusionWe developed a new ARI phenotyping algorithm that more accurately identifies cases of ARI from the CMR. This will benefit public health by providing more accurate surveillance reports to public health authorities. This new algorithm can serve as a blueprint for other CMR-based surveillance systems wishing to develop similar phenotyping algorithms.
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40. The Relationship between Serum Sodium Concentration and Albuminuria: A Retrospective Cohort Study.
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Cole NI, Swift PA, Suckling RJ, He FJ, Gallagher H, van Vlymen J, Byford R, and de Lusignan S
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Background: Lowering dietary salt intake reduces albuminuria, an early marker of renal damage and a sensitive predictor of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. The mechanisms underlying this effect are uncertain but small changes in serum sodium concentration may be important: this retrospective cohort study investigated the hypothesis that higher serum sodium concentration is a risk factor for albuminuria (defined as a urine albumin:creatinine ratio [UACR], ≥3 mg/mmol)., Methods: Primary care data from the Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre were used to identify 47,294 individuals with a UACR result available between April 2010 and March 2015, and no known albuminuria prior to this. Exclusion criteria were missing or abnormal serum sodium concentration at baseline (<135 or >146 mmol/L); age <18 years; diabetes mellitus; decompensated liver disease; heart failure; and stage 5 chronic kidney disease., Results: After adjustment for known risk factors, there was a significant "U-shaped" relationship between serum sodium concentration and albuminuria. The lowest risk was associated with a serum sodium of 138-140 mmol/L. In comparison, the risk of albuminuria was 18% higher with a serum sodium of 135-137 mmol/L and 19% higher with a serum sodium of 144-146 mmol/L. There was no association between serum sodium concentration and blood pressure., Conclusion: The finding of a positive association between higher serum sodium concentration and albuminuria is in support of the hypothesis, but the inverse relationship between serum sodium concentration and albuminuria at lower concentrations warrants further explanation., (© 2024 S. Karger AG, Basel.)
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41. Qualitative evaluation of a molecular point-of-care testing study for influenza in UK primary care.
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Xie CX, Hoang U, Smylie J, Aspden C, Button E, Okusi C, Byford R, Ferreira F, Anand S, Agrawal U, Inada-Kim M, Clark T, and de Lusignan S
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Background: Influenza contributes to the surge in winter infections and the consequent winter pressures on the health service. Molecular point-of-care testing(POCT) for influenza might improve patient management by providing rapid and accurate clinical diagnosis to inform the timely initiation of antiviral therapy and reduce unnecessary admissions and antibiotics use., Aim: To explore factors that influence the adoption or non-adoption of POCT in English general practices and provide insights to enable its integration into routine practice workflows., Design & Setting: A qualitative implementation evaluation was conducted in ten general practices within the English national sentinel network (Oxford-RCGP Research and Surveillance Centre), from April to July 2023., Method: Using the nonadoption, abandonment, scale-up, spread, and sustainability framework, data collection and analysis were conducted across ten practices. We made ethnographic observations of the POCT workflow and surveyed the practice staff for their perspectives on POCT implementation. Data were analysed using a mix of descriptive statistics, graphical modelling techniques and framework approach., Results: Ethnographic observations identified two modes of POCT integration into practice workflow: 1) clinician POCT workflow - typically involving batch testing due to time constraints, 2) research nurse/healthcare assistant POCT workflow - characterised by immediate testing of individual patients. Survey indicated that most primary care staff considered the POCT training offered was sufficient, and these practices were ready for change and had the capacity and resources to integrate POCT in workflows., Conclusion: General practices should demonstrate flexibility in the workflow and workforce they deploy to integrate POCT into routine clinical workflow., (Copyright © 2024, The Authors.)
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42. Pass the tissue: restoring researcher access to legal human donations.
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Leston M, De Lusignan S, and Hobbs RF
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The sensitivity of human tissue and previous instances of misuse have, rightfully, led to the introduction of far-reaching oversight and regulatory mechanisms for accessing, storing and sharing samples. However, these restrictions, in tandem with more broad-based privacy regulations, have had the unintended consequence of obstructing legitimate requests for medical materials. This is of real detriment to ambitions for biomedical research, most notably the precision medicine agenda. As such, this paper makes the case for facilitating authorised researcher access to human tissue and associated data along practical medical ethics lines, detailing how liberating samples from unfit regulations, re-evaluating biobanks, diversifying considerations for donor benefit-risk, future proofing donor consent and flattening hierarchies of donation acceptability equate to a more cohesive and respectful means of managing biological samples and information than is achieved at present., Competing Interests: Competing interests: ML has supported the Linked Data work of HDRUK. Sat within the RCGP RSC, she is also a member of the HDRUK Alliance; it is here that she became familiar with the issues summarised in this original research. Presentations given by the Brain Tumour Charity inspired this work. Meredith’s doctoral research is funded by an Oxford-MRC iCASE studentship in which her industrial partner is EMIS Health., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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43. Team climate, job satsfaction and burnout: results from a national survey of staff in general practice in England.
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Williams P, Jones B, Aspen C, Bird T, Smylie J, Touray M, Gage H, and de Lusignan S
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- Humans, England epidemiology, Male, Surveys and Questionnaires, Female, Adult, Middle Aged, Patient Care Team, Workplace psychology, Organizational Culture, Attitude of Health Personnel, Personnel Turnover, Burnout, Professional psychology, Burnout, Professional epidemiology, Job Satisfaction, General Practice
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Background: Measures are needed to address recruitment and retention problems in general practice. A good team climate (relational processes of team working) can mitigate the effects of pressured work environments, but little is known about it in British general practice., Aim: To assess team climate, explore practice characteristics and workforce combinations associated with favourable team climates, and analyse associations between practice team climate and job satisfaction, intention to remain in post, burnout and measures of practice performance., Method: An online questionnaire distributed to practices (for all their staff) via Clinical Research Networks, mid 2022, comprising validated measures: 14 item Team Climate Inventory (TCI) and single items on job satisfaction and emotional exhaustion/burnout; a question on intention to remain in post; participant role, age group, gender. Anonymous completion; submission through the Oxford RCGP RSC., Results: Responses received from 4.8% of national staff headcount, n = 9835, (21.6% GP, 22.9% nurse/direct patient care, 55.5% non-clinical). Mean TCI score, 3.73 (scale 1-5 best); 78.3% were satisfied in their jobs; 26.1% reported high burnout. GPs perceived significantly better team climate, and reported lower job satisfaction, higher burnout (especially male GPs) and lower intention to quit than other groups. After adjusting for practice and workforce characteristics, team climate was better in smaller practices and associated with more job satisfaction, less burnout, increased intention to remain and improved patient-reported experiences; climate was unrelated to QOF performance., Conclusion: Team climate could be used to improve morale and patient experience. Micro teams might be beneficial in larger practices., (© British Journal of General Practice 2024.)
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44. Changes in primary care visits for respiratory illness during the COVID-19 pandemic: a multinational study by the International Consortium of Primary Care Big Data Researchers (INTRePID).
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Westfall JM, Bonilla AO, Lapadula MC, Zingoni PL, Wong WCW, Wensaas KA, Pace WD, Silva-Valencia J, Scattini LF, Ng APP, Manski-Nankervis JA, Ling ZJ, Li Z, Heald AH, Laughlin A, Kristiansson RS, Hallinan CM, Goh LH, Gaona G, Flottorp S, de Lusignan S, Cuba-Fuentes MS, Baste V, and Tu K
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Objectives: The majority of patients with respiratory illness are seen in primary care settings. Given COVID-19 is predominantly a respiratory illness, the INTernational ConsoRtium of Primary Care BIg Data Researchers (INTRePID), assessed the pandemic impact on primary care visits for respiratory illnesses., Design: Definitions for respiratory illness types were agreed on collectively. Monthly visit counts with diagnosis were shared centrally for analysis., Setting: Primary care settings in Argentina, Australia, Canada, China, Norway, Peru, Singapore, Sweden and the United States., Participants: Over 38 million patients seen in primary care settings in INTRePID countries before and during the pandemic, from January 1st, 2018, to December 31st, 2021., Main Outcome Measures: Relative change in the monthly mean number of visits before and after the onset of the pandemic for acute infectious respiratory disease visits including influenza, upper and lower respiratory tract infections and chronic respiratory disease visits including asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, respiratory allergies, and other respiratory diseases., Results: INTRePID countries reported a marked decrease in the average monthly visits for respiratory illness. Changes in visits varied from -10.9% [95% confidence interval (CI): -33.1 to +11.3%] in Norway to -79.9% (95% CI: -86.4% to -73.4%) in China for acute infectious respiratory disease visits and - 2.1% (95% CI: -12.1 to +7.8%) in Peru to -59.9% (95% CI: -68.6% to -51.3%) in China for chronic respiratory illness visits. While seasonal variation in allergic respiratory illness continued during the pandemic, there was essentially no spike in influenza illness during the first 2 years of the pandemic., Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic had a major impact on primary care visits for respiratory presentations. Primary care continued to provide services for respiratory illness, although there was a decrease in infectious illness during the COVID pandemic. Understanding the role of primary care may provide valuable information for COVID-19 recovery efforts and planning for future global emergencies., Competing Interests: JW holds the position of Vice President and is employed by the DARTNet Institute, a non-profit organization specializing in primary care research. AB and ML work for the University of Toronto and part of their salary is supported by grants. WP has received grant funding from NIMCH, sits on the advisory board of AT Still Research Foundation, has stock in Moderna, Johnson and Johnson, Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk, Styker, Amgen, Novartis, and Pfizer; and received supplies from Boehringer Ingelheim and AstraZeneca. RK teaches at the Swedish advanced training program in quality improvement and owns stocks in the Swedish healthcare company Ambea. SL is the director of the Royal College of General Practitioners (RCGP) Research and Surveillance Center (RSC) as part of his academic post at Oxford. He has received payment to his research group for health services and primary care research from the University of Oxford and the University of Surrey and a wide range of grant funding through his university for vaccine-related research from AstraZeneca, GSK, Sanofi, Segirus and Takeda. MC-F receives honoraria and stocks from the Peruvian Cayetano Heredia University (Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia). KT receives a Chair in Family and Community Medicine Research in Primary Care at UHN and a Research Scholar award from the Department of Family and Community University of Toronto. KT received grants from the following organizations in the past 3 years: The Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Rathlyn Foundation Primary Care EMR Research and Discovery Fund, College of Family Physicians of Canada/Foundation for Advancing Family Medicine/CMA Foundation Heart and Stroke Foundation of Ontario, Department of Defense United States of America, St. Michael’s Hospital Foundation, Ontario Health Data Platform First Movers Fund, Queen’s University CSPC Research Initiation Grant, Diabetes Canada, Heart and Stroke Foundation and Brain Canada Heart-Brain IMPACT Award, CANSSI ICES Data Access Grant, North York General Hospital Exploration Fund, CFPC Janus Grant. All funding sources were not involved in the study design; in the collection, analysis, and interpretation of data; in the writing of the report; and the decision to submit the article for publication. The researchers are all independent of funders, and KT, AB, ML had full access to all the data and authors from each country had full access to the country-specific data in the study and can take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2024 Westfall, Bonilla, Lapadula, Zingoni, Wong, Wensaas, Pace, Silva-Valencia, Scattini, Ng, Manski-Nankervis, Ling, Li, Heald, Laughlin, Kristiansson, Hallinan, Goh, Gaona, Flottorp, de Lusignan, Cuba-Fuentes, Baste and Tu.)
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45. Defining and Risk-Stratifying Immunosuppression (the DESTINIES Study): Protocol for an Electronic Delphi Study.
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Leston M, Ordóñez-Mena J, Joy M, de Lusignan S, Hobbs R, McInnes I, and Lee L
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- Humans, Immunocompromised Host immunology, Consensus, Risk Assessment methods, SARS-CoV-2 immunology, Adult, Research Design standards, COVID-19 immunology, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control, Delphi Technique, Immunosuppression Therapy methods
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Background: Globally, there are marked inconsistencies in how immunosuppression is characterized and subdivided into clinical risk groups. This is detrimental to the precision and comparability of disease surveillance efforts-which has negative implications for the care of those who are immunosuppressed and their health outcomes. This was particularly apparent during the COVID-19 pandemic; despite collective motivation to protect these patients, conflicting clinical definitions created international rifts in how those who were immunosuppressed were monitored and managed during this period. We propose that international clinical consensus be built around the conditions that lead to immunosuppression and their gradations of severity concerning COVID-19. Such information can then be formalized into a digital phenotype to enhance disease surveillance and provide much-needed intelligence on risk-prioritizing these patients., Objective: We aim to demonstrate how electronic Delphi objectives, methodology, and statistical approaches will help address this lack of consensus internationally and deliver a COVID-19 risk-stratified phenotype for "adult immunosuppression.", Methods: Leveraging existing evidence for heterogeneous COVID-19 outcomes in adults who are immunosuppressed, this work will recruit over 50 world-leading clinical, research, or policy experts in the area of immunology or clinical risk prioritization. After 2 rounds of clinical consensus building and 1 round of concluding debate, these panelists will confirm the medical conditions that should be classed as immunosuppressed and their differential vulnerability to COVID-19. Consensus statements on the time and dose dependencies of these risks will also be presented. This work will be conducted iteratively, with opportunities for panelists to ask clarifying questions between rounds and provide ongoing feedback to improve questionnaire items. Statistical analysis will focus on levels of agreement between responses., Results: This protocol outlines a robust method for improving consensus on the definition and meaningful subdivision of adult immunosuppression concerning COVID-19. Panelist recruitment took place between April and May of 2024; the target set for over 50 panelists was achieved. The study launched at the end of May and data collection is projected to end in July 2024., Conclusions: This protocol, if fully implemented, will deliver a universally acceptable, clinically relevant, and electronic health record-compatible phenotype for adult immunosuppression. As well as having immediate value for COVID-19 resource prioritization, this exercise and its output hold prospective value for clinical decision-making across all diseases that disproportionately affect those who are immunosuppressed., International Registered Report Identifier (irrid): PRR1-10.2196/56271., (©Meredith Leston, José Ordóñez-Mena, Mark Joy, Simon de Lusignan, Richard Hobbs, Iain McInnes, Lennard Lee. Originally published in JMIR Research Protocols (https://www.researchprotocols.org), 06.06.2024.)
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46. A Profile of Influenza Vaccine Coverage for 2019-2020: Database Study of the English Primary Care Sentinel Cohort.
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Hoang U, Delanerolle G, Fan X, Aspden C, Byford R, Ashraf M, Haag M, Elson W, Leston M, Anand S, Ferreira F, Joy M, Hobbs R, and de Lusignan S
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- Humans, Adolescent, Adult, Middle Aged, Female, Male, Child, Aged, Young Adult, Child, Preschool, Infant, Cohort Studies, Databases, Factual, Aged, 80 and over, Infant, Newborn, England epidemiology, Influenza Vaccines administration & dosage, Primary Health Care statistics & numerical data, Influenza, Human prevention & control, Influenza, Human epidemiology, Sentinel Surveillance, Vaccination Coverage statistics & numerical data
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Background: Innovation in seasonal influenza vaccine development has resulted in a wider range of formulations becoming available. Understanding vaccine coverage across populations including the timing of administration is important when evaluating vaccine benefits and risks., Objective: This study aims to report the representativeness, uptake of influenza vaccines, different formulations of influenza vaccines, and timing of administration within the English Primary Care Sentinel Cohort (PCSC)., Methods: We used the PCSC of the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre. We included patients of all ages registered with PCSC member general practices, reporting influenza vaccine coverage between September 1, 2019, and January 29, 2020. We identified influenza vaccination recipients and characterized them by age, clinical risk groups, and vaccine type. We reported the date of influenza vaccination within the PCSC by International Standard Organization (ISO) week. The representativeness of the PCSC population was compared with population data provided by the Office for National Statistics. PCSC influenza vaccine coverage was compared with published UK Health Security Agency's national data. We used paired t tests to compare populations, reported with 95% CI., Results: The PCSC comprised 7,010,627 people from 693 general practices. The study population included a greater proportion of people aged 18-49 years (2,982,390/7,010,627, 42.5%; 95% CI 42.5%-42.6%) compared with the Office for National Statistics 2019 midyear population estimates (23,219,730/56,286,961, 41.3%; 95% CI 4.12%-41.3%; P<.001). People who are more deprived were underrepresented and those in the least deprived quintile were overrepresented. Within the study population, 24.7% (1,731,062/7,010,627; 95% CI 24.7%-24.7%) of people of all ages received an influenza vaccine compared with 24.2% (14,468,665/59,764,928; 95% CI 24.2%-24.2%; P<.001) in national data. The highest coverage was in people aged ≥65 years (913,695/1,264,700, 72.3%; 95% CI 72.2%-72.3%). The proportion of people in risk groups who received an influenza vaccine was also higher; for example, 69.8% (284,280/407,228; 95% CI 69.7%-70%) of people with diabetes in the PCSC received an influenza vaccine compared with 61.2% (983,727/1,607,996; 95% CI 61.1%-61.3%; P<.001) in national data. In the PCSC, vaccine type and brand information were available for 71.8% (358,365/498,923; 95% CI 71.7%-72%) of people aged 16-64 years and 81.9% (748,312/913,695; 95% CI 81.8%-82%) of people aged ≥65 years, compared with 23.6% (696,880/2,900,000) and 17.8% (1,385,888/7,700,000), respectively, of the same age groups in national data. Vaccination commenced during ISO week 35, continued until ISO week 3, and peaked during ISO week 41. The in-week peak in vaccination administration was on Saturdays., Conclusions: The PCSC's sociodemographic profile was similar to the national population and captured more data about risk groups, vaccine brands, and batches. This may reflect higher data quality. Its capabilities included reporting precise dates of administration. The PCSC is suitable for undertaking studies of influenza vaccine coverage., (©Uy Hoang, Gayathri Delanerolle, Xuejuan Fan, Carole Aspden, Rachel Byford, Mansoor Ashraf, Mendel Haag, William Elson, Meredith Leston, Sneha Anand, Filipa Ferreira, Mark Joy, Richard Hobbs, Simon de Lusignan. Originally published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance (https://publichealth.jmir.org), 24.05.2024.)
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- 2024
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47. Postpandemic Sentinel Surveillance of Respiratory Diseases in the Context of the World Health Organization Mosaic Framework: Protocol for a Development and Evaluation Study Involving the English Primary Care Network 2023-2024.
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Gu X, Watson C, Agrawal U, Whitaker H, Elson WH, Anand S, Borrow R, Buckingham A, Button E, Curtis L, Dunn D, Elliot AJ, Ferreira F, Goudie R, Hoang U, Hoschler K, Jamie G, Kar D, Kele B, Leston M, Linley E, Macartney J, Marsden GL, Okusi C, Parvizi O, Quinot C, Sebastianpillai P, Sexton V, Smith G, Suli T, Thomas NPB, Thompson C, Todkill D, Wimalaratna R, Inada-Kim M, Andrews N, Tzortziou-Brown V, Byford R, Zambon M, Lopez-Bernal J, and de Lusignan S
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- Humans, Sentinel Surveillance, World Health Organization, Primary Health Care, Influenza, Human epidemiology, Influenza, Human prevention & control, Influenza Vaccines, Virus Diseases, COVID-19, Respiratory Tract Infections epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: Prepandemic sentinel surveillance focused on improved management of winter pressures, with influenza-like illness (ILI) being the key clinical indicator. The World Health Organization (WHO) global standards for influenza surveillance include monitoring acute respiratory infection (ARI) and ILI. The WHO's mosaic framework recommends that the surveillance strategies of countries include the virological monitoring of respiratory viruses with pandemic potential such as influenza. The Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioner Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) in collaboration with the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) has provided sentinel surveillance since 1967, including virology since 1993., Objective: We aim to describe the RSC's plans for sentinel surveillance in the 2023-2024 season and evaluate these plans against the WHO mosaic framework., Methods: Our approach, which includes patient and public involvement, contributes to surveillance objectives across all 3 domains of the mosaic framework. We will generate an ARI phenotype to enable reporting of this indicator in addition to ILI. These data will support UKHSA's sentinel surveillance, including vaccine effectiveness and burden of disease studies. The panel of virology tests analyzed in UKHSA's reference laboratory will remain unchanged, with additional plans for point-of-care testing, pneumococcus testing, and asymptomatic screening. Our sampling framework for serological surveillance will provide greater representativeness and more samples from younger people. We will create a biomedical resource that enables linkage between clinical data held in the RSC and virology data, including sequencing data, held by the UKHSA. We describe the governance framework for the RSC., Results: We are co-designing our communication about data sharing and sampling, contextualized by the mosaic framework, with national and general practice patient and public involvement groups. We present our ARI digital phenotype and the key data RSC network members are requested to include in computerized medical records. We will share data with the UKHSA to report vaccine effectiveness for COVID-19 and influenza, assess the disease burden of respiratory syncytial virus, and perform syndromic surveillance. Virological surveillance will include COVID-19, influenza, respiratory syncytial virus, and other common respiratory viruses. We plan to pilot point-of-care testing for group A streptococcus, urine tests for pneumococcus, and asymptomatic testing. We will integrate test requests and results with the laboratory-computerized medical record system. A biomedical resource will enable research linking clinical data to virology data. The legal basis for the RSC's pseudonymized data extract is The Health Service (Control of Patient Information) Regulations 2002, and all nonsurveillance uses require research ethics approval., Conclusions: The RSC extended its surveillance activities to meet more but not all of the mosaic framework's objectives. We have introduced an ARI indicator. We seek to expand our surveillance scope and could do more around transmissibility and the benefits and risks of nonvaccine therapies., (©Xinchun Gu, Conall Watson, Utkarsh Agrawal, Heather Whitaker, William H. Elson, Sneha Anand, Ray Borrow, Anna Buckingham, Elizabeth Button, Lottie Curtis, Dominic Dunn, Alex J. Elliot, Filipa Ferreira, Rosalind Goudie, Uy Hoang, Katja Hoschler, Gavin Jamie, Debasish Kar, Beatrix Kele, Meredith Leston, Ezra Linley, Jack Macartney, Gemma L Marsden, Cecilia Okusi, Omid Parvizi, Catherine Quinot, Praveen Sebastianpillai, Vanashree Sexton, Gillian Smith, Timea Suli, Nicholas P B Thomas, Catherine Thompson, Daniel Todkill, Rashmi Wimalaratna, Matthew Inada-Kim, Nick Andrews, Victoria Tzortziou-Brown, Rachel Byford, Maria Zambon, Jamie Lopez-Bernal, Simon de Lusignan. Originally published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance (https://publichealth.jmir.org), 03.04.2024.)
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- 2024
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48. A Comparison of Sodium-Glucose Co-Transporter 2 Inhibitor Kidney Outcome Trial Participants with a Real-World Chronic Kidney Disease Primary Care Population.
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Forbes AK, Hinton W, Feher MD, Elson W, Ordóñez-Mena JM, Joy M, Fan X, Banerjee D, Cole NI, Munro N, Whyte M, Suckling RJ, Swift PA, and de Lusignan S
- Abstract
Background/hypothesis: Observational studies suggest sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitor kidney outcome trials are not representative of the broader population of people with chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, there are limited data on the generalisability to those without co-existing type 2 diabetes (T2D), and the representativeness of the EMPA-KIDNEY trial has not been adequately explored. We hypothesised that SGLT2 inhibitor kidney outcome trials are more representative of people with co-existing T2D than those without, and that EMPA-KIDNEY is more representative than previous trials., Methods: A cross-sectional analysis of adults with CKD in English primary care was conducted using the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners Clinical Information Digital Hub. The proportions that met the eligibility criteria of SGLT2 inhibitor kidney outcome trials were determined, and their characteristics described. Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with trial eligibility., Results: Of 6,670,829 adults, 516,491 (7.7%) with CKD were identified. In the real-world CKD population, 0.9%, 2.2%, and 8.0% met the CREDENCE, DAPA-CKD, and EMPA-KIDNEY eligibility criteria, respectively. All trials were more representative of people with co-existing T2D than those without T2D. Trial participants were 9-14 years younger than the real-world CKD population, and had more advanced CKD, including higher levels of albuminuria. A higher proportion of the CREDENCE (100%), DAPA-CKD (67.6%) and EMPA-KIDNEY (44.5%) trial participants had T2D compared to the real-world CKD population (32.8%). Renin-angiotensin system inhibitors were prescribed in almost all trial participants, compared to less than half of the real-world CKD population. Females were under-represented and less likely to be eligible for the trials., Conclusion: SGLT2 inhibitor kidney outcome trials represent a sub-group of people with CKD at high risk of adverse kidney events. Out study highlights the importance of complementing trials with real-world studies, exploring the effectiveness of SGLT2 inhibitors in the broader population of people with CKD., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the ERA.)
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- 2024
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49. Effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on mental health visits in primary care: an interrupted time series analysis from nine INTRePID countries.
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Silva-Valencia J, Lapadula C, Westfall JM, Gaona G, de Lusignan S, Kristiansson RS, Ling ZJ, Goh LH, Soto-Becerra P, Cuba-Fuentes MS, Wensaas KA, Flottorp S, Baste V, Chi-Wai Wong W, Pui Ng AP, Ortigoza A, Manski-Nankervis JA, Hallinan CM, Zingoni P, Scattini L, Heald A, and Tu K
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Background: The COVID-19 pandemic impacted mental health disorders, affecting both individuals with pre-existing conditions and those with no prior history. However, there is limited evidence regarding the pandemic's impact on mental health visits to primary care physicians. The International Consortium of Primary Care Big Data Researchers (INTRePID) explored primary care visit trends related to mental health conditions in Argentina, Australia, Canada, China, Norway, Peru, Singapore, Sweden, and the USA., Methods: We conducted an interrupted time series analysis in nine countries to examine changes in rates of monthly mental health visits to primary care settings from January 1st, 2018, to December 31st, 2021. Sub-group analysis considered service type (in-person/virtual) and six categories of mental health conditions (anxiety/depression, bipolar/schizophrenia/other psychotic disorders, sleep disorders, dementia, ADHD/eating disorders, and substance use disorder)., Findings: Mental health visit rates increased after the onset of the pandemic in most countries. In Argentina, Canada, China, Norway, Peru, and Singapore, this increase was immediate ranged from an incidence rate ratio of 1·118 [95% CI 1.053-1.187] to 2.240 [95% CI 2.057-2.439] when comparing the first month of pandemic with the pre-pandemic trend. Increases in the following months varied across countries. Anxiety/depression was the leading reason for mental health visits in most countries. Virtual visits were reported in Australia, Canada, Norway, Peru, Sweden, and the USA, accounting for up to 40% of the total mental health visits., Interpretation: Findings suggest an overall increase in mental health visits, driven largely by anxiety/depression. During the COVID-19 pandemic, many of the studied countries adopted virtual care in particular for mental health visits. Primary care plays a crucial role in addressing mental ill-health in times of crisis., Funding: Canadian Institutes of Health Research grant #173094 and the Rathlyn Foundation Primary Care EMR Research and Discovery Fund., Competing Interests: CL and AO receive a salary for research associate positions at the University of Toronto. JMW holds the position of Vice President Medical Affairs and is employed by the DARTNet Institute. SdeL serves as the director of the Royal College of General Practitioners (RCGP) Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) the primary care sentinel network and he receives funding from the UK Health Security Agency for this position. Seqirus and Roche provided a bursary for speaking. AstraZeneca provided a bursary to attend a European conference. Additionally, AstraZeneca, Sanofi, and Seqirus provided funding for Advisory Board membership. RSK has received payment from Qulturum Jönköping County for lectures and support from Region Uppsala to attend WONCA Sydney 2023. MSC-F is an Associate Professor at the Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, and the Director of the Primary Health Care Research Center. Her salary is sourced from teaching, contracts and grants awarded to the university. She has received a grant from the National Council of Science and Technology of Peru. KT receives a Chair in Family and Community Medicine Research in Primary Care at UHN. She has received grants from the following organizations in the past 3 years: The Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Rathlyn Foundation Primary Care EMR Research and Discovery Fund, College of Family Physicians of Canada/Foundation for Advancing Family Medicine/CMA Foundation Heart and Stroke Foundation of Ontario, Department of Defense United States of America, St. Michael's Hospital Foundation, Ontario Health Data Platform First Movers Fund, Queen's University CSPC Research Initiation Grant, Diabetes Canada, Heart and Stroke Foundation and Brain Canada Heart-Brain IMPACT Award, CANSSI ICES Data Access Grant, North York General Hospital Exploration Fund, CFPC Janus Grant. Support for attending meetings is provided by the Rathlyn Foundation Primary Care EMR Research and Discovery Fund. None of the other authors have reported any other potential conflicts of interest., (© 2024 The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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50. Development and validation of a clinical prediction model for 90-day venous thromboembolism risk following total hip and total knee arthroplasty: a multinational study.
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Nemeth B, Smeets M, Pedersen AB, Kristiansen EB, Nelissen R, Whyte M, Roberts L, de Lusignan S, le Cessie S, Cannegieter S, and Arya R
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- Humans, Anticoagulants therapeutic use, Postoperative Complications epidemiology, Postoperative Complications etiology, Postoperative Complications drug therapy, Cohort Studies, Models, Statistical, Prognosis, Risk Factors, Venous Thromboembolism diagnosis, Venous Thromboembolism epidemiology, Venous Thromboembolism etiology, Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee adverse effects, Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip adverse effects
- Abstract
Background: The risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) following total hip arthroplasty (THA) and total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is 1.0% to 1.5%, despite uniform thromboprophylaxis., Objectives: To develop and validate a prediction model for 90-day VTE risk., Methods: A multinational cohort study was performed. For model development, records were used from the Oxford Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre linked to Hospital Episode Statistics and Office of National Statistics UK routine data. For external validation, data were used from the Danish Hip and Knee Arthroplasty Registry, the National Patient Registry, and the National Prescription Registry. Binary multivariable logistic regression techniques were used for development., Results: In the UK data set, 64 032 THA/TKA procedures were performed and 1.4% developed VTE. The prediction model consisted of age, body mass index, sex, cystitis within 1 year before surgery, history of phlebitis, history of VTE, presence of varicose veins, presence of asthma, history of transient ischemic attack, history of myocardial infarction, presence of hypertension and THA or TKA. The area under the curve of the model was 0.65 (95% CI, 0.63-0.67). Furthermore, 36 169 procedures were performed in the Danish cohort, of whom 1.0% developed VTE. Here, the area under the curve was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.61-0.67). The calibration slope was 0.92 in the validation study and 1.00 in the development study., Conclusion: This clinical prediction model for 90-day VTE risk following THA and TKA performed well in both development and validation data. This model can be used to estimate an individual's risk for VTE following THA/TKA., (Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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