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Background: To examine the association between established coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors and eating patterns by creating a dietary index utilizing a limited amount of food frequency questionnaire data on specified indicator foods., Methods: Selected data from the Italian Risk Factors and Life Expectancy (RIFLE) project collected between 1978-1979 and 1983-1984 on 7665 men and women, aged 20-59 years, were used to compute a dietary index summarizing the relative proportion of fatty to non-fatty foods. The association between this index and systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP, DBP), body mass index, total serum cholesterol (TC), and blood glucose, controlling for potential confounders was then tested using multiple linear regression., Results: Among men, a positive association was found between the index and all five CHD risk factors (P < 0.01). Among women, the associations were weaker, becoming statistically significant only for TC and glucose., Conclusions: Our food index was able to detect relationships between diet and traditional CHD risk factors. A tool such as this, which requires only a limited number of key indicator food items, might enhance the use of existing food frequency questionnaires and also streamline the process of collecting new dietary information.

Background: This study aims at identifying determinants of all-cause mortality in elderly populations of different countries., Methods: Men ages 65-84 years from defined administrative areas were enrolled in Finland (rural areas of east and west Finland; N = 693), in the Netherlands (the town of Zutphen; N = 851), and in Italy (the rural areas of Crevalcore and Montegiorgio; N = 682). They were survivors of cohorts studies for 25 years within the Seven Countries Study with the addition of a subgroup of the same ages in the Netherlands., Results: Five-year death rates from all causes were higher in Finland (297 per 1000), intermediate in the Netherlands (231 per 1000), and lower in Italy (191 per 1000). Five-year all-cause mortality was studied in relation to measurements taken at entry (age, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, non-high-density lipoprotein (HDL) and HDL cholesterol, body mass index, heart rate, smoking habits, and presence of coronary heart disease manifestations). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed (in the latter models, both linear and quadratic terms were used for most variables) with all-cause mortality as endpoint. Results suggested significant predictive power of age (direct relationship) and, in most cases, U-shaped relationships of risk factors to mortality. Non-HDL cholesterol showed significant relationships with mortality in Finland and the Netherlands, HDL cholesterol in all three countries, systolic blood pressure only in Finland, body mass index in Finland and the Netherlands, smoking habits only in Finland, and heart rate in none. Levels of risk factors associated with the lowest death rate in the pool of all countries were 183.3 mg/dl for non-HDL cholesterol, 59.8 for HDL cholesterol, 177.5 mm Hg for blood pressure, and 30.2 kg/m square for body mass index., Conclusions: In these elderly men the association of traditional risk factors with all-cause mortality is reduced, U-shaped, or even inverted. This is probably due to selection due to previous mortality, to comorbidity, and to changes in homeostatic mechanisms.

Background: The relationships of body mass index and skinfold thickness to all-causes mortality during a 10-year follow-up were assessed in 8,341 men and 1,100 women ages 30-69 years from different Italian population samples., Results: Among men, both univariate and multivariate analyses showed a clear-cut parabolic (inverse J-shaped) relationship, whose left branch became less steep after the exclusion of smokers, people carrying severe diseases at entry, those who died during the first 5 years, or all of them. The minimum risk was almost always located around 28 units of body mass index, and it decreased to smaller levels of body mass index when the exclusions were adopted. The analysis of skinfold thickness showed similar but less clear-cut results. Among women, due to the limited number of fatal events, the analysis was unable to show any clear relationship of body mass index or skinfold thickness to all-causes mortality. The multivariate analysis showed a similar parabolic relationship of body mass index to all-causes mortality. The estimated multivariate risk of death broken down into five quintiles was unrelated to the mean level of body mass index for each quintile. From the multivariate model it was estimated that an excess of 10 kg in body weight (above the body mass index corresponding to the minimum risk level and everything else being equal) carries the same excess of risk produced by 5 mm Hg of systolic blood pressure or by less than 5 cigarettes smoked per day., Conclusion: These results suggest that high levels of obesity indicators are only slightly associated with an excess mortality and that overweight and obesity are health hazards only if they are accompanied by an elevation of other risk factors, mainly of blood pressure.

A 20-year follow-up study for all causes of death has been conducted on two groups of men aged 40-59 at entry in two rural communities of northern and central Italy on a total of 1,712 subjects representing 98.9% of defined demographic samples. Personal characteristics or risk factors usually studied for coronary heart disease (CHD), as measured at entry, have been related to the risk of dying in 20 years (600 cases). By means of multivariate analysis, 11 out of 33 considered characteristics were shown to be significant predictors of any cause of death. These were mean blood pressure, age, arm circumference (protective), early death of parents, cigarette smoking, forced expiratory volume (protective), CHD, arcus senilis, vital capacity (protective), xanthelasma, and serum cholesterol. Discrimination between cases and noncases was satisfactory with about 40% of deaths in the upper quintile of the estimated distribution of risk and less than 7% in the lowest quintile (relative risk = 6.20).