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An important topic in multivariate extreme-value theory is to develop probabilistic models and statistical methods to describe and measure the strength of dependence among extreme observations. The theory is well established for data whose dependence structure is compatible with that of asymptotically dependent models. On the contrary, in many applications data do not comply with asymptotically dependent models and thus new tools are required. This article contributes to the methodological development of such a context, by considering a component-wise maxima approach. First we propose a statistical test based on the classical Pickands dependence function to verify whether asymptotic dependence or independence holds. Then, we present a new Pickands dependence function to describe the extremal dependence under asymptotic independence. Finally, we propose an estimator of the latter, we establish its main asymptotic properties and we illustrate its performance by a simulation study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Several risk measures have been proposed in the literature, among them the marginal mean excess, defined as M M E p = E [ { Y (1) − Q 1 (1 − p) } + | Y (2) > Q 2 (1 − p) ] , provided E | Y (1) | < ∞ , where (Y (1) , Y (2) ) denotes a pair of risk factors, y + ≔ max (0 , y) , Q j the quantile function of Y (j) , j ∈ { 1 , 2 } , and p ∈ (0 , 1). In this paper we consider a generalization of this measure, where the random variables of main interest (Y (1) , Y (2) ) are observed together with a random covariate X ∈ R d , and where the Y (1) excess is also power transformed. This leads to the concept of conditional marginal excess moment for which an estimator is proposed allowing extrapolation outside the data range. The main asymptotic properties of this estimator have been established, using empirical processes arguments combined with the multivariate extreme value theory. The finite sample behavior of the estimator is evaluated by a simulation experiment. We apply also our method on a vehicle insurance customer dataset. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: We present a new method for estimating the frontier of a multidimensional sample. The estimator is based on a kernel regression on high order moments. It is assumed that the order of the moments goes to infinity while the bandwidth of the kernel goes to zero. The consistency of the estimator is proved under mild conditions on these two parameters. The asymptotic normality is also established when the conditional distribution function decreases at a polynomial rate to zero in the neighborhood of the frontier. The good performance of the estimator is illustrated in some finite sample situations. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: It is well-known that the univariate generalized Pareto distributions (GPD) are characterized by their peaks-over-threshold (POT) stability. We extend this result to multivariate GPDs. It is also shown that this POT stability is asymptotically shared by distributions which are in a certain neighborhood of a multivariate GPD. A multivariate extreme value distribution is a typical example. The usefulness of the results is demonstrated by various applications. We immediately obtain, for example, that the excess distribution of a linear portfolio with positive weights , , is independent of the weights, if follows a multivariate GPD with identical univariate polynomial or Pareto margins, which was established by Macke [On the distribution of linear combinations of multivariate EVD and GPD distributed random vectors with an application to the expected shortfall of portfolios, Diploma Thesis, University of Würzburg, 2004, (in German)] and Falk and Michel [Testing for tail independence in extreme value models. Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. 58 (2006) 261–290]. This implies, for instance, that the expected shortfall as a measure of risk fails in this case. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

We consider robust and nonparametric estimation of the coefficient of tail dependence in presence of random covariates. The estimator is obtained by fitting the extended Pareto distribution locally to properly transformed bivariate observations using the minimum density power divergence criterion. We establish convergence in probability and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator under some regularity conditions. The finite sample performance is evaluated with a small simulation experiment, and the practical applicability of the method is illustrated on a real dataset of air pollution measurements. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: We introduce a robust and asymptotically unbiased estimator for the tail index of Pareto-type distributions. The estimator is obtained by fitting the extended Pareto distribution to the relative excesses over a high threshold with the minimum density power divergence criterion. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimator is established under a second order condition on the distribution underlying the data, and for intermediate sequences of upper order statistics. The finite sample properties of the proposed estimator and some alternatives from the extreme value literature are evaluated by a small simulation experiment involving both uncontaminated and contaminated samples. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

We consider the estimation of the stable tail dependence function. We propose a bias-corrected estimator and we establish its asymptotic behaviour under suitable assumptions. The finite sample performance of the proposed estimator is evaluated by means of an extensive simulation study where a comparison with alternatives from the recent literature is provided. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]