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A new era of exploration of the low radio frequency Universe from the Moon will soon be underway with landed payload missions facilitated by NASA's Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program. CLPS landers are scheduled to deliver two radio science experiments, ROLSES to the nearside and LuSEE to the farside, beginning in 2021. These instruments would be pathfinders for a 10-km diameter interferometric array, FARSIDE, composed of 128 pairs of dipole antennas proposed to be delivered to the lunar surface later in the decade. ROLSES and LuSEE, operating at frequencies from 100 kHz to a few tens of MHz, will investigate the plasma environment above the lunar surface and measure the fidelity of radio spectra on the surface. Both use electrically-short, spiral-tube deployable antennas and radio spectrometers based upon previous flight models. ROLSES will measure the photoelectron sheath density to better understand the charging of the lunar surface via photoionization and impacts from the solar wind, charged dust, and current anthropogenic radio frequency interference. LuSEE will measure the local magnetic field and exo-ionospheric density, interplanetary radio bursts, Jovian and terrestrial natural radio emission, and the galactic synchrotron spectrum. FARSIDE, and its precursor risk-reduction six antenna-node array PRIME, would be the first radio interferometers on the Moon. FARSIDE would break new ground by imaging radio emission from Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) beyond 2 solar radii, monitor auroral radiation from the B-fields of Uranus and Neptune (not observed since Voyager), and detect radio emission from stellar CMEs and the magnetic fields of nearby potentially habitable exoplanets., 27 pages, 14 figures, 1 table, accepted for publication in The Planetary Science Journal. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1911.08649

A series of solar energetic particle (SEP) events were observed at Parker Solar Probe (PSP) by the Integrated Science Investigation of the Sun (IS☉IS) during the period from April 18, 2019 through April 24, 2019. The PSP spacecraft was located near 0.48 au from the Sun on Parker spiral field lines that projected out to 1 au within ∼25° of near Earth spacecraft. These SEP events, though small compared to historically large SEP events, were amongst the largest observed thus far in the PSP mission and provide critical information about the space environment inside 1 au during SEP events. During this period the Sun released multiple coronal mass ejections (CMEs). One of these CMEs observed was initiated on April 20, 2019 at 01:25 UTC, and the interplanetary CME (ICME) propagated out and passed over the PSP spacecraft. Observations by the Electromagnetic Fields Investigation (FIELDS) show that the magnetic field structure was mostly radial throughout the passage of the compression region and the plasma that followed, indicating that PSP did not directly observe a flux rope internal to the ICME, consistent with the location of PSP on the flank of the ICME. Analysis using relativistic electrons observed near Earth by the Electron, Proton and Alpha Monitor (EPAM) on the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) demonstrates the presence of flare-accelerated seed populations during the events observed. The energy spectrum of the IS☉IS observed seed population below 1 MeV is consistent with the superposition of acceleration processes near the limit of plasma stability. IS☉IS observations reveal the compression and acceleration of seed populations during the passage of the ICME, which is likely a key part of the pre-acceleration process that occurs close to the Sun and pre-conditions the energetic particle acceleration process.

We present an analysis of Parker Solar Probe (PSP) IS⊙IS observations of ~30–300 keV n⁻¹ ions on 2018 November 11 when PSP was about 0.25 au from the Sun. Five hours before the onset of a solar energetic particle (SEP) event, a coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed by STEREO-A/COR2, which crossed PSP about a day later. No shock was observed locally at PSP, but the CME may have driven a weak shock earlier. The SEP event was dispersive, with higher energy ions arriving before the lower energy ones. Timing suggests the particles originated at the CME when it was at ~7.4R_⊙. SEP intensities increased gradually from their onset over a few hours, reaching a peak, and then decreased gradually before the CME arrived at PSP. The event was weak, having a very soft energy spectrum (−4 to −5 spectral index). The earliest arriving particles were anisotropic, moving outward from the Sun, but later, the distribution was observed to be more isotropic. We present numerical solutions of the Parker transport equation for the transport of 30–300 keV n⁻¹ ions assuming a source comoving with the CME. Our model agrees well with the observations. The SEP event is consistent with ion acceleration at a weak shock driven briefly by the CME close to the Sun, which later dissipated before arriving at PSP, followed by the transport of ions in the interplanetary magnetic field.

The most intense solar energetic particle events are produced by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) accompanied by intense type II radio bursts below 15 MHz. Understanding where these type II bursts are generated relative to an erupting CME would reveal important details of particle acceleration near the Sun, but the emission cannot be imaged on Earth due to distortion from its ionosphere. Here, a technique is introduced to identify the likely source location of the emission by comparing the observed dynamic spectrum observed from a single spacecraft against synthetic spectra made from hypothesized emitting regions within a magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) numerical simulation of the recreated CME. The radio-loud 2005 May 13 CME was chosen as a test case, with Wind/WAVES radio data used to frame the inverse problem of finding the most likely progression of burst locations. An MHD recreation is used to create synthetic spectra for various hypothesized burst locations. A framework is developed to score these synthetic spectra by their similarity to the type II frequency profile derived from Wind/WAVES data. Simulated areas with 4x enhanced entropy and elevated de Hoffmann Teller velocities are found to produce synthetic spectra similar to spacecraft observations. A geometrical analysis suggests that the eastern edge of the entropy derived shock around (-30, 0) degrees in heliocentric coordinates was emitting in the first hour of the event before ceasing emission, and that the western/southwestern edge of the shock centered around (6, -12) degrees was a dominant area of radio emission for the 2 hours of simulation data out to 20 solar radii., Comment: 29 pages, 17 figures, accepted to the Astrophysical Journal

We have performed the first comprehensive statistical analysis comparing flux rope (FR) structures of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) near the Sun and at 1 au, using Solar and Heliospheric Observatory and Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory measurements for the two full solar cycles 23 and 24. This study aims to investigate the physical connection of 102 magnetic FRs among solar source regions, CMEs in the extended corona, and magnetic clouds (MCs) near Earth. Our main results are as follows: (1) We confirmed that the hemispheric-helicity rule holds true for ∼87% of our 102 events. For the 13 events that do not follow this rule, the FR axis directions and helicity signs can be inferred from soft X-ray and extreme ultraviolet images and magnetogram data in the source regions (e.g., coronal arcade skews, Fe xii stalks, sigmoids, and magnetic tongues). (2) Around 25% of the 102 events have rotations >40° between the MC and CME-FR axial orientations. (3) For ∼56% of these rotational events, the FR rotations occurred within the COR2 field of view, which can be predicted from the CME tilts obtained from FR fitting models. In addition, we found that for 89% of the 19 stealth CMEs under study, we were able to use coronal neutral line locations and tilts to predict the FR helicity and its axial direction in the MCs. The above results should help improve the prediction of FR structures in situ. We discuss their implications on space weather forecasts.

Stealth coronal mass ejection (CMEs) are eruptions from the Sun that are not associated with appreciable low-coronal signatures. Because they often cannot be linked to a well-defined source region on the Sun, analysis of their initial magnetic configuration and eruption dynamics is particularly problematic. In this manuscript, we address this issue by undertaking the first attempt at predicting the magnetic fields of a stealth CME that erupted in 2020 June from the Earth-facing Sun. We estimate its source region with the aid of off-limb observations from a secondary viewpoint and photospheric magnetic field extrapolations. We then employ the Open Solar Physics Rapid Ensemble Information (OSPREI) modelling suite to evaluate its early evolution and forward-model its magnetic fields up to Parker Solar Probe, which detected the CME in situ at a heliocentric distance of 0.5 AU. We compare our hindcast prediction with in-situ measurements and a set of flux rope reconstructions, obtaining encouraging agreement on arrival time, spacecraft crossing location, and magnetic field profiles. This work represents a first step towards reliable understanding and forecasting of the magnetic configuration of stealth CMEs and slow, streamer-blowout events., Comment: 9 pages, 4 figures, 1 table, accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal

Despite studying Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) for several years, we are yet to have a complete understanding of their kinematics. In this regard, the change in kinematics of the CMEs, as they travel from the inner corona ($, Comment: 10 pages, 4 figures and 1 Table; Accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal

In this work we have, for the first time, applied the interpretation of multiple “ghost-fronts” to two synthetic coronal mass ejections (CMEs) propagating within a structured solar wind using the Heliospheric Upwind eXtrapolation time (HUXt) solar wind model. The two CMEs occurred on 2012 June 13–14 showing multiple fronts in images from Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory Heliospheric Imagers (HIs). The HUXt model is used to simulate the evolution of these CMEs across the inner heliosphere as they interacted with structured ambient solar wind. The simulations reveal that the evolution of CME shape is consistent with observations across a wide range of solar latitudes and that the manifestation of multiple “ghost-fronts” within HIs’ field of view is consistent with the positions of the nose and flank of the same CME structure. This provides further confirmation that the angular separation of these features provides information on the longitudinal extent of a CME. For one of the CMEs considered in this study, both simulations and observations show that a concave shape develops within the outer CME front. We conclude that this distortion results from a latitudinal structure in the ambient solar wind speed. The work emphasizes that the shape of the CME cannot be assumed to remain a coherent geometrical shape during its propagation in the heliosphere. Our analysis demonstrates that the presence of “ghost” CME fronts can be used to infer the distortion of CMEs by ambient solar wind structure as a function of both latitude and longitude. This information has the potential to improve the forecasting of space weather events at Earth.

We present the first PSP-observed CME that hits a second spacecraft before the end of the PSP encounter, providing an excellent opportunity to study short-term CME evolution. The CME was launched from the Sun on 10 October 2019 and was measured in situ at PSP on 13 October 2019 and at STEREO-A on 14 October 2019. The small, but not insignificant, radial (~0.15 au) and longitudinal (~8 deg) separation between PSP and STEREO-A at this time allows for observations of both short-term radial evolution as well as investigation of the global CME structure in longitude. Although initially a slow CME, magnetic field and plasma observations indicate that the CME drove a shock at STEREO-A and also exhibited an increasing speed profile through the CME (i.e. evidence for compression). We find that the presence of the shock and other compression signatures at 1 au are due to the CME having been overtaken and accelerated by a high speed solar wind stream (HSS). We estimate the minimum interaction time between the CME and the HSS to be about 2.5 days, indicating the interaction started well before the CME arrival at PSP and STEREO-A. Despite alterations of the CME by the HSS, we find that the CME magnetic field structure is similar between the vantage points, with overall the same flux rope classification and the same field distortions present. These observations are consistent with the fact that coherence in the magnetic structure is needed for steady and continued acceleration of the CME.

We take a broad look at the problem of identifying the magnetic solar causes of space weather. With the lackluster performance of extrapolations based upon magnetic field measurements in the photosphere, we identify a region in the near-UV (NUV) part of the spectrum as optimal for studying the development of magnetic free energy over active regions. Using data from SORCE, the Hubble Space Telescope, and SKYLAB, along with 1D computations of the NUV spectrum and numerical experiments based on the MURaM radiation–magnetohydrodynamic and HanleRT radiative transfer codes, we address multiple challenges. These challenges are best met through a combination of NUV lines of bright Mg ii, and lines of Fe ii and Fe i (mostly within the 4s–4p transition array) which form in the chromosphere up to 2 × 104 K. Both Hanle and Zeeman effects can in principle be used to derive vector magnetic fields. However, for any given spectral line the τ = 1 surfaces are generally geometrically corrugated owing to fine structure such as fibrils and spicules. By using multiple spectral lines spanning different optical depths, magnetic fields across nearly horizontal surfaces can be inferred in regions of low plasma β, from which free energies, magnetic topology, and other quantities can be derived. Based upon the recently reported successful sub-orbital space measurements of magnetic fields with the CLASP2 instrument, we argue that a modest space-borne telescope will be able to make significant advances in the attempts to predict solar eruptions. Difficulties associated with blended lines are shown to be minor in an Appendix.

We report that the number of > 500 MeV protons (Ng) inferred from sustained gamma ray emission (SGRE) from the Sun is significantly correlated with that of protons propagating into space (NSEP) as solar energetic particles (SEPs). Under the shock paradigm for SGRE, shocks driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) accelerate high-energy protons sending them toward the Sun to produce SGRE by interacting with the atmospheric particles. Particles also escape into the space away from the Sun to be detected as SEP events. Therefore, the significant NSEP vs. Ng correlation (correlation coefficient 0.77) is consistent with the common shock origin for the two proton populations. Furthermore, the underlying CMEs have properties akin to those involved in ground level enhancement (GLE) events indicating the presence of high-energy (up to GeV) particles required for SGRE. We show that the observed gamma-ray flux is an underestimate in limb events (central meridian distance > 60 degrees) because SGRE sources are partially occulted when the emission is spatially extended. With the assumption that the SEP spectrum at the shock nose is hard and that the 100 MeV particles are accelerated throughout the shock surface (half width in the range 60 to 120 degrees) we find that the latitudinal widths of SEP distributions are energy dependent with the smallest width at the highest energies. Not using the energy-dependent width results in an underestimate of NSEP in SGRE events occurring at relatively higher latitudes. Taking these two effects into account removes the apparent lack of NSEP - Ng correlation reported in previous studies., 17 pages, 4 figures, 1 table, to appear in the Astrophysical Journal

In this paper, we study the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) variations over the solar cycles 23 and 24, with measurements from the NASA's ACE/CRIS instrument and the ground-based neutron monitors (NMs). The results show that the maximum GCR intensities of heavy nuclei (nuclear charge 5-28, 50-500 MeV/nuc) at 1 AU during the solar minimum in 2019-2020 break their previous records, exceeding those recorded in 1997 and 2009 by ~25% and ~6%, respectively, and are at the highest levels since the space age. However, the peak NM count rates are lower than those in late 2009. The difference between GCR intensities and NM count rates still remains to be explained. Furthermore, we find that the GCR modulation environment during the solar minimum P24/25 are significantly different from previous solar minima in several aspects, including remarkably low sunspot numbers, extremely low inclination of the heliospheric current sheet, rare coronal mass ejections, weak interplanetary magnetic field and turbulence. These changes are conducive to reduce the level of solar modulation, providing a plausible explanation for the record-breaking GCR intensities in interplanetary space., Comment: Accepted by the Astrophysical Journal Supplement

A highly important aspect of solar activity is the coupling between eruptions and the surrounding coronal magnetic-field topology, which determines the trajectory and morphology of the event and can even lead to sympathetic eruptions from multiple sources. In this paper, we report on a numerical simulation of a new type of coupled eruption, in which a coronal jet initiated by a large pseudostreamer filament eruption triggers a streamer-blowout coronal mass ejection (CME) from the neighboring helmet streamer. Our configuration has a large opposite-polarity region positioned between the polar coronal hole and a small equatorial coronal hole, forming a pseudostreamer flanked by the coronal holes and the helmet streamer. Further out, the pseudostreamer stalk takes the shape of an extended arc in the heliosphere. We energize the system by applying photospheric shear along a section of the polarity inversion line within the pseudostreamer. The resulting sheared-arcade filament channel develops a flux rope that eventually erupts as a classic coronal-hole-type jet. However, the enhanced breakout reconnection above the channel as the jet is launched progresses into the neighboring helmet streamer, partially launching the jet along closed helmet streamer field lines and blowing out the streamer top to produce a classic bubble-like CME. This CME is strongly deflected from the jet's initial trajectory and contains a mixture of open and closed magnetic field lines. We present the detailed dynamics of this new type of coupled eruption, its underlying mechanisms and the implications of this work for the interpretation of in-situ and remote-sensing observations., ApJ, in press, 21 pages, 14 figures

Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) turbulence plays an important role for the fast energy release and wave structures related to coronal mass ejections (CMEs). The CME plasma has been observed to be strongly heated during solar eruptions, but the heating mechanism is not understood. In this paper, we focus on the hot, dense region at the bottom of the CME and the generation of coronal wave trains therein using a high-resolution 2.5D MHD simulation. Our results show that the interaction between the tearing current sheet and the turbulence, including the termination shocks (TSs) at the bottom of the CME, can make a significant contribution to heating the CME, and the heating rate in this region is found to be greater than the kinetic energy transfer rate. Also, the turbulence can be somewhat amplified by the TSs. The compression ratio of the TS under the CME can exceed 4 due to thermal conduction, but such a strong TS is hardly detectable in all Solar Dynamics Observatory/Atmospheric Imaging Assembly bands. And turbulence is an indispensable source for the periodic generation of coronal wave trains around the CME.

Recently, we developed the correlation-aided reconstruction (CORAR) method to reconstruct solar wind inhomogeneous structures, or transients, using dual-view white-light images. This method is proved to be useful for studying the morphological and dynamical properties of transients like blobs and coronal mass ejection (CME), but the accuracy of the reconstruction may be affected by the separation angle between the two spacecrafts. Based on the dual-view CME events from the Heliospheric Imager CME Join Catalogue in the Heliospheric Cataloguing, Analysis and Techniques Service (HELCATS) project, we study the quality of the reconstruction of CME using the CORAR method under different STEREO stereoscopic angles. We find that when the separation angle of the spacecraft is around 150°, most CME events can be well reconstructed. If the collinear effect is considered, the optimal separation angle should locate between 120° and 150°. Compared with the direction of the CME given in the Heliospheric Imager Geometrical Catalogue from HELCATS, the parameters of the CME obtained by the CORAR method are reasonable. However, the CORAR-obtained directions deviate toward the meridian plane in longitude, and toward the equatorial plane in latitude. An empirical formula is proposed to correct these deviations. This study provides the basis for the configuration of the spacecraft of our recently proposed Solar Ring mission concept.

Interest in stealth coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is increasing due to their relatively high occurrence rate and space weather impact. However, typical CME signatures such as extreme-ultraviolet dimmings and post-eruptive arcades are hard to identify and require extensive image processing techniques. These weak observational signatures mean that little is currently understood about the physics of these events. We present an extensive study of the magnetic field configuration in which the stealth CME of 3 March 2011 occurred. Three distinct episodes of flare ribbon formation are observed in the stealth CME source active region (AR). Two occurred prior to the eruption and suggest the occurrence of magnetic reconnection that builds the structure which will become eruptive. The third occurs in a time close to the eruption of a cavity that is observed in STEREO-B 171A data; this subsequently becomes part of the propagating CME observed in coronagraph data. We use both local (Cartesian) and global (spherical) models of the coronal magnetic field, which are complemented and verified by the observational analysis. We find evidence of a coronal null point, with field lines computed from its neighbourhood connecting the stealth CME source region to two ARs in the northern hemisphere. We conclude that reconnection at the null point aids the eruption of the stealth CME by removing field that acted to stabilise the pre-eruptive structure. This stealth CME, despite its weak signatures, has the main characteristics of other CMEs, and its eruption is driven by similar mechanisms., 15 pages, 12 figures, accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal

Cosmic-ray (CR) fluxes in the heliosphere are affected by the transient interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), causing so-called Forbush decreases (FDs), characterized by a decline of up to 25% in the neutron monitor counts at the Earth’s surface, lasting up to over a week. FDs are thought to be caused by the ICME shock wave or the magnetic flux rope embedded in the ICME inhibiting CR propagation through the ICME structure. FDs are typically modeled as enhanced diffusion within the ICME structure. However, so far modeling has not considered the access of the CRs from the interplanetary field lines into the isolated magnetic field lines of the ICME flux rope. We study the effect of an ICME flux rope on particle propagation by using full-orbit particle simulations, with the interface between the external interplanetary magnetic field and the isolated flux rope field lines modeled analytically. We find that the particles can access the flux rope through the x-point region, where the external magnetic fields cancel the azimuthal component of the rope field. The transport through this region is fast compared to diffusive radial propagation within the rope. As a result, the propagation of CRs into the flux rope can be modeled as diffusion into a cylinder. The density cavity within the rope is asymmetric, and limited to the magnetic field lines isolated from the external field. Thus, in order to evaluate the role of the flux rope in FDs, one must analyze the extent of the region where the flux rope magnetic field lines are separated from the interplanetary magnetic fields.

We report the ground-level detection of a Galactic Cosmic-Ray (GCR) flux enhancement lasting $\sim$ 17 hr and associated with the passage of a magnetic flux rope (MFR) over the Earth. The MFR was associated with a slow Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) caused by the eruption of a filament on 2016 October 9. Due to the quiet conditions during the eruption and the lack of interactions during the interplanetary CME transport to the Earth, the associated MFR preserved its configuration and reached the Earth with a strong magnetic field, low density, and a very low turbulence level compared to the local background, thus generating the ideal conditions to redirect and guide GCRs (in the $\sim$ 8 to 60 GV rigidity range) along the magnetic field of the MFR. An important negative $B_Z$ component inside the MFR caused large disturbances in the geomagnetic field and a relatively strong geomagnetic storm. However, these disturbances are not the main factors behind the GCR enhancement. Instead, we found that the major factor was the alignment between the MFR axis and the asymptotic direction of the observer.

The present work illustrates the potential of a new diagnostic technique that allows the measurement of the coronal magnetic field strength in solar active regions by utilizing a handful of bright Fe x and Fe xi lines commonly observed by the high-resolution Hinode/EUV Imaging Spectrometer (EIS). The importance of this new diagnostic technique is twofold: (1) the coronal magnetic field is probably the most important quantity in coronal physics, being at the heart of the processes regulating space weather and the properties of the solar corona, and (2) this technique can be applied to the existing EIS archive spanning from 2007 to 2020, including more than one full solar cycle and covering a large number of active regions, flares, and even coronal mass ejections. This new diagnostic technique opens the door to a whole new field of studies, complementing the magnetic field measurements from the upcoming DKIST and UCoMP ground-based observatories, and extending our reach to active regions observed on the disk and until now only sampled by radio measurements. In this work, we present a few examples of the application of this technique to EIS observations taken at different times during the EIS mission, and we discuss its current limitations and the steps to improve its accuracy. We also present a list of EIS observing sequences whose data include all of the lines necessary for the application of this diagnostic technique, to help the solar community navigate the immense set of EIS data and to find observations suitable for measuring the coronal magnetic field. (Less)

We report on the properties of halo coronal mass ejections (HCMEs) in solar cycles 23 and 24. We compare the HCMEs properties between the corresponding phases (rise, maximum, and declining) in cycles 23 and 24 in addition to comparing those between the whole cycles. Despite the significant decline in the sunspot number (SSN) in cycle 24, which dropped by 46% with respect to cycle 23, the abundance of HCMEs is similar in the two cycles. The HCME rate per SSN is 44% higher in cycle 24. In the maximum phase, cycle-24 rate normalized to SSN increased by 127% while the SSN dropped by 43%. The source longitudes of cycle-24 HCMEs are more uniformly distributed than those in cycle 23. We found that the average sky-plane speed in cycle 23 is ~16% higher than that in cycle 24. The size distributions of the associated flares between the two cycles and the corresponding phases are similar. The average speed at a central meridian distance (CMD) = 600 for cycle 23 is ~28% higher than that of cycle 24. We discuss the unusual bump in HCME activity in the declining phase of cycle 23 as due to exceptional active regions that produced many CMEs during October 2003 to October 2005. The differing HCME properties in the two cycles can be attributed to the anomalous expansion of cycle-24 CMEs. Considering the HCMEs in the rise, maximum and declining phases, we find that the maximum phase shows the highest contrast between the two cycles., 23 pages,5 figures,2 tables, accepted for publication in the Astrophysical journal(ApJ)

August 1 to November 15, 2016 period was characterized by the presence of Corotating Interaction Regions (CIRs) and a few weak Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) in the heliosphere. In this study we show recurrent energetic electron and proton enhancements observed near Earth (1 AU) and Mars (1.43-1.38 AU) during this period. The observations near Earth are using data from instruments aboard ACE, SOHO, and SDO whereas those near Mars are by the SEP, SWIA, and MAG instruments aboard MAVEN. During this period, the energetic electron fluxes observed near Earth and Mars showed prominent periodic enhancements over four solar rotations, with major periodicities of ~27 days and ~13 days. Periodic radar blackout/weakening of radar signals at Mars are observed by MARSIS/MEX, associated with these solar energetic electron enhancements. During this period, a weak CME and a High Speed Stream (HSS)-related interplanetary shock could interact with the CIR and enhance energetic proton fluxes near 1.43-1.38 AU, and as a result, ~27 day periodicity in proton fluxes is significantly diminished at 1.43-1.38 AU. These events also cause unexpected impact on the Martian topside ionosphere, such as topside ionospheric depletion and compression observed by LPW and NGIMS onboard MAVEN. These observations are unique not only because of the recurring nature of electron enhancements seen at two vantage points, but also because they reveal unexpected impact of the weak CME and interplanetary shock on the Martian ionosphere, which provide new insight into the impact of CME-HSS interactions on Martian plasma environment.

We establish the largest eruptive/confined flare database to date and analyze 322 flares of \emph{GOES} class M1.0 and larger that occurred during 2010$-$2019, i.e., almost spanning the entire solar cycle 24. We find that the total unsigned magnetic flux ($\Phi$$_{AR}$) of active regions (ARs) is a key parameter in governing the eruptive character of large flares, with the proportion of eruptive flares exhibiting a strong anti-correlation with $\Phi$$_{AR}$. This means that an AR containing a large magnetic flux has a lower probability for the large flares it produces to be associated with a coronal mass ejection (CME). This finding is supported by the high positive correlation we obtained between the critical decay index height and $\Phi$$_{AR}$, implying that ARs with a larger $\Phi$$_{AR}$ have a stronger magnetic confinement. Moreover, the confined flares originating from ARs larger than 1.0$\times$$10^{23}$ Mx have several characteristics in common: stable filament, slipping magnetic reconnection and strongly sheared post-flare loops. Our findings reveal new relations between the magnetic flux of ARs and the occurrence of CMEs in association with large flares. These relations obtained here provide quantitative criteria for forecasting CMEs and adverse space weather, and have also important implications for "superflares" on solar-type stars and stellar CMEs. The link of database is https://doi.org/10.12149/101030., Comment: 31 pages, 13 figures, accepted for publication in ApJ

Identifying the source of the material within coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and understanding CME onset mechanisms are fundamental issues in solar and space physics. Parameters relating to plasma composition, such as charge states and He abundance (\ahe), may be different for plasmas originating from differing processes or regions on the Sun. Thus, it is crucial to examine the relationship between in-situ measurements of CME composition and activity on the Sun. We study the CME that erupted on 2014 September 10, in association with an X1.6 flare, by analyzing AIA imaging and IRIS spectroscopic observations and its in-situ signatures detected by Wind and ACE. We find that during the slow expansion and intensity increase of the sigmoid, plasma temperatures of 9 MK, and higher, first appear at the footpoints of the sigmoid, associated with chromospheric brightening. Then the high-temperature region extends along the sigmoid. IRIS observations confirm that this extension is caused by transportation of hot plasma upflow. Our results show that chromospheric material can be heated to 9 MK, and above, by chromospheric evaporation at the sigmoid footpoints before flare onset. The heated chromospheric material can transport into the sigmoidal structure and supply mass to the CME. The aforementioned CME mass supply scenario provides a reasonable explanation for the detection of high charge states and elevated \ahe\ in the associated ICME. The observations also demonstrate that the quasi-steady evolution in the precursor phase is dominated by magnetic reconnection between the rising flux rope and the overlying magnetic field structure., 10 pages, 5 figures, accepted for publication in ApJL

The distribution of the longitudes of solar flares associated with the high-energy proton events called ground level events (GLEs) can be approximated by a Gaussian with a peak at ∼W60, with a full range from ∼E90 to ∼W150. The longitudes of flares associated with the top third (24 of 72) of GLEs in terms of their >430 MeV fluences (F 430) are primarily distributed over E20–W100 with a skew toward disk center. This 120° span in longitude is comparable to the latitudinal spans of powerful coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from limb flares. Only 5 of 24 strong GLEs are located within the W40–80 zone of good magnetic connection to Earth. GLEs with hard spectra, i.e., a spectral index SI30/200(= log(F 30/F 200)) W100) GLEs; (2) quasi-parallel shock acceleration for well-connected (W40–80) GLEs, and (3) proton acceleration/trapping at CME-driven bow shocks from central meridian (E20–W20) that strike the Earth.

We analyze the detection capability of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) for all currently operating coronagraphs in space. We define as CMEs events that propagate beyond 10 solar radii with morphologies broadly consistent with a magnetic flux-rope presence. We take advantage of multi-viewpoint observations over five month-long intervals, corresponding to special orbital configurations of the coronagraphs aboard the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) and Solar and Heliospheric Observatory missions. This allows us to sort out CMEs from other outward-propagating features (e.g., waves or outflows), and thus to identify the total number of unique CMEs ejected during those periods. We determine the CME visibility functions (VFs) of the STEREO COR2-A/B and LASCO C2/C3 coronagraphs directly as the ratio of observed to unique CMEs. The VFs range from 0.71 to 0.92 for a 95% confidence interval. By comparing detections between coronagraphs on the same spacecraft and from multiple spacecraft, we assess the influence of field of view (FOV), instrument performance, and projection effects on the CME detection ability without resorting to proxies, such as flares or radio bursts. We find that no major CMEs are missed by any of the coronagraphs, that a few slow halo-like events may be missed in synoptic cadence movies, and that narrow FOV coronagraphs have difficulties discriminating between CMEs and other ejections, leading to “false” detection rates. We conclude that CME detection can only be validated with multi-viewpoint imaging—two coronagraphs in quadrature offer adequate detection capability. Finally, we apply the VFs to observed CME rates resulting in upward corrections of 40%.

The radial expansion of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is known to occur from remote observations; from the variation of their properties with radial distance; and from local in situ plasma measurements showing a decreasing speed profile throughout the magnetic ejecta (ME). However, little is known on how local measurements compare to global measurements of expansion. Here, we present results from the analysis of 42 CMEs measured in the inner heliosphere by two spacecraft in radial conjunction. The magnetic field decrease with distance provides a measure of their global expansion. Near 1 au, the decrease in their bulk speed provides a measure of their local expansion. We find that these two measures have little relation with each other. We also investigate the relation between characteristics of CME expansion and CME properties. We find that the expansion depends on the initial magnetic field strength inside the ME, but not significantly on the magnetic field inside the ME measured near 1 au. This is an indirect evidence that CME expansion in the innermost heliosphere is driven by the high magnetic pressure inside the ME, while by the time the MEs reach 1 au, they are expanding due to the decrease in the solar wind dynamic pressure with distance. We also determine the evolution of the ME tangential and normal magnetic field components with distance, revealing significant deviations as compared to the expectations from force-free field configurations as well as some evidence that the front half of MEs expand at a faster rate than the back half., Comment: 14 pages, accepted to ApJ

During the second solar encounter phase of Parker Solar Probe (PSP), two small solar energetic particle (SEP) events were observed by the Integrated Science Investigation of the Sun, on 2019 April 2 and 4. At the time, PSP was approaching its second perihelion at a distance of ~24.8 million kilometers from the solar center, it was in near-radial alignment with STEREO-A and in quadrature with Earth. During the two SEP events multiple narrow ejections and a streamer-blowout coronal mass ejection (SBO-CME) originated from a solar region situated eastward of PSP. We analyze remote-sensing observations of the solar corona, and model the different eruptions and how PSP was connected magnetically to the solar atmosphere to determine the possible origin of the two SEP events. We find that the SEP event on April 2 was associated with the two homologous ejections from active region 12738 that included two surges and EUV waves occurring in quick succession. The EUV waves appear to merge and were fast enough to form a shock in the low corona. We show that the April 4 SEP event originates in the SBO-CME. Our modeling work suggests that formation of a weak shock is likely for this CME.

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) often show different features in different band-passes. By combining data in white-light (WL) and ultraviolet (UV) bands, we have applied different techniques to derive plasma temperatures, electron density, internal radial speed, etc, within a fast CME. They serve as extensive tests of the diagnostic capabilities, developed for the observations provided by future multi-channel coronagraphs (such as Solar Orbiter/Metis, ASO-S/LST, PROBA-3/ASPIICS). The involved data include WL images acquired by SOHO/LASCO coronagraphs, and intensities measured by SOHO/UVCS at 2.45 R$_{\odot}$ in the UV (H I Ly$\alpha$ and O VI 1032 {AA} lines) and WL channels. Data from the UVCS WL channel have been employed for the first time to measure the CME position angle with polarization-ratio technique. Plasma electron and effective temperatures of the CME core and void are estimated by combining UV and WL data. Due to the CME expansion and the possible existence of prominence segments, the transit of the CME core results in decreases of the electron temperature down to $10^{5}$ K. The front is observed as a significant dimming in the Ly$\alpha$ intensity, associated with a line broadening due to plasma heating and flows along the line-of-sight. The 2D distribution of plasma speeds within the CME body is reconstructed from LASCO images and employed to constrain the Doppler dimming of Ly$\alpha$ line, and simulate future CME observations by Metis and LST., Comment: Accepted by ApJ, 22 pages, 12 figures

Using in situ measurements and remote-sensing observations, we study two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that left the Sun on 2012 June 13–14 and impacted both Venus and Earth while the planets were in close radial alignment. The two CMEs generate multiple fronts in Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO)/Heliospheric Imager (HI) images, which can also be observed in the “J-map” as bifurcated features. We present the “ghost front” model to combine remote observations from STEREO/SECCHI and in situ observations from the Wind and Venus Express (VEX) spacecraft, and to derive the kinematics and propagation directions of the CMEs. By fitting the observations of multiple fronts to a kinematically evolving flux rope model and assuming the CMEs undergo deceleration through frictional drag with a steady-state solar wind, we confirm that the outer and inner fronts of the CMEs as detected in HI images are consistent with peaks in Thomson scattered light returned from the flank and nose of a single front for each CME. An interaction takes place between CME-1 and CME-2 that can be observed in the HI-1 field of view (FOV) before CME-1 encounters Venus. The multipoint in situ observations of the shock–CME interaction event serve as further evidence of the interaction between CMEs. The arrival times calculated from the ghost front model are within 2.5 hr of those observed at VEX and Wind. Our analysis indicates that ghost fronts could provide information about the longitudinally extended shape of the CME in the FOV of HI-1, which can be used to improve the forecast of interplanetary CME arrival time at Earth.

GJ 887 has been spotlighted for the apparently gentle space environment it provides to its recently discovered planets. In 27 days of optical monitoring by the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS), the star exhibited no detectable flares. Ultraviolet observations reveal a different story. Two high-contrast flares occurred in just 2.8 hr of far-ultraviolet monitoring by the Hubble Space Telescope. Solar scalings indicate these flares were X-class or larger events, generally associated with coronal mass ejections on the Sun. Hundreds of events of equal or greater energy likely occurred during the TESS monitoring, but produced optical contrasts too small to be detected. Strong yet optically undetectable ultraviolet flares like these could dominate the high energy emission of all M stars throughout their lives, impacting the photochemistry and erosion of atmospheres on orbiting planets.

Solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are closely coupled through magnetic reconnection. CMEs are usually accelerated impulsively within the low solar corona, synchronized with the impulsive flare energy release. We investigate the dynamic evolution of a fast CME and its associated X2.8 flare occurring on 2013 May 13. The CME experiences two distinct phases of enhanced acceleration, an impulsive one with a peak value of ~5 km s$^{-2}$ followed by an extended phase with accelerations up to 0.7 km s$^{-2}$. The two-phase CME dynamics is associated with a two-episode flare energy release. While the first episode is consistent with the "standard" eruption of a magnetic flux rope, the second episode of flare energy release is initiated by the reconnection of a large-scale loop in the aftermath of the eruption and produces stronger nonthermal emission up to $\gamma$-rays. In addition, this long-duration flare reveals clear signs of ongoing magnetic reconnection during the decay phase, evidenced by extended HXR bursts with energies up to 100--300 keV and intermittent downflows of reconnected loops for >4 hours. The observations reveal that the two-step flare reconnection substantially contributes to the two-phase CME acceleration, and the impulsive CME acceleration precedes the most intense flare energy release. The implications of this non-standard flare/CME observation are discussed., Comment: accepted for publication in ApJL

While the Sun is generally more eruptive during its maximum and declining phases, observational evidence shows certain cases of powerful solar eruptions during the quiet phase of the solar activity. Occurring in the weak Solar Cycle 14 just after its minimum, the extreme space weather event in 1903 October -- November was one of these cases. Here, we reconstruct the time series of geomagnetic activity based on contemporary observational records. With the mid-latitude magnetograms, the 1903 magnetic storm is thought to be caused by a fast coronal mass ejection (~1500 km/s) and is regarded as an intense event with an estimated minimum Dst' of ~-513 nT The reconstructed time series has been compared with the equatorward extension of auroral oval (~44.1{\deg} in invariant latitude) and the time series of telegraphic disturbances. This case study shows that potential threats posed by extreme space weather events exist even during weak solar cycles or near their minima., Comment: 20 pages, 5 figures, 1 table, and accepted for publication in the ApJL

We present a new method to reconstruct the three-dimensional electron density of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) based on a genetic algorithm, namely the genetic reconstruction method (GRM). GRM is first applied to model CMEs with different orientations and shapes. A set of analytic model CMEs from Gibson and Low is employed to produce synthetic CME images for GRM reconstruction. Model CMEs with longitudes of 0, 45, 90, 135, 180 degrees and latitudes of 0, 15, 30, 45 degrees are used to test the performance of GRM. The model CMEs are obscured with a simulated occulter of a coronagraph to determine the influence of CME brightness incompleteness. We add random noise to some synthetic CME images to test the performance of GRM. The CME reconstructions are carried out using synthetic data from Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) A and B with a separation angle of 90 degrees and from STEREO A and the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) with a separation angle of 73 degrees. The Pearson correlation coefficient and the mean relative absolute deviation are calculated to analyze the similarities in brightness and electron density between the model and reconstructed CMEs. Comparisons based on the similarity analysis under various conditions stated above give us valuable insights into the advantages and limitations of GRM reconstruction. The method is then applied to real coronagraph data from STEREO A and B, and SOHO on 2013 September 30., Comment: 27 pages, 17 figures, 1 table. Published on ApJ

We present a statistical analysis of 43 coronal dimming events, associated with Earth-directed CMEs that occurred during the period of quasi-quadrature of the SDO and STEREO satellites. We studied coronal dimmings that were observed above the limb by STEREO/EUVI and compared their properties with the mass and speed of the associated CMEs. The unique position of satellites allowed us to compare our findings with the results from Dissauer et al. (2018b, 2019), who studied the same events observed against the solar disk by SDO/AIA. Such statistics is done for the first time and confirms the relation of coronal dimmings and CME parameters for the off-limb viewpoint. The observations of dimming regions from different lines-of-sight reveal a similar decrease in the total EUV intensity ($c=0.60\pm0.14$). We find that the (projected) dimming areas are typically larger for off-limb observations (mean value of $1.24\pm1.23\times10^{11}$ km$^2$ against $3.51\pm0.71\times10^{10}$ km$^2$ for on-disk), with a correlation of $c=0.63\pm0.10$. This systematic difference can be explained by the (weaker) contributions to the dimming regions higher up in the corona, that cannot be detected in the on-disk observations. The off-limb dimming areas and brightnesses show very strong correlations with the CME mass ($c=0.82\pm0.06$ and $c=0.75\pm0.08$), whereas the dimming area and brightness change rate correlate with the CME speed ($c\sim0.6$). Our findings suggest that coronal dimmings have the potential to provide early estimates of mass and speed of Earth-directed CMEs, relevant for space weather forecasts, for satellite locations both at L1 and L5., Comment: 26 pages, 18 figures, accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal

We report a two-step dropout event of radiation belt electron phase space density (PSD) induced by a typical magnetic cloud (MC) that drove an intense geomagnetic storm. The first and second steps of PSD dropout occurred, respectively, in the initial and main phases of the storm with a short-time partial recovery between the two dropouts. In this event, the initial phase after the sudden commencement lasted for near 21 hr, which gives an ideal opportunity to investigate the nature of the radiation belt electron dropout by isolating the main phase from any losses occurring during the initial phase. Detailed analysis shows that the first step of the dropout in the initial phase is likely associated with the magnetopause shadowing effect in combination with ultra-low frequency wave-induced outward transport caused by sustaining enhanced dynamic pressure activity before the MC. Comparably, the prolonged strong southward interplanetary magnetic field inside the MC that resulted in the storm main phase is supposed to play an important role in the second step of significant electron losses to the interplanetary space. Additionally, the partial recovery of electron PSD between the two steps of the dropout is possibly due to the acceleration processes via wave-particle interactions with whistler-mode chorus waves. Our study demonstrated that persistently enhanced solar wind dynamic pressure, which is frequently observed inside interplanetary coronal mass ejections and corotating interaction regions, can play an important role in modulating the radiation belt electron dynamics before the storm main phase driven by these solar wind disturbances.

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) on stars other than the Sun have proven very difficult to detect. One promising pathway lies in the detection of type II radio bursts. Their appearance and distinctive properties are associated with the development of an outward propagating CME-driven shock. However, dedicated radio searches have not been able to identify these transient features in other stars. Large Alfv\'en speeds and the magnetic suppression of CMEs in active stars have been proposed to render stellar eruptions "radio-quiet". Employing 3D magnetohydrodynamic simulations, we study here the distribution of the coronal Alfv\'en speed, focusing on two cases representative of a young Sun-like star and a mid-activity M-dwarf (Proxima Centauri). These results are compared with a standard solar simulation and used to characterize the shock-prone regions in the stellar corona and wind. Furthermore, using a flux-rope eruption model, we drive realistic CME events within our M-dwarf simulation. We consider eruptions with different energies to probe the regimes of weak and partial CME magnetic confinement. While these CMEs are able to generate shocks in the corona, those are pushed much farther out compared to their solar counterparts. This drastically reduces the resulting type II radio burst frequencies down to the ionospheric cutoff, which impedes their detection with ground-based instrumentation., Comment: 13 Pages, 6 Figures, 2 Tables. Accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal

We investigate the initiation and early evolution of 12 solar eruptions, including six active region hot channel and six quiescent filament eruptions, which were well observed by the \textsl{Solar Dynamics Observatory}, as well as by the \textsl{Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory} for the latter. The sample includes one failed eruption and 11 coronal mass ejections, with velocities ranging from 493 to 2140~km~s$^{-1}$. A detailed analysis of the eruption kinematics yields the following main results. (1) The early evolution of all events consists of a slow-rise phase followed by a main-acceleration phase, the height-time profiles of which differ markedly and can be best fit, respectively, by a linear and an exponential function. This indicates that different physical processes dominate in these phases, which is at variance with models that involve a single process. (2) The kinematic evolution of the eruptions tends to be synchronized with the flare light curve in both phases. The synchronization is often but not always close. A delayed onset of the impulsive flare phase is found in the majority of the filament eruptions (5 out of 6). This delay, and its trend to be larger for slower eruptions, favor ideal MHD instability models. (3) The average decay index at the onset heights of the main acceleration is close to the threshold of the torus instability for both groups of events (although based on a tentative coronal field model for the hot channels), suggesting that this instability initiates and possibly drives the main acceleration., Accepted for publication in ApJ; 24 pages, 12 figures, 3 tables

It is well established that magnetic free energy associated with electric currents powers solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from solar active regions (ARs). However, the conditions that determine whether an AR will produce an eruption are not well understood. Previous work suggests that the degree to which the driving electric currents, or the sum of all currents within a single magnetic polarity, are neutralized may serve as a good proxy for assessing the ability of ARs to produce eruptions. Here, we investigate the relationship between current neutralization and flare/CME production using a sample of 15 flare-active and 15 flare-quiet ARs. All flare-quiet and 4 flare-active ARs are also CME-quiet. We additionally test the relation of current neutralization to the degree of shear along polarity inversion lines (PILs) in an AR. We find that flare-productive ARs are more likely to exhibit non-neutralized currents, specifically those that also produce a CME. We find that flare/CME-active ARs also exhibit higher degrees of PIL shear than flare/CME-quiet ARs. We additionally observe that currents become more neutralized during magnetic flux emergence in flare-quiet ARs. Our investigation suggests that current neutralization in ARs is indicative of their eruptive potential., Comment: 10 pages, 8 figures, Accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal, A video description can be seen here https://youtu.be/kdwzOElqmqc

The ambient solar wind flows and fields influence the complex propagation dynamics of coronal mass ejections in the interplanetary medium and play an essential role in shaping Earth's space weather environment. A critical scientific goal in the space weather research and prediction community is to develop, implement and optimize numerical models for specifying the large-scale properties of solar wind conditions at the inner boundary of the heliospheric model domain. Here we present an adaptive prediction system that fuses information from in situ measurements of the solar wind into numerical models to better match the global solar wind model solutions near the Sun with prevailing physical conditions in the vicinity of Earth. In this way, we attempt to advance the predictive capabilities of well-established solar wind models for specifying solar wind speed, including the Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model. In particular, we use the Heliospheric Upwind eXtrapolation (HUX) model for mapping the solar wind solutions from the near-Sun environment to the vicinity of Earth. In addition, we present the newly developed Tunable HUX (THUX) model which solves the viscous form of the underlying Burgers equation. We perform a statistical analysis of the resulting solar wind predictions for the time 2006-2015. The proposed prediction scheme improves all the investigated coronal/heliospheric model combinations and produces better estimates of the solar wind state at Earth than our reference baseline model. We discuss why this is the case, and conclude that our findings have important implications for future practice in applied space weather research and prediction.

For a better understanding of magnetic field in the solar corona and dynamic activities such as flares and coronal mass ejections, it is crucial to measure the time-evolving coronal field and accurately estimate the magnetic energy. Recently, a new modeling technique called the data-driven coronal field model, in which the time evolution of magnetic field is driven by a sequence of photospheric magnetic and velocity field maps, has been developed and revealed the dynamics of flare-productive active regions. Here we report on the first qualitative and quantitative assessment of different data-driven models using a magnetic flux emergence simulation as a ground-truth (GT) data set. We compare the GT field with those reconstructed from the GT photospheric field by four data-driven algorithms. It is found that, at least, the flux rope structure is reproduced in all coronal field models. Quantitatively, however, the results show a certain degree of model dependence. In most cases, the magnetic energies and relative magnetic helicity are comparable to or at most twice of the GT values. The reproduced flux ropes have a sigmoidal shape (consistent with GT) of various sizes, a vertically-standing magnetic torus, or a packed structure. The observed discrepancies can be attributed to the highly non-force-free input photospheric field, from which the coronal field is reconstructed, and to the modeling constraints such as the treatment of background atmosphere, the bottom boundary setting, and the spatial resolution., Comment: 17 pages, 11 figures, 1 table, accepted for publication in ApJ. The ground-truth dataset (photospheric slices of the flux emergence simulation) is available online at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3591984

We analyze the relativistic proton emission from the Sun during the eruptive event on 2017 September 10, which\ud caused a ground-level enhancement (GLE 72) registered by the worldwide network of neutron monitors. Using the\ud neutron monitor data and interplanetary transport modeling both along and across interplanetary magnetic field\ud (IMF) lines, we deduce parameters of the proton injection into the interplanetary medium. The inferred injection\ud profile of the interplanetary protons is compared with the profile of the >100 MeV γ-ray emission observed by the\ud Fermi Large Area Telescope, attributed to pion production from the interaction of >300 MeV protons at the Sun.\ud GLE 72 started with a prompt component that arrived along the IMF lines. This was followed by a more prolonged\ud enhancement caused by protons arriving at the Earth across the IMF lines from the southwest. The interplanetary\ud proton event is modeled using two sources—one source at the root of the Earth-connected IMF line and another\ud source situated near the solar western limb. The maximum phase of the second injection of interplanetary protons\ud coincides with the maximum phase of the prolonged >100 MeV γ-ray emission that originated from a small area at\ud the solar western limb, below the current sheet trailing the associated coronal mass ejection (CME). A possible\ud common source of interacting protons and interplanetary protons is discussed in terms of proton acceleration at the\ud CME bow shock versus coronal (re-)acceleration in the wake of the CME.