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Restless silicic calderas present major geological hazards, and yet many also host significant untapped geothermal resources. In East Africa, this poses a major challenge, although the calderas are largely unmonitored their geothermal resources could provide substantial economic benefits to the region. Understanding what causes unrest at these volcanoes is vital for weighing up the opportunities against the potential risks. Here we bring together new field and remote sensing observations to evaluate causes of ground deformation at Aluto, a restless silicic volcano located in the Main Ethiopian Rift (MER). Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data reveal the temporal and spatial characteristics of a ground deformation episode that took place between 2008 and 2010. Deformation time series reveal pulses of accelerating uplift that transition to gradual long-term subsidence, and analytical models support inflation source depths of ∼5 km. Gases escaping along the major fault zone of Aluto show high CO2 flux, and a clear magmatic carbon signature (CO2-δ13C of −4.2‰ to −4.5‰). This provides compelling evidence that the magmatic and hydrothermal reservoirs of the complex are physically connected. We suggest that a coupled magmatic-hydrothermal system can explain the uplift-subsidence signals. We hypothesize that magmatic fluid injection and/or intrusion in the cap of the magmatic reservoir drives edifice-wide inflation while subsequent deflation is related to magmatic degassing and depressurization of the hydrothermal system. These new constraints on the plumbing of Aluto yield important insights into the behavior of rift volcanic systems and will be crucial for interpreting future patterns of unrest.

The increasing capability of seismic, geodetic, and hydrothermal observation networks allows recognition of volcanic unrest that could previously have gone undetected, creating an imperative to diagnose and interpret unrest episodes. A November 2014 earthquake swarm near Lassen Volcanic National Park, California, which included the largest earthquake in the area in more than 60 years, was accompanied by a rarely observed outburst of hydrothermal fluids. Although the earthquake swarm likely reflects upward migration of endogenous H2O-CO2 fluids in the source region, there is no evidence that such fluids emerged at the surface. Instead, shaking from the modest sized (moment magnitude 3.85) but proximal earthquake caused near-vent permeability increases that triggered increased outflow of hydrothermal fluids already present and equilibrated in a local hydrothermal aquifer. Long-term, multiparametric monitoring at Lassen and other well-instrumented volcanoes enhances interpretation of unrest and can provide a basis for detailed physical modeling.

[1] Volcanic gases are sensitive indicators of subduction processes and are used to evaluate the contributions from various source components. Nitrogen isotope systematics in particular are a valuable tool for determining the fate of organic matter in subduction zones. We present the first arc-wide survey of trace gas chemistry and nitrogen isotope variations from the Sangihe Arc of northeastern Indonesia, where the narrow Molucca Sea Plate subducts beneath the Sangihe Arc to the west and the Halmahera Arc to the east. Relative volatile abundances and N isotopic compositions of volcanic gases show systematic along-arc variations. Northern volcanoes exhibit low N2/He ratios and δ15N values (northern minima 542 and −7.3‰, respectively), indicating minimal addition of sediment to source magmas. In contrast, the southern part of the arc is characterized by high N2/He and δ15N values (southern maxima 2000 and +2.1‰, respectively), consistent with greater sediment contributions in the formation of the magmas. These observations can be correlated with the complex tectonic setting of the region whereby oblique collision between the two arcs has caused sediment obduction, decoupling the accretionary wedges from the underlying oceanic plate. In the north, where the collision is more developed, the lack of trace gas and N isotope evidence of sedimentary inputs to the source of arc magmas is consistent with enhanced sediment decoupling. In the south, where collision and accretionary wedge decoupling are not yet taking place, sediments would presumably subduct normally, in agreement with higher N2/He and δ15N values. Awu volcano, at the northernmost extension of the arc, is anomalous and exhibits high N2/He (2852) coupled with low δ15N (−3.3‰). These values are suggestive of increased slab contribution in the northernmost arc, possibly by slab melting as collision stalls the progress of the subducting plate and allows it to become superheated.