1. Strong Dependence of U.S. Summertime Air Quality on the Decadal Variability of Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures
- Author
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Shen, Lu, Mickley, Loretta J., Leibensperger, Eric M., and Li, Mingwei
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,Ozone ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Pollution: Urban, Regional and Global ,Megacities and Urban Environment ,Atmospheric Composition and Structure ,PM2.5 ,010501 environmental sciences ,Biogeosciences ,Atmospheric sciences ,01 natural sciences ,Marine pollution ,Decadal Ocean Variability ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Climate Dynamics ,Oceans ,Atlantic multidecadal oscillation ,Research Letter ,Global Change ,Air quality index ,AMO ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Climate Change and Variability ,Climatology ,Climate Variability ,Marine Pollution ,Climate and Interannual Variability ,Global warming ,Global change ,Aerosols and Particles ,multidecadal variability ,Research Letters ,Oceanography: General ,ozone ,Pollution: Urban and Regional ,Geophysics ,chemistry ,Atmospheric Processes ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Environmental science ,Troposphere: Composition and Chemistry ,Climate model ,Natural Hazards ,Oceanography: Physical - Abstract
We find that summertime air quality in the eastern U.S. displays strong dependence on North Atlantic sea surface temperatures, resulting from large‐scale ocean‐atmosphere interactions. Using observations, reanalysis data sets, and climate model simulations, we further identify a multidecadal variability in surface air quality driven by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). In one‐half cycle (~35 years) of the AMO from cold to warm phase, summertime maximum daily 8 h ozone concentrations increase by 1–4 ppbv and PM2.5 concentrations increase by 0.3–1.0 μg m−3 over much of the east. These air quality changes are related to warmer, drier, and more stagnant weather in the AMO warm phase, together with anomalous circulation patterns at the surface and aloft. If the AMO shifts to the cold phase in future years, it could partly offset the climate penalty on U.S. air quality brought by global warming, an effect which should be considered in long‐term air quality planning., Key Points This study quantifies for the first time the multidecadal influence of sea surface temperature on variability in U.S. air qualitySummertime air quality in the eastern United States degrades in the warm phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)An AMO shift to the cold phase in future years could partly offset the climate penalty on U.S. air quality brought by global warming
- Published
- 2017