1. Campesinos o Empresarios? Economic Perceptions and Government Support in Latin America.
- Author
-
Singer, Matthew M. and Carlin, Ryan E.
- Subjects
- *
GOVERNMENT aid , *DEMOCRACY , *POVERTY , *FINANCIAL markets ,DEVELOPING countries - Abstract
Very little is known about whether voters' perceptions of the economy affect government support in the same way in developing countries as they do in developed ones. Indeed, weak party systems and a lack of democratic experience may work against prospective voting, high levels of poverty may force voters to emphasize pocketbook concerns at the expense of the national economy, and strong presidents and a lack of voter experience may reduce the role of the political and economic context in conditioning allocations of political credit and blame. Yet our two-stage hierarchical analysis of survey data from 18 Latin American countries over the 1995-2009 period shows that voters evaluate the incumbent prospectively at the beginning of the incumbent's term and retrospectively at the end, emphasize sociotropic concerns more than egotropic ones except in the poorest countries, weight the economy more during periods of volatility than stability, and attribute responsibility for the economy according to the concentration of political control in the executive's party. Thus voters in new democracies have the necessary conditions to hold politicians accountable for economic outcomes in the same way that voters in more established democracies do. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2011