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Purpose: Patients with cancer are at increased risk of severe COVID-19 disease, but have heterogeneous presentations and outcomes. Decision-making tools for hospital admission, severity prediction, and increased monitoring for early intervention are critical. We sought to identify features of COVID-19 disease in patients with cancer predicting severe disease and build a decision support online tool, COVID-19 Risk in Oncology Evaluation Tool (CORONET)., Methods: Patients with active cancer (stage I-IV) and laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 disease presenting to hospitals worldwide were included. Discharge (within 24 hours), admission (≥ 24 hours inpatient), oxygen (O 2 ) requirement, and death were combined in a 0-3 point severity scale. Association of features with outcomes were investigated using Lasso regression and Random Forest combined with Shapley Additive Explanations. The CORONET model was then examined in the entire cohort to build an online CORONET decision support tool. Admission and severe disease thresholds were established through pragmatically defined cost functions. Finally, the CORONET model was validated on an external cohort., Results: The model development data set comprised 920 patients, with median age 70 (range 5-99) years, 56% males, 44% females, and 81% solid versus 19% hematologic cancers. In derivation, Random Forest demonstrated superior performance over Lasso with lower mean squared error (0.801 v 0.807) and was selected for development. During validation (n = 282 patients), the performance of CORONET varied depending on the country cohort. CORONET cutoffs for admission and mortality of 1.0 and 2.3 were established. The CORONET decision support tool recommended admission for 95% of patients eventually requiring oxygen and 97% of those who died (94% and 98% in validation, respectively). The specificity for mortality prediction was 92% and 83% in derivation and validation, respectively. Shapley Additive Explanations revealed that National Early Warning Score 2, C-reactive protein, and albumin were the most important features contributing to COVID-19 severity prediction in patients with cancer at time of hospital presentation., Conclusion: CORONET, a decision support tool validated in health care systems worldwide, can aid admission decisions and predict COVID-19 severity in patients with cancer., Competing Interests: Rebecca J. LeeSpeakers' Bureau: AstraZenecaResearch Funding: Bristol Myers Squibb (Inst), AstraZeneca/MedImmune (Inst) Rohan ShottonHonoraria: ServierTravel, Accommodations, Expenses: Servier Laurence AlbigesConsulting or Advisory Role: Bristol Myers Squibb (Inst), Ipsen (Inst), Roche (Inst), Novartis (Inst), Pfizer (Inst), Astellas Pharma (Inst), Merck (Inst), MSD (Inst), AstraZeneca (Inst), Janssen (Inst), Eisai (Inst), Corvus Pharmaceuticals (Inst), Bellerophon Therapeutics (Inst)Research Funding: Bristol Myers Squibb (Inst)Travel, Accommodations, Expenses: BMS, MSD Dirk ArnoldEmployment: Asklepios KlinikenHonoraria: Bayer, Merck Serono, Roche/Genentech, Servier, Bristol Myers Squibb, Merck Sharp and Dome, AstraZeneca, Amgen, Boston Scientific, Pierre Fabre, IpsenConsulting or Advisory Role: Bayer, Merck Serono, Biocompatibles, Terumo, Bristol Myers Squibb, MSD Oncology, AstraZenecaResearch Funding: Roche/Genentech (Inst), Sanofi (Inst), Oncolytics (Inst)Travel, Accommodations, Expenses: Boston ScientificUncompensated Relationships: ESMO Council, ESMO Journals (Ann Oncol, ESMO Open), German Society for Hematology and Medical Oncology, German Cancer Society, European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) Kathryn BanfillStock and Other Ownership Interests: Roche (I)Honoraria: AstraZeneca Mark BaxterHonoraria: IpsenTravel, Accommodations, Expenses: Ipsen Fabrice BarlesiHonoraria: Genentech/Roche, Pfizer, Pierre Fabre, AstraZeneca, Bristol Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Lilly, Novartis, Merck Serono, MSD Oncology, Takeda, Bayer, Seattle Genetics, Mirati TherapeuticsConsulting or Advisory Role: Roche/Genentech, Pfizer, Novartis, Pierre Fabre, Bristol Myers Squibb, AstraZeneca/MedImmune, Boehringer Ingelheim, Lilly, Merck Serono, MSD Oncology, Takeda, Bayer, Mirati TherapeuticsResearch Funding: Roche/Genentech (Inst), AstraZeneca/MedImmune (Inst), Bristol Myers Squibb (Inst), Pierre Fabre (Inst), AbbVie (Inst), Amgen (Inst), Bayer (Inst), Boehringer Ingelheim (Inst), Eisai (Inst), Lilly (Inst), Ipsen (Inst), Innate Pharma (Inst), Novartis (Inst), Merck Serono (Inst), MSD Oncology (Inst), Pfizer (Inst), Sanofi/Aventis (Inst), Takeda (Inst)Travel, Accommodations, Expenses: Roche/Genentech, Bristol Myers Squibb, AstraZeneca/MedImmune, MSD Oncology Benjamin BesseResearch Funding: AstraZeneca (Inst), Pfizer (Inst), Lilly (Inst), Onxeo (Inst), Inivata (Inst), AbbVie (Inst), Amgen (Inst), Blueprint Medicines (Inst), Celgene (Inst), GlaxoSmithKline (Inst), Sanofi (Inst), Takeda (Inst), Cristal Therapeutics (Inst), Daiichi Sankyo (Inst), Janssen Oncology (Inst), OSE Immunotherapeutics (Inst), BeiGene (Inst), Boehringer Ingelheim (Inst), Roche/Genentech (Inst), Tolero Pharmaceuticals (Inst), 4D Pharma (Inst), Aptitude Health (Inst), Cergentis (Inst), Chugai Pharma (Inst), Genzyme (Inst), Ipsen (Inst), Turning Point Therapeutics (Inst), Eisai (Inst) Antonio CallesHonoraria: AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Pfizer, Roche/Genentech, Lilly, Novartis, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Bristol Myers Squibb, Amgen, Bayer, Takeda, Sanofi/RegeneronConsulting or Advisory Role: Boehringer Ingelheim, Roche/Genentech, Lilly, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Pfizer, Bristol Myers Squibb, Takeda, Igen Biotech, Sanofi/RegeneronResearch Funding: MSD Oncology Ellen CopsonHonoraria: Roche, Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Lilly, NovartisConsulting or Advisory Role: Lilly, NanoString Technologies, Pfizer, Sanofi/Aventis, RocheSpeakers' Bureau: Roche, Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Sanofi/AventisResearch Funding: SECA, AstraZeneca (Inst)Travel, Accommodations, Expenses: Roche, AstraZeneca Adina E. CroitoruConsulting or Advisory Role: Ipsen, Pfizer, MSD OncologyResearch Funding: Bristol Myers Squibb (Inst), Amgen (Inst), Astellas Pharma (Inst), Exelixis (Inst), Merck (Inst), Merck KGaA (Inst)Travel, Accommodations, Expenses: Merck, ServierUncompensated Relationships: Lilly, Roche, Bayer, Pfizer, Sanofi Leonie EastlakeTravel, Accommodations, Expenses: Servier Paul FitzpatrickStock and Other Ownership Interests: AstraZeneca/MedImmuneResearch Funding: AstraZeneca/MedImmune (Inst)Other Relationship: Pistoia Alliance, EHDEN IMI project Henrik FrederiksenResearch Funding: AbbVie (Inst), Gilead Sciences (Inst), Sanofi (Inst) Hannah FrostResearch Funding: AstraZeneca (Inst) Sarju GanatraExpert Testimony: Haymarket Medical EducationTravel, Accommodations, Expenses: Haymarket Medical Education Andreas GlenthøjHonoraria: Novo NordiskConsulting or Advisory Role: Novartis, Celgene/Bristol Myers Squibb, Bluebird Bio, Sanofi, Novo Nordisk, AgiosResearch Funding: Sanofi, Saniona A/STravel, Accommodations, Expenses: Agios Fabio GomesHonoraria: AstraZeneca, Merck Serono, Roche Donna M. GrahamConsulting or Advisory Role: Clinigen GroupSpeakers' Bureau: Cancer Drug Development ForumResearch Funding: Pfizer (Inst) Kevin HarringtonHonoraria: Arch Oncology (Inst), AstraZeneca (Inst), BMS (Inst), Boehringer Ingelheim (Inst), Merck Serono (Inst), MSD (Inst), Oncolys BioPharma (Inst), Pfizer (Inst), Replimune (Inst), Inzen Therapeutics (Inst), Codiak Biosciences (Inst)Consulting or Advisory Role: Arch Oncology (Inst), AstraZeneca (Inst), BMS (Inst), Boehringer Ingelheim (Inst), Merck Serono (Inst), MSD (Inst), Oncolys BioPharma (Inst), Replimune (Inst), Inzen Therapeutics (Inst)Speakers' Bureau: BMS (Inst), Merck Serono (Inst), MSD (Inst)Research Funding: AstraZeneca (Inst), Merck Sharp & Dohme (Inst), Replimune (Inst), Boehringer Ingelheim (Inst) Lasse H. JakobsenHonoraria: Takeda, Roche Khurum KhanHonoraria: ServierConsulting or Advisory Role: Bayer Health Christophe MassardConsulting or Advisory Role: Amgen, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Bayer, BeiGene, BMS, Celgene, Debiopharm Group, Genentech/Roche, Ipsen, Janssen, Lilly, MSD, Novartis, Pfizer, Sanofi, ORION, Taiho Pharmaceutical, Blueprint Medicines, Innate Pharma, PharmaMar, Faron Pharmaceuticals Olivier MichielinConsulting or Advisory Role: Bristol Myers Squibb, MSD, Novartis, Roche, Amgen, Pierre FabreResearch Funding: MSD, Bristol Myers Squibb, NeraCare GmbHExpert Testimony: Bristol Myers SquibbTravel, Accommodations, Expenses: Bristol Myers Squibb, MSD Anne C. MosenthalHonoraria: Springer Nature Berta ObispoHonoraria: Sanofi, Lilly, Angelini, LEO Pharma, RoviConsulting or Advisory Role: Rovi George PentheroudakisHonoraria: Roche, Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, MSD, MerckConsulting or Advisory Role: Roche, AmgenResearch Funding: Roche (Inst), Amgen (Inst), Bristol Myers Squibb (Inst), Merck (Inst), AstraZeneca (Inst), Novartis (Inst), Pfizer (Inst)Travel, Accommodations, Expenses: Sanofi, MSD, Roche, Amgen, BMS Solange PetersHonoraria: Roche (Inst), Bristol Myers Squibb (Inst), Novartis (Inst), Pfizer (Inst), MSD (Inst), AstraZeneca (Inst), Takeda (Inst), Illumina (Inst), Medscape (Inst), Prime Oncology (Inst), RMEI Medical Education (Inst), Research to Practice (Inst), PER (Inst), Imedex (Inst), ecancer (Inst)Consulting or Advisory Role: Roche/Genentech (Inst), Novartis (Inst), Bristol Myers Squibb (Inst), Pfizer (Inst), MSD (Inst), Amgen (Inst), AstraZeneca (Inst), Janssen (Inst), Regeneron (Inst), Merck Serono (Inst), Boehringer Ingelheim (Inst), Takeda (Inst), Lilly (Inst), AbbVie (Inst), Bayer (Inst), Biocartis (Inst), Debiopharm Group (Inst), Illumina (Inst), PharmaMar (Inst), Sanofi (Inst), Seattle Genetics (Inst), Blueprint Medicines (Inst), Daiichi Sankyo (Inst), Incyte (Inst), Bioinvent (Inst), Clovis Oncology (Inst), Vaccibody (Inst), Phosplatin Therapeutics (Inst), Foundation Medicine (Inst)Research Funding: Roche (Inst), BMS (Inst), MSD (Inst), Amgen (Inst), Lilly (Inst), AstraZeneca (Inst), Pfizer (Inst), Illumina (Inst), Merck Serono (Inst), Novartis (Inst), Biodesix (Inst), Boehringer Ingelheim (Inst), Iovance Biotherapeutics (Inst), Phosplatin Therapeutics (Inst)Travel, Accommodations, Expenses: Roche, Bristol Myers Squibb, MSD, Sanofi, IncyteUncompensated Relationships: Journal of Thoracic Oncology, ESMO, European Thoracic Oncology Platform (ETOP), Annals of Oncology (I) Kimberly Rieger-ChristResearch Funding: Veracyte, Ravel, Grail, Exact Sciences, Nucleix Timothy RobinsonTravel, Accommodations, Expenses: Daiichi Sankyo/Lilly Emanuela RomanoConsulting or Advisory Role: AstraZeneca/MedImmune (Inst), Bristol Myers Squibb (Inst), Roche/Genentech (Inst)Research Funding: Bristol Myers Squibb, AmgenTravel, Accommodations, Expenses: AstraZeneca/MedImmune, Bristol Myers Squibb, Roche Michael RoweHonoraria: MSDSpeakers' Bureau: ServierTravel, Accommodations, Expenses: Astellas Pharma Anne ThomasConsulting or Advisory Role: BMSSpeakers' Bureau: Bristol Myers SquibbExpert Testimony: BMS Lance TurtleSpeakers' Bureau: Eisai (Inst) David ViñalSpeakers' Bureau: ServierTravel, Accommodations, Expenses: Merck Caroline WilsonConsulting or Advisory Role: Roche, Pfizer Carlo PalmieriHonoraria: PfizerConsulting or Advisory Role: Pfizer, Daiichi-Sankyo, Lilly, Novartis, Seattle GeneticsResearch Funding: Pfizer, Daiichi-SankyoTravel, Accommodations, Expenses: Roche Donal LandersEmployment: AstraZeneca, AthenexLeadership: DeLondra OncologyStock and Other Ownership Interests: DeLondra OncologyResearch Funding: AstraZeneca (Inst) Timothy CooksleyHonoraria: Bristol Myers Squibb Foundation Caroline DiveConsulting or Advisory Role: Biocartis, Merck, AstraZeneca, GRAIL, Boehringer IngelheimResearch Funding: AstraZeneca, Astex Pharmaceuticals, Bioven, Amgen, Carrick Therapeutics, Merck, Taiho Oncology, GlaxoSmithKline, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Roche, BMS, Novartis, Celgene, Epigene Therapeutics, Angle, Menarini, Clearbridge Biomedics, Thermo Fisher Scientific, NeoMed André FreitasResearch Funding: AstraZeneca (Inst) Anne C. ArmstrongStock and Other Ownership Interests: AstraZeneca (I)Consulting or Advisory Role: Gilead Sciences, MSDResearch Funding: AstraZeneca/MedImmune (Inst)Travel, Accommodations, Expenses: Gilead Sciences, MSD OncologyNo other potential conflicts of interest were reported.

Esophageal cancer and gastric cancer are aggressive diseases for which treatment approaches are facing a new era. Some molecular pathways, such as VEGF, EGFR, fibroblast growth factor receptor, PIK3CA, and PARP-1, have been studied, and novel targeted drugs are presumed to be developed in the near future. From The Cancer Genome Atlas report, 80% of Epstein-Barr virus tumors and 42% of tumors with microsatellite instability have PIK3CA mutations, suggesting that this pathway could be reevaluated as a possible target for new systemic treatment of gastric cancer. Notably, higher PARP-1 expression can be found in gastric cancer, which might be related to more advanced disease and worse prognosis. In addition, PD-L1 expression, high microsatellite instability, and mismatch repair deficiency can be found in gastric cancer, thus suggesting that immunotherapy may also play a role in those patients. We discuss trends related to the potential of novel therapies for patients with esophageal and gastric cancers in the near future.