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Rationale: Accelerated decline in lung function is associated with incident COPD, hospitalizations and death. However, identifying this trajectory with longitudinal spirometry measurements is challenging in clinical practice., Objective: To determine whether a proteomic risk score trained on accelerated decline in lung function can assess risk of future respiratory disease and mortality., Methods: In CARDIA, a population-based cohort starting in young adulthood, longitudinal measurements of FEV1 percent predicted (up to six timepoints over 30 years) were used to identify accelerated and normal decline trajectories. Protein aptamers associated with an accelerated decline trajectory were identified with multivariable logistic regression followed by LASSO regression. The proteomic respiratory susceptibility score was derived based on these circulating proteins and applied to the UK Biobank and COPDGene studies to examine associations with future respiratory morbidity and mortality., Measurements and Results: Higher susceptibility score was independently associated with all-cause mortality (UKBB: HR 1.56, 95%CI 1.50-1.61; COPDGene: HR 1.75, 95%CI 1.63-1.88), respiratory mortality (UKBB: HR 2.39, 95% CI 2.16-2.64; COPDGene: HR 1.83, 95%CI 1.33-2.51), incident COPD (UKBB: HR 1.84, 95%CI 1.71-1.98), incident respiratory exacerbation (COPDGene: OR 1.11, 95%CI 1.03-1.20), and incident exacerbation requiring hospitalization (COPDGene: OR 1.18, 95%CI 1.08-1.28)., Conclusions: A proteomic signature of increased respiratory susceptibility identifies people at risk of respiratory death, incident COPD, and respiratory exacerbations. This susceptibility score is comprised of proteins with well-known and novel associations with lung health and holds promise for the early detection of lung disease without requiring years of spirometry measurements.

Rationale: Red cell distribution width (RDW) is a prognostic factor in many diseases; however, its clinical utility remains limited because the relative value of RDW as a biomarker across disease states has not been established. Objectives: To establish an unbiased RDW disease hierarchy to guide the clinical use of RDW and to assess its relationship to cardiovascular hemodynamic and structural parameters. Methods: We performed phenome-wide association studies for RDW in discovery and replication cohorts derived from a deidentified electronic health record in nonanemic individuals. RDW values obtained within 30 days of echocardiogram or right heart catheterization were tested for association with structural and hemodynamic variables. Results: RDW was associated with 263 phenotypes in both men and women in the discovery cohort ( n  = 121,530), 48 of which replicated in an independent cohort ( n  = 2,039). The strongest associations were observed with pulmonary arterial hypertension (odds ratio [OR], 2.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.9-2.3), chronic pulmonary heart disease (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.9-2.2), and congestive heart failure (OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.8-2.0); P  < 1 × 10 -74 for all. By echocardiography, RDW was higher in the setting of right ventricular dysfunction than left ventricular dysfunction ( P  < 0.001). Measured invasively, mean pulmonary arterial pressure was associated with RDW (21 vs. 33 mm Hg at 25th vs. 75th percentile RDW; P  < 1 × 10 -7 ) and remained strongly significant even when controlling for mean pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (21 vs. 29 mm Hg at 25th vs. 75th percentile RDW; P  < 1 × 10 -7 ). Conclusions: Among 1,364 coded medical conditions, increased RDW was strongly associated with pulmonary hypertension and heart failure. Hemodynamic and echocardiographic phenotyping confirmed these associations and underscored that the most clinically relevant phenotype associated with RDW was pulmonary hypertension. These hypothesis-generating findings highlight the potential shared pathophysiology of pulmonary hypertension and elevated RDW. Elevated RDW in the absence of anemia should alert clinicians to the potential for underlying cardiopulmonary disease.