1. Canine serological survey and dog culling ant its relationship with human visceral leishmaniasis in an endemic urban area
- Author
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Roberto Mitsuyoshi Hiramoto, José Eduardo Tolezano, Francisco Chiaravalloti-Neto, Lilian Aparecida Colebrusco Rodas, Rafael Silva Cipriano, Marta Blangiardo, Danielle Nunes Carneiro Castro Costa, Cáris Maroni Nunes, Patricia Marques Moralejo Bermudi, Universidade de São Paulo (USP), Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp), Instituto Adolfo Lutz, Superintendência de Controle de Endemias, Zoonosis Control Center, and Imperial College
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IMPACT ,MODELS ,Ecological study ,Control measures ,VACCINE ,Culling ,Biology ,Poisson distribution ,Microbiology ,lcsh:Infectious and parasitic diseases ,LUTZOMYIA-LONGIPALPIS ,symbols.namesake ,Bayes' theorem ,Dogs ,1108 Medical Microbiology ,Risk Factors ,Seroepidemiologic Studies ,medicine ,Seroprevalence ,Animals ,Humans ,lcsh:RC109-216 ,COLLARS ,Dog Diseases ,Poisson Distribution ,Leishmania infantum ,Visceral leishmaniasis ,Science & Technology ,Ants ,1103 Clinical Sciences ,Bayes Theorem ,EFFICACY ,medicine.disease ,biology.organism_classification ,Infectious Diseases ,symbols ,Leishmaniasis, Visceral ,Life Sciences & Biomedicine ,Brazil ,0605 Microbiology ,Demography ,Research Article - Abstract
Made available in DSpace on 2020-12-12T02:43:21Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 Previous issue date: 2020-06-05 Background: Visceral leishmaniasis is an important but neglected disease that is spreading and is highly lethal when left untreated. This study sought to measure the Leishmania infantum seroprevalence in dogs, the coverage of its control activities (identification of the canine reservoir by serological survey, dog culling and insecticide spraying) and to evaluate its relationship with the occurrence of the disease in humans in the municipalities of Araçatuba and Birigui, state of São Paulo, Brazil. Methods: Information from 2006 to 2015 was georeferenced for each municipality and modeling was performed for the two municipalities together. To do this, latent Gaussian Bayesian models with the incorporation of a spatio-temporal structure and Poisson distribution were used. The Besag-York-Mollie models were applied for random spatial effects, as also were autoregressive models of order 1 for random temporal effects. The modeling was performed using the INLA (Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations) deterministic approach, considering both the numbers of cases as well as the coverage paired year by year and lagged at one and two years. Results: Control activity coverage was observed to be generally low. The behavior of the temporal tendency in the human disease presented distinct patterns in the two municipalities, however, in both the tendency was to decline. The canine serological survey presented as a protective factor only in the two-year lag model. Conclusions: The canine serological coverage, even at low intensity, carried out jointly with the culling of the positive dogs, suggested a decreasing effect on the occurrence of the disease in humans, whose effects would be seen two years after it was carried out. Department of Epidemiology School of Public Health Universidade de São Paulo (USP), Avenida Doutor Arnaldo 715 Department of Animal Health and Production School of Veterinary Medicine Unesp Center for Parasitology and Mycology Instituto Adolfo Lutz Regional Service 9 Superintendência de Controle de Endemias Zoonosis Control Center MRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics Imperial College, Norfolk Place Department of Animal Health and Production School of Veterinary Medicine Unesp
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- 2020