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Background: Various approaches to alignment-free sequence comparison are based on the length of exact or inexact word matches between pairs of input sequences. Haubold et al. (J Comput Biol 16:1487-1500, 2009) showed how the average number of substitutions per position between two DNA sequences can be estimated based on the average length of exact common substrings. Results: In this paper, we study the length distribution of k-mismatch common substrings between two sequences. We show that the number of substitutions per position can be accurately estimated from the position of a local maximum in the length distribution of their k-mismatch common substrings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Alignment-free methods are increasingly used to calculate evolutionary distances between DNA and protein sequences as a basis of phylogeny reconstruction. Most of these methods, however, use heuristic distance functions that are not based on any explicit model of molecular evolution. Herein, we propose a simple estimator dN of the evolutionary distance between two DNA sequences that is calculated from the number N of (spaced) word matches between them. We show that this distance function is more accurate than other distance measures that are used by alignment-free methods. In addition, we calculate the variance of the normalized number N of (spaced) word matches. We show that the variance of N is smaller for spaced words than for contiguous words, and that the variance is further reduced if our spaced-words approach is used with multiple patterns of 'match positions' and 'don't care positions'. Our software is available online and as downloadable source code at: http://spaced.gobics.de/. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]