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Background: Maraviroc is an HIV-1 coreceptor antagonist that has shown good efficacy and tolerability in treatment-naive and treatment-experienced patients harboring CCR5-tropic virus. The use of Maraviroc in treatment simplification in patients with suppressed plasma HIV-1 RNA requires analysis of HIV-1 DNA. Coreceptor tropism testing is often performed remotely at reference laboratories. In this study paired whole blood stored at + 4 °C and at-20°C were compared as a source for genotypic coreceptor tropism testing., Methods: Two hundred paired whole blood samples from different patients were analysed. Each sample was stored in two different conditions: one aliquot was stored at-20 °C until spin column DNA extraction (WB20) and one aliquot was stored at +4°C for two weeks and then placed at room temperature (22-24 °C) for two days before DNA extraction (WB4). Subsequently, a fragment encompassing the HIV-1 gp120 V3 domain was amplified by a singlicate nested PCR followed by triplicate nested PCR in the negative samples. A randomly selected panel of 20 paired WB4 and WB20 duplicate amplification products were sequenced and coreceptor tropism was inferred by geno2pheno [coreceptor]., Results: WB20 yielded a higher amount of DNA than WB4 (median [IQR] values 332.5 ng/μl [117.5-401] and 107 ng/μl [56.6-318], respectively; P < 0.001). However, the DNA purity was higher for WB4 than for WB20 (median distance from the optimal OD260/280 ratio, 0.14 [0.07-0.79] and 0.96 [0.36-1.10], respectively; P < 0.0001). The number of samples successfully amplified was 152 (76.0%) for WB20 and 155 (77.5%) for WB4 with the first PCR and 179 (89.5%) for WB20 and 181 (90.5%) for WB4 (P = ns) following subsequent triplicate analysis. The inferred coreceptor tropism was concordant in 18 out of 20 paired WB4 and WB20 samples. Two samples yielded discordant results, consistent with the discordance rate within duplicates from the same sample source (2/20 with WB4 and 1/20 with WB20) due to the inherent gp120 V3 variability., Conclusions: Storing whole blood at +4°C for up to two weeks and shipping at room temperature is a convenient method for obtaining HIV-1 gp120 V3 sequence information via testing at a remote laboratory in patients with suppressed viremia.

Background: HIV-1 genotypic susceptibility scores (GSSs) were proven to be significant prognostic factors of fixed time-point virologic outcomes after combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) switch/initiation. However, their relative-hazard for the time to virologic failure has not been thoroughly investigated, and an expert system that is able to predict how long a new cART regimen will remain effective has never been designed., Methods: We analyzed patients of the Italian ARCA cohort starting a new cART from 1999 onwards either after virologic failure or as treatment-naïve. The time to virologic failure was the endpoint, from the 90th day after treatment start, defined as the first HIV-1 RNA > 400 copies/ml, censoring at last available HIV-1 RNA before treatment discontinuation. We assessed the relative hazard/importance of GSSs according to distinct interpretation systems (Rega, ANRS and HIVdb) and other covariates by means of Cox regression and random survival forests (RSF). Prediction models were validated via the bootstrap and c-index measure., Results: The dataset included 2337 regimens from 2182 patients, of which 733 were previously treatment-naïve. We observed 1067 virologic failures over 2820 persons-years. Multivariable analysis revealed that low GSSs of cART were independently associated with the hazard of a virologic failure, along with several other covariates. Evaluation of predictive performance yielded a modest ability of the Cox regression to predict the virologic endpoint (c-index≈0.70), while RSF showed a better performance (c-index≈0.73, p < 0.0001 vs. Cox regression). Variable importance according to RSF was concordant with the Cox hazards., Conclusions: GSSs of cART and several other covariates were investigated using linear and non-linear survival analysis. RSF models are a promising approach for the development of a reliable system that predicts time to virologic failure better than Cox regression. Such models might represent a significant improvement over the current methods for monitoring and optimization of cART.

Background: Trofile is the prospectively validated HIV-1 tropism assay. Its use is limited by high costs, long turn-around time, and inability to test patients with very low or undetectable viremia. We aimed at assessing the efficiency of population genotypic assays based on gp120 V3-loop sequencing for the determination of tropism in plasma viral RNA and in whole-blood viral DNA. Contemporary and follow-up plasma and whole-blood samples from patients undergoing tropism testing via the enhanced sensitivity Trofile (ESTA) were collected. Clinical and clonal geno2pheno[coreceptor] (G2P) models at 10% and at optimised 5.7% false positive rate cutoff were evaluated using viral DNA and RNA samples, compared against each other and ESTA, using Cohen's kappa, phylogenetic analysis, and area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC)., Results: Both clinical and clonal G2P (with different false positive rates) showed good performances in predicting the ESTA outcome (for V3 RNA-based clinical G2P at 10% false positive rate AUROC = 0.83, sensitivity = 90%, specificity = 75%). The rate of agreement between DNA- and RNA-based clinical G2P was fair (kappa = 0.74, p < 0.0001), and DNA-based clinical G2P accurately predicted the plasma ESTA (AUROC = 0.86). Significant differences in the viral populations were detected when comparing inter/intra patient diversity of viral DNA with RNA sequences., Conclusions: Plasma HIV RNA or whole-blood HIV DNA V3-loop sequencing interpreted with clinical G2P is cheap and can be a good surrogate for ESTA. Although there may be differences among viral RNA and DNA populations in the same host, DNA-based G2P may be used as an indication of viral tropism in patients with undetectable plasma viremia.