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Abstract Background Calprotectin is a biomarker of disease activity in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and predicts relapse in juvenile idiopathic arthritis. Higher drug trough serum levels are associated with a good response in patients treated with tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi). Power Doppler ultrasound synovitis is predictive of relapse and structural damage progression in patients in clinical remission. The purpose of this study was to analyze the accuracy of serum calprotectin levels, drug trough serum levels (TSL), and power Doppler (PD) activity as predictors of relapse in RA and PsA patients in remission or with low disease activity receiving TNFi. Methods This was a longitudinal, prospective, 1-year single-center study of 103 patients (47 RA, 56 PsA) receiving TNFi in remission or with low disease activity (28-joint Disease Activity Score (DAS28) ≤ 3.2). The predictive value of serum calprotectin, TNFi TSL, and PD were assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses. To illustrate the predictive performance of calprotectin, TNFi TSL, and PD score, Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed from baseline to relapse. Associations between baseline factors and relapse were determined using Cox regression models. Multivariate models were constructed to analyze the effect of covariates and to fully adjust the association between calprotectin, TNFi TSL, and PD score with relapse. A generalized estimating equation model with an identity link for longitudinal continuous outcomes was used to assess the effect of covariates on TNFi TSL. Results Ninety-five patients completed 1 year of follow-up, of whom 12 experienced a relapse. At baseline, relapsers had higher calprotectin levels, lower TNFi TSL, and higher PD activity than nonrelapsers. ROC analysis showed calprotectin fully predicted relapse (area under the curve (AUC) = 1.00). TNFi TSL and PD had an AUC of 0.790 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.691–0.889) and 0.877 (95% CI 0.772–0.981), respectively. Survival analyses and log rank tests showed significant differences between groups according to calprotectin serum levels (p

Abstract Background Inflammatory arthritis encompasses a group of immune-mediated diseases characterized by chronic joint inflammation. Despite having pathogenic mechanisms in common, the prognosis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), psoriatic arthritis (PsA), and undifferentiated arthritis (UA) could be different regarding progression to chronic, to erosive, or to self-limited disease. Our aim was to evaluate the potential association of synovial tissue (ST) inflammatory cell infiltrate, the presence of ectopic lymphoid neogenesis (LN +) structures, and poor prognosis factors (PPF) in patients with RA, PsA, and UA. Methods We conducted a retrospective study including patients with active arthritis (RA, PsA, UA) who had ST obtained by rheumatological arthroscopy or ultrasound-guided biopsy. Clinical, demographic, and immunohistochemical data of the synovium was evaluated. Patients with biological therapy at the time of synovial biopsy were excluded. PPF in patients with RA and UA were defined by the presence of anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies and/or rheumatoid factor, development of bone erosions, or requirement of biological therapy during the follow-up. PPF in patients with PsA were defined as the presence of high levels of acute-phase reactants (ESR/CRP), dactylitis or nail involvement at the time of biopsy, development of bone erosion, or requirement of biological therapy during the follow-up. Results A total of 88 patients were included: 26 RA, 33 PsA, and 29 UA. All patients were followed up for 5 years after the biopsy. Fourteen (53.84%) RA patients had PPF, and 17 (65.38%) had LN + . LN + was associated with PPF (p 0.038) and biologic therapy initiation (p 0.018). A total of 14 (43.75%) PsA patients had PPF. CD15 infiltrate (410.68 [SD 477.63] cells/mm2) was associated with PPF (p 0.008) in PsA patients. Sixteen (55.17%) patients with UA had PPF, and 13 (44.82%) had LN + . In this group, synovial CD68 + macrophages cells density was negatively correlated with DAS28-CRP (r = − 0.346, p 0.042). Conclusions The presence of LN + and higher CD15 + polymorphonuclear cells infiltrate was associated with PPF in RA and PsA, respectively. No associations were found for UA. These findings suggest a great heterogeneity of the ST features and its pathogenic implications in the subtypes of inflammatory arthritis.

Abstract Background Very few data are available on predictors of minimal disease activity (MDA) in patients with recent-onset psoriatic arthritis (PsA). Such data are crucial, since the therapeutic measures used to change the adverse course of PsA are more likely to succeed if we intervene early. In the present study, we used predictive models based on machine learning to detect variables associated with achieving MDA in patients with recent-onset PsA. Methods We performed a multicenter observational prospective study (2-year follow-up, regular annual visits). The study population comprised patients aged ≥18 years who fulfilled the CASPAR criteria and less than 2 years since the onset of symptoms. The dataset contained data for the independent variables from the baseline visit and from follow-up visit number 1. These were matched with the outcome measures from follow-up visits 1 and 2, respectively. We trained a random forest–type machine learning algorithm to analyze the association between the outcome measure and the variables selected in the bivariate analysis. In order to understand how the model uses the variables to make its predictions, we applied the SHAP technique. We used a confusion matrix to visualize the performance of the model. Results The sample comprised 158 patients. 55.5% and 58.3% of the patients had MDA at the first and second follow-up visit, respectively. In our model, the variables with the greatest predictive ability were global pain, impact of the disease (PsAID), patient global assessment of disease, and physical function (HAQ-Disability Index). The percentage of hits in the confusion matrix was 85.94%. Conclusions A key objective in the management of PsA should be control of pain, which is not always associated with inflammatory burden, and the establishment of measures to better control the various domains of PsA.

Abstract Background The mechanisms by which only some rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients respond favorably to TNF blockade are still poorly characterized. The goal of this study was to identify biological features that explain this differential response using a multilevel transcriptome analysis of the synovial membrane. Methods Synovial samples from 11 patients on anti-TNF therapy were obtained by arthroscopy at baseline and week 20. Analysis of the synovial transcriptome was performed at the gene, pathway, and cell-type levels. Newly characterized pathogenic cell types in RA, peripheral helper T cells (TPH), and CD34-THY1+ fibroblasts were estimated using a cell-type deconvolution approach. TPH association was validated using immunofluorescence. External validation was performed on an independent dataset. Results After multiple-test correction, 16 and 4 genes were differentially expressed at baseline and week 20, respectively. At the pathway level, 86 and 17 biological processes were significantly enriched at baseline and week 20, respectively. Longitudinal expression changes were associated with a drastic decrease of innate immune activity (P

Abstract Background To analyze differences in the recognition of anti-citrullinated peptide/protein antibody (ACPA) citrullinated epitopes and isotypes in patients with palindromic rheumatism (PR) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Methods ACPA fine specificities (citrullinated peptides of enolase, fibrin, and vimentin) and isotypes (IgG, IgM, and IgA) were analyzed in 54 patients with longstanding PR and 54 patients with established RA. Results CCP2 tested positive in 66.7% of patients with PR and RA. The ACPA distribution of fine specificities and isotypes differed between PR and RA patients. PR patients had a lower frequency of fine ACPA specificities than RA patients, which was significant in the case of a peptide derived from vimentin (PR 24.1% vs. 59.3% RA; p