1. Thoracic versus coronary calcification for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events prediction.
- Author
-
Ichikawa K, Wang R, McClelland RL, Manubolu VS, Susarla S, Lee D, Pourafkari L, Fazlalizadeh H, Bitar JA, Robin R, Kinninger A, Roy S, Post WS, and Budoff M
- Subjects
- Humans, Male, Female, Aged, Prognosis, Middle Aged, Risk Assessment methods, Computed Tomography Angiography, Predictive Value of Tests, Aorta, Thoracic diagnostic imaging, Risk Factors, Aortic Diseases diagnostic imaging, Aortic Diseases epidemiology, Aortic Diseases diagnosis, ROC Curve, Coronary Vessels diagnostic imaging, Cardiac-Gated Imaging Techniques, United States epidemiology, Electrocardiography, Incidence, Coronary Angiography methods, Tomography, X-Ray Computed, Atherosclerosis epidemiology, Atherosclerosis diagnosis, Vascular Calcification diagnostic imaging, Vascular Calcification epidemiology, Coronary Artery Disease diagnostic imaging, Coronary Artery Disease epidemiology, Coronary Artery Disease diagnosis
- Abstract
This study compared the prognostic value of quantified thoracic artery calcium (TAC) including aortic arch on chest CT and coronary artery calcium (CAC) score on ECG-gated cardiac CT., Methods: A total of 2412 participants who underwent both chest CT and ECG-gated cardiac CT at the same period were included in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis Exam 5. All participants were monitored for incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events. TAC is defined as calcification in the ascending aorta, aortic arch and descending aorta on chest CT. The quantification of TAC was measured using the Agatston method. Time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to compare the prognostic value of TAC and CAC scores., Results: Participants were 69±9 years of age and 47% were male. The Spearman correlation between TAC and CAC scores was 0.46 (p<0.001). During the median follow-up period of 8.8 years, 234 participants (9.7%) experienced ASCVD events. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, TAC score was independently associated with increased risk of ASCVD events (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.58) as well as CAC score (HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.53 to 2.17). However, the area under the time-dependent ROC curve for CAC score was greater than that for TAC score in all participants (0.698 and 0.641, p=0.031). This was particularly pronounced in participants with borderline/intermediate and high 10-year ASCVD risk scores., Conclusion: Our study demonstrated a significant association between TAC and CAC scores but a superior prognostic value of CAC score for ASCVD events. These findings suggest TAC on chest CT provides supplementary data to estimate ASCVD risk but does not replace CAC on ECG-gated cardiac CT., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF