1. Environmental heterogeneity drives tsetse fly population dynamics
- Author
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Ahmadou Hamady Dicko, Soumaïla Pagabeleguem, Pauline Ezanno, Mireille Bassene, Marc J. B. Vreysen, Jérémy Bouyer, Sébastien Picault, Sandie Arnoux, Momar Talla Seck, Baba Sall, Augustin Bancé, Hélène Cecilia, Biologie, Epidémiologie et analyse de risque en Santé Animale (BIOEPAR), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-École nationale vétérinaire, agroalimentaire et de l'alimentation Nantes-Atlantique (ONIRIS), Centre de Recherche en Informatique, Signal et Automatique de Lille - UMR 9189 (CRIStAL), Centrale Lille-Université de Lille-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Animal, Santé, Territoires, Risques et Ecosystèmes (UMR ASTRE), Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), Institut Sénégalais de Recherches Agricoles [Dakar] (ISRA), Direction des Services Vétérinaires de Dakar, Ministère de l’Élevage et des Productions Animales [Dakar], Insect Pest Control Laboratory (IPC laboratory), Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations [Rome, Italie] (FAO)-International Atomic Energy Agency [Vienna] (IAEA), Insectarium de Bobo-Dioulasso, Partenaires INRAE, Centre international de recherche-développement sur l'élevage en zone subhumide (CIRDES), Département Systèmes Biologiques (Cirad-BIOS), and Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad)
- Subjects
0106 biological sciences ,[SDV.EE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment ,education.field_of_study ,biology ,Ecology ,Population size ,030231 tropical medicine ,Population ,Tsetse fly ,Baseline data ,15. Life on land ,biology.organism_classification ,010603 evolutionary biology ,01 natural sciences ,[INFO.INFO-MO]Computer Science [cs]/Modeling and Simulation ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Control measure ,Carrying capacity ,Local environment ,Ecosystem ,[SDV.SPEE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologie ,education - Abstract
A spatially and temporally heterogeneous environment may lead to unexpected population dynamics. Knowledge still is needed on which of the local environment properties favour population maintenance at larger scale. For pathogen vectors, such as tsetse flies transmitting human and animal African trypanosomosis, such a knowledge is crucial to design relevant management strategies. We developed an original mechanistic spatio-temporal model of tsetse fly population dynamics, accounting for combined effects of spatial complexity, density-dependence, and temperature on the age-structured population, and parametrized with field and laboratory data. We confirmed the strong impact of temperature and adult mortality on tsetse populations. We showed that the coldest cells with the smallest variations in temperature acted as refuges when adult mortality was homogeneously increased, control being less effective in such refuges. In contrast, targeting the cells contributed the most to population management, i.e. those of highest carrying capacity and the most impacted by increased mortality, resulted in a decline in population size with a similar efficacy, but resulted in more dispersed individuals, control efficacy being no longer related to temperature. Population resurgence after control was slow, but could be very high locally in refuges, with highly contrasted situations after a heterogeneous control, refuges being located at the interface between controlled and uncontrolled zones. Our results highlighted the importance of baseline data collection to characterize the targeted ecosystem before any control measure is implemented.
- Published
- 2018
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