Several OPEC+ members, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, will extend voluntary oil output cuts of 2.2 M b/d into 2Q 2024, providing the market with a boost amid concerns about global economic growth and rising production outside the group. In Nov 2023, OPEC+ had initially agreed to voluntary cuts totalling about 2.2 M b/d for 1Q 2024, with Saudi Arabia extending a cut it had first implemented in Jul 2024. In a statement, Saudi Arabia said it would extend voluntary production cuts of 1 M b/d until end-Jun 2024, keeping its output at around 9 M b/d. Russia will cut oil production and exports by an extra 471,000 b/d in 2Q 2024. Specifically, production was reduced by 350,000 b/d in Apr 2023 and exports by 121,000 b/d; production was reduced by 400,000 b/d in May 2023, and exports were reduced by 71,000 b/d; and production was reduced by 471,000 b/d in Jun 2023. Russia's voluntary production cut is in addition to the voluntary cut of 500,000 b/d previously noted in Apr 2023, which extends until end-Dec 2024. The export cut will be made from the average export levels of the months of May 2023 and Jun 2023. Other key producers will also extend their voluntary production cuts until end-2Q 2024. Iraq will extend its 220,000 b/d output cut, UAE will keep in place its 163,000 b/d output cut, and Kuwait will maintain its 135,000 b/d output cut. Afterwards, in order to support market stability, these voluntary cuts will be returned gradually subject to market conditions. Looking into 2H 2024, Rystad Energy's balances show a strong demand rebound, which implies that no further extension of the voluntary cuts are needed to support prices. If the voluntary cuts are fully unwound at end-Jun 2024, Rystad Energy anticipates a market deficit of around 440,000 b/d in 2H 2024. Outlooks on oil demand for 2024 vary. OPEC anticipates another year of relatively robust demand growth, led by Asia, at 2.25 M b/d, while the International Energy Agency (IEA) projects a sharp slowdown in demand growth, at 1.22 M b/d. The IEA also forecasts oil supply to reach a record high of about 103.8 M b/d in 2024, primarily driven by producers outside OPEC+, including the US, Brazil, and Guyana, presenting a further headwind for OPEC+ production. While concerns regarding economic growth have weighed on oil prices, escalating geopolitical tensions and Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping have underpinned oil prices in 2024. By extending these voluntary output cuts, OPEC+ demonstrates its readiness to take proactive measures to prevent oversupply and support oil prices. The decision is expected to have a positive impact on market sentiment, providing reassurance against potential downward pressure on oil prices. Russia's announcement of extra supply cuts could bolster prices further. Original source: Endeavor Business Media, LLC, website: https://www.ogj.com/index.html, Copyright Endeavor Business Media, LLC 2024., market; pricing; production level; trade; crude [...]