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Background and Aims: We aimed to characterize the epidemiologic and comorbidities profiles of patients with chronic Hepatitis D (CHD) followed in clinical practice in Italy and explored their interferon (IFN) eligibility. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study of the PITER cohort consisting of consecutive HBsAg-positive patients from 59 centers over the period 2019-2023. Multivariable analysis was performed by logistic regression model. Results: Of 5492 HBsAg-positive enrolled patients, 4152 (75.6%) were screened for HDV, 422 (10.2%) were anti-HDV positive. Compared with HBsAg mono-infected, anti-HDV positive patients were more often younger, non-Italians, with a history of drug use, had elevated alanine transaminase (ALT), cirrhosis, or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Compared with Italians, anti-HDV positive non-Italians were younger (42.2% age ≤ 40 years vs. 2.1%; P < 0.001), more often females (males 43.0% vs. 68.6%; P < 0.001) with less frequent cirrhosis and HCC. HDV-RNA was detected in 63.2% of anti-HDV-positive patients, who were more likely to have elevated ALT, cirrhosis, and HCC. Extrahepatic comorbidities were present in 47.4% of anti-HDV positive patients and could affect the eligibility of IFN-containing therapies in at least 53.0% of patients in care. Conclusions: CHD affects young, foreign-born patients and older Italians, of whom two-thirds had cirrhosis or HCC. Comorbidities were frequent in both Italians and non-Italians and impacted eligibility for IFN.

Background and Aims: We aimed to characterize the epidemiologic and comorbidities profiles of patients with chronic Hepatitis D (CHD) followed in clinical practice in Italy and explored their interferon (IFN) eligibility., Methods: This was a cross-sectional study of the PITER cohort consisting of consecutive HBsAg-positive patients from 59 centers over the period 2019-2023. Multivariable analysis was performed by logistic regression model., Results: Of 5492 HBsAg-positive enrolled patients, 4152 (75.6%) were screened for HDV, 422 (10.2%) were anti-HDV positive. Compared with HBsAg mono-infected, anti-HDV positive patients were more often younger, non-Italians, with a history of drug use, had elevated alanine transaminase (ALT), cirrhosis, or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Compared with Italians, anti-HDV positive non-Italians were younger (42.2% age ≤ 40 years vs. 2.1%; P < 0.001), more often females (males 43.0% vs. 68.6%; P < 0.001) with less frequent cirrhosis and HCC. HDV-RNA was detected in 63.2% of anti-HDV-positive patients, who were more likely to have elevated ALT, cirrhosis, and HCC. Extrahepatic comorbidities were present in 47.4% of anti-HDV positive patients and could affect the eligibility of IFN-containing therapies in at least 53.0% of patients in care., Conclusions: CHD affects young, foreign-born patients and older Italians, of whom two-thirds had cirrhosis or HCC. Comorbidities were frequent in both Italians and non-Italians and impacted eligibility for IFN., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Hepatitis D virus (HDV) infection occurs as a coinfection with hepatitis B and increases the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma, decompensated cirrhosis, and mortality compared to hepatitis B virus (HBV) monoinfection. Reliable estimates of the prevalence of HDV infection and disease burden are essential to formulate strategies to find coinfected individuals more effectively and efficiently. The global prevalence of HBV infections was estimated to be 262,240,000 in 2021. Only 1,994,000 of the HBV infections were newly diagnosed in 2021, with more than half of the new diagnoses made in China. Our initial estimates indicated a much lower prevalence of HDV antibody (anti-HDV) and HDV RNA positivity than previously reported in published studies. Accurate estimates of HDV prevalence are needed. The most effective method to generate estimates of the prevalence of anti-HDV and HDV RNA positivity and to find undiagnosed individuals at the national level is to implement double reflex testing. This requires anti-HDV testing of all hepatitis B surface antigen-positive individuals and HDV RNA testing of all anti-HDV-positive individuals. This strategy is manageable for healthcare systems since the number of newly diagnosed HBV cases is low. At the global level, a comprehensive HDV screening strategy would require only 1,994,000 HDV antibody tests and less than 89,000 HDV PCR tests. Double reflex testing is the preferred strategy in countries with a low prevalence of HBV and those with a high prevalence of both HBV and HDV. For example, in the European Union and North America only 35,000 and 22,000 cases, respectively, will require anti-HDV testing annually., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Advances in diagnostics and therapeutics have brought the elimination of chronic viral hepatitis into focus. The World Health Organization has defined the targets for elimination, but it is unclear how these can be achieved and how they should be measured. The goal of this special conference was to examine current efforts and metrics to assess progress towards elimination., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for details., (Crown Copyright © 2022. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background and Aims: The LISTEN trial (ClinicalTrial.gov accession: NCT01950884) is a phase IV 52 weeks double blind parallel randomized controlled trial that evaluated the effect of ezetimibe plus lifestyle and dietary intervention (eze) vs. lifestyle and dietary intervention alone (placebo) on progression and complications of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) evaluated by liver histology., Methods and Results: Forty patients with NASH ascertained by histology were randomly allocated on the two study groups and subjected to a follow-up of 52 weeks, when they underwent a second liver biopsy. Main composite end point (EP) was based on the histological improvement in the severity of NASH. Thirty patients completed the study, Eze treatment was not able to improve the primary EP in comparison with placebo, with and odds ratio of 1.029 (0.18-6.38), p = 0.974. Treatment emergent adverse events registered during the study were not more prevalent in the treatment arm., Conclusions: ezetimibe administered on top of lifestyle and dietary modification failed to improve the histology of NASH in comparison with lifestyle and dietary modification alone., Trial Accession Number: ClinicalTrial.gov: NCT01950884., (Copyright © 2022 The Italian Diabetes Society, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background and Aims: Beyond type 2 diabetes, even a condition of prediabetes is associated with an increased cardiovascular (CV) risk, and HCV infection coexistence represents an exacerbating factor. CV prognosis improvement in prediabetes represents a challenge, due to the increasing prevalence of this metabolic condition worldwide. Hence, we aimed to prospectively assess how direct acting antivirals (DAAs) could affect major cardiovascular events (MACE) in a prediabetic HCV positive cohort., Methods and Results: In this prospective multicenter study, we enrolled HCV patients with overt prediabetes. We compared a subgroup of patients treated with DAAs with untreated prediabetic controls. We recorded all CV events occurred during an overall median follow-up of 24 months (IQR 19-34). 770 HCV positive prediabetic patients were enrolled, 398 untreated controls and 372 DAAs treated patients. Overall, the CV events annual incidence was much higher among prediabetic treated patients (1.77 vs. 0.62, p < 0.001), and HCV clearance demonstrated to significantly reduce CV events (RR: 0.411, 95%CI 0.148-1.143; p < 0.001), with an estimated NNT for one additional patient to benefit of 52.1. Moreover, an independent association between a lower rate of CV events and HCV clearance after DAAs was observed (OR 4.67; 95%CI 0.44-53.95; p = 0.016)., Conclusions: HCV eradication by DAAs allows a significant reduction of MACEs in the prediabetic population, and therefore represents a primary objective, regardless of the severity of liver disease and CV risk factors., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare no conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2021 The Italian Diabetes Society, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has placed a significant strain on national healthcare systems at a critical moment in the context of hepatitis elimination. Mathematical models can be used to evaluate the possible impact of programmatic delays on hepatitis disease burden. The objective of this analysis was to evaluate the incremental change in HCV liver-related deaths and liver cancer, following a 3-month, 6-month, or 1-year hiatus in hepatitis elimination programs., Methods: Previously developed models were adapted for 110 countries to include a status quo or 'no delay' scenario and a '1-year delay' scenario assuming significant disruption in interventions (screening, diagnosis, and treatment) in the year 2020. Annual country-level model outcomes were extracted, and weighted averages were used to calculate regional (WHO and World Bank Income Group) and global estimates from 2020 to 2030. The incremental annual change in outcomes was calculated by subtracting the 'no-delay' estimates from the '1-year delay' estimates., Results: The '1-year delay' scenario resulted in 44,800 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 43,800-49,300) excess hepatocellular carcinoma cases and 72,300 (95% UI: 70,600-79,400) excess liver-related deaths, relative to the 'no-delay' scenario globally, from 2020 to 2030. Most missed treatments would be in lower-middle income countries, whereas most excess hepatocellular carcinoma and liver-related deaths would be among high-income countries., Conclusions: The impact of COVID-19 extends beyond the direct morbidity and mortality associated with exposure and infection. To mitigate the impact on viral hepatitis programming and reduce excess mortality from delayed treatment, policy makers should prioritize hepatitis programs as soon as it becomes safe to do so., Lay Summary: COVID-19 has resulted in many hepatitis elimination programs slowing or stopping altogether. A 1-year delay in hepatitis diagnosis and treatment could result in an additional 44,800 liver cancers and 72,300 deaths from HCV globally by 2030. Countries have committed to hepatitis elimination by 2030, so attention should shift back to hepatitis programming as soon as it becomes appropriate to do so., Competing Interests: Conflicts of interest S.B., Z.C., E.D., C.E., I.G., S.M. and D.R-S. are employees of the Center for Disease Analysis Foundation (CDAF). CDAF has received funding for this work from the John C. Martin Foundation. Over the past 3 years, CDAF has received research funding from Gilead, AbbVie, and Vaccine Impact Modeling Consortium. CDAF has also received grants from CDC Foundation, John Martin Foundation, ASTHO, Zeshan Foundation, and private donors. L.A.K. has received teaching grants from AbbVie and Gilead. A.A. has received research grants from AbbVie and Gilead, and has participated on advisory boards for MSD, AbbVie, Gilead, Mylan, Intercept, and Alfasigma. J.M.P. has received grants from Abbott, AbbVie, and Gilead. He has also received consulting fees from AbbVie, Gilead, Merck, GSK, and Siemens Healthcare. H.R. has been a member of advisory boards for Gilead, AbbVie, Merck, and VBI Vaccines. All proceeds are donated to CDAF. He is the managing director of Center for Disease Analysis (CDA) and CDAF. I.W. has been an investigator for AbbVie, Novartis, Marcyrl, Onexeo, and Pharco. He has been a speaker and advisory board member for MSD, Bayer, Astra-Zeneca, and Eva-Pharma. S.Z. has received lecture honoraria and consulting fees for AbbVie, Allergan, Gilead, Intercept, Janssen, and Merck/MSD. A.C. has been an advisor and speaker and has received research grants from AbbVie, Bayer, BMS, Gilead, Intercept, and MSD. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details., (Copyright © 2020 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) are increasingly a cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma globally. This burden is expected to increase as epidemics of obesity, diabetes and metabolic syndrome continue to grow. The goal of this analysis was to use a Markov model to forecast NAFLD disease burden using currently available data., Methods: A model was used to estimate NAFLD and NASH disease progression in eight countries based on data for adult prevalence of obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM). Published estimates and expert consensus were used to build and validate the model projections., Results: If obesity and DM level off in the future, we project a modest growth in total NAFLD cases (0-30%), between 2016-2030, with the highest growth in China as a result of urbanization and the lowest growth in Japan as a result of a shrinking population. However, at the same time, NASH prevalence will increase 15-56%, while liver mortality and advanced liver disease will more than double as a result of an aging/increasing population., Conclusions: NAFLD and NASH represent a large and growing public health problem and efforts to understand this epidemic and to mitigate the disease burden are needed. If obesity and DM continue to increase at current and historical rates, both NAFLD and NASH prevalence are expected to increase. Since both are reversible, public health campaigns to increase awareness and diagnosis, and to promote diet and exercise can help manage the growth in future disease burden., Lay Summary: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis can lead to advanced liver disease. Both conditions are becoming increasingly prevalent as the epidemics of obesity and diabetes continue to increase. A mathematical model was built to understand how the disease burden associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis will change over time. Results suggest increasing cases of advanced liver disease and liver-related mortality in the coming years., (Copyright © 2018 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Primary Biliary Cholangitis, previously known as Primary Biliary Cirrhosis, is a rare disease, which mainly affects women in their fifth to seventh decades of life. It is a chronic autoimmune disease characterized by a progressive damage of interlobular bile ducts leading to ductopenia, chronic cholestasis and bile acids retention. Even if the disease usually presents a long asymptomatic phase and a slow progression, in many patients it may progress faster toward cirrhosis and its complications. The 10year mortality is greater than in diseases such as human immunodeficiency virus/Hepatitis C Virus coinfection and breast cancer. Ursodeoxycholic acid is the only treatment available today, but even if effective in counteracting the disease progression for the majority of patients, in approximately 40% is not able to decrease effectively the alkaline phosphatase, a surrogate marker of disease activity. Recently, obeticholic acid received the European Medicines Agency conditional approval, as add on treatment in patients non responders or intolerant to ursodeoxycholic acid. The present paper illustrates the opinion of a working group, composed by clinical pharmacologists, gastroenterologists/hepatologists with specific expertise on Primary Biliary Cholangitis and patient associations, on the state of the art and future perspectives of the disease management. The agreement on the document was reached through an Expert Meeting., (Copyright © 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Excess hepatic free cholesterol contributes to the pathogenesis of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, and statins reduce cholesterol synthesis. Aim of this study was to assess whether statin use is associated with histological liver damage related to steatohepatitis., Methods: The relationship between statin use, genetic risk factors, and liver damage was assessed in a multi-center cohort of 1201 European individuals, who underwent liver biopsy for suspected non-alcoholic steatohepatitis., Results: Statin use was recorded in 107 subjects, and was associated with protection from steatosis, NASH, and fibrosis stage F2-F4, in a dose-dependent manner (adjusted p<0.05 for all). In 100 treated patients matched 1:1 for modality of recruitment, gender, presence of IFG or type 2 diabetes, PNPLA3 I148M risk alleles, TM6SF2 E167K variant, age, and BMI, statin use remained associated with protection from steatosis (OR 0.09, 95% C.I. 0.01-0.32; p=0.004), steatohepatitis (OR 0.25, 95% C.I. 0.13-0.47; p<0.001), and fibrosis stage F2-F4 (OR 0.42, 95% C.I. 0.20-0.8; p=0.017). Results were confirmed in a second analysis, where individuals were matched within recruitment center (p<0.05 for all). The protective effect of statins on steatohepatitis was stronger in subjects not carrying the I148M PNPLA3 risk variant (p=0.02 for interaction), as statins were negatively associated with steatohepatitis in patients negative (p<0.001), but not in those positive for the I148M variant (p=n.s.)., Conclusions: Statin use was associated with protection towards the full spectrum of liver damage in individuals at risk of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. However, the I148M PNPLA3 risk variant limited this beneficial effect., (Copyright © 2015 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Aim was to select naïve patients with genotype 1 chronic hepatitis C having a high probability of response to Peg-interferon+ribavirin therapy., Methods: In 1073 patients (derivation cohort), predictors of rapid and sustained virological response were identified by logistic analysis; regression coefficients were used to generate prediction models for sustained virological response. Probabilities at baseline and treatment week 4 were utilized to develop a decision rule to select patients with high likelihood of response. The model was then validated in 423 patients (validation cohort)., Results: In the derivation cohort, 257 achieved rapid virological response and 818 did not, with sustained virological response rates of 80.2% and 25.4%, respectively; interleukin-28B polymorphisms, fibrosis staging, gamma-glutamyl transferase, and viral load predicted sustained virological response. Assuming a <30% sustained virological response probability for not recommending Peg-interferon+ribavirin, 100 patients (25.6%) in the validation cohort were predicted a priori to fail this regimen. Assuming a ≥80% sustained virological response probability as a threshold to continue with Peg-interferon+ribavirin, 61 patients were predicted to obtain sustained virological response, and 55 of them (90.2%) eventually did., Conclusions: This model uses easily determined variables for a personalized estimate of the probability of sustained virological response with Peg-interferon+ribavirin, allowing to identify patients who may benefit from conventional therapy., (Copyright © 2014 Editrice Gastroenterologica Italiana S.r.l. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: Although the addition of the HCV NS3/4A protease inhibitors boceprevir and telaprevir to pegylated interferon (peginterferon) alfa plus ribavirin has improved sustained virological response (SVR) in treatment-naive and treatment-experienced patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1, the regimens have a high pill burden and are associated with increased rates and severity of adverse events, such as anaemia and rash. The efficacy and safety of the combination of simeprevir, a one pill, once-daily, oral HCV NS3/4A protease inhibitor, plus peginterferon alfa 2a plus ribavirin were assessed in treatment-naive patients with HCV genotype 1 infection., Methods: In QUEST-1, a phase 3, randomised, double-blind multicentre trial undertaken in 13 countries (Australia, Europe, North America, Puerto Rico, and New Zealand), 394 patients (aged ≥18 years) with chronic HCV genotype 1 infection and no history of HCV treatment, stratified by HCV subtype and host IL28B genotype, were randomly assigned in a 2:1 ratio with a computer-generated allocation sequence to receive simeprevir (150 mg once daily, orally) plus peginterferon alfa 2a plus ribavirin for 12 weeks, followed by peginterferon alfa 2a plus ribavirin (simeprevir group), or placebo orally plus peginterferon alfa 2a plus ribavirin for 12 weeks, followed by peginterferon alfa 2a plus ribavirin (placebo group). Treatment duration was 24 weeks or 48 weeks in the simeprevir group according to criteria for response-guided therapy (ie, HCV RNA <25 IU/mL [undetectable or detectable] at week 4 and <25 IU/mL undetectable at week 12) and 48 weeks in the placebo group. Patients, study personnel, and the sponsor were masked to the treatment group assignment. The primary efficacy endpoint was sustained virological response 12 weeks after the planned end of treatment (SVR12) and was assessed with an intention-to-treat analysis. The results of the primary analysis (week 60) are presented for safety and SVR12. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01289782., Findings: Treatment with simeprevir, peginterferon alfa 2a, and ribavirin was superior to placebo, peginterferon alfa 2a, and ribavirin (SVR12 in 210 [80%] patients of 264 vs 65 [50%] of 130, respectively, adjusted difference 29·3% [95% CI 20·1-38·6; p<0·0001). Adverse events in the first 12 weeks of treatment led to discontinuation of simeprevir in two (<1%) patients and discontinuation of placebo in one patient (<1%); fatigue (106 [40%] vs 49 [38%] patients, respectively) and headache (81 [31%] vs 48 [37%], respectively) were the most common adverse events. The prevalences of anaemia (42 [16%] vs 14 [11%], respectively) and rash (72 [27%] vs 33 [25%]) were similar in the simeprevir and placebo groups. Addition of simeprevir did not increase severity of patient-reported fatigue and functioning limitations, but shortened their duration., Interpretation: Simeprevir once daily with peginterferon alfa 2a and ribavirin shortens therapy in treatment-naive patients with HCV genotype 1 infection without worsening the adverse event profiles associated with peginterferon alfa 2a plus ribavirin., Funding: Janssen Infectious Diseases-Diagnostics., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: The pool of HCV genotype 1 patients likely to be cured by peg-interferon and ribavirin remains to be quantified., Methods: In 1045 patients treated with peg-interferon and ribavirin, two therapeutic strategies were confronted: the first one evaluated only baseline variables associated with sustained virological response (SVR), and the second one included the rapid virologic response (RVR) in addition to baseline predictors. An 80% SVR rate was the threshold to retain a strategy as clinically relevant., Results: Overall, 414 patients (39.6%) attained SVR. In the first strategy, the hierarchy of features independently associated with SVR was IL28B CC genotype (OR 5.082; CI 3.637-7.101), low (<400,000 IU) viremia (OR 2.907; CI 2.111-4.004), F0-F2 fibrosis (OR 1.631; CI 1.122-2.372) and type 2 diabetes (OR 0.528; CI 0.286-0.972). In the alternative strategy, SVR was associated with RVR (OR 6.273; CI 4.274-9.208), IL28B CC genotype (OR 3.306; CI 2.301-4.751), low viremia (OR 2.175; CI 1.542-3.070), and F0-F2 fibrosis (OR 1.506; CI 1.012-2.242). Combining the favorable baseline variables, the rates of SVR ranged from 42.4% to 83.3%, but only 66 patients (6.3%, overall) with all predictors could be anticipated to reach the >80% SVR threshold. Only 26.6% of no-RVR patients attained SVR. Among the 255 RVR patients, the likelihood of SVR was 61.8% in those with unfavorable predictors, 80% in the presence of a single predictor, and 100% when both predictors were present. By using this model, 200 patients (19.1%) were predicted to have an 80% chance of being cured with dual therapy., Conclusions: A consistent subset of naïve HCV-1 patients, identified by some baseline characteristics and RVR, may benefit from dual treatment with peg-interferon and ribavirin., (Copyright © 2013 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: The Sorafenib Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) Assessment Randomized Protocol (SHARP) trial demonstrated that sorafenib improves overall survival and is safe for patients with advanced HCC. In this trial, 602 patients with well-preserved liver function (>95% Child-Pugh A) were randomized to receive either sorafenib 400mg or matching placebo orally b.i.d. on a continuous basis. Because HCC is a heterogeneous disease, baseline patient characteristics may affect individual responses to treatment. In a comprehensive series of exploratory subgroup analyses, data from the SHARP trial were analyzed to discern if baseline patient characteristics influenced the efficacy and safety of sorafenib., Methods: Five subgroup domains were assessed: disease etiology, tumor burden, performance status, tumor stage, and prior therapy. Overall survival (OS), time to progression (TTP), disease control rate (DCR), and safety were assessed for subgroups within each domain., Results: Subgroup analyses showed that sorafenib consistently improved median OS compared with placebo, as reflected by hazard ratios (HRs) of 0.50-0.85, similar to the complete cohort (HR=0.69). Sorafenib also consistently improved median TTP (HR, 0.40-0.64), except in HBV-positive patients (HR, 1.03), and DCR. Results are limited by small patient numbers in some subsets. The most common grade 3/4 adverse events included diarrhea, hand-foot skin reaction, and fatigue; the incidence of which did not differ appreciably among subgroups., Conclusions: These exploratory subgroup analyses showed that sorafenib consistently improved median OS and DCR compared with placebo in patients with advanced HCC, irrespective of disease etiology, baseline tumor burden, performance status, tumor stage, and prior therapy., (Copyright © 2012 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: EPIC-3 is a prospective, international study that has demonstrated the efficacy of PEG-IFN alfa-2b plus weight-based ribavirin in patients with chronic hepatitis C and significant fibrosis who previously failed any interferon-alfa/ribavirin therapy. The aim of the present study was to assess FibroTest (FT), a validated non-invasive marker of fibrosis in treatment-naive patients, as a possible alternative to biopsy as the baseline predictor of subsequent early virologic (EVR) and sustained virologic response (SVR) in previously treated patients., Methods: Of 2312 patients enrolled, 1459 had an available baseline FT, biopsy, and complete data. Uni- (UV) and multi-variable (MV) analyses were performed using FT and biopsy., Results: Baseline characteristics were similar as in the overall population; METAVIR stage: 28% F2, 29% F3, and 43% F4, previous relapsers 29%, previous PEG-IFN regimen 41%, high baseline viral load (BVL) 64%. 506 patients (35%) had undetectable HCV-RNA at TW12 (TW12neg), with 58% achieving SVR. The accuracy of FT was similar to that in naive patients: AUROC curve for the diagnosis of F4 vs F2=0.80 (p<0.00001). Five baseline factors were associated (p<0.001) with SVR in UV and MV analyses (odds ratio: UV/MV): fibrosis stage estimated using FT (4.5/5.9) or biopsy (1.5/1.6), genotype 2/3 (4.5/5.1), BVL (1.5/1.3), prior relapse (1.6/1.6), previous treatment with non-PEG-IFN (2.6/2.0). These same factors were associated (p ≤ 0.001) with EVR. Among patients TW12neg, two independent factors remained highly predictive of SVR by MV analysis (p ≤ 0.001): genotype 2/3 (odds ratio=2.9), fibrosis estimated with FT (4.3) or by biopsy (1.5)., Conclusions: FibroTest at baseline is a possible non-invasive alternative to biopsy for the prediction of EVR at 12 weeks and SVR, in patients with previous failures and advanced fibrosis, retreated with PEG-IFN alfa-2b and ribavirin., (Copyright © 2010 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Aims: Oral mucosal lesions may be markers of chronic gastrointestinal disorders, such as those causing malabsorption. Our objectives were to assess the prevalence of recurrent oral aphthous-like ulcers in coeliac disease patients living in the Mediterranean area, and to evaluate the impact of a gluten-free diet., Methods: A test group of 269 patients (age range 3-17 years) with coeliac disease confirmed both serologically and histologically was compared with a control group of 575 otherwise clinically healthy subjects for the presence, or a positive history of aphthous-like ulcers. Coeliac disease patients with aphthous-like ulcers were re-evaluated 1-year after starting a gluten-free diet., Results: Aphthous-like ulcers were found significantly more frequently in coeliac disease, in 22.7% (61/269) of patients with coeliac disease versus 7.1% (41/575) of controls (p=<0.0001; chi-square=41.687; odds ratio=4.3123; 95% confidence interval=2.7664:6.722). Most coeliac disease patients with aphthous-like ulcers and adhering strictly to gluten-free diet (71.7%; 33/46) reported significant improvement on gluten-free diet, with no or reduced episodes of aphthous-like ulcers (p=0.0003; chi-square=13.101; odds ratio=24.67; 95% confidence interval=2.63:231.441)., Conclusions: The epidemiological association found between coeliac disease and aphthous-like ulcers suggests that recurrent aphthous-like ulcers should be considered a risk indicator for coeliac disease, and that gluten-free diet leads to ulcer amelioration.

Background: The Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire is a specific health-related quality of life assessment designed for patients with liver diseases., Aim: The aim of this paper is to report on the validity, reliability and sensitivity to change of the Italian version (Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire-I) in subjects with HCV infection., Subjects: The Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire-I was administered to 350 subjects with HCV infection together with the World Health Organization Quality of Life Assessment, abbreviated version, a generic quality of life assessment., Methods: The instrument was translated from English, backtranslated and reviewed in focus groups in the framework of a large multicentre study. Exploratory factor analysis identified five factors accounting for 65% of the variance of Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire-I items and only partially overlapping with those found in the original version., Results: The Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire-I proved to discriminate between subjects with and without comorbid diseases at baseline (t-test = 3.59, p < 0.001). Test-retest reliability was moderate (ICC = 0.60). The Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire-I was sensitive to change in patients who deteriorated after one month of treatment. Change in the overall Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire-I score in deteriorated patients was correlated with changes in World Health Organization Quality of Life Assessment, abbreviated version scores in the physical, psychological and environment, but not in the social area., Conclusions: The Italian version of Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire is a valid and reliable instrument to be used in cross-sectional and longitudinal studies.

Background: Prothrombin time is a benchmark for functional assessment in cirrhosis and Factor VII levels (FVII), crucial in determining the prothrombin time, are genetically determined., Methods: We have evaluated the prothrombin time, a number of haemostatic variables synthesised by the liver (FII, FV, FVII and activated FVII, AT and fibrinogen) and two polymorphisms of the FVII gene (5'F7 and 353R/Q) in: (a) patients with liver cirrhosis (n=118), (b) patients with chronic hepatitis (n=102) and (c) controls (n=100)., Results: By one-way analyses of variance, the prothrombin time and the mean levels of the FII, FV, FVIIc, FVIIa, and AT were statistically different between cirrhotics, chronic hepatitis patients and controls. The allele frequency of the FVII polymorphisms did not differ between the three groups. Those rare patients (4.6%) who were homozygous for the type 2 alleles had markedly reduced FVIIc and FVIIa levels. The analysis carried out taking into account Child class versus FVII genotype showed that the mean FVIIc levels were comparable for different genotypes within each Child's class, with the exception of the patients homozygous for the type 1 allele., Conclusion: Our findings help to explain the not infrequent finding of a severely prolonged prothrombin time in patients who are otherwise in a good functional class.

Background: Ascites is one of the most frequent severe complications in patients with liver cirrhosis. The treatment of this chronic disease usually requires the prolonged use of albumin, frequently continued even after patients' discharge from the hospital., Aims: Aim of the study was to define a consensus among Italian physicians with regard to the use of albumin in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and ascites., Methods: The study adopted the Delphi technique to conduct the consensus activities. All controversial issues related to the use of albumin were identified by the experts' board and proposed to the 68 participating hepatology centres through two subsequent questionnaires. The questionnaires, returned by the specialists involved, were collected and the answers classified to verify the elements on which a consensus was reached., Results: The home use of albumin can help to improve the patient's general conditions and well-being. About 77% of the experts involved considered likely that albumin administration could shorten hospital stays or could reduce the number of hospital admissions. The results of the study, along with a socioeconomic analysis, were presented to the Italian Drug Commission, which subsequently removed the specific hypoalbuminemia level as a prerequisite for having the drug reimbursed by the National Health Service., Conclusions: For an outpatient prescription, the hypoalbuminemia limit of 2.5 g/dl or less is not sufficient, while the decision whether to administer the drug requires the evaluation of patient's overall clinical conditions as an essential criterion for the prescription of a home treatment with albumin.

Conventional interferon therapy has been used for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) for many decades. However, the use of interferon has been limited by its short half-life and high incidence of dose-related side effects. A meta-analysis investigating the short- and long-term consequences of interferon therapy showed that, whilst interferon therapy was beneficial in the short term, resulting in normalization of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels, loss of HBeAg, 'e' seroconversion and suppression of hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA, the long-term benefits were less substantial. Pegylation of interferon (peginterferon alpha-2a [40 kDa]) led to improved pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic profiles, which translated to superior efficacy compared with conventional, nonpegylated interferon, in the treatment of chronic hepatitis C. A phase II study investigated the safety and efficacy of peginterferon alpha-2a (40 kDa) in the treatment of chronic hepatitis B. The results demonstrated a rapid and dramatic reduction in HBV DNA levels, HBeAg clearance and normalization of ALT with peginterferon alpha-2a (40 kDa) compared with conventional interferon. Furthermore, peginterferon alpha-2a (40 kDa) conferred a notably improved treatment response in patients with 'difficult-to-treat' hepatitis B infection. In conclusion, peginterferon alpha-2a (40 kDa) is a promising emerging therapy for CHB.

Background: Patients with chronic hepatitis C infected by hepatitis A virus have a substantial risk of fulminant hepatitis or death, while the course of hepatitis A virus is uncomplicated in most subjects with chronic hepatitis B., Aim: To evaluate the prevalence of anti-hepatitis A virus antibodies and the incidence of hepatitis A virus seroconversion in a nationwide sample of 530 patients with chronic hepatitis B and/or hepatitis C infection initially susceptible to this infection after a follow-up of some years., Results: The overall anti-hepatitis A virus prevalence was 85.7%, with no difference between males and females. By the age of 50 years, almost all patients were found to have been exposed to hepatitis A virus. After a mean follow-up period of 76 months the overall anti-hepatitis A virus seroconversion rate in the 76 initially susceptible individuals was 1.2 per 100 person/years. However, it was 0.3 per 100 person/years in those hepatitis B surface antigen positive but 3.36 per 100 person/years in those anti-hepatitis C virus positive. None of the seroconverters was affected by a clinically evident disease or showed deterioration of underlying chronic liver disease., Conclusions: The present study shows that Italian patients >50 years of age with chronic liver disease have already been exposed to hepatitis A virus suggesting that anti-hepatitis A virus screening is not advisable in these subjects.

Background/aims: This study aimed to assess the main features of hepatocellular carcinoma at the time of diagnosis in Italy, particularly in relation to the presence or absence of underlying cirrhosis, hepatitis virus marker patterns, age of the subjects and alpha-foetoprotein values., Methods: A total of 1148 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma seen at 14 Italian hospitals in the 1-year period from May 1996 to May 1997 were the subjects of this prevalence study. Both newly diagnosed cases (incident cases) and cases diagnosed before May 1996 but still attending the hospitals during the study period (prevalent cases) were included., Results: We found that 71.1% of cases were positive for hepatitis C virus antibodies but negative for HBsAg; in contrast, 11.5% were negative for anti-HCV but positive for HBsAg; 5.3% were positive for both markers; and 12.1% were negative for both viruses. The mean age of detection was over 60 years, with a younger mean age in HBsAg-positive compared to anti-HCV-positive patients (59.3 years vs. 65.6 years, p<0.01). The male-to-female ratio among HBsAg-positive patients was 10.4:1, in contrast to 2.8:1 among anti-HCV-positive patients (p<0.01). The majority of cases (93.1%) had underlying cirrhosis. Cirrhotic patients were more likely to be anti-HCV positive than non-cirrhotic cases (73.2% vs 43.9%; p<0.01); conversely, absence of hepatitis virus markers was more frequently observed in the non-cirrhotic than in the cirrhotic population (40.9% vs. 10.0%; p<0.01). Overall, the alpha-foetoprotein level was altered (>20 ng/ml) in 57.9% of patients; only 18% of cases presented diagnostic (>400 ng/ml) values. Anti-HCV positivity (O.R. 2.0; CI 95%=1.3-3.1) but not HBsAg positivity (O.R. 1.0; CI 95%=0.6-1.8) was shown to be an independent predictor of the likelihood of altered alpha-foetoprotein values by multivariate analysis., Conclusions: These findings point to differences in the characteristics of the populations infected by hepatitis B and hepatitis C. Factors other than the hepatitis viruses are important in non-cirrhotic patients. A change in the relative prevalence of hepatitis virus markers among hepatocellular carcinoma cases was demonstrated, reflecting a significant change in the rate of HBV endemicity in the Italian population. Finally, the increased trend in the mortality rate from liver cancer in Italy from 4.8 per 100,000 in 1969 to 10.9 in 1994 may reflect the large cohort of subjects infected with HCV via the iatrogenic route during 1950s and 1960s when glass syringes were commonly used for medical treatment.

Background/aims: To investigate host- and virus-related factors predictive of early and sustained alanine aminotransferase normalization after interferon therapy for HCV-related chronic liver disease, in an area where genotype 1 is highly prevalent., Methods: We studied 100 patients with HCV-RNA positive chronic liver disease (73 chronic hepatitis and 27 cirrhosis) undergoing alpha-interferon treatment. Thirty-four patients had an early response but relapsed, 15 patients remained into sustained response for at least 12 months after therapy, and 51 patients did not respond. Serum HCV-RNA levels were assessed by bDNA (Chiron), and genotype by LiPA (Innogenetics) and by sequencing of the 5' non-coding region., Results: Mean pre-treatment HCV-RNA level (x 10(3) genome equivalents/ml +/- SD) was lower in sustained responders (3854 +/- 7142) than in relapsers (9587 +/- 10163) or in non-responders (5709 +/- 6618). HCV subtype 1b was highly prevalent (82%), while types 1a, 2a, 3 and 4 were rare (about 5% each). However, the prevalence of 1b was much lower (31%) under 40 years of age. The prevalence of subtype 1b among sustained responders (74%) was similar to that observed among relapsers (82%) or non-responders (84%), but some nucleotide substitutions in the putative RNA loop of the 5' non-coding region were seen only among relapsers or non-responders. Multiple logistic regression model showed that early response to interferon was predicted by absence of cirrhosis and a pre-treatment HCV-RNA level below 350. Sustained response to interferon was predicted by pre-treatment HCV-RNA level below 350 and a low fibrosis score., Conclusions: Among patients with hepatitis C from an area where subtype 1b is highly prevalent, absence of cirrhosis and low pre-treatment serum HCV-RNA level are the most important predictors of response to IFN. Some nucleotide substitutions found in the 5' non-coding region of subtype 1b are associated with non-response or relapse.

Background/aims: Different variants of hepatitis C virus might show different susceptibility to interferon alpha treatment, but it is important to understand whether this difference in sensitivity reflects an association with other factors, such as cirrhosis or age., Methods: We have used an enzyme-linked immunosorbent hepatitis C virus typing assay based upon the detection of antibody in patient's era to type-specific NS-4 antigens to investigate the effect of hepatitis C virus type in 610 patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection. The influence of viral types and their interdependency with host factors were separately analyzed to establish which factors executed an independent effect on the probability of sustained response., Results: There was a marked difference in the distribution of hepatitis C virus types with age: infection with type 3 was more common in younger patients. The distribution of hepatitis C virus type with age is accounted for by differences in risk-factors for infection in different age groups. The frequency of cirrhosis increased markedly with age. Even after standardization for age, center and the presence of cirrhosis, viral type was strongly related to the outcome of infection., Conclusions: Our data suggest that enzyme-linked immunosorbent hepatitis C virus typing could assist in patient selection for interferon treatment to improve sustained response rates. Together with measurement of viral load, hepatitis C virus typing may serve to indicate the probability of response in patients with chronic hepatitis C, and to elucidate antiviral mechanisms in the disease. The serotyping assay provides a relatively inexpensive screening method to determine the infecting hepatitis C virus type, which could facilitate therapeutic decisions and strategies in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

Alpha interferon induces HBeAg seroconversion in about one third of treated patients and has become an established treatment of chronic hepatitis B. A number of smaller studies have suggested that response to treatment is more likely to occur in patients with higher levels of transaminases, with recent (adult) onset, a history of acute hepatitis, low levels of HBV DNA and in heterosexual males. The aim of this European co-operative study was to estimate the effect of alpha interferon more accurately and to evaluate the influence of host pre-treatment variables on the effect of interferon. Individual data were collected from 751 patients from 10 controlled clinical trials on alpha interferon (lymphoblastoid or recombinant) treatment for chronic hepatitis B. Alpha interferon was administered to 496 patients, while 255 were untreated controls. Individual patient data were analysed by survival analysis (log rank test and Cox regression analysis), stratified by trial, with the disappearance of HBeAg as the major endpoint. The results showed that the HBeAg disappearance rate with or without interferon treatment was higher in patients with high aminotransferase levels, with a history of acute hepatitis and in male heterosexual patients disregarding HIV status. If HIV-positive patients were excluded, the effect of sexual orientation was not significant. Therapy with alpha interferon increased the a priori HBeAg disappearance rate by a factor of 1.76; the relative treatment effect of alpha interferon was independent of the tested pretreatment host variables, but dependent on the total (intended) interferon dose (low dose < or = 200 MU/m2 increased HBeAg disappearance by a factor 1.37; medium/high dose > or = 200 MU/m2 increased HBeAg disappearance by a factor 2.05). In conclusion, this meta-analysis suggests that the effect of alpha interferon is less than previously assumed and independent of pretreatment host variables tested. It confirms the higher therapeutic benefit of a total dose exceeding 200 MU/m2 and of selection of patients based on disease activity and immune reactivity. Although all patient seem to have the same relative benefit, the absolute benefit of alpha interferon treatment seems to be greatest in patients with high transaminase levels and with a history of acute hepatitis.

The epidemiology of HDV infection in Italy was assessed in a retrospective study involving 1556 HBsAg chronic carriers on their first presentation at one of the 35 Liver Units in 1987. Total anti-HD was detected in 23.4% of HBsAg carriers and was significantly more frequent in southern than in northern Italy (26.6% vs. 19.1%, p less than 0.01). Age distribution showed that 73% of the anti-HD-positive subjects, but only 56% of the anti-HD-negative subjects, were under 40 years of age (p less than 0.01). Anti-HD prevalence increased with the severity of the liver disease from 3.8% in healthy carriers to 42.5% in cirrhosis. No geographical statistical difference was found among HBsAg healthy carriers or subjects with chronic persistent hepatitis (CPH), while among patients with chronic active hepatitis (CAH) or cirrhosis anti-HD prevalence was much higher in the south (p less than 0.01). The various potential risk factors were evaluated by multiple logistic regression analysis. HDV infection was independently related to young age, residence in the south, i.v. drug abuse, a large family and household contact with an anti-HD-positive carrier. No association was found with blood transfusion or male homosexuality. These findings confirm that HDV infection is endemic in Italy, particularly in some southern areas, where intrafamily contact probably at a young age may favour the spread of the infection.

Both high and low anti-hepatitis C virus antibody (anti-HCV) prevalence has been reported in autoimmune chronic active hepatitis. Therefore, we studied 15 consecutive HBsAg-negative, ELISA anti-HCV-positive, autoantibody-positive patients with biopsy proven chronic active hepatitis in order to confirm ELISA specificity by immunoblot test (RIBA-HCV), and to evaluate HCV replication by serum HCV-RNA. Nine patients were anti-nuclear, three type 1 anti-liver-kidney microsomal and three anti-smooth muscle antibody positive. None had associated autoimmune disease. All cases showed mild clinical disease and only moderate necroinflammatory activity. Response to prednisone was poor. RIBA-HCV confirmed ELISA results in all patients. HCV-RNA was found in the serum from 10 patients. Institution of alpha-interferon treatment in three steroid non-responsive patients was followed by prompt normalization of transaminases. Thus, a subgroup of autoantibody-positive chronic active hepatitis can be recognized as HCV-related and should be clinically and etiologically distinguished from autoimmune chronic active hepatitis. Trials of alpha-interferon treatment are worthwhile in this condition.

A series of 120 patients with chronic delta hepatitis virus (HDV) were investigated using a newly developed assay for the detection of serum delta RNA and this marker was correlated with other markers of HDV infection. The assay was shown to be both specific and sensitive and provides a direct non-invasive measurement of HDV infectivity. Serum HDV RNA was detected in 51.2% of all patients and in about 64% of those who were liver HDV antigen positive. Its presence was particularly associated with the early stages of the disease where it was found in 83% of cases with chronic active hepatitis (CAH) and progressively less common in CAH associated with cirrhosis and in inactive cirrhosis. The presence of both HBeAg (and HBV DNA) and high levels of HDV RNA in the sera of 5 of the patients analysed, clearly demonstrates simultaneous replication of both HBV and HDV. The serum HDV RNA 'slot blot' assay described in this study should prove invaluable in elucidating further the natural history of delta hepatitis and in monitoring antiviral therapy.

The prevalence of hepatitis delta virus (HDV) infection was significantly higher among the relatives of 79 carriers of HBsAg with antibody to HDV (index cases) than among relatives of 111 carriers without serological evidence of HDV infection (controls). Antibody to HDV was found in 45 of the 80 (56%) carriers of HBsAg in families of index cases but only in 2 of 59 (3%) carriers in families of controls (P less than 0.0001). During follow-up new HDV infection developed in 31% of 13 susceptible carriers in families of index cases, but only in 1.2% of 162 susceptible carriers in families of controls (P less than 0.001). None of the family members previously unexposed to the hepatitis B virus had HDV markers in serum or developed this infection during the follow-up. Familial clustering shows that HDV is transmitted by personal contacts, presumably through the inapparent permucosal or percutaneous passage of virus during close or intimate contact. The family model indicates that endemic HDV is maintained and spread through the network of carriers in the community, and that HBsAg carriers in contact with HBsAg/HDV carriers are at high risk of contracting HDV.