1. A model for establishment, maintenance and reactivation of the immune response after vaccination against Ebola virus
- Author
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Balelli, Irene, Pasin, Chloé, Prague, Mélanie, Crauste, Fabien, Effelterre, Thierry Van, Bockstal, Viki, Solforosi, Laura, Thiébaut, Rodolphe, Statistics In System biology and Translational Medicine (SISTM), Inria Bordeaux - Sud-Ouest, Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Epidémiologie et Biostatistique [Bordeaux], Université Bordeaux Segalen - Bordeaux 2-Institut de Santé Publique, d'Épidémiologie et de Développement (ISPED)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Université Bordeaux Segalen - Bordeaux 2-Institut de Santé Publique, d'Épidémiologie et de Développement (ISPED)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Vaccine Research Institute (VRI), Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12 (UPEC UP12), Bordeaux population health (BPH), Université de Bordeaux (UB)-Institut de Santé Publique, d'Épidémiologie et de Développement (ISPED)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Columbia University Medical Center (CUMC), Columbia University [New York], Institut de Mathématiques de Bordeaux (IMB), Université Bordeaux Segalen - Bordeaux 2-Université Sciences et Technologies - Bordeaux 1-Université de Bordeaux (UB)-Institut Polytechnique de Bordeaux (Bordeaux INP)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Janssen Pharmaceutica [Beerse], Janssen Vaccines & Prevention [Leiden], This work has received funding from the Innovative Medicines Initiative2 Joint Undertaking under Grant Agreement EBOVAC1 (No. 115854). This Joint Undertaking receives support from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme and EFPIA. This work was also supported by the Investissements d’Avenir program managed by the ANR under reference ANR-10-LABX-77., Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)- Bordeaux population health (BPH), Université de Bordeaux (UB)-Institut de Santé Publique, d'Épidémiologie et de Développement (ISPED)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Université de Bordeaux (UB)-Institut de Santé Publique, d'Épidémiologie et de Développement (ISPED)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Epidémiologie et Biostatistique [Bordeaux], Université Bordeaux Segalen - Bordeaux 2-Institut de Santé Publique, d'Épidémiologie et de Développement (ISPED)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Université Bordeaux Segalen - Bordeaux 2-Institut de Santé Publique, d'Épidémiologie et de Développement (ISPED)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Inria Bordeaux - Sud-Ouest, Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria), This work has received funding from the Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking under Grant Agreement EBOVAC1 (N° 115854). This Joint Undertaking receives support from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme and EFPIA. The funder of the study had no role in the study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or writing the report. The corresponding author had full access to all the data in the study and had final responsibility for the decision to submit for publication. This work was also supported by the Investissements d’Avenir program managed by the ANR under reference ANR-10-LABX-77., Université Bordeaux Segalen - Bordeaux 2-Université Sciences et Technologies - Bordeaux 1 (UB)-Université de Bordeaux (UB)-Institut Polytechnique de Bordeaux (Bordeaux INP)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), and Balelli, Irene
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Mechanistic modeling ,Vaccination ,[MATH] Mathematics [math] ,Immunological memory ,SISTM ,[SDV.IMM.VAC] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Immunology/Vaccinology ,Heterologous vaccination ,Calibration ,[SDV.SPEE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologie ,[SDV.IMM.VAC]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Immunology/Vaccinology ,[MATH]Mathematics [math] ,Sensitivity analysis ,Ebola Virus ,Identifiability analysis - Abstract
International audience; The 2014-2016 Ebola outbreak in West Africa has triggered accelerated development of several preventive vaccines against Ebola virus. Under the EBOVAC1 consortium, three phase I studies were carried out to assess safety and immunogenicity of a two-dose heterologous vaccination regimen developed by Janssen Vaccines and Prevention in collaboration with Bavarian Nordic. To describe the immune responses induced by the two-dose heterologous vaccine regimen, we propose a mechanistic ODE based model, which takes into account the role of immunological memory. We perform identifiability and sensitivity analysis of the proposed model to establish which kind of biological data are ideally needed in order to accurately estimate parameters, and additionally, which of those are non-identifiable based on the available data. Antibody concentrations data from phase I studies have been used to calibrate the model and show its ability in reproducing the observed antibody dynamics. Together with other factors, the establishment of an effective and reactive immunological memory is of pivotal importance for several prophylactic vaccines. We show that introducing a memory compartment in our calibrated model allows to evaluate the magnitude of the immune response induced by a booster dose and its long-term persistence afterwards.
- Published
- 2020
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