1. CDX2 Biomarker Testing and Adjuvant Therapy for Stage II Colon Cancer: An Exploratory Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.
- Author
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Alarid-Escudero F, Schrag D, and Kuntz KM
- Subjects
- Aged, Biomarkers, Tumor, Chemotherapy, Adjuvant methods, Colonic Neoplasms mortality, Colonic Neoplasms therapy, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Decision Support Techniques, Disease-Free Survival, Female, Fluorouracil economics, Fluorouracil therapeutic use, Humans, Leucovorin economics, Leucovorin therapeutic use, Male, Markov Chains, Middle Aged, Models, Economic, Neoplasm Staging, Organoplatinum Compounds economics, Organoplatinum Compounds therapeutic use, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Risk Assessment, Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols economics, Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols therapeutic use, CDX2 Transcription Factor biosynthesis, Chemotherapy, Adjuvant economics, Colonic Neoplasms drug therapy, Colonic Neoplasms pathology
- Abstract
Objectives: Adjuvant chemotherapy is not recommended for patients with average-risk stage II (T3N0) colon cancer. Nevertheless, a subgroup of these patients who are CDX2-negative might benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of testing for the absence of CDX2 expression followed by adjuvant chemotherapy (fluorouracil combined with oxaliplatin [FOLFOX]) for patients with stage II colon cancer., Methods: We developed a decision model to simulate a hypothetical cohort of 65-year-old patients with average-risk stage II colon cancer with 7.2% of these patients being CDX2-negative under 2 different interventions: (1) test for the absence of CDX2 expression followed by adjuvant chemotherapy for CDX2-negative patients and (2) no CDX2 testing and no adjuvant chemotherapy for any patient. We derived disease progression parameters, adjuvant chemotherapy effectiveness and utilities from published analyses, and cancer care costs from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare data. Sensitivity analyses were conducted., Results: Testing for CDX2 followed by FOLFOX for CDX2-negative patients had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $5500/quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) compared with no CDX2 testing and no FOLFOX (6.874 vs 6.838 discounted QALYs and $89 991 vs $89 797 discounted US dollar lifetime costs). In sensitivity analyses, considering a cost-effectiveness threshold of $100 000/QALY, testing for CDX2 followed by FOLFOX on CDX2-negative patients remains cost-effective for hazard ratios of <0.975 of the effectiveness of FOLFOX in CDX2-negative patients in reducing the rate of developing a metastatic recurrence., Conclusions: Testing tumors of patients with stage II colon cancer for CDX2 and administration of adjuvant treatment to the subgroup found CDX2-negative is a cost-effective and high-value management strategy across a broad range of plausible assumptions., (Copyright © 2021 ISPOR–The Professional Society for Health Economics and Outcomes Research. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2022
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