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Objective: There is a significant cardiac morbidity and mortality after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR). However, information about long-term risk of cardiac events after EVAR and potential predictors is lacking. Therefore, the aim of this study was to determine incidence and predictors of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) at 1 and 5 years after elective EVAR for infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysms., Methods: Baseline, perioperative, and postoperative information of 320 patients was evaluated. The primary outcome was the incidence of MACE after EVAR, which was defined as acute coronary syndrome, unstable angina pectoris, de novo atrial fibrillation, hospitalization for heart failure, mitral valve insufficiency, revascularization (including percutaneous coronary intervention and coronary artery bypass grafting), as well as cardiovascular and noncardiovascular death. Kaplan-Meier analyses were performed to determine incidences of MACE, MACE excluding noncardiovascular death and cardiac events by excluding noncardiovascular and vascular death from MACE. Predictors of MACE were identified using univariate and multivariate binary regression analysis., Results: Through 1 and 5 years of follow-up after EVAR, freedom from MACE was 89.4% (standard error [SE], 0.018) and 59.8% (SE, 0.033), freedom from MACE excluding noncardiovascular death was 94.7% (SE, 0.013) and 77.5% (SE, 0.030) and freedom from cardiac events was 96.0% (SE, 0.011) and 79.1% (SE, 0.030), respectively. Predictors for MACE within 1 year were American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score of III or IV (odds ratio [OR], 3.17; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.52-6.59) and larger abdominal aortic diameter (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.08). A history of atrial fibrillation (OR, 0.14; 95% CI, 0.03-0.60) was a negative predictor factor. Predictors for MACE through 5 years were a history of heart failure (OR, 4.10; 95% CI 1.36-12.32) and valvular heart disease (OR, 2.31; 95% CI, 0.97-5.51), American Society of Anesthesiologists score of 3 or 4 (OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 0.96-2.88), and older age (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.08)., Conclusions: MACE is a common complication during the first 5 years after elective EVAR. Cardiac diseases at baseline are strong predictors for long-term MACE and potentially helpful in optimizing future postoperative long-term follow-up., (Copyright © 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Patients undergoing elective electrical cardioversion (ECV) for atrial fibrillation have a temporarily increased risk of thromboembolism. Current guidelines recommend adequate anticoagulation for ≥3 consecutive weeks precardioversion, i.e. consecutive INR values 2.0-3.0 in patients with vitamin K antagonists (VKA). We aimed to evaluate the occurrence and impact of subtherapeutic INRs precardioversion and to study factors associated with these unwanted fluctuations., Methods: We recruited 346 consecutive patients undergoing elective ECV in the Maastricht University Medical Centre between 2008 and 2013. Predictors of subtherapeutic INR values were identified and incorporated into a logistic regression model., Results: A subtherapeutic INR precardioversion occurred in 55.2% of patients. The only statistically significant predictor was VKA-naivety (Odds Ratio (OR) 4.78, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 2.67-8.58, p<0.001). In patients with ≥1 subtherapeutic INR precardioversion, time from referral until cardioversion was 91.1±42.8days, compared to 41.7±26.6days (p<0.001) in patients without subtherapeutic INRs. No thromboembolic events occurred <30days after the ECV. Independent predictors for the combined endpoint of cardiovascular death, ischemic stroke and the need of blood transfusion (n=30, median follow-up of 374days) were coronary artery disease in the history (OR 3.35, 95%CI 1.54-7.25, p=0.002) and subtherapeutic INR precardioversion (OR 3.64, 95%CI 1.43-9.24, p=0.007)., Conclusions: The use of VKA often results in subtherapeutic INRs precardioversion and is associated with a significant delay until cardioversion, especially in patients with recent initiation of VKA therapy. Furthermore, subtherapeutic INR levels prior to ECV are associated with the combined endpoint of cardiovascular death, ischemic stroke and the need of blood transfusion., (Copyright © 2016 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ireland Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Background: Electrophysiological studies demonstrate that a short atrial fibrillation cycle length (AFCL) is related with poor outcome of electrical cardioversion (ECV) of atrial fibrillation (AF). We found previously that the mechanical AFCL (AFCL-tvi) and atrial fibrillatory velocity (AFV-tvi) may be determined noninvasively using color tissue velocity imaging (TVI) and closely relates to the electrophysiological AFCL., Objective: To evaluate the relation between AFCL-tvi, AFV-tvi, and success of ECV in patients with AF., Methods: We prospectively studied 133 patients with persistent AF by performing echocardiography before ECV and measured the AFCL-tvi and AFV-tvi in the right atrium and left atrium. Recurrent AF was monitored., Results: Nineteen (14%) patients had failure of ECV, 42 (32%) remained in sinus rhythm after 1-year follow-up, and 72 (54%) had a recurrence of persistent AF. Patients with immediate ECV failure had a lower median AFV-tvi measured in the right atrium than did patients with a successful ECV: 0.7 cm/s (0.2-1.0 cm/s) vs. 1.7 cm/s (0.9-2.8 cm/s) (P = .008). Patients with maintenance of sinus rhythm after 1 year had a longer AFCL-tvi measured in the left atrium than did patients with recurrence of AF (150 ms vs 137 ms; P = .017) and had a higher AFV-tvi in both atria (1.4 vs. 0.9 cm/s in the left atrium; P = .013 and 2.2 vs 1.4 cm/s in the right atrium; P = .011). Multivariate analyses showed that all atrial TVI parameters were independently associated with the maintenance of sinus rhythm after 1 year., Conclusion: Higher atrial fibrillatory wall velocities and longer AFCLs determined by echocardiography are associated with acute and long-term success of ECV., (Copyright © 2014 Heart Rhythm Society. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Acute atrial fibrillation (AF) is often treated with the administration of intravenous flecainide; however, this treatment may not always be successful and is potentially hazardous. Previous studies suggest that electro-echocardiographic tissue velocity imaging (TVI) of the atrial wall may reflect atrial remodeling., Objective: To study whether atrial TVI can be used to identify nonresponders of flecainide administered intravenously in patients with acute AF., Methods: We used atrial TVI to measure atrial fibrillatory cycle length determined by using tissue velocity imaging (AFCL-TVI) and atrial fibrillatory wall motion velocity determined by using tissue velocity imaging (AFV-TVI) in the left atrium in 52 (55%) patients presenting with acute AF in the emergency department. These 2 parameters reflect electrical and structural remodeling, respectively. Standard baseline characteristics were recorded., Results: Patients were predominantly men (76%) and 64 ± 11 years old. Thirty-six (69%) patients had successful cardioversion after flecainide infusion. There were no significant differences in baseline characteristics between responders and nonresponders. Patients with a successful cardioversion had a longer mean AFCL-TVI and higher median (interquartile range) AFV-TVI compared with patients with failed cardioversion: 172 ± 29 ms vs 137 ± 35 ms (P < .001) and 4.2 (3.3-6.2) cm/s vs 2.3 (1.9-3.5) cm/s (P = .001)., Conclusions: Electro-echocardiographic atrial TVI measurement is a promising noninvasive tool for predicting outcome of pharmacological cardioversion. A short AFCL-TVI and a low AFV-TVI are related to failure of cardioversion of AF using flecainide., (Copyright © 2014 Heart Rhythm Society. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: The risk of stroke associated with atrial fibrillation (AF) is higher in Far Eastern population than in Western population, and warfarin use suboptimal. There is uncertainty whether the novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) would have a major impact on stroke prevention in Far Eastern populations with AF., Objectives: We investigated current antithrombotic therapy use on stroke and bleeding risk, determinants of warfarin use and performed a modeling analysis of the net clinical benefit of the NOACs (apixaban, dabigatran) in a large cohort of Chinese patients with AF., Methods: We studied 1034 Chinese patients (27.1% female, median age 75 years, interquartile range [IQR]: 63-83) with AF who were followed-up for an average of 1.9 years (IQR: 1.43-2.64). Stroke/thromboembolism (TE), and major bleeding associated to antithrombotic treatment were investigated. A modeling analysis was performed for the net clinical benefit balancing major bleeding against stroke/TE for dabigatran 110 mg bid, dabigatran 150 mg bid and apixaban, using their respective recent clinical trial outcome data., Results: Using a Cox proportional hazard model, the Hazard Ratio [HR (95% confidence interval, CI)] for stroke/TE compared to no-antithrombotic therapy (no ATT) was 1.27 (0.65-2.50) on aspirin, 1.40 (0.35-3.57) on clopidogrel, 1.52 (0.72-3.23) on dual antiplatelets and 1.65 (0.76-3.57) on warfarin. The risk for major bleeding was 0.35 (0.14-0.85) on aspirin, 0.74 (0.24-2.29) on clopidogrel, 0.35 (0.11-1.10) on dual antiplatelets, and 0.88 (0.36-2.17) on warfarin. Binary logistic regression analysis showed persistent/permanent AF (Odds Ratio, OR, 2.03 [95%CI 1.05-3.92], p=0.035) was associated with warfarin use, but age ≥75 years (0.26 [0.16-0.42], p<0.001), aspirin (0.18 [0.12-0.27], p<0.001) and clopidogrel (0.17 [0.08-0.33], p<0.001) were independent determinants of non-use of warfarin. On modeling net clinical benefit (per 100 person-years [95% CI]), apixaban use compared to antiplatelet agents or no ATT was 3.29 (2.15-4.30) using Singer's method and 2.08 (1.18-3.21) with Connolly's method amongst high-risk patients. The use of dabigatran 110 mg bid and 150 mg bid compared to antiplatelet agents could reduce an additional 18.1 stroke/TE and 24.3 stroke/TE events, respectively. Compared to warfarin, dabigatran 150 mg bid had the best net clinical benefit., Conclusions: There was suboptimal stroke prevention with no difference between antiplatelet and OAC treated patients, perhaps reflecting an inappropriate Target INR range. On modeling analyses, the use of the NOACs (apixaban and dabigatran) could provide better stroke prevention compared to antiplatelet (or warfarin) use in this Chinese AF population, with a positive net clinical benefit., (Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: Idiopathic atrial fibrillation (AF) refers to a clinically lacking cardiovascular or pulmonary disease generating the pathophysiologic substrate for the arrhythmia. However, because idiopathic AF is associated with an increased event rate, it could be a harbinger of as-yet undetected underlying heart disease., Objective: The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence of coronary artery disease (CAD) in patients diagnosed with idiopathic paroxysmal AF., Methods: Of the 3243 patients who underwent cardiac computed tomographic angiography (CTA) in our center between January 2008 and March 2011, we identified a total of 115 consecutive idiopathic paroxysmal AF patients who underwent CTA before electrophysiologic ablation. Patients were compared with 275 age-, sex-, and PROCAM risk score-matched healthy controls in permanent sinus rhythm. All patients were free of hypertension, diabetes, congestive heart failure, previous known coronary artery and peripheral vascular disease, previous stroke, thyroid, pulmonary, and renal disease, and structural abnormalities on echocardiography., Results: Controls more often showed a family history of CAD (38% vs 15%, P <.001), had a higher prevalence of smoking (25% vs 14%, P = .021), higher fasting blood glucose levels (5.5 ± 0.7 mmol/L vs 5.4 ± 0.6 mmol/L, P = .025), and smaller atrial diameters (37 ± 4 mm vs 40 ± 5 mm, P <.001) compared to AF patients. Notwithstanding the above, idiopathic AF patients significantly more often suffered from subclinical CAD compared to controls (49% vs 34%, P = .008). Multivariable regression analysis revealed that beside (as expected) age and gender, a history of AF and left atrial diameter were significant predictors of underlying CAD., Conclusion: Half of patients originally diagnosed with idiopathic paroxysmal AF show concealed underlying CAD. The detection and treatment of CAD at an early stage could improve the prognosis of these patients., (Copyright © 2012 Heart Rhythm Society. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objective: Despite extensive use of oral anticoagulation (OAC) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and the increased bleeding risk associated with such OAC use, no handy quantification tool for assessing this risk exists. We aimed to develop a practical risk score to estimate the 1-year risk for major bleeding (intracranial, hospitalization, hemoglobin decrease > 2 g/L, and/or transfusion) in a cohort of real-world patients with AF., Methods: Based on 3,978 patients in the Euro Heart Survey on AF with complete follow-up, all univariate bleeding risk factors in this cohort were used in a multivariate analysis along with historical bleeding risk factors. A new bleeding risk score termed HAS-BLED (Hypertension, Abnormal renal/liver function, Stroke, Bleeding history or predisposition, Labile international normalized ratio, Elderly (> 65 years), Drugs/alcohol concomitantly) was calculated, incorporating risk factors from the derivation cohort., Results: Fifty-three (1.5%) major bleeds occurred during 1-year follow-up. The annual bleeding rate increased with increasing risk factors. The predictive accuracy in the overall population using significant risk factors in the derivation cohort (C statistic 0.72) was consistent when applied in several subgroups. Application of the new bleeding risk score (HAS-BLED) gave similar C statistics except where patients were receiving antiplatelet agents alone or no antithrombotic therapy, with C statistics of 0.91 and 0.85, respectively., Conclusion: This simple, novel bleeding risk score (HAS-BLED) provides a practical tool to assess the individual bleeding risk of real-world patients with AF, potentially supporting clinical decision making regarding antithrombotic therapy in patients with AF.

Background: Contemporary clinical risk stratification schemata for predicting stroke and thromboembolism (TE) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are largely derived from risk factors identified from trial cohorts. Thus, many potential risk factors have not been included., Methods: We refined the 2006 Birmingham/National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) stroke risk stratification schema into a risk factor-based approach by reclassifying and/or incorporating additional new risk factors where relevant. This schema was then compared with existing stroke risk stratification schema in a real-world cohort of patients with AF (n = 1,084) from the Euro Heart Survey for AF., Results: Risk categorization differed widely between the different schemes compared. Patients classified as high risk ranged from 10.2% with the Framingham schema to 75.7% with the Birmingham 2009 schema. The classic CHADS(2) (Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age > 75, Diabetes, prior Stroke/transient ischemic attack) schema categorized the largest proportion (61.9%) into the intermediate-risk strata, whereas the Birmingham 2009 schema classified 15.1% into this category. The Birmingham 2009 schema classified only 9.2% as low risk, whereas the Framingham scheme categorized 48.3% as low risk. Calculated C-statistics suggested modest predictive value of all schema for TE. The Birmingham 2009 schema fared marginally better (C-statistic, 0.606) than CHADS(2). However, those classified as low risk by the Birmingham 2009 and NICE schema were truly low risk with no TE events recorded, whereas TE events occurred in 1.4% of low-risk CHADS(2) subjects. When expressed as a scoring system, the Birmingham 2009 schema (CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc acronym) showed an increase in TE rate with increasing scores (P value for trend = .003)., Conclusions: Our novel, simple stroke risk stratification schema, based on a risk factor approach, provides some improvement in predictive value for TE over the CHADS(2) schema, with low event rates in low-risk subjects and the classification of only a small proportion of subjects into the intermediate-risk category. This schema could improve our approach to stroke risk stratification in patients with AF.