Search

Postoperative mortality in Africa is twice that of wealthier countries. The SMARTER trial underscores this critical issue and aims to address the high mortality rates by harnessing a readily available resource requiring minimal funding. Conducted in Mbale, Uganda, this innovative trial trained family members to monitor basic vital signs following surgery. This task is usually performed by healthcare workers who are often a limited resource in low- and middle-income settings. Although the results demonstrate a potential for increasing the capacity to rescue in the postoperative period, there is a need for further research to assess real-world effectiveness. Any improvement in patient monitoring would be limited by the system's capacity to respond effectively to escalations made by family members and the possible inaccuracy of their monitoring. Intervening earlier in the preoperative pathway can reduce the need to rescue postoperatively, but the SMARTER intervention has the potential to contribute to the larger effort needed to reduce surgical deaths globally in resource-limited settings., Competing Interests: Declaration of interest The authors declare no conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)

Background: Telemedicine may help improve care quality and patient outcomes. Telemedicine for intraoperative decision support has not been rigorously studied., Methods: This was a single-centre randomised clinical trial of unselected adult surgical patients. Patients were randomised to receive usual care or decision support from a telemedicine service, which provided real-time recommendations to intraoperative anaesthesia clinicians based on case reviews and physiological alerts. ORs were randomised 1:1. The co-primary outcomes were 30-day all-cause mortality, respiratory failure, acute kidney injury, and delirium in the intensive care unit, analysed by intention to treat., Results: Between July 1, 2019, and January 31, 2023, a total of 35,302 patients were randomised to receive telemedicine support, with 36,625 receiving usual care. Telemedicine clinicians provided review in 11,812/35,302 cases, with alerts delivered to 2044/35,302 patients. Telemedicine support had no effect on any of the co-primary outcomes. Within 30 days, 630/35,302 (1.8%) patients randomised to telemedicine died within 30 days, compared with 649/36,625 (1.8%) receiving usual care (relative risk [RR]1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.87-1.16, P=0.98). Telemedicine support did not alter postoperative respiratory failure [telemedicine 1071/33,996 (3.2%) vs usual care 1130/35,236 (3.2%), RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.88-1.09, P=0.98], acute kidney injury [telemedicine 2316/33 251 (7.0%) vs usual care 2432/34,441 (7.1%); RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.92-1.06, P=0.98], or delirium [telemedicine 1264/3873 (32.6%) vs usual care 1298/4044 (32.1%), RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.94-1.10, P=0.98]., Conclusions: In this large randomised clinical trial, intraoperative telemedicine decision support using real-time alerts and case reviews had no impact on adverse postoperative outcomes., Clinical Trial Registration: NCT03923699., Competing Interests: Declaration of interest The authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Background: Previous studies have demonstrated an association between transplantation rate per center and postoperative mortality after heart transplantation. In 2011, Sweden centralized heart transplants and waiting lists, reducing the number of centers from 3 to 2. We aimed to assess the active waiting time and pre- and post-transplant mortality before and after centralization., Methods: Heart transplantations performed in Sweden between January 1, 2001 and December 31, 2020 were included. Background and donor organ supply data were collected from Scandiatransplant, the Swedish Thoracic Transplant Registry, and the Swedish Cardiac Surgery Registry. The Fine and Gray methods were applied to visualize cumulative incidence curves and conduct competing risk regressions. A Cox model was used to adjust for factors influencing time to post-transplant death., Results: When comparing the two eras, the median active waiting time increased from 54 to 71 days (p = 0.015). The risk of mortality on the waiting list decreased in the later era (subhazard ratio 0.43; [95% confidence interval {CI} 0.25-0.74]; p = 0.002). The number of heart transplantation procedures (including pediatric patients) increased by 53%. There was a significant difference in organ utilization between eras (p = 0.033; chi-square test). 30-day and 1-year survival post-transplant rates for adults increased from 90.8% to 97.8% (p < 0.001) and from 87.9% to 94.6% (p < 0.001), respectively. 1-year mortality was reduced by 63% (hazard ratio 0.37; 95% CI 0.22-0.61)., Conclusions: This nationwide study examined patients listed for and undergoing heart transplantation before and after the centralization of waiting lists and surgeries in Sweden. Waiting list mortality decreased, and 1-year post-transplantation survival was improved., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Study Objective: To assess the impact of preoperative infection with the contemporary strain of severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) on postoperative mortality, respiratory morbidity and extrapulmonary complications after elective, noncardiac surgery., Design: An ambidirectional observational cohort study., Setting: A tertiary and teaching hospital in Shanghai, China., Patients: All adult patients (≥ 18 years of age) who underwent elective, noncardiac surgery under general anesthesia at Huashan Hospital of Fudan University from January until March 2023 were screened for eligibility. A total of 2907 patients were included., Exposure: Preoperative coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) positivity., Measurements: The primary outcome was 30-day postoperative mortality. The secondary outcomes included postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs), myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS), acute kidney injury (AKI), postoperative delirium (POD) and postoperative sleep quality. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the risk of postoperative mortality and morbidity imposed by preoperative COVID-19., Main Results: The risk of 30-day postoperative mortality was not associated with preoperative COVID-19 [adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.40, 0.13-1.28, P = 0.123] or operation timing relative to diagnosis. Preoperative COVID-19 did not increase the risk of PPCs (aOR, 95% CI: 0.99, 0.71-1.38, P = 0.944), MINS (aOR, 95% CI: 0.54, 0.22-1.30; P = 0.168), or AKI (aOR, 95% CI: 0.34, 0.10-1.09; P = 0.070) or affect postoperative sleep quality. Patients who underwent surgery within 7 weeks after COVID-19 had increased odds of developing delirium (aOR, 95% CI: 2.26, 1.05-4.86, P = 0.036)., Conclusions: Preoperative COVID-19 or timing of surgery relative to diagnosis did not confer any added risk of 30-day postoperative mortality, PPCs, MINS or AKI. However, recent COVID-19 increased the risk of POD. Perioperative brain health should be considered during preoperative risk assessment for COVID-19 survivors., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: The Saint Louis University Score (SLUScore) was developed to quantify intraoperative blood pressure trajectories and their associated risk for adverse outcomes. This study examines the prevalence and severity of intraoperative hypotension described by the SLUScore and its relationship with 30-day mortality in surgical subtypes., Methods: This retrospective analysis of perioperative data included surgical cases performed between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2020. The SLUScore is calculated from cumulative time-periods for which the mean arterial pressure is below a range of hypotensive thresholds. After calculating the SLUScore for each surgical procedure, we quantified the prevalence and severity of intraoperative hypotension for each surgical procedure and the association between intraoperative hypotension and 30-day mortality. We used binary logistic regression to quantify the potential contribution of intraoperative hypotension to mortality., Results: We analysed 490 982 cases (57.7% female; mean age 57 yr); 33.2% of cases had a SLUScore>0, a median SLUScore of 13 (inter-quartile range [IQR] 7-21), with 1.19% average mortality. The SLUScore was associated with mortality in 12/14 surgical groups. The increases in the odds ratio for death within 30 days of surgery per SLUScore increment were: all surgery types 3.5% (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 3.2-3.9); abdominal/transplant surgery 6% (95% CI 1.5-10.7); thoracic surgery1.5% (95% CI 1-3.3); vascular surgery 3.01% (95% CI 1.9-4.05); spine/neurosurgery 1.1% (95% CI 0.1-2.1); orthopaedic surgery 1.4% (95% CI 0.7-2.2); gynaecological surgery 6.3% (95% CI 2.5-10.1); genitourinary surgery 4.84% (95% CI 3.5-6.15); gastrointestinal surgery 5.2% (95% CI 3.9-6.4); gastroendoscopy 5.5% (95% CI 4.4-6.7); general surgery 6.3% (95% CI 5.5-7.1); ear, nose, and throat surgery 1.6% (95% CI 0-3.27); and cardiac electrophysiology (including pacemaker procedures) 6.6% (95% CI 1.1-12.4)., Conclusions: The SLUScore was independently, but variably, associated with 30-day mortality after noncardiac surgery., (Copyright © 2024 British Journal of Anaesthesia. All rights reserved.)

Background: Major surgery is associated with high complication rates. Several risk scores exist to assess individual patient risk before surgery but have limited precision. Novel prognostic factors can be included as additional building blocks in existing prediction models. A candidate prognostic factor, measured by cardiopulmonary exercise testing, is ventilatory efficiency (VE/VCO 2 ). The aim of this systematic review was to summarise evidence regarding VE/VCO 2 as a prognostic factor for postoperative complications in patients undergoing major surgery., Methods: A medical library specialist developed the search strategy. No database-provided limits, considering study types, languages, publication years, or any other formal criteria were applied to any of the sources. Two reviewers assessed eligibility of each record and rated risk of bias in included studies., Results: From 10,082 screened records, 65 studies were identified as eligible. We extracted adjusted associations from 32 studies and unadjusted from 33 studies. Risk of bias was a concern in the domains 'study confounding' and 'statistical analysis'. VE/VCO 2 was reported as a prognostic factor for short-term complications after thoracic and abdominal surgery. VE/VCO 2 was also reported as a prognostic factor for mid- to long-term mortality. Data-driven covariable selection was applied in 31 studies. Eighteen studies excluded VE/VCO 2 from the final multivariable regression owing to data-driven model-building approaches., Conclusions: This systematic review identifies VE/VCO 2 as a predictor for short-term complications after thoracic and abdominal surgery. However, the available data do not allow conclusions about clinical decision-making. Future studies should select covariables for adjustment a priori based on external knowledge., Systematic Review Protocol: PROSPERO (CRD42022369944)., (Copyright © 2024 British Journal of Anaesthesia. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: Because of the high incidence of major perioperative adverse events, spine surgery in dialysis patients should be recommended carefully after consideration of its risks and benefits. However, the benefits of spine surgery in dialysis patients remain unclear because of the lack of long-term outcomes. The purpose of this study is to elucidate the long-term outcomes of spine surgery in dialysis patients, focusing on activities of daily living (ADLs), life expectancy, and risk factors for postoperative mortality., Methods: Data for 65 dialysis patients who underwent spine surgery at our institution and were followed up for a mean duration of 6.2 years were retrospectively reviewed. ADLs, number of surgeries, and survival times were recorded. The postoperative survival rate was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and risk factors for postoperative mortality were investigated using a generalized Wilcoxon test and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards model., Results: Compared with preoperative ADLs, ADLs significantly improved at discharge after surgery and at the final follow-up. However, 16 of the 65 patients (24.6%) underwent multiple surgeries, and 34 (52.3%) died during the follow-up period. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the survival rate after spine surgery was 95.4% at 1 year, 86.2% at 3 years, 69.6% at 5 years, 59.7% at 7 years, and 28.7% at 10 years, and the overall median survival time was 99 months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that a dialysis period of ≥10 years was a significant risk factor., Conclusions: Spine surgery in dialysis patients improved and maintained ADLs in the long term and did not shorten life expectancy. However, dialysis patients undergoing spine surgery require multiple surgeries more frequently, and a dialysis period of ≥10 years is a significant risk factor for postoperative mortality., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors report no conflict of interest concerning the materials or methods used in this study or the findings reported., (Copyright © 2023 The Japanese Orthopaedic Association. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Frailty assessment adds important prognostic information during preoperative decision-making but can be cumbersome to implement into routine clinical care. We developed and tested an abbreviated method of frailty assessment using variables routinely collected by the Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI) registry., Methods: An abbreviated frailty score (the simple Vascular Quality Initiative-Frailty Score [VQI-FS]) was developed using 11 or fewer VQI variables (hypertension, congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, peripheral vascular disease, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, renal impairment, anemia, underweight, nonhome residence, and nonambulatory status) that map to recognized frailty domains in the Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment and the literature. Nonemergent cases registered in the VQI from 2010 to 2017 (n = 265,632) in seven registries (carotid endarterectomy, n = 77,111; carotid artery stenting, n = 13,215; endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair, n = 29,607; open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair, n = 7442; infrainguinal bypass, n = 33,128; suprainguinal bypass, n = 10,661; and peripheral vascular intervention, n = 94,468) were analyzed using logistic regression models to determine the predictive power of the VQI-FS for perioperative and longer term (9-month) mortality. Nomograms were created using weighted regression coefficients to assist in individualized frailty assessment and estimation of 9-month mortality., Results: The VQI-FS, using equal weighting of these 11 VQI variables, effectively predicted 9-month mortality with an area under the curve of 0.724 by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. However, differential weighting of the variables allowed simplification of the model to only seven variables (congestive heart failure, renal impairment, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, not living at home, not ambulatory, anemia, and underweight status); hypertension, coronary artery disease, peripheral vascular disease, and diabetes had relatively low predictive power. Adding procedure-specific risk further improved performance of the model with a final area under the curve on receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of 0.758. Model calibration was excellent with predicted/observed regression line slope of 0.991 and intercept of 5.449e-04., Conclusions: A differentially weighted abbreviated VQI-FS using seven variables in addition to procedure-specific risk has strong correlation with 9-month mortality. Nomograms incorporating patient- and procedure-adjusted risk can effectively predict 9-month mortality. Reliable estimates of longer term mortality should assist in preoperative decision-making for vascular procedures that often carry substantial risk of mortality., (Copyright © 2022 Society for Vascular Surgery. All rights reserved.)

Background: Patients undergoing surgery for early stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) may be at high risk for postoperative mortality. Access to stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) may facilitate more appropriate patient selection for surgery., Research Question: Is postoperative mortality associated with early stage NSCLC lower at facilities with higher use of SBRT?, Study Design and Methods: Patients with early stage NSCLC reported to the National Cancer Database between 2004 and 2015 were included. Use of SBRT was defined by each facility's SBRT experience (in years) and SBRT to surgery volume ratios. Multivariate logistic regression was used to test for the associations between SBRT use and postoperative mortality., Results: The study cohort consisted of 202,542 patients who underwent surgical resection of cT1-T2N0M0 NSCLC tumors. The 90-day postoperative mortality rate declined during the study period from 4.6% to 2.6% (P < .001), the proportion of facilities that used SBRT increased from 4.6% to 77.5% (P < .001), and the proportion of patients treated with SBRT increased from 0.7% to 15.4% (P < .001). On multivariate analysis, lower 90-day postoperative mortality rates were observed at facilities with > 6 years of SBRT experience (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.76-0.94; P = .003) and SBRT to surgery volume ratios of more than 17% (OR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.79-0.92; P < .001). Ninety-day mortality also was associated with surgical volume, region, year, age, sex, and race, among other covariates. Interaction testing between these covariates showed negative results., Interpretation: Patients who underwent resection for early stage NSCLC at facilities with higher SBRT use showed lower rates of postoperative mortality. These findings suggest that the availability and use of SBRT may improve the selection of patients for surgery who are predicted to be at high risk of postoperative mortality., (Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Postoperative complications occur despite optimal perioperative care and are an important driver of mortality after surgery. Failure to rescue, defined as death in a patient who has experienced serious complications, has emerged as a quality metric that provides a mechanistic pathway to explain disparities in mortality rates among hospitals that have similar perioperative complication rates. The risk of failure to rescue is higher after invasive surgical procedures and varies according to the type of postoperative complication. Multiple patient factors have been associated with failure to rescue. However, failure to rescue is more strongly correlated with hospital factors. In addition, microsystem factors, such as institutional safety culture, teamwork, and other attitudes and behaviors may interact with the hospital resources to effectively prevent patient deterioration. Early recognition through bedside and remote monitoring is the first step toward prevention of failure to rescue followed by rapid response initiatives and timely escalation of care., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest Girish P. Joshi has received honoraria from Baxter Pharmaceuticals and Pacira Pharmaceuticals. The work was funded by internal funds of the Department of Anesthesiology & Pain Management of UT Sotuthwestern Medical Center in Dallas., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: The African Surgical OutcomeS-2 (ASOS-2) trial tested an enhanced postoperative surveillance intervention to reduce postoperative mortality in Africa. We undertook a concurrent evaluation to understand the process of intervention delivery., Methods: Mixed-methods process evaluation, including field notes, interviews, and post-trial questionnaire responses. Qualitative analysis used the framework method with subsequent creation of comparative case studies, grouping hospitals by intervention fidelity. A post-trial questionnaire was developed using initial qualitative analyses. Categorical variables were summarised as count (%) and continuous variables as median (inter-quartile range [IQR]). Odds ratios (OR) were used to rank influences by impact on fidelity., Results: The dataset included eight in-depth case studies, and 96 questionnaire responses (response rate 67%) plus intervention fidelity data for each trial site. Overall, 57% (n=55/96) of hospitals achieved intervention delivery using an inclusive definition of fidelity. Delivery of the ASOS-2 interventions and data collection presented a significant burden to the investigators, outstripping limited resources. The influences most associated with fidelity were: surgical staff enthusiasm for the trial (OR=3.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3-7.0); nursing management support of the trial (OR=2.6; 95% CI, 1.1-6.5); performance of a dummy run (OR=2.6; 95% CI, 1.1-6.1); nursing colleagues seeing the value of the intervention(s) (OR=2.1; 95% CI, 0.9-5.7); and site investigators' belief in the effectiveness of the intervention (OR=3.2; 95% CI, 1.2-9.4)., Conclusions: ASOS-2 has proved that coordinated interventional research across Africa is possible, but delivering the ASOS-2 interventions was a major challenge for many investigators. Future improvement science efforts must include better planning for intervention delivery, additional support to investigators, and promotion of strong inter-professional teamwork., Clinical Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials gov NCT03853824., (Copyright © 2021 British Journal of Anaesthesia. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: Intraoperative EEG suppression duration has been associated with postoperative delirium and mortality. In a clinical trial testing anaesthesia titration to avoid EEG suppression, the intervention did not decrease the incidence of postoperative delirium, but was associated with reduced 30-day mortality. The present study evaluated whether the EEG-guided anaesthesia intervention was also associated with reduced 1-yr mortality., Methods: This manuscript reports 1 yr follow-up of subjects from a single-centre RCT, including a post hoc secondary outcome (1-yr mortality) in addition to pre-specified secondary outcomes. The trial included subjects aged 60 yr or older undergoing surgery with general anaesthesia between January 2015 and May 2018. Patients were randomised to receive EEG-guided anaesthesia or usual care. The previously reported primary outcome was postoperative delirium. The outcome of the current study was all-cause 1-yr mortality., Results: Of the 1232 subjects enrolled, 614 subjects were randomised to EEG-guided anaesthesia and 618 subjects to usual care. One-year mortality was 57/591 (9.6%) in the guided group and 62/601 (10.3%) in the usual-care group. No significant difference in mortality was observed (adjusted absolute risk difference, -0.7%; 99.5% confidence interval, -5.8% to 4.3%; P=0.68)., Conclusions: An EEG-guided anaesthesia intervention aiming to decrease duration of EEG suppression during surgery did not significantly decrease 1-yr mortality. These findings, in the context of other studies, do not provide supportive evidence for EEG-guided anaesthesia to prevent intermediate term postoperative death., Clinical Trial Registration: NCT02241655., (Copyright © 2021 British Journal of Anaesthesia. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: Obesity is a barrier to kidney transplantation for patients with kidney failure. Consequently, bariatric surgery is often considered as a bridge to transplantation, even though its risks and benefits are poorly characterised in the dialysis population., Methods: Systematic searches of observational studies indexed in Embase, MEDLINE and CENTRAL till April 2020 were performed to identify relevant studies. Risk of bias was assessed by the Newcastle Ottawa Scale and quality of evidence was summarised in accordance with GRADE methodology. Random effects meta-analyses were performed to obtain summary odds ratios for postoperative outcomes., Results: Four cohort studies involving 4196 chronic dialysis and 732,204 non-dialysis patients undergoing bariatric surgery were included. Sleeve gastrectomy (61%), and Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (29%) were the most common procedures performed. Absolute rates of adverse events were low, but the odds of postoperative mortality (0.4-0.5% vs. 0.1%; odds ratio [OR] 4.7, 95%CI 2.2-9.9), and myocardial infarction (0.0-0.5% vs. 0.1%, OR 3.4, 95% CI 2.0-5.9) were higher in dialysis compared to non-dialysis patients. Patients on dialysis also had more than 2-fold increased odds of returning to theatre and having a readmission. Rates of kidney transplant wait-listing among dialysis patients was 59%, with 28% of all patients eventually receiving a kidney transplant., Conclusion: Patients receiving chronic dialysis have substantially increased odds of postoperative mortality and myocardial infarction following bariatric surgery compared with patient who do not have kidney failure. It is uncertain whether bariatric surgery improves the likelihood of kidney transplantation, with mid- to long-term outcomes being poorly described., (Crown Copyright © 2021. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: No evidence currently exists characterising global outcomes following major cancer surgery, including esophageal cancer. Therefore, this study aimed to characterise impact of high income countries (HIC) versus low and middle income countries (LMIC) on the outcomes following esophagectomy for esophageal cancer., Method: This international multi-center prospective study across 137 hospitals in 41 countries included patients who underwent an esophagectomy for esophageal cancer, with 90-day follow-up. The main explanatory variable was country income, defined according to the World Bank Data classification. The primary outcome was 90-day postoperative mortality, and secondary outcomes were composite leaks (anastomotic leak or conduit necrosis) and major complications (Clavien-Dindo Grade III - V). Multivariable generalized estimating equation models were used to produce adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI 95% )., Results: Between April 2018 to December 2018, 2247 patients were included. Patients from HIC were more significantly older, with higher ASA grade, and more advanced tumors. Patients from LMIC had almost three-fold increase in 90-day mortality, compared to HIC (9.4% vs 3.7%, p < 0.001). On adjusted analysis, LMIC were independently associated with higher 90-day mortality (OR: 2.31, CI 95% : 1.17-4.55, p = 0.015). However, LMIC were not independently associated with higher rates of anastomotic leaks (OR: 1.06, CI 95% : 0.57-1.99, p = 0.9) or major complications (OR: 0.85, CI 95% : 0.54-1.32, p = 0.5), compared to HIC., Conclusion: Resections in LMIC were independently associated with higher 90-day postoperative mortality, likely reflecting a failure to rescue of these patients following esophagectomy, despite similar composite anastomotic leaks and major complication rates to HIC. These findings warrant further research, to identify potential issues and solutions to improve global outcomes following esophagectomy for cancer., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest None declared., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Ltd, BASO ~ The Association for Cancer Surgery, and the European Society of Surgical Oncology. All rights reserved.)

Background: The development of feasible preoperative risk tools is desirable, especially for low-middle income countries with limited resources and complex surgical settings. This study aimed to derive and validate a preoperative risk model (Ex-Care model) for postoperative mortality and compare its performance with current risk tools., Methods: A multivariable logistic regression model predicting in-hospital mortality was developed using a large Brazilian surgical cohort. Patient and perioperative predictors were considered. Its performance was compared with the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI), and the Surgical Outcome Risk Tool (SORT)., Results: The derivation cohort included 16 618 patients. In-hospital death occurred in 465 patients (2.8%). Age, with adjusted splines, degree of procedure (major vs non-major), ASA physical status, and urgency were entered in a final model. It showed high discrimination with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.926 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.91-0.93). It had superior accuracy to the RCRI (AUROC, 0.90 vs 0.76; P<0.01) and similar to the CCI (0.90 vs 0.82; P=0.06) and SORT models (0.90 vs 0.92; P=0.2) in the temporal validation cohort of 1173 patients. Calibration was adequate in both development (Hosmer-Lemeshow, 9.26; P=0.41) and temporal validation cohorts (Hosmer-Lemeshow 5.29; P=0.71)., Conclusions: The Ex-Care risk model proved very efficient at identifying high-risk surgical patients. Although multicentre studies are needed, it should have particular value in low resource settings to better inform perioperative health policy and clinical decision-making., (Copyright © 2020 British Journal of Anaesthesia. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: Whether anesthesia depth affects postoperative mortality remains uncertain., Measurements: Several databases were systematically searched to identify all articles studying the relationship between depth of anesthesia and postoperative mortality. Post hoc subgroup analyses were conducted for follow-up period (30 days vs. longer than 90 days) and type of surgery., Main Results: The analysis included 38,722 patients from nine studies. We observed a significant relationship between low bispectral index (BIS) and mortality (pooled aHR, 1.22;95% CI, 1.08 to 1.38; P = 0.001; I 2  = 85.4%). Post hoc subgroup analyses indicated low BIS to be linked with significantly elevated mortality risk in patients with ≥90 days follow-up (pooled adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.09; 95% CI, 1.00-1.19; P = 0.01; I 2  = 79.4%), but this association did not achieve significance in those with a 30 day follow-up duration (pooled aHR, 1.52; 95% CI, 0.97-2.38; P = 0.28; I 2  = 79.0%). In addition, this link between postoperative mortality and low BIS was significant in those who had undergone cardiac surgery (pooled aHR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.49; P < 0.001; I 2  = 0.0%), but not in patients that had received other forms of surgery (pooled aHR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.98 to 1.14; P = 0.14; I 2  = 73.2%)., Conclusions: We observed a significant relationship between deep anesthesia and long-term mortality, though this was not significant 30 days following surgery. In patients who had received cardiac surgery, deep anesthesia may increase mortality. However, this trend was not observed in patients who had undergone other forms of surgery., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Worse prognosis in elderly colorectal cancer (CRC) patients may be cancer or treatment related, or death from other causes. This population-based study aimed to compare survival among non-metastatic CRC patients between age groups and notice time trends in mortality rates., Methods: Primary stage I-III CRC patients who underwent resection between 2008 and 2013 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Patients were divided into three equally distributed age groups and a separated group including the oldest old (<65, 65-74, 75-84 and ≥ 85 years). Survival rates were calculated by age groups and tumour localization. Relative excess risks of death, 30-day, 1-year mortality and 1-year excess mortality were calculated., Results: 52296 patients were included. Age-related differences in 5-year overall survival were observed (colon cancer: 82%, 73%, 56% and 35%; rectal cancer: 82%, 74%, 56% and 38%; p < 0.0001). Age-related differences were less prominent in relative survival and disappeared in conditional relative survival (condition of surviving 1 year). Thirty-day mortality rates decreased over time (colon cancer: 4.9%-3.4%; rectal cancer: 3.0%-1.7%); 1-year mortality rates decreased from 11.9% to 9.6% in colon cancer and from 8.0% to 6.4% in rectal cancer. One-year excess mortality increased with age (17.3% and 12.9% in patients with colon or rectal cancer aged ≥85 years)., Conclusion: One-year mortality rates remain high in elderly patients. Age-related differences in survival disappeared after adjustment for expected death from other causes and first-year mortality. Beneficial time trends in 1-year mortality rates underline that survival in elderly after CRC surgery is modifiable., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Ltd, BASO ~ The Association for Cancer Surgery, and the European Society of Surgical Oncology. All rights reserved.)

Background: Studies across healthcare systems have demonstrated between-hospital variation in survival after an emergency laparotomy. We postulate that this variation can be explained by differences in perioperative process delivery, underpinning organisational structures, and associated hospital characteristics., Methods: We performed this nationwide, registry-based, prospective cohort study using data from the National Emergency Laparotomy Audit organisational and patient audit data sets. Outcome measures were all-cause 30- and 90-day postoperative mortality. We estimated adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for perioperative processes and organisational structures and characteristics by fitting multilevel logistic regression models., Results: The cohort comprised 39 903 patients undergoing surgery at 185 hospitals. Controlling for case mix and clustering, a substantial proportion of between-hospital mortality variation was explained by differences in processes, infrastructure, and hospital characteristics. Perioperative care pathways [OR: 0.86; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.76-0.96; and OR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.81-0.99] and emergency surgical units (OR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.80-0.99; and OR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.81-0.98) were associated with reduced 30- and 90-day mortality, respectively. In contrast, infrequent consultant-delivered intraoperative care was associated with increased 30- and 90-day mortality (OR: 1.61; 95% CI: 1.01-2.56; and OR: 1.61; 95% CI: 1.08-2.39, respectively). Postoperative geriatric medicine review was associated with substantially lower mortality in older (≥70 yr) patients (OR: 0.35; 95% CI: 0.29-0.42; and OR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.55-0.73, respectively)., Conclusions: This multicentre study identified low-technology, readily implementable structures and processes that are associated with improved survival after an emergency laparotomy. Key components of pathways, perioperative medicine input, and specialist units require further investigation., (Copyright © 2018 British Journal of Anaesthesia. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of age on patient outcome after colorectal carcinoma (CRC) resection in patients over 65 years of age., Methods: This study included patients aged 65 years and older who underwent CRC resection between 2003 and 2013 at a single-center institution. Patients were divided into two groups: Group A (65-74 years old) and Group B (≥75 years old)., Results: Multivariable logistic analysis of 415 patients revealed serum albumin levels on the third postoperative day (POD) (Odds Ratio (OR), 0.44; 95% CI, 0.21-0.94; P = 0.03) and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.00-1.01; P = 0.04) in patients with colon cancer as predictive factors for morbidity. In addition, the multivariable logistic analysis revealed serum albumin levels (OR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.08-0.87; P = 0.03) in patients with rectal cancer as predictive factors for morbidity. The multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Model identified re-intervention for colon cancer (Hazard Ratio (HR), 4.57; 95% CI, 1.36-15.4 P = 0.01) and for rectal cancer (HR, 11.8; 95% CI, 1.08-129 P = 0.04) as a predictive factor for 30-day mortality. Serum albumin level on the third POD was predictive of 30-day mortality (HR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.13-0.71; P = 0.01) and of 1-year mortality (HR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.17-0.66; P < 0.01) in patients with colon cancer., Conclusion: Age is not predictive of postoperative morbidity and mortality in patients with CRC. Serum albumin levels on the third POD can predict morbidity and mortality for colon and rectal carcinoma in older patients undergoing colorectal resections., (Copyright © 2018. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)

Background: Among patients undergoing emergency laparotomy, 30-day postoperative mortality is around 10-15%. The risk of death among these patients, however, varies greatly because of their clinical characteristics. We developed a risk prediction model for 30-day postoperative mortality to enable better comparison of outcomes between hospitals., Methods: We analysed data from the National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) on patients having an emergency laparotomy between December 2013 and November 2015. A prediction model was developed using multivariable logistic regression, with potential risk factors identified from existing prediction models, national guidelines, and clinical experts. Continuous risk factors were transformed if necessary to reflect their non-linear relationship with 30-day mortality. The performance of the model was assessed in terms of its calibration and discrimination. Interval validation was conducted using bootstrap resampling., Results: There were 4458 (11.5%) deaths within 30-days among the 38 830 patients undergoing emergency laparotomy. Variables associated with death included (among others): age, blood pressure, heart rate, physiological variables, malignancy, and ASA physical status classification. The predicted risk of death among patients ranged from 1% to 50%. The model demonstrated excellent calibration and discrimination, with a C-statistic of 0.863 (95% confidence interval, 0.858-0.867). The model retained its high discrimination during internal validation, with a bootstrap derived C-statistic of 0.861., Conclusions: The NELA risk prediction model for emergency laparotomies discriminates well between low- and high-risk patients and is suitable for producing risk-adjusted provider mortality statistics., (Copyright © 2018 British Journal of Anaesthesia. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Postoperative mortality remains alarmingly high with a mortality rate ranging between 0.4% and 4%. A small subgroup of multimorbid and/or elderly patients undergoing different surgical procedures naturally confers the highest risk of complications and perioperative death. Therefore, preoperative assessment should identify these high-risk patients and stratify them to individualized monitoring and treatment throughout all phases of perioperative care. A "tailored" perioperative approach might help further reduce perioperative morbidity and mortality. This article aims to elucidate individual morbidity-specific risks. It further suggests approaches to detect patients at the risk of perioperative complications., (Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Emergency laparotomies are performed commonly throughout the world, but one in six patients die within a month of surgery. Current international initiatives to reduce the considerable associated morbidity and mortality are founded upon delivering individualised perioperative care. However, while the identification of high-risk patients requires the routine assessment of individual risk, no method of doing so has been demonstrated to be practical and reliable across the commonly encountered spectrum of presentations, co-morbidities and operative procedures. A systematic review of Embase and Medline identified 20 validation studies assessing 25 risk assessment tools in patients undergoing emergency laparotomy. The most frequently studied general tools were APACHE II, ASA-PS and P-POSSUM. Comparative, quantitative analysis of tool performance was not feasible due to the heterogeneity of study design, poor reporting and infrequent within-study statistical comparison of tool performance. Reporting of calibration was notably absent in many prognostic tool validation studies. APACHE II demonstrated the most consistent discrimination of individual outcome across a variety of patient groups undergoing emergency laparotomy when used either preoperatively or postoperatively (area under the curve 0.76-0.98). While APACHE systems were designed for use in critical care, the ability of APACHE II to generate individual risk estimates from objective, exclusively preoperative data items may lead to better-informed shared decisions, triage and perioperative management of patients undergoing emergency laparotomy. Future endeavours should include the recalibration of APACHE II and P-POSSUM in contemporary cohorts, modifications to enable prediction of morbidity and assessment of the impact of adoption of these tools on clinical practice and patient outcomes., (© The Author 2015. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Journal of Anaesthesia. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background: "Unplanned reoperations" has been advocated as a quality measure in colorectal cancer surgery as it is correlated with complications and postoperative mortality at a patient level. However, little is known about the relation between reoperation rates and postoperative mortality rates at a hospital level., Methods: Data were derived from the Dutch Surgical Colorectal Audit 2009-2012 database. Hospitals with significantly higher and lower reoperation rates than average were identified and grouped accordingly. Postoperative mortality rates were compared between the groups., Results: Some 28,667 patients who underwent elective colorectal cancer resections in 92 hospitals were analyzed. Fourteen hospitals had significantly higher (mean 14.6%) adjusted reoperation rates than average (10%), 20 had lower (5.3%) rates than average. Adjusted mortality rates were similar in groups with high reoperation rates and the majority cohort (3.5-3.2%) and significantly lower in hospitals with low reoperation rates (2.3%). However, individual hospitals with relatively high reoperation rates had low mortality rates and vice versa., Conclusions: Reoperation rates after elective colorectal cancer resections varied. Hospitals with significantly higher reoperation rates than average did not have higher mortality rates. The group with lowest reoperation rates also had lower postoperative mortality rates; however, this did not apply to all hospitals in the group. In conclusion, 'reoperations' seems suitable as benchmark information to hospitals but less suitable to detect poor performers. Best practices should be identified as hospitals with both low reoperation- and mortality rates., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) are a major contributor to the overall risk of surgery. PPCs affect the length of hospital stay and are associated with a higher in-hospital mortality. PPCs are even the leading cause of death either in cardiothoracic surgery but also in non-cardiothoracic surgery. Thus, reliable PPCs risk stratification tools are the key issue of clinical decision making in the perioperative period. When the risk is clearly identified related to the patient according the ARISCAT score and/or the type of surgery (mainly thoracic and abdominal), low-cost preemptive interventions improve outcomes and new strategies can be developed to prevent this risk. The EuSOS, PERISCOPE and IMPROVE studies demonstrated this care optimization by risk identification first, then risk stratification and new care (multifaceted) strategies implementation allowing a decrease in PPCs mortality by optimizing the clinical path of the patient and the care resources., (Copyright © 2014 Société française d’anesthésie et de réanimation (Sfar). Published by Elsevier SAS. All rights reserved.)