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We derive a numerical model representing the emergence and evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants, informed by data from in-vitro passaging experiments in Vero B4 cells. We compare our numerical simulation results against probabilistic derivations of the expected probability of and time until the fittest variant becomes fixed in the population. Contrary to literature surrounding DNA viruses and eukaryotes where probabilities of fitness extremes are often modelled by exponential decaying tail, we show that above wildtype fitness differences for SARS-CoV-2 are actually best modelled by a heavy-tailed Fréchet distribution. Furthermore, we find that SARS-CoV-2 variants evolve through an essentially deterministic process rather than a diffusional one, with the dynamics driven by the fitness difference between the top variants rather than by the sampling/dilution process. An interesting consequence of this setting is that the number of variant virions, rather than their proportion, is a better predictor of the probability of fixation for a given variant., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Objective: To explore the contribution of environmental factors in the unusual pattern of influenza activity observed in Brisbane, Australia during the summer of 2018-2019., Methods: Distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNMs) were used to estimate the effect of environmental factors on weekly influenza incidence in Brisbane. Next generation sequencing was then employed to analyze minor and majority variants in influenza strains isolated from Brisbane children during this period., Results: There were limited marked differences in the environmental factors observed in Brisbane between the 2018-2019 summer period and the same period of the proceeding years, with the exception of significant reduction in rainfall. DLNM showed that reduced rainfall in Brisbane (at levels consistent with the 2018-2019 period) correlated with a dramatic increase in the relative risk of influenza. Sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ) levels were also increased in the 2018-2019 period, although these levels did not correlate with an increased risk of influenza. Sequencing of a limited number of pediatric influenza virus strains isolated during the 2018-2019 showed numerous mutations within the viral HA., Conclusions: Taken together, these data suggest a limited role for key environmental factors in the influenza activity observed in Brisbane, Australia during the summer of 2018-2019. One alternative explanation may that viral factors, in addition to other factors not studied herein, contributed to the unusual influenza season. Our findings provide fundamental information that may be beneficial to a better understanding of the seasonal trends of influenza virus., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: KRS provides educational seminars for Roche and Novo Nordisk., (Copyright © 2021. Published by Elsevier B.V.)

COVID-19 is causing a major once-in-a-century global pandemic. The scientific and clinical community is in a race to define and develop effective preventions and treatments. The major features of disease are described but clinical trials have been hampered by competing interests, small scale, lack of defined patient cohorts and defined readouts. What is needed now is head-to-head comparison of existing drugs, testing of safety including in the background of predisposing chronic diseases, and the development of new and targeted preventions and treatments. This is most efficiently achieved using representative animal models of primary infection including in the background of chronic disease with validation of findings in primary human cells and tissues. We explore and discuss the diverse animal, cell and tissue models that are being used and developed and collectively recapitulate many critical aspects of disease manifestation in humans to develop and test new preventions and treatments.

Influenza A viruses from animal reservoirs have the capacity to adapt to humans and cause influenza pandemics. The occurrence of an influenza pandemic requires efficient virus transmission among humans, which is associated with virus attachment to the upper respiratory tract. Pandemic severity depends on virus ability to cause pneumonia, which is associated with virus attachment to the lower respiratory tract. Recently, a novel avian-origin H7N9 influenza A virus with unknown pandemic potential emerged in humans. We determined the pattern of attachment of two genetically engineered viruses containing the hemagglutinin of either influenza virus A/Shanghai/1/13 or A/Anhui/1/13 to formalin-fixed human respiratory tract tissues using histochemical analysis. Our results show that the emerging H7N9 virus attached moderately or abundantly to both upper and lower respiratory tract, a pattern not seen before for avian influenza A viruses. With the caveat that virus attachment is only the first step in the virus replication cycle, these results suggest that the emerging H7N9 virus has the potential both to transmit efficiently among humans and to cause severe pneumonia., (Copyright © 2013 American Society for Investigative Pathology. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Sarcopenia is a complex, multifactorial process facilitated by a combination of factors including the adoption of a more sedentary lifestyle and a less than optimal diet. Increasing evidence points to a blunted anabolic response after a mixed nutrient meal as a likely explanation for chronic age-related muscle loss. There is currently insufficient longer-term research with defined health outcomes to specify an optimal value for protein ingestion in elderly individuals. However, there is general agreement that moderately increasing daily protein intake beyond 0.8 g x kg(-1) x d(-1) may enhance muscle protein anabolism and provide a means of reducing the progressive loss of muscle mass with age. The beneficial effects of resistance exercise in aging populations are unequivocal. However, research has not identified a synergistic effect of protein supplementation and resistance exercise in aging populations. There is little evidence that links high protein intakes to increased risk for impaired kidney function in healthy individuals. However, renal function decreases with age, and high protein intake is contraindicated in individuals with renal disease. Assessment of renal function is recommended for older individuals before they adopt a higher-protein diet.

Amino acids (AAs), especially BCAAs, play pivotal roles in hormonal secretion and action as well as in intracellular signaling. There is emerging data showing that BCAAs regulate gene transcription and translation. Signaling proteins such as the mammalian target of rapamycin act as sensors of BCAAs, especially leucine, to modulate anabolic action. AAs stimulate protein synthesis and inhibit protein breakdown in skeletal muscle and liver. The specific role of BCAAs in regulating synthesis and breakdown of individual protein or proteins with common function or functions remains to be defined. Future studies should also focus on potential adverse effects of BCAAs on insulin sensitivity, renal function, and tumor growth. It also remains to be determined whether potential adverse effects of BCAA supplementation is similar in people of different age groups.

Background: Exposure to intense inescapable stressors induces a persistent anxious state in rats. The anxious state is evident as increased sensory reactivity and enhanced associative learning., Methods: We examine whether similar neurobehavioral changes are observed after intracerebroventricular (ICV) administration of corticotropin releasing hormone (CRH). Two behaviors were observed: acoustic startle responses (ASRs) and acquisition of the classically conditioned eyeblink response. Male Sprague-Dawley rats were administered ICV CRH either in a single dose (1.0 microg/rat) or in three doses each separated by 30 min., Results: Exaggerated ASRs were evident 2 hours after either CRH treatment; however, only the rats given three injections exhibited a persistently exaggerated ASR apparent 24 hours after CRH treatment. Rats administered three injections of CRH also exhibited faster acquisition of the eyeblink conditioned response beginning 24 hours after treatment. Yet, we did not find evidence for a persistent activation of the HPA-axis response; three CRH injections did not lead to elevated basal plasma corticosterone levels the following morning., Conclusions: Repeated treatment with CRH over a 1.5-hour period models some of the behavioral changes observed after exposure to intense inescapable stressors.

Effects of benzodiazepine receptor-active compounds on inescapable shock-produced changes in social interaction were studied in the rat. Inescapably shocked animals exhibited less social interaction in a novel situation than did escapably shocked or unshocked rats 24 h after shock. Administration of the selective benzodiazepine receptor antagonist flumazenil at the time of shock prevented the decrease in social interaction. Social interaction was unaffected by the same treatment at the time of measurement. Reduction in social interaction induced by inescapable stress endured for 48-72 h following stressor exposure but was absent 168 h after stress. It was subject to antagonist blockade at all measured time points. Stress-induced decreases in social interaction were also blocked by the benzodiazepine chlordiazepoxide given at the time of shock treatment. The receptor antagonist did not reverse this blockade. An inverse agonist, the beta-carboline FG 7142, administered in place of inescapable shock, produced an identical pattern of social interaction in a dose-dependent manner. The inverse agonist effect was also reversed by the antagonist. The results from antagonist, agonist, and inverse agonist treatments all suggest that an endogenous benzodiazepine receptor inverse agonist is released at the time of inescapable shock and is involved in producing the changes in social interaction subsequently measured.