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BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an important health problem for which risk equations have been developed for Western populations. This study aimed to develop and validate a risk prediction equation for CKD in a Japanese population. STUDY DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: The study included 135,007 participants who completed an annual health checkup in 1993 to 1996 in the Ibaraki Prefecture in Japan. Participants were initially free of CKD (defined as stage 3, 4, or 5 CKD or proteinuria [2+ or 3+] by dipstick). Follow-up information was available from health checkups 10 years after the initial evaluation. We used data from 40,963 women and 17,892 men in the northern region of the prefecture for the development of risk prediction equations and 53,042 women and 23,110 men in the southern region for external validation. PREDICTORS: Age, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), body mass index, proteinuria, hematuria, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, smoking, and drinking. OUTCOME: Occurrence of CKD (defined as eGFR0.8 for both the development and external validation populations, and discrimination of the risk estimation was fairly good in women and men. LIMITATIONS: Fluctuations in variables were not evaluated because the study used annual health checkups. This study excluded a large number of people for whom a 10-year health checkup was not available. CONCLUSIONS: Estimations of risk for CKD after 10 years of follow-up in a general Japanese population can be achieved with a high level of validity.

Background The aim of this study was to examine the attribution of each cardiovascular risk factor in combination with abdominal obesity (AO) on Japanese health expenditures. Methods The health insurance claims of 43,469 National Health Insurance beneficiaries aged 40–75 years in Ibaraki, Japan, from the second cohort of the Ibaraki Prefectural Health Study were followed-up from 2009 through 2013. Multivariable health expenditure ratios (HERs) of diabetes mellitus (DM), high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and hypertension with and without AO were calculated with reference to no risk factors using a Tweedie regression model. Results Without AO, HERs were 1.58 for DM, 1.06 for high LDL-C, 1.27 for low HDL-C, and 1.31 for hypertension (all P, Highlights • The highest population attributable fraction was for hypertension without obesity. • The total population attributable fraction of hypertension was 11.7%. • Hypertension could impose the greatest attribute on Japanese health expenditures.

Rationale & Objective Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is complicated by abnormalities that reflect disruption in filtration, tubular, and endocrine functions of the kidney. Our aim was to explore the relationship of specific laboratory result abnormalities and hypertension with the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria CKD staging framework. Study Design Cross-sectional individual participant-level analyses in a global consortium. Setting & Study Populations 17 CKD and 38 general population and high-risk cohorts. Selection Criteria for Studies Cohorts in the CKD Prognosis Consortium with data for eGFR and albuminuria, as well as a measurement of hemoglobin, bicarbonate, phosphorus, parathyroid hormone, potassium, or calcium, or hypertension. Data Extraction Data were obtained and analyzed between July 2015 and January 2018. Analytical Approach We modeled the association of eGFR and albuminuria with hemoglobin, bicarbonate, phosphorus, parathyroid hormone, potassium, and calcium values using linear regression and with hypertension and categorical definitions of each abnormality using logistic regression. Results were pooled using random-effects meta-analyses. Results The CKD cohorts (n = 254,666 participants) were 27% women and 10% black, with a mean age of 69 (SD, 12) years. The general population/high-risk cohorts (n = 1,758,334) were 50% women and 2% black, with a mean age of 50 (16) years. There was a strong graded association between lower eGFR and all laboratory result abnormalities (ORs ranging from 3.27 [95% CI, 2.68-3.97] to 8.91 [95% CI, 7.22-10.99] comparing eGFRs of 15 to 29 with eGFRs of 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m 2), whereas albuminuria had equivocal or weak associations with abnormalities (ORs ranging from 0.77 [95% CI, 0.60-0.99] to 1.92 [95% CI, 1.65-2.24] comparing urinary albumin-creatinine ratio > 300 vs < 30 mg/g). Limitations Variations in study era, health care delivery system, typical diet, and laboratory assays. Conclusions Lower eGFR was strongly associated with higher odds of multiple laboratory result abnormalities. Knowledge of risk associations might help guide management in the heterogeneous group of patients with CKD. © 2018. This is the authors’ accepted and refereed manuscript to the article. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ "