Search

Timely and accurate three-dimensional (3-D) NOx concentration distribution prediction is essential for achieving low-emission and efficient operation in power plants. This study proposed a theory-guided data-driven prediction method for the 3-D NOx concentration distribution prediction. Firstly, the method created a foundational dataset by fusing numerical simulation data from the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) with operational data from the distributed control system (DCS). Then, the data was classified into three load condition categories, and the center operating conditions for each category were computed separately. Subsequently, the K-means algorithm was employed to extract representative data to address the computational challenges associated with big data. Finally, a Theory-Guided Deep Neural Network model (TG-DNN) was established leveraging the principle of carbon element mass conservation and deep neural network. Experimental results demonstrate that the method effectively monitors the 3-D NOx concentration distribution, potentially facilitating efficient production processes. • Develop a framework for 3-D NOx distribution prediction online with high-precision. • Propose a Theory-Guided DNN merging conservation theory for interpretability. • Utilize the K-Means algorithm for resampling preserving data characteristics. • The proposed model outperformed other comparison models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The development of an accurate nitrogen oxide (NO x) prediction model is difficult because of multiple parameters, strong coupling, and long delay time of selective catalytic reduction (SCR) systems. In this study, a modeling scheme based on combined feature selection, the JAYA optimization algorithm, and deep neural network (DNN) was developed. First, historical operating data preprocessing, including eliminating outlier points and normalization, was completed. Next, a combined feature selection algorithm based on classification and regression tree, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, and maximal information coefficient (MIC) was developed to select critical input variables. Subsequently, the delay time of the input variables was calculated based on the MIC and JAYA algorithm, and the modeling data were reconstructed. Finally, the real-time dynamic prediction of the SCR outlet NO x concentration was realized based on the DNN model. Experimental results based on operation data of 1000 MW ultra-supercritical boiler revealed that the prediction errors of the established models were less than 5%. Thus, could accurately predict the NO x emission concentration at the outlet of SCR system. • A combined feature selection algorithm based on CART, RF, XGBoost, and MIC is developed. • A JAYA-based method for calculating delay time between NOx emission and input variables is developed. • A real-time dynamic prediction model of the SCR outlet NOx concentration is developed. • Case study on NOx emissions at a 1000 MW coal-fired power plant. • The proposed model outperformed other comparable models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]