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• The impact of passive measures on heating and cooling was assessed using MLR. • A bioclimatic potential analysis is helpful for future-proofing of single-family homes. • The opaque envelope U-value was the most relevant for the total and heating energy use. • The window area was the most relevant for the cooling energy use in present and future. • The relevance diagrams of passive parameters for the energy use were introduced. In the early phases of building design, it is essential to quantify the relevance of passive design measures in order to assure the desired thermal performance of buildings throughout their lifespan. In the present research work, the authors investigated the relevance of the selected passive design measures for heating and cooling energy use of single-family detached buildings at five European locations. To this end, a multiple linear regression analysis was performed, and least-squares estimates were used to identify the most relevant passive design measures under current and three future periods. The statistical analysis showed that the importance of passive design measures would change under the projected global warming effects. In general, the most relevant for the heating energy use of the analysed building models is the opaque envelope U value. Besides effective shading, the most relevant parameter affecting the cooling energy use is the window-to-floor ratio. Furthermore, relevance diagrams for the influence of passive design parameters on the resulting energy use under the climate change scenario and specific U values of the opaque envelope were defined. Building designers and policymakers can use them as design-support tool to find appropriate ways of converting the number of unknowns in future climate into information for designers and decision-makers to assure low vulnerability of the built environment to global warming. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Due to the profound impact that building sector has on the environment and consequently the sustainability of our society, the evaluation of environmental impacts through life cycle assessment (LCA) should become part of building design. The number of published environmental product declarations (EPDs) is growing, which indicates that they can become valuable tools for building designers to evaluate the environmental performance of construction works. We identified that in the current EPD scheme an important part is missing – the results interpretation. In order to evaluate the environmental performance of buildings or their components and elements, the designer is "forced" to conduct a comparative assertion on a population of alternatives. The paper explores the results interpretation of LCA data in the context of the EPD scheme for building products and presents a comparative assertion method, which could guide designers through the results interpretation step of LCA. The proposed soft comparative assertion method was tested on a sample of external wall assembly alternatives and the results show that it significantly simplifies the LCA results interpretation and enables straightforward decision making. However, the method is not yet a fully functional tool and should be upgraded in order to make the decision process more robust and less subjective. With this paper we wish to encourage further research on the described topic, which is vital in order to add credibility to the EPD scheme as an instrument for lowering the environmental impact of the building sector. • Evaluation of environmental impacts by LCA should become part of building design. • Comparative assertions required in order to evaluate LCA data from EPDs. • No guidelines for building designers at the LCA results interpretation step. • Presentation of comparative assertion method framework for building designers. • Developed method significantly simplifies the decision making process. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]