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Dendrochronology is a discipline that uses tree rings to study the history and dynamics of the earth system, such as climate change, natural disasters, and human activities. This study aims to evaluate the development of dendrochronology and its track in China from 1990 to 2022 using a bibliometric analysis approach. We screened the Web of Science Core Collection for documents related to dendrochronology and analyzed them according to indicators related to production, cooperation, citation, and keywords. Our study revealed that the number of dendrochronological publications increased continuously, reaching more than 800 in 2021, with the USA and China being the top two countries. The cooperation network of dendrochronology was mainly centered between North America and Europe, with China having a moderate level of collaboration with other countries and regions like the USA and Canada. Comprehensive research has been conducted within diverse fields of dendrochronology in the world and in China, but dendrochronological research focusing on forestry and climatology represented a slightly higher proportion of research originating from China. The integration of dendrochronology with other disciplines and techniques, such as remote sensing, artificial intelligence, and modeling, may be hotspots in future research, as indicated by the increasing co-occurrence analysis of keywords in the most recent years. This study suggests that Chinese Dendrochronology still requires improved international collaboration, diversified research topics beyond climate reconstructions, and more emphasis on tree-ring methods to advance this discipline globally, despite of increasing rank of publications in the past decade. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Subtropical forests are an important carbon sink, yet our understanding on tree growth response to inter-annual climate variability remains limited. This study investigated the growth-climate relationships of four evergreen broad-leaved tree species (Stewartia pteropetiolata W. C. Cheng, Schima noronhae Reinw. ex Bl. Bijdr, Machilus gamblei King ex J. D. Hooker, and Machilus yunnanensis Lec) in the subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forests (EBFs) in the Ailao Mountains of Yunnan province, southwest China. We constructed tree ring-width residual chronologies for each species and correlated them with daily and monthly climate data. Ring-width chronologies of S. pteropetiolata and S. noronhae were positively correlated with precipitation, relative humidity, and self-calibrated Palmer drought index (scPDSI) during autumn of the previous year and spring-to-early summer of the current year, indicating that these two Theaceae species were sensitive to moisture availability. Tree radial growth of two Machilus species was primarily limited by excessive precipitation and dense cloud cover during the rainy season in this middle montane cloud forest. Moving correlations between climate variables and radial growth of all species were temporally unstable, with a weakening response to climate variability in recent decades. We highlight the dendroclimatic potential of evergreen broad-leaved tree species in moist subtropical forests. The findings offer a pertinent perspective, emphasizing the necessity of separately considering distinct ecological indicators for trees in order to obtain a comprehensive understanding of climate-growth responses within highly diverse subtropical forests. • Radial growth of two Theaceae species showed moisture sensitivity during previous autumn and current spring-to-early summer. • The growth of Machilus spp. was mainly limited by excessive precipitation and cloud cover during the rainy season. • We highlight the dendroclimatic potential of evergreen broad-leaved tree species in moist subtropical forests. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Quercus -dominated forests are among the most important broad-leaved evergreen forests of the Hindu Kush ranges and are currently prone to drastic anthropogenic and climatic changes. The aim of this study was to provide basic data for the development of a regional oak forest ecosystem framework for ecological restoration and management plan development to maintain local peoples' livelihoods. Hence, we analyzed distribution patterns and environmental factors that affect regional oak forests' species composition and diversity. Ward's Agglomerative clustering divided oak-dominated forest communities into three groups: i.e., Group I, dominated by Quercus baloot had an importance value index (IVI) of 89.87 ± 4.31, Group II, dominated by Quercus dilatata had an IVI of 32.16 ± 15.01, and Group III, dominated by Quercus oblongata had an IVI of 83.14 ± 4.67, respectively. The environmental factors which vary significantly within these communities were latitude, elevation, clay content and bulk density of the soil. Wilting point, saturation point, and electrical conductivity were also considered as ecosystem structural variables. Canonical correspondence analysis (CCA) indicated that community structure was affected by various environmental factors including precipitation, slope angle, elevation, clay content, and relative humidity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Located in the western Mediterranean basin, the island of Corsica (France) is expected to be strongly affected by climate change. With its diverse topography and altitudinal gradients from sea level to 2700 m asl, it hosts two pine species, i.e. Pinus pinaster in lower areas and P. nigra ssp. laricio in higher regions up to the upper tree line. However, the growth performance of these two dominant forest tree species along different elevation belts is still unknown, so it is not clear how climate change will affect their distribution. The relationships between tree age, elevation, and growth performance were evaluated using growth trajectories derived from tree-ring analysis of pines in different age classes at 13 sites across the island, ranging from sea level to 1600 m asl. Results show that the growth performance of both species under the same environmental conditions is very similar. For both species, we found that growth rates change over time, whereby trees younger than 50 years grew faster than older trees. We also found that P. pinaster is becoming common at higher elevation sites, indicating a migration upslope. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Highlights • Drought resilience of two tropical tree species was studied. • Species-specific and temporal variability in drought tolerance were observed. • LMEM revealed that growth rates before and after the drought events had a dominant role in drought responses. Abstract The frequency and intensity of drought events have increased during the recent decades, particularly in the tropics. Yet, the growth and physiological responses of many tropical tree species to drought are still inadequately understood. We studied the drought resilience of two functionally different canopy tree species (Chukrasia tabularis and Toona ciliata) from a moist tropical forest in Bangladesh during two extreme drought events (1984 and 1999). We quantified four resilience components (resistance, recovery, resilience and relative resilience) of both species to infer drought tolerance of selected trees. Tree radial growth dropped by 44–56% in the drought years, varying with species and drought events. Two species showed no differences in their drought resistance during any of the drought events. However, C. tabularis showed higher recovery and resilience than T. ciliata after the 1999 drought event. T. ciliata showed higher resilience after the 1984 drought event. Linear mixed effect model (LMEM) revealed that growth rates in the two years before and after the drought events had a dominant role in drought responses over tree age, height, diameter, basal area increment and crown exposure, although crown exposure had significant influence on the resistance and the resilience of light demanding T. ciliata. We conclude that diffuse porous and intermediate shade tolerant C. tabularis is more drought tolerant than the ring-porous and light demanding T. ciliata. Since both study species are widely used as plantation species throughout the tropics, our results have important implications for forest managers to take decision on species suitability for plantation programs and to adopt forest management to future climate change conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Multiple sources of evidence suggest an increasing frequency of extreme climatic events during the past century. In Bangladesh, a country strongly influenced by the South Asian monsoon climate, the years 1999 and 2006 were the most severe droughts among the ten drought events identified over the last four decades. We investigated the impact of these two drought events on radial growth and xylem anatomical features of the brevi-deciduous tree species Chukrasia tabularis in a moist tropical forest in Bangladesh. Tree radial growth declined by 54% during the 1999 and 48.7% during the 2006 droughts, respectively. Among the wood anatomical features, the number of vessels (NV) showed the highest sensitivity to drought, with a 45% decrease in the 1999 drought year, followed by total vessel area (TVA) and mean vessel area (MVA). On the other hand, Vessel density (VD) increased by 13% during the 1999 drought but the increase in VD was very low in the drought year 2006. The decreasing vessel area and increasing vessel density indicate xylem hydraulic adaptation of C. tabularis to minimize drought induced cavitation risk and to avoid hydraulic failure. The significant correlations between the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and time series of tree-ring width and vessel variables imply that decline in radial growth and changes in vessel features in C. tabularis are likely to be caused by drought induced water stress. Our analyses suggest that radial growth and wood anatomical features of C. tabularis are highly sensitive to extreme drought events in South Asian moist tropical forests and can be used to reconstruct past droughts and to model tree response to drought stress under future climate conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Highlights • Validation of simulation results with long-term field data, e.g. biomass, timber volume. • Quantification of mean recovery times of multiple forest attributes after selective logging. • Variation of dbh of lower cutting threshold of commercial trees and impacts on forest dynamics. • Very intense logging has 2× longer recovery times of biomass and timber volume than moderate. • To allow for forest recovery within 65 years, we recommend dbh of lower cutting cycle ≥0.55 m. Abstract There is increasing concern, to what extent production forests in the Neotropics are sustainably managed. The implementation of effective forest management strategies that are ecologically beneficial plays thus a central role to prevent forest degradation. However, to identify effective forest management strategies, there is a need for methods supporting the decision-making process. The main objective of our study is to analyze the mid- and long-term impacts of different management intensities, such as varying the minimum stem diameter of harvestable commercial trees, on the dynamic and structure of a species-rich tropical lowland forest of French Guiana. Therefore, we have applied the management module of a dynamic forest model and analyzed simulation experiments for undisturbed forest growth and selective logging. For the first time we were able to quantify the mean recovery times of multiple ecosystem functions and properties (biomass, gross primary production, leaf area index, Shanon diversity, timber volume) after selective logging. Accordingly, we validated simulation results (biomass, number of trees harvested) of selective logging with forest inventory data from the last 32 years. The forest model reliably reproduces the observed pre-logging biomass, tree-size distribution, and logging intensity (10 trees/ha, 39 m3/ha). In addition, it became clear how strongly management with higher logging intensities influences the forest in the long term: (1) the mean recovery times of the investigated ecosystem functions were significantly extended. With very intensive logging (116 m3/ha), the average recovery time of forest biomass was almost twice as long as in a moderate simulation scenario (t int 138 a, t mod 77 a). Similar patterns were observed for other ecosystem functions, e.g. timber volume (t int 158 a, t mod 62 a). (2) Additionally, the functional composition shifted, as up to 30% pioneer tree species in particular invaded the forest. This innovative use of forest growth models may help in the development of ecologically reasonable forest management strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We developed the first tree-ring width chronology from Quercus brantii Lindel for the period 1796–2015 in the southern Zagros Mountains, Iran, using standard dendrochronological procedures. Climate-growth relationships revealed that DecemberöFebruary precipitation has strong positive effects (r = 0.66; P < 0.01) on the species’ growth while mean temperature during the growing season has strong negative effects. Spatial correlations with Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) and gridded precipitation data revealed that the chronology contains regional climate signals and tree growth variations may represent precipitation fluctuations over large areas of the Middle East. The linear regression model accounts for 44% of the actual DecemberöFebruary precipitation variance. The reconstructed precipitation revealed that over the period 1850–2015 extreme dry years occurred in 1870-71, 1898, 1960 and 1963-64, and extreme wet years occurred in 1851, 1885, 1916 and 1921 in the southern Zagros region. The longest dry period lasted 16 years and occurred from 1958 to 1973. Two-year consecutive wet and dry events showed the highest frequencies and the average length of dry and wet events were 2.9 and 3.6 years over the reconstructed period. Correlations between the long-term reconstructed precipitation and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) confirmed the effects of teleconnection patterns on precipitation in the southern Zagros region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Wood anatomical features such as vessels record paleo climatic and environmental signals through their physiological adjustment during the environmental stress condition. Using vessel features as environmental proxy is relatively new in tropical dendrochronology but very useful to study plant ecophysiological responses to changing environmental conditions. Here, we developed the first vessel chronologies of diffuse porous Chukrasia tabularis from a Bangladeshi moist tropical forest and assessed their suitability for Dendroclimatic and ecophysiological studies in moist tropical forests. Standard chronologies of ring-width (RW), vessel number (NV), mean vessel area (MVA), total vessel area (TVA), total vessel area % (TVAP), mean vessel tangential diameter (MVTD), mean vessel radial diameter (MVRD), and vessel density (VD) were developed which spanned the period 1925–2015. Principal component analysis revealed that all chronologies were related among each other, the first two principal axis explaining 80% of the common variance. Hence, all chronologies shared a common environmental signal, except TVAP and MVRD which were excluded from further dendroclimatic analysis. Bootstrap correlation function was used to test the relationship between the chronologies and climate variables over 1950–2015. All chronologies were significantly correlated with monthly, seasonal and annual climate variables but varied in their magnitude. Spring temperatures (March–April) and late monsoon precipitation had the dominant influence on the vessel features and radial growth of Chukrasia tabularis . Decreased vessel area (Hydraulic efficiency) and increased vessel density (Hydraulic safety) were observed in response to stress environmental condition particularly in the spring (hot and dry) when evapotranspiration became higher and soil moisture deficit occurs due to high temperatures. Moving correlation functions revealed stable climate tree-ring variable relationships during March–April and October with an increasing tendency of climate interaction in other months. Our study shows that vessel features in Chukrasia tabularis are highly sensitive to inter-annual climate variability and can be used for paleoclimatic and ecophysiological studies in moist tropical forests. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Forests provide fundamental ecosystem services. Environmental changes are predicted to affect forest growth directly through increased environmental stressors, and indirectly by amplifying disturbance. To increase our understanding of effects of environmental changes and disturbance on Afromontane forest growth, we used tree-ring data collected from Juniperus procera trees from church forests in the northwest highlands of Ethiopia. We used structural change models to detect structural shift in growth trends. We applied Linear Mixed Effect Models (LMM) to compare growth rate differences between successive tree generations. The running mean method and radial growth pattern analysis were used to detect disturbance events. Three groups of generations were identified based on Basal Area Increment (BAI) rates. There are significant differences (χ 2  = 204.64, P < .001) among generations in pace of BAI, indicating that old generation trees grew at a slower pace than younger ones. Radial growth patterns were homogeneous for the old generation, but diverse in young trees. The observed high growth rates in the younger generation may have a negative effect on the longevity of the individuals and positively affect carbon accumulation in the biomass. Disturbance was detected in all generations, but worsened in the 20th century. About 35% of disturbances matched with climate extreme events, providing evidence that the disturbance is both human-induced (i.e., site-specific) and climate-induced. Thus, forest management plans should emerge from a sound understanding of climate-forest-human interaction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Knowledge of drought variability and their possible mechanisms during the past hundred years is still limited in the mountainous region of south-central Tibetan Plateau (TP). In this study, a long-term tree-ring width chronology dating back to 1190 CE was combined using 328 increment cores from the Nagqu region. Based on the relationships between this tree-ring width chronology and climate data, we reconstructed May–June self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) for the past 821 years (1190–2010 CE). Additional comparisons with other available precipitation or drought reconstructions were conducted. We further investigated the influence of the South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) on the drought variability in our study region. Results indicated that our tree-ring width chronology contained stable drought signal in the early summer season (May–June). During the past 821 years, the longest dry and wet periods lasted for 116 and 90 years, respectively, based on a 21-year Fast Fourier transform filter. Specifically, longer than ten years’ dry periods prevailed during 1211–1245 CE, 1280–1358, 1421–1471, 1500–1571, 1580–1598, 1650–1691, 1782–1807 and 1867–1982; while wet intervals occurred in 1190–1210 CE, 1246–1279, 1359–1420, 1472–1499, 1599–1649, 1692–1781, 1808–1866 and 1983–2010. Generally consistent dry and wet intervals across the southern TP were found by comparisons with other available datasets during their common periods. Interestingly, we detected an unstable influence of the SASM on the May–June drought variability in our study region, at least for the past three and a half centuries. This study therefore gives a new perspective of drought variability as well as their relationships with the SASM over a long-term period on the south-central TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climatic harshness is expected to increase at higher elevations; however, elevational trends of tree radial growth response of high-elevation forests to climate change need to be investigated at different locations because of existing local variability in site-specific climatic conditions. We developed tree-ring width chronologies of Yunnan fir ( Abies georgei ) along elevation gradients at two sites in the central Hengduan Mountains (HM). High-elevation forests of A. georgei showed growth synchronicity and common growth signals along elevation gradients, indicating a common climatic forcing, although tree radial growth rates decreased with increasing elevation. Radial growth of Yunnan fir showed positive correlations with summer temperatures and February precipitation and moisture availability, but were negatively correlated with spring temperatures. The strongest positive relationship indicated summer (July) mean and minimum temperatures are the most important growth determining climatic factors for tree radial growth in the cold environment of HM, and this relationship revealed a clear elevational trend with stronger correlations at higher altitudes. In contrast, tree radial growth was negatively correlated with June precipitation and moisture availability. The whole study period 1954–2015 was split in two sub-periods of equal length. Comparing the early sub-period (1954–1984) to the later sub-period (1985–2015), tree growth response to the summer temperatures strongly increased, while it became weaker to June precipitation and moisture availability. High-elevation Yunnan fir forests in the HM currently benefit from elevated growing season temperatures under humid summer conditions. However, increasing temperatures may induce drought stress on tree radial growth if the observed decreasing trend in humidity and precipitation continues. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We developed the first tree-ring chronology of Chukrasia tabularis from a moist tropical forest in Bangladesh, spanning the 102-year period 1911–2012. The species showed wood anatomically clear annual tree-ring boundaries which crossdated between tree individuals. Bootstrapped correlation analyses revealed that the ring-width index was significantly negatively correlated with current year mean and minimum temperatures. This relationship was stronger during the dry season (November–March), the pre-monsoon (February–April) and the post-monsoon season (September–November) than during the main monsoon season (May–August). We interpret this result as an indication that temperature-driven higher evapotranspiration outside the main rainy season leads to water stress limiting tree growth. This is confirmed by negative correlations of the ring-width index with the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) during the dry season. Precipitation did not show significant relationships to tree growth, except in current year June. However, cloud cover strongly negatively affected tree growth, likely by reducing photosynthetic capacity particularly during the rainy summer (May–August) monsoon season. On a regional scale, the ring-width index was correlated with both Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies, but during different seasons. Ring width of C. tabularis was also significantly correlated with the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Monthly Niño 3.4 region positive temperature anomalies enhanced current year tree growth but negative temperature anomalies reduced tree growth in the following year mainly through modulating local climate. Hence, tree-ring variations of C. tabularis in Bangladesh record local and regional climate signals and are a potential proxy to reconstruct local and regional paleoclimatic variability during the past centuries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Dendrochronological methods have been used to reconstruct insect outbreaks, yet the application has been scarce in the high Asia. We compiled tree-ring data from 4 host (Larix potaninii) and 4 non-host (Abies and Picea) sites in the central Hengduan Mountains, southwestern China. We assessed site-specific growth-climate responses and applied two methods to detecting larch insect defoliation events during the past 250 years. Compared with the non-host chronologies, larch trees (host) showed periodic reduction in radial growth, which may be associated with outbreaks of a larch defoliator. Synchronously, growth reductions was found for three low-elevation sites, such as during 1783–1790, 1846–1850, 1860–1865, 1873–1878, 1900–1909, 1939–1945, 1965–1970 and 1981–1986. However, these periods of outbreaks differ from those of a high-elevation site. With spectral analyses, we found 11–13 years frequency domains for three low-elevation larch chronologies, while 7–9 year peaks presented one high-elevation site. Contrastively, no significant frequency domains within the same periodicity were found in ring-width chronologies of co-occurring non-host species. We provide tree-ring evidence that larch trees growing in the central Hengduan Mountains have been infected by insect defoliators repeatedly. We suggest that appropriate approaches should be applied to correct insect-defoliation signals when using larch tree-ring data as a climatic proxy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Response of climate warming on tree-ring formation has attracted much attention during recent years. However, most studies are based on statistical analysis, lacking understanding of tree-physiological processes, especially in the mountainous regions of the Tibetan Plateau (TP). Herein, we firstly use an updated new version of the tree-ring process-based Vaganov-Shashkin model (VS-oscilloscope) to simulate tree-ring formation and its relationships with climate factors during the past six decades. Our analyses covered 341 sampled trees growing within elevations ranging from 2750 to 4575 m a.s.l. at five sampling sites across the TP. Simulated tree-ring width series are significantly ( p < 0.01) correlated with actual tree-ring width chronologies during their common interval periods. Starting dates of tree-ring formation are determined by temperature at all five sampling sites. After the initiation of tree stem cambial activity, soil moisture content has a significant effect on tree radial growth. Ending dates of cambial activity are driven by temperature over the whole study region. Simulated results indicate differences between wide and narrow tree-rings are mostly induced by soil moisture content, especially during the first half of the growing season, when effects from temperature variations are minor. Interestingly, we detected significantly ( p < 0.001) increased relative growth rates due to higher soil moisture content after the year 1985 at the five sampling sites. However, the variability of mean relative growth rates due to temperature is negligible before and after that. Based on the successful application of VS-oscilloscope modeling on the high-elevation tree stands on the TP, our study provides a new perspective on tree radial growth process and their varying relationships to climate factors during the past six decades. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In recent decades, the Tibetan plateau (TP) experienced a distinctive temperature increase, with fundamental consequences for the hydrological system. As meteorological time-series extending back more than 60 years are scarce, there is a strong need for proxy data providing insight into the regional hydroclimatic history as well as the long-term variability. Within this study, a recently developed annually resolved 1500 year-long tree-ring stable oxygen isotope (δ 18 O) time from the southeastern TP is presented. Climate–proxy relationships reveal a strong impact of relative humidity (rH) during the summer months (May to September) on tree-ring δ 18 O, explaining around 45% of its variance. The derived reconstruction of relative humidity reveals a recent trend towards drier conditions on the TP. However, the present low rH level is not unprecedented in regard to the last 1500 years. In comparison to recent climate conditions, the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) was characterized by more stable conditions with higher humidity values. Hydroclimatic conditions during the Little Ice Age (LIA) suggest a contrasting two-phased period, with a clear shift from drier conditions prevailing between 1400 and 1650 AD to more humid conditions since the second half of the 17th century. Comparisons with other local proxies from lake levels and Pollen data from the southern part of the Tibetan plateau indicate a common regional climate forcing during the MWP and the LIA which can be related to changes in summer monsoon activity. However, the strength of the distinct dryness trend during the 20th century seems unique. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The fieldweek associated with the 4th Asian Dendrochronological Association Conference was an excellent opportunity for education, networking, and research. The participants and group leaders worked together for five days in an area that was new to some of the group leaders and new to some of the participants which enabled us to learn about forest ecology around Kathmandu and Nagarkot, Nepal. The fieldweek was an excellent networking opportunity and the group leaders and participants bonded which strengthened international research in dendrochronology and continues to foster new research collaborations. All of the group leaders and participants had the opportunity to learn about tree-ring formation in Pinus roxburghii at 1500 masl elevation, to explore its wood anatomy, and to examine specific research questions in our field area. In the end we developed a better understanding of the stand-age structure of a stand of trees in Nagarkot, explored the erosion history from exposed roots, and investigated tree health issues on closely related sites. We found that P. roxburghii poses some dating issues with false and micro rings at this elevation, but we were still able to develop a tree-ring chronology from this species and make preliminary assessments of stand dynamics and health. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Precipitation in the monsoon shadow zone of the western Himalayan region, largely under the influence of mid-latitude westerlies, is the dominant regional socioeconomic driver. Current knowledge of long-term regional precipitation variability is scarce due to spatially and temporally limited weather and high-resolution proxy climate records. We developed the first boreal spring precipitation reconstruction for the western Himalaya covering the last millennium (1030–2011 C.E.). The annually resolved reconstruction is based on a large tree-ring data set of Himalayan cedar ( Cedrus deodara ) and neoza pine ( Pinus gerardiana ) from 16 ecologically homogeneous moisture stressed settings in Kinnaur, western Indian Himalaya. The precipitation reconstruction revealed persistent long-term spring droughts from the 12th to early 16th century C.E. and pluvial from the late 16th century C.E. to recent decades. The late 15th and early 16th centuries (1490–1514 C.E.) displayed the driest episode, with precipitation being ∼15% lower than the long-term mean. The early 19th century (1820–1844 C.E.) was the wettest period of the past millennium, with mean precipitation ∼13% above the long-term mean. The reconstructed boreal spring precipitation from the western Himalaya revealed large-scale consistency with hydrological records from westerly dominated regions in Central Asia, indicating synoptic-scale changes in atmospheric circulation during the major part of the Medieval and Little Ice Age periods. Protracted droughts in Central Asia could have caused severe contraction of the regional economy, as indicated by striking coherence of reconstructed drought periods and historic social upheavals and invasions of India from Central and Western Asian invaders. Vulnerability to climatic extremes underpins the need to develop a better understanding of the temporal and spatial variability in regional hydroclimate in order to devise viable water resource management plans. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ecosystem structures of tropical mountain forests are under threat due to changes in climate and land-use. The dry tropical montane forest of Munessa-Shashemene in south-east Ethiopia is a prominent example of degradation and deforestation in the sub-humid tropics. In recent years an increasing number of precipitation events has been observed, mainly during the short rainy season. Moreover, the recent IPCC Report envisages an increase in total annual precipitation, accompanied by more frequent extreme weather events (drought, torrential rains) for the Horn of Africa until the end of the 21st century. To evaluate possible consequences for local forest ecosystems, we applied the process-based, individual-oriented forest simulation model Formix3 to identify the influence of precipitation variability on the forest growth dynamics. We parameterised the model using field observation data including, for the first time, a tree-ring chronology of Croton macrostachyus . By using different levels of annual precipitation and intra-annual precipitation patterns, we analysed explicit simulation scenarios focussing on both overall and species-specific aboveground biomass dynamics and tree species composition. We found that the model reproduces aboveground biomass productivity precisely under current precipitation conditions. Variations in precipitation cause ecological shifts in the conditions for tree growth. Biomass and species richness both increase with mean annual precipitation, with the effects stabilising over time. Our results emphasise the impact of the duration and frequency of periods of water limitation on forest structure and growth. Our model has a variety of potential applications including investigation of the impacts of precipitation variability on forest structure and tree species diversity. It is thus a useful tool for extrapolating local growth measurements and succession, and analysing the impact of different management strategies on dry tropical montane forests. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Variations of stable isotopes ratios in tree rings are indicators of climate fluctuations. The current study examines the relationships between precipitation and temperature variations and stable oxygen isotopes ratios ( δ 18 O) of the last 50 years in cellulose extracted from growth rings of Juniperus polycarpus and Quercus macranthera in northern Iran. We sampled at high-elevation sites in the Alborz Mountains, where J. polycarpus covers south-facing slopes and Q. macranthera covers north-facing slopes, respectively. δ 18 O values of tree-ring cellulose in oak and juniper show site-specific differences in their mean and standard deviation, but temporal variations are significantly correlated, indicating a common forcing. Correlation functions of tree-ring δ 18 O with local and modelled climate data reveal positive effects of temperature on δ 18 O values in J. polycarpus during January–June, with significant correlations in January and May. Moreover, juniper δ 18 O is influenced by winter precipitation, probably due to an influence of snow melt on the isotopic composition of soil water during spring. Negative correlations were found between juniper δ 18 O and early vegetation period precipitation, when new xylem cells are formed. In contrast, δ 18 O of oak contains a late summer (September) precipitation signal. Besides, δ 18 O values in oak are positively affected by temperatures during summer and winter, with strongest connections with temperatures of September during the previous and current growing seasons. By combining stable isotope signals of species growing under different site conditions, there is a potential to reconstruct moisture variations during different seasons in the mountain areas of north Iran. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Extreme climatic events such as droughts are likely to result in huge and long-lasting effects on regional ecosystem health if large numbers of foundation tree species continue to die. Although deforestation is severe in the Ethiopian highlands, some remnants of dry afromontane forests still exist. However, the resilience of these forests under climate change scenarios is unknown. Therefore, we studied (1) the extent and spatial patterns of standing dead stems along an elevational gradient and (2) the effects of dieback on forest carbon sequestration potential and aboveground carbon stocks, in Juniperus procera and Olea europaea dominated dry afromontane forest in northern Ethiopia, using allometric models combined with tree ring analysis. Juniperus procera and Olea europaea constitute 67% of the total tree population. Tree dieback affected a quarter of the total population. This loss is critical because 92.2% of snags belong to J. procera and O. europaea , which are the foundation species of the study forest. The total estimated mean aboveground C-stock was 19.3 (±3.9) Mg C ha −1 . Of this estimate, snags contributed 34.5% of total C-stock. The estimated annual C-sequestration potential of the study forest was 0.33 (±0.03) Mg C ha −1 year −1 , which is 27% less when compared to the pre-tree dieback C-sequestration potential. We found a decreasing trend in tree dieback with increasing elevation, which implies that the aboveground C-stocks and climate change mitigation potentials of the forest, was highly affected at lower elevations which is the drier part of the landscape. Tree ring analysis showed that trees reach medium-sized stem diameter (i.e., 20–25 cm) after no less than 100 years, indicating that the effect of forest dieback on C-sequestration potential and ecosystem function is long-lasting. Our results provide information on the magnitude of tree dieback and its long-lasting impact on forest carbon fluxes and forest ecosystem services. Evidently, the results substantiate the importance of protecting such forest to maintain the quality of the environment and to reduce efforts and cost for forest restoration after major loss. Finally, the information gained by this study provides baseline information for comparison of future carbon sequestration estimates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]