1. Index construction and real-time hazard assessment of rice sterile-type chilling injury process in Northeast China.
- Author
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Sudu, Bilige, Li, Kaiwei, Guga, Suri, Gele, Teri, Zhi, Feng, Guo, Ying, Wei, Sicheng, Rong, Guangzhi, Bao, Yongbin, Liu, Xingpeng, and Zhang, Jiquan
- Subjects
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SOLAR stills , *RISK assessment , *CHLOROPHYLL spectra , *WOUNDS & injuries - Abstract
• Rice cultivation areas continue to expand from tropical and subtropical areas to high altitudes and high latitudes, and the chances of rice suffering from chilling injury gradually increase. • Regional-scale chlorophyll fluorescence data show a close correlation with the monitoring chilling injury losses in rice. • Real-time hazard assessment of the occurrence of chilling injury in rice and its intensity, and estimation of the possible loss of rice yield caused by different disaster-causing intensities. Rice is a warm-temperature crop, and sterile-type chilling injuries may be induced by acute periods of low-temperature weather during the reproductive growth period. This study considered the daily mean and minimum temperatures in Northeast China from 1979 to 2018 as influencing factors to construct a process-based rice accumulated intensity index (PARII) and hazard assessment model based on known crop disaster periods, analyzed the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of chilling injury during the rice growth period (booting and flowering stages), used solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) and yield fluctuation data to calculate the adaptability of the hazard assessment model, and selected two typical events of disaster processes to verify the proposed real-time hazard assessment model. The change in the cumulative intensity index of rice sterile-type chilling injury indicated an increasing trend in chilling injury in the rice booting stage. Based on the probability density static hazard and cumulative probability dynamics, the results of real-time hazard analysis showed that the chilling injury hazard area was significantly expanded compared with the sterile-type chilling injury during the booting and flowering periods. The hazard value was greater than 0.2 in central and southeastern Heilongjiang, and the static hazard index was significantly negatively correlated with SIF and fluctuating yield, which indicated the chilling injury impacted rice yield and physiology. Regional-scale hazard levels were assessed by daily real-time hazard evaluation to highlight spatial heterogeneity in crop stress and damage. The results of this study provide a scientific basis for real-time risk assessment and management of chilling injury in rice crops and may support future adaptation strategies for addressing risks associated with severe low-temperature events. [Display omitted] [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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