1. R3-AFP score is a new composite tool to refine prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver transplantation
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Charlotte Costentin, Federico Piñero, Helena Degroote, Andrea Notarpaolo, Ilka F. Boin, Karim Boudjema, Cinzia Baccaro, Luis G. Podestá, Philippe Bachellier, Giuseppe Maria Ettorre, Jaime Poniachik, Fabrice Muscari, Fabrizio Dibenedetto, Sergio Hoyos Duque, Ephrem Salame, Umberto Cillo, Sebastian Marciano, Claire Vanlemmens, Stefano Fagiuoli, Patrizia Burra, Hans Van Vlierberghe, Daniel Cherqui, Quirino Lai, Marcelo Silva, Fernando Rubinstein, Christophe Duvoux, Filomena Conti, Olivier Scatton, Pierre Henri Bernard, Claire Francoz, Francois Durand, Sébastien Dharancy, Marie-lorraine Woehl, Alexis Laurent, Sylvie Radenne, Jérôme Dumortier, Armand Abergel, Louise Barbier, Pauline Houssel-Debry, Georges Philippe Pageaux, Laurence Chiche, Victor Deledinghen, Jean Hardwigsen, J. Gugenheim, M. Altieri, Marie Noelle Hilleret, Thomas Decaens, Aline Chagas, Paulo Costa, Elaine Cristina de Ataide, Emilio Quiñones, Sebastián Marciano, Margarita Anders, Adriana Varón, Alina Zerega, Alejandro Soza, Martín Padilla Machaca, Diego Arufe, Josemaría Menéndez, Rodrigo Zapata, Mario Vilatoba, Linda Muñoz, Ricardo Chong Menéndez, Martín Maraschio, Lucas McCormack, Juan Mattera, Adrian Gadano, Ilka S.F. Fatima Boin, Jose Huygens Parente García, Flair Carrilho, Giulia Magini, Lucia Miglioresi, Martina Gambato, Fabrizio Di Benedetto, Cecilia D’Ambrosio, Alessandro Vitale, Michele Colledan, Domenico Pinelli, Paolo Magistri, Giovanni Vennarecci, Marco Colasanti, Valerio Giannelli, Adriano Pellicelli, Cizia Baccaro, Callebout Eduard, Iesari Samuele, Dekervel Jeroen, Schreiber Jonas, Pirenne Jacques, Verslype Chris, Ysebaert Dirk, Michielsen Peter, Lucidi Valerio, Moreno Christophe, Detry Olivier, Delwaide Jean, Troisi Roberto, Lerut Jan Paul, Costentin, C, Piñero, F, Degroote, H, Notarpaolo, A, Boin, I, Boudjema, K, Baccaro, C, Podestá, L, Bachellier, P, Ettorre, G, Poniachik, J, Muscari, F, Dibenedetto, F, Hoyos Duque, S, Salame, E, Cillo, U, Marciano, S, Vanlemmens, C, Fagiuoli, S, Burra, P, Van Vlierberghe, H, Cherqui, D, Lai, Q, Silva, M, Rubinstein, F, Duvoux, C, Conti, F, Scatton, O, Bernard, P, Francoz, C, Durand, F, Dharancy, S, Woehl, M, Laurent, A, Radenne, S, Dumortier, J, Abergel, A, Barbier, L, Houssel-Debry, P, Pageaux, G, Chiche, L, Deledinghen, V, Hardwigsen, J, Gugenheim, J, Altieri, M, Hilleret, M, Decaens, T, Chagas, A, Costa, P, Cristina de Ataide, E, Quiñones, E, Duque, S, Anders, M, Varón, A, Zerega, A, Soza, A, Machaca, M, Arufe, D, Menéndez, J, Zapata, R, Vilatoba, M, Muñoz, L, Menéndez, R, Maraschio, M, Mccormack, L, Mattera, J, Gadano, A, Fatima Boin, I, Parente García, J, Carrilho, F, Magini, G, Miglioresi, L, Gambato, M, Benedetto, F, D’Ambrosio, C, Vitale, A, Colledan, M, Pinelli, D, Magistri, P, Vennarecci, G, Colasanti, M, Giannelli, V, Pellicelli, A, Vlierberghe, H, Eduard, C, Samuele, I, Jeroen, D, Jonas, S, Jacques, P, Chris, V, Dirk, Y, Peter, M, Valerio, L, Christophe, M, Olivier, D, Jean, D, Roberto, T, Paul, L, Institute for Advanced Biosciences / Institut pour l'Avancée des Biosciences (Grenoble) (IAB), Centre Hospitalier Universitaire [Grenoble] (CHU)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Etablissement français du sang - Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes (EFS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes (UGA), Hôpital la Tronche, Universidad Austral de Chile, Ghent University Hospital, Arcispedale S Maria Nuova, Universidade Estadual de Campinas = University of Campinas (UNICAMP), CHU Pontchaillou [Rennes], Université de Rennes 1 (UR1), Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES), CHU Strasbourg, Universidad de Chile = University of Chile [Santiago] (UCHILE), Hôpital Universitaire de Rangueil, Università degli Studi di Modena e Reggio Emilia = University of Modena and Reggio Emilia (UNIMORE), Universidad de Antioquia = University of Antioquia [Medellín, Colombia], CHU Trousseau [Tours], Centre Hospitalier Régional Universitaire de Tours (CHRU Tours), Azienda Ospedale Università di Padova = Hospital-University of Padua (AOUP), Instituto Universitario del Hospital Italiano [Buenos Aires, Argentina], Hôpital JeanMinjoz, Hospital Papa Giovanni XXIII (Hosp P Giovanni XXIII), Hôpital Paul Brousse, Università degli Studi di Roma 'La Sapienza' = Sapienza University [Rome] (UNIROMA), CHU Henri Mondor, Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12 (UPEC UP12), None, French-Italian-Belgium and Latin American collaborative group for HCC and liver transplantation: Karim Boudjema, Philippe Bachellier, Filomena Conti, Olivier Scatton, Fabrice Muscari, Ephrem Salame, Pierre Henri Bernard, Claire Francoz, Francois Durand, Sébastien Dharancy, Marie-Lorraine Woehl, Claire Vanlemmens, Alexis Laurent, Sylvie Radenne, Jérôme Dumortier, Armand Abergel, Daniel Cherqui, Louise Barbier, Pauline Houssel-Debry, Georges Philippe Pageaux, Laurence Chiche, Victor Deledinghen, Jean Hardwigsen, J Gugenheim, M Altieri, Marie Noelle Hilleret, Thomas Decaens, Christophe Duvoux, Federico Piñero, Aline Chagas, Paulo Costa, Elaine Cristina de Ataide, Emilio Quiñones, Sergio Hoyos Duque, Sebastián Marciano, Margarita Anders, Adriana Varón, Alina Zerega, Jaime Poniachik, Alejandro Soza, Martín Padilla Machaca, Diego Arufe, Josemaría Menéndez, Rodrigo Zapata, Mario Vilatoba, Linda Muñoz, Ricardo Chong Menéndez, Martín Maraschio, Luis G Podestá, Lucas McCormack, Juan Mattera, Adrian Gadano, Ilka Sf Fatima Boin, Jose Huygens Parente García, Flair Carrilho, Marcelo Silva, Andrea Notarpaolo, Giulia Magini, Lucia Miglioresi, Martina Gambato, Fabrizio Di Benedetto, Cecilia D'Ambrosio, Giuseppe Maria Ettorre, Alessandro Vitale, Patrizia Burra, Stefano Fagiuoli, Umberto Cillo, Michele Colledan, Domenico Pinelli, Paolo Magistri, Giovanni Vennarecci, Marco Colasanti, Valerio Giannelli, Adriano Pellicelli, Cizia Baccaro, Quirino Lai, Helena Degroote, Hans Van Vlierberghe, Callebout Eduard, Iesari Samuele, Dekervel Jeroen, Schreiber Jonas, Pirenne Jacques, Verslype Chris, Ysebaert Dirk, Michielsen Peter, Lucidi Valerio, Moreno Christophe, Detry Olivier, Delwaide Jean, Troisi Roberto, Lerut Jan Paul, Université de Rennes (UR), Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Toulouse (CHU Toulouse), and CHU Henri Mondor [Créteil]
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TTR= time to recurrence ,[SDV.CAN]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Cancer ,Explants pathology ,Liver cancer ,Liver transplantation ,Prediction ,Recurrence ,MVI= microvascular invasion ,VC= validation cohort ,VALIDATION ,LT= liver transplantation ,RETREAT SCORE ,SHR= sub-distribution of hazard ratio ,R3= recurrence risk reassessment ,HBV= hepatitis B virus ,SIROLIMUS-BASED IMMUNOSUPPRESSION ,Internal Medicine ,HCV= hepatitis C virus ,Medicine and Health Sciences ,IMPROVES ,Immunology and Allergy ,Hepatology ,TC= test cohort ,Gastroenterology ,DEATH ,COMPETING RISKS ,MODEL ,AFP= alpha-foetoprotein ,SORAFENIB ,SURVIVAL ,HCC= hepatocellular carcinoma ,RETREAT= Risk Estimation of Tumour Recurrence After Transplant - Abstract
Background & Aims: Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are selected for liver transplantation (LT) based on pre-LT imaging +/- alpha-foetoprotein (AFP) level, but discrepancies between pre-LT tumour assessment and explant are frequent. Our aim was to design an explant-based recurrence risk reassessment score to refine prediction of recurrence after LT and provide a framework to guide post-LT management.Methods: Adult patients who underwent transplantation between 2000 and 2018 for HCC in 47 centres were included. A prediction model for recurrence was developed using competing-risk regression analysis in a European training cohort (TC; n = 1,359) and tested in a Latin American validation cohort (VC; n=1,085).Results: In the TC, 76.4% of patients with HCC met the Milan criteria, and 89.9% had an AFP score of -4 nodules (sub-distribution of hazard ratio [SHR] = 1.88, 1 point), size of largest nodule (3-6 cm: SHR = 1.83,1 point; >6 cm: SHR = 5.82, 5 points), presence of microvascular invasion (MVI; SHR = 2.69, 2 points), nuclear grade >II (SHR = 1.20, 1 point), and last pre-LT AFP value (101-1,000 ng/ml: SHR = 1.57, 1 point; >1,000 ng/ml: SHR = 2.83, 2 points). Wolber's c-index was 0.76 (95% CI 0.72-0.80), significantly superior to an R3 model without AFP (0.75; 95% CI 0.72-0.79; p = 0.01). Four 5-year recurrence risk categories were identified: very low (score = 0; 5.5%), low (1-2 points; 15.1%), high (3-6 points; 39.1%), and very high (>6 points; 73.9%). The R3-AFP score performed well in the VC (Wolber's c-index of 0.78; 95% CI 0.73-0.83). Conclusions: The R3 score including the last pre-LT AFP value (R3-AFP score) provides a user-friendly, standardised framework to design post-LT surveillance strategies, protocols, or adjuvant therapy trials for HCC not limited to the Milan criteria.Clinical Trials Registration: NCT03775863.Lay summary: Considering discrepancies between pre-LT tumour assessment and explant are frequent, reassessing the risk of recurrence after LT is critical to further refine the management of patients with HCC. In a large and international cohort of patients who underwent transplantation for HCC, we designed and validated the R3-AFP model based on variables inde-pendently associated with recurrence post-LT (number of nodules, size of largest nodule, presence of MVI, nuclear grade, and last pre-LT AFP value). The R3-AFP model including last available pre-LT AFP value outperformed the original R3 model only based on explant features. The final R3-AFP scoring system provides a robust framework to design post-LT surveillance strategies, protocols, or adjuvant therapy trials, irrespective of criteria used to select patients with HCC for LT. (c) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL).
- Published
- 2022
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