1. Cost-Effectiveness Modeling of Surgery Plus Adjuvant Endocrine Therapy Versus Primary Endocrine Therapy Alone in UK Women Aged 70 and Over With Early Breast Cancer
- Author
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Kate Lifford, Deirdre Revill, Annaliza Todd, Stephen J Walters, Katherine Emma Brain, Geoffrey Holmes, Lynda Wyld, Malcolm W.R. Reed, Jacqui Gath, Tracy Green, Tim Chater, Alan Brennan, Mike Bradburn, Jenna Morgan, Margot Gosney, Paul Richards, Matthew Hatton, Kwok-Leung Cheung, Adrian Edwards, Alistair Ring, Charlene Martin, Maria Burton, Rachid Rafia, J.T. Wright, Richard Simcock, Riccardo A. Audisio, Alistair Thomson, Sue Ward, Kirsty Pemberton, and Thompson G. Robinson
- Subjects
Comparative Effectiveness Research ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Time Factors ,Antineoplastic Agents, Hormonal ,Cost effectiveness ,Cost-Benefit Analysis ,Health Status ,medicine.medical_treatment ,Clinical Decision-Making ,Breast Neoplasms ,Comorbidity ,Risk Assessment ,Drug Costs ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Breast cancer ,Quality of life ,Risk Factors ,Humans ,Medicine ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Prospective cohort study ,Lymph node ,Mastectomy ,Aged ,Early breast cancer ,Models, Statistical ,business.industry ,030503 health policy & services ,Health Policy ,Age Factors ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Endocrine therapy ,medicine.disease ,United Kingdom ,Surgery ,Models, Economic ,Treatment Outcome ,medicine.anatomical_structure ,Chemotherapy, Adjuvant ,Physical Fitness ,Quality of Life ,Female ,0305 other medical science ,business ,Adjuvant - Abstract
Objectives\ud \ud Approximately 20% of UK women aged 70+ with early breast cancer receive primary endocrine therapy (PET) instead of surgery. PET reduces surgical morbidity but with some survival decrement. To complement and utilize a treatment dependent prognostic model, we investigated the cost-effectiveness of surgery plus adjuvant therapies versus PET for women with varying health and fitness, identifying subgroups for which each treatment is cost-effective.\ud \ud \ud Methods\ud \ud Survival outcomes from a statistical model, and published data on recurrence, were combined with data from a large, multicenter, prospective cohort study of over 3400 UK women aged 70+ with early breast cancer and median 52-month follow-up, to populate a probabilistic economic model. This model evaluated the cost-effectiveness of surgery plus adjuvant therapies relative to PET for 24 illustrative subgroups: Age {70, 80, 90} × Nodal status {FALSE (F), TRUE (T)} × Comorbidity score {0, 1, 2, 3+}.\ud \ud \ud Results\ud \ud For a 70-year-old with no lymph node involvement and no comorbidities (70, F, 0), surgery plus adjuvant therapies was cheaper and more effective than PET. For other subgroups, surgery plus adjuvant therapies was more effective but more expensive. Surgery plus adjuvant therapies was not cost-effective for 4 of the 24 subgroups: (90, F, 2), (90, F, 3), (90, T, 2), (90, T, 3).\ud \ud \ud Conclusion\ud \ud From a UK perspective, surgery plus adjuvant therapies is clinically effective and cost-effective for most women aged 70+ with early breast cancer. Cost-effectiveness reduces with age and comorbidities, and for women over 90 with multiple comorbidities, there is little cost benefit and a negative impact on quality of life.
- Published
- 2021
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