1. Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on long-term trends in the prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis of paediatric type 1 diabetes: an international multicentre study based on data from 13 national diabetes registries
- Author
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Niels H Birkebaek, Clemens Kamrath, Julia M Grimsmann, Karin Aakesson, Valentino Cherubini, Klemen Dovc, Carine de Beaufort, Guy T Alonso, John W Gregory, Mary White, Torild Skrivarhaug, Zdenek Sumnik, Craig Jefferies, Thomas Hörtenhuber, Aveni Haynes, Martin De Bock, Jannet Svensson, Justin T Warner, Osman Gani, Rosaria Gesuita, Riccardo Schiaffini, Ragnar Hanas, Arleta Rewers, Alexander J Eckert, Reinhard W Holl, and Ondrej Cinek
- Subjects
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 ,Endocrinology ,Adolescent ,Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism ,Prevalence ,Internal Medicine ,Humans ,COVID-19 ,Registries ,Child ,Pandemics ,Diabetic Ketoacidosis - Abstract
Background: An increased prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes in children was observed in various diabetes centres worldwide during the COVID-19 pandemic. We aimed to evaluate trends in the prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis of paediatric type 1 diabetes before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, and to identify potential predictors of changes in diabetic ketoacidosis prevalence during the pandemic. Methods: For this international multicentre study, we used data from 13 national diabetes registries (Australia, Austria, Czechia, Denmark, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, New Zealand, Norway, Slovenia, Sweden, USA [Colorado], and Wales). The study population comprised 104 290 children and adolescents aged 6 months to younger than 18 years, who were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes between Jan 1, 2006, and Dec 31, 2021. The observed diabetic ketoacidosis prevalence in 2020 and 2021 was compared to predictions based on trends over the pre-pandemic years 2006–19. Associations between changes in diabetic ketoacidosis prevalence and the severity of the COVID-19 pandemic and containment measures were examined with excess all-cause mortality in the whole population and the Stringency Index from the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker. Findings: 87 228 children and adolescents were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes between 2006 and 2019, 8209 were diagnosed in 2020, and 8853 were diagnosed in 2021. From 2006 to 2019, diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes was present in 23 775 (27·3%) of 87 228 individuals and the mean annual increase in the prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis in the total cohort from 2006 to 2019 was 1·6% (95% CI 1·3 to 1·9). The adjusted observed prevalence of diabetic ketoacidosis at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes was 39·4% (95% CI 34·0 to 45·6) in 2020 and 38·9% (33·6 to 45·0) in 2021, significantly higher than the predicted prevalence of 32·5% (27·8 to 37·9) for 2020 and 33·0% (28·3 to 38·5) for 2021 (p
- Published
- 2022