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BACKGROUND: Screening for islet autoantibodies in children and adolescents identifies individuals who will later develop type 1 diabetes, allowing patient and family education to prevent diabetic ketoacidosis at onset and to enable consideration of preventive therapies. We aimed to assess whether islet autoantibody screening is effective for predicting type 1 diabetes in adolescents aged 10−18 years with an increased risk of developing type 1 diabetes. METHODS: Data were harmonised from prospective studies from Finland (the Diabetes Prediction and Prevention study), Germany (the BABYDIAB study), and the USA (Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young and the Diabetes Evaluation in Washington study). Autoantibodies against insulin, glutamic acid decarboxylase, and insulinoma-associated protein 2 were measured at each follow-up visit. Children who were lost to follow-up or diagnosed with type 1 diabetes before 10 years of age were excluded. Inverse probability censoring weighting was used to include data from remaining participants. Sensitivity and the positive predictive value of these autoantibodies, tested at one or two ages, to predict type 1 diabetes by the age of 18 years were the main outcomes. FINDINGS: Of 20 303 children with an increased type 1 diabetes risk, 8682 were included for the analysis with inverse probability censoring weighting. 1890 were followed up to 18 years of age or developed type 1 diabetes between the ages of 10 years and 18 years, and their median follow-up was 18·3 years (IQR 14·5–20·3). 442 (23·4%) of 1890 adolescents were positive for at least one islet autoantibody, and 262 (13·9%) developed type 1 diabetes. Time from seroconversion to diabetes diagnosis increased by 0·64 years (95% CI 0·34–0·95) for each 1-year increment of diagnosis age (Pearson’s correlation coefficient 0·88, 95% CI 0·50–0·97, p=0·0020). The median interval between the last prediagnostic sample and diagnosis was 0·3 years (IQR 0·1–1·3) in the 227 participants who were autoantibody positive and 6·8 years (1·6–9·9) for the 35 who were autoantibody negative. Single screening at the age of 10 years was 90% (95% CI 86–95) sensitive, with a positive predictive value of 66% (60–72) for clinical diabetes. Screening at two ages (10 years and 14 years) increased sensitivity to 93% (95% CI 89–97) but lowered the positive predictive value to 55% (49–60). INTERPRETATION: Screening of adolescents at risk for type 1 diabetes only once at 10 years of age for islet autoantibodies was highly effective to detect type 1 diabetes by the age of 18 years, which in turn could enable prevention of diabetic ketoacidosis and participation in secondary prevention trials. FUNDING: JDRF International.

Variants in alcohol dehydrogenase (ADH) genes differ between ethnic groups and have, in some studies, been found to be associated with alcohol dependence and alcoholic liver disease. This study sought to determine whether an association exists between ADH (ADH1C previously ADH3, ADH1B*2 previously ADH2*2) genotypes, alcohol dependence, drinking history, and liver function tests in the two major ethnic groups of Trinidad and Tobago (TT). One hundred and forty-five alcohol-dependent individuals of both East Indian (Indo-TT) and African (Afro-TT) ancestry, and 108 controls matched by age, sex, and education participated in the study. Serum levels of alanine and aspartate aminotransferase (ALT, AST), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) as well as presence of HIV, hepatitis B surface antigen, and anti-hepatitis C virus antibody were determined. There was a significant difference in the distribution of ADH1C allele polymorphisms between the ethnic groups (P.0001). Forty-three percent of the Indo-TT were found to have one ADH1C*2 allele and 5% were homozygous, whereas, only 23% of Afro-TT had one allele and one was homozygous. Only three individuals had an ADH1B*2 allele (one Indo-TT alcohol dependent, two Indo-TT controls). The ADH1C*2 allele was significantly associated with alcohol dependence overall and within Indo-TT ancestry, however, it was not associated with current or heaviest alcohol consumption levels. Individuals with at least one ADH1C*2 allele also had significantly elevated levels of ALP (P.02) and GGT (P.02) as compared to individuals homozygous for ADH1C*. Additionally, GGT levels were also found to be elevated (P.02) within Indo-TT alcohol dependents with at least one ADH1C*2 allele but not within the Afro-TT alcohol dependents with that allele. A linear regression that included alcohol dependence and levels of alcohol consumption confirmed that levels of serum GGT were significantly associated with the ADH1C*2 genotype. These results suggest that ADH1C polymorphisms are associated with alcohol dependence and alcohol associated elevations of liver enzymes in a population with a low frequency of ADH1B2 alleles.