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Background and Purpose: Perioperative stroke remains a devastating complication after cardiac surgery and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Despite the significant contribution of stroke to perioperative mortality, risk factors for perioperative stroke-related mortality have not been well characterized. Our aim was to identify independent predictors of perioperative stroke-related mortality after cardiac surgery, using the Pennsylvania Health Care Cost Containment Council (PHC4) database which provides information on cause of death. Methods: We retrospectively examined patient medical records from 2012 to 2014 of 3345 patients (ages 18-99) who underwent a cardiac surgical procedure and suffered perioperative (30-day) mortality. Perioperative stroke-related mortality was identified by International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification cause of death codes. We performed Fisher's exact test and multivariate analysis to identify comorbidities that independently predict perioperative stroke-related mortality. Results: After controlling for all variables with multivariate analysis, we found that patients with carotid stenosis were 4.9 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.8-12.8) times more likely to die from a stroke than from other causes, when compared to patients without carotid stenosis. Other independent predictors of perioperative stroke-related mortality included in-hospital stroke (aOR 108.8, 95%CI 48.2-245.9), history of stroke (aOR 17.1, 95%CI 3.3-88.4), and age ≥ 80 (aOR 4.9, 95%CI 2.1-11.2). Conclusions: This is the first study to establish carotid stenosis, among other comorbidities, as an independent predictor of perioperative stroke-related mortality after cardiac surgery. Understanding risk factors for mortality from stroke will help enhance the efficacy of preoperative screening, intraoperative neurophysiological monitoring, and potential treatments for stroke. Interventions to manage carotid stenosis and other identified risk factors prior to, during, or immediately after surgery may have the potential to reduce perioperative stroke-related mortality after cardiac surgery.

Objective: The purpose of this study was to delineate the natural history of claudication and determine risk factors for ischemic rest pain (IRP) and ischemic ulceration (IU) among patients with claudication. Methods: We prospectively collected data on 1244 men with claudication during a 15-year period, including demographics, clinical risk factors, and ankle-brachial index (ABI). We followed these patients serially with ABIs, self-reported walking distance (WalkDist), and monitoring for IRP and IU. We used Kaplan-Meier and proportional hazards modeling to find independent predictors of IRP and IU. Results: Mean follow-up was 45 months; statistically valid follow-up could be carried out for as long as 12 years. ABI declined an average of 0.014 per year. WalkDist declined at an average rate of 9.2 yards per year. The cumulative 10-year risks of development of IU and IRP were 23% and 30%, respectively. In multivariate analysis using several clinical risk factors, we found that only DM (relative risk [RR], 1.8) and ABI (RR, 2.2 for 0.1 decrease in ABI) predicted the development of IRP. Similarly, only DM (RR, 3.0) and ABI (RR, 1.9 for 0.1 decrease in ABI) were significant predictors of IU. Conclusion: This large serial study of claudication is, to our knowledge, the longest of its kind. We documented an average rate of ABI decline of 0.014 per year and a decline in WalkDist of 9.2 yards per year. Two clinical factors, ABI and DM, were found to be associated with the development of IRP and IU. Our findings may be useful in predicting the clinical course of claudication. (J Vasc Surg 2001;34:962-70.)

Objective: The purpose of this study was to delineate the natural history of claudication and determine risk factors for death. Methods: We reviewed the key outcomes (death, revascularization, amputation) in 2777 male patients with claudication identified over 15 years at a Veterans Administration hospital with both clinical and noninvasive criteria. Patients with rest pain or ulcers were excluded. Data were analyzed with life-table and Cox hazard models. Results: The mean follow-up was 47 months. The cohort exhibited a mortality rate of 12% per year, which was significantly (P