1. Unbiased Estimation Using a Class of Diffusion Processes
- Author
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Hamza Ruzayqat, Alexandros Beskos, Dan Crisan, Ajay Jasra, and Nikolas Kantas
- Subjects
FOS: Computer and information sciences ,stat.CO ,Numerical Analysis ,math.NA ,02 Physical Sciences ,Physics and Astronomy (miscellaneous) ,Applied Mathematics ,Probability (math.PR) ,Numerical Analysis (math.NA) ,math.PR ,Statistics - Computation ,09 Engineering ,Computer Science Applications ,Methodology (stat.ME) ,Computational Mathematics ,60J60, 62D05, 65C40 ,stat.ME ,Modeling and Simulation ,FOS: Mathematics ,Mathematics - Numerical Analysis ,Computation (stat.CO) ,cs.NA ,01 Mathematical Sciences ,Mathematics - Probability ,Statistics - Methodology - Abstract
We study the problem of unbiased estimation of expectations with respect to (w.r.t.) $\pi$ a given, general probability measure on $(\mathbb{R}^d,\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^d))$ that is absolutely continuous with respect to a standard Gaussian measure. We focus on simulation associated to a particular class of diffusion processes, sometimes termed the Schr\"odinger-F\"ollmer Sampler, which is a simulation technique that approximates the law of a particular diffusion bridge process $\{X_t\}_{t\in [0,1]}$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d\in \mathbb{N}_0$. This latter process is constructed such that, starting at $X_0=0$, one has $X_1\sim \pi$. Typically, the drift of the diffusion is intractable and, even if it were not, exact sampling of the associated diffusion is not possible. As a result, \cite{sf_orig,jiao} consider a stochastic Euler-Maruyama scheme that allows the development of biased estimators for expectations w.r.t.~$\pi$. We show that for this methodology to achieve a mean square error of $\mathcal{O}(\epsilon^2)$, for arbitrary $\epsilon>0$, the associated cost is $\mathcal{O}(\epsilon^{-5})$. We then introduce an alternative approach that provides unbiased estimates of expectations w.r.t.~$\pi$, that is, it does not suffer from the time discretization bias or the bias related with the approximation of the drift function. We prove that to achieve a mean square error of $\mathcal{O}(\epsilon^2)$, the associated cost is, with high probability, $\mathcal{O}(\epsilon^{-2}|\log(\epsilon)|^{2+\delta})$, for any $\delta>0$. We implement our method on several examples including Bayesian inverse problems., Comment: 27 pages, 11 figures
- Published
- 2022
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