1. Simple cardiovascular risk stratification by replacing total serum cholesterol with anthropometric measures: The MORGAM prospective cohort project.
- Author
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Rosberg V, Vishram-Nielsen JK, Kristensen AMD, Pareek M, Sehested TSG, Nilsson PM, Linneberg A, Palmieri L, Giampaoli S, Donfrancesco C, Kee F, Mancia G, Cesana G, Veronesi G, Grassi G, Kuulasmaa K, Salomaa V, Palosaari T, Sans S, Ferrieres J, Dallongeville J, Söderberg S, Moitry M, Drygas W, Tamosiunas A, Peters A, Brenner H, Schöttker B, Grimsgaard S, Biering-Sørensen T, and Olsen MH
- Abstract
To assess whether anthropometric measures (body mass index [BMI], waist-hip ratio [WHR], and estimated fat mass [EFM]) are independently associated with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and to assess their added prognostic value compared with serum total-cholesterol. The study population comprised 109,509 individuals (53% men) from the MORGAM-Project, aged 19-97 years, without established cardiovascular disease, and not on antihypertensive treatment. While BMI was reported in all, WHR and EFM were reported in ∼52,000 participants. Prognostic importance of anthropometric measurements and total-cholesterol was evaluated using adjusted Cox proportional-hazards regression, logistic regression, area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC
ROC ), and net reclassification improvement (NRI). The primary endpoint was MACE, a composite of stroke, myocardial infarction, or death from coronary heart disease. Age interacted significantly with anthropometric measures and total-cholesterol on MACE (P ≤ 0.003), and therefore age-stratified analyses (<50 versus ≥ 50 years) were performed. BMI, WHR, EFM, and total-cholesterol were independently associated with MACE (P ≤ 0.003) and resulted in significantly positive NRI when added to age, sex, smoking status, and systolic blood pressure. Only total-cholesterol increased discrimination ability (AUCROC difference; P < 0.001). In subjects < 50 years, the prediction model with total-cholesterol was superior to the model including BMI, but not superior to models containing WHR or EFM, while in those ≥ 50 years, the model with total-cholesterol was superior to all models containing anthropometric variables, whether assessed individually or combined. We found a potential role for replacing total-cholesterol with anthropometric measures for MACE-prediction among individuals < 50 years when laboratory measurements are unavailable, but not among those ≥ 50 years., Competing Interests: The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: VS has received honoraria from Novo Nordisk and Sanofi for consultations. He also has ongoing research collaboration with Bayer Ltd. (All unrelated to the present study). SSg has received speakers and consultant honoraria from Actelion Ltd. MHO has from 2013-2018 received a part time clinical research grant from the Novo Nordic Foundation. MP has the followings relationships – Advisory Board and Speaking Honoraria: AstraZeneca; Speaking Honoraria: Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim., (© 2022 The Author(s).)- Published
- 2022
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