1. Robust strategies of climate change mitigation in interacting energy, economy and land use systems
- Author
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Jan Philipp Dietrich, Maryse Labriet, David Klein, Ioanna Mouratiadou, Markus Bonsch, Alexander Popp, Marian Leimbach, and Amit Kanudia
- Subjects
Global and Planetary Change ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Primary energy ,Land use ,Geography, Planning and Development ,010501 environmental sciences ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,Development ,Environmental economics ,01 natural sciences ,Agricultural economics ,Climate change mitigation ,Bioenergy ,Carbon capture and storage ,Environmental science ,Land use, land-use change and forestry ,Robustness (economics) ,Energy economics ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
Purpose Bioenergy is a key component of climate change mitigation strategies aiming at low stabilization. Its versatility and capacity to generate negative emissions when combined with carbon capture and storage add degrees of freedom to the timing of emission reductions. This paper aims to explore the robustness of a bioenergy-based mitigation strategy by addressing several dimensions of uncertainty on biomass potential, bioenergy use and induced land use change emissions. Design/methodology/approach Different mitigation scenarios were explored by two different energy-economy optimization models coupled to the same land use model, which provides a common basis for the second generation bioenergy dynamics in the two energy-economy models. Findings Using bioenergy is found to be a robust mitigation strategy as demonstrated by high biomass shares in primary energy demand in both models and in all mitigation scenarios. Practical implications A variety of possible storylines about future uses of biomass exist. The comparison of the technology choices preferred by the applied models helps understand how future emission reductions can be achieved under alternative storylines. Originality/value The presented comparison-based assessment goes beyond other comparison studies because both energy-economy models are coupled to the same land use model.
- Published
- 2016
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