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Authors thank the National Natural Science Foundation of China grants NSFC 41888101 and NSFC 41731174, the 111 program of China (D19002), U.S. NSF Grant 1702816, and the Malcolm H. Wiener Foundation for support for research that contributed to the IntCal20 curve. The work on the Swiss and German YD trees was funded by the German Science foundation and the Swiss National Foundation (grant number: 200021L_157187). The operation in Aix-en-Provence is funded by the EQUIPEX ASTER-CEREGE, the Collège de France and the ANR project CARBOTRYDH (to EB). The work on the correlation of tree ring 14C with ice core 10Be was partially supported by the Swedish Research Council and the Knut and Alice Wallenberg foundation. M. Butzin is supported by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) through the PalMod project (grant number: 01LP1505B). S. Talamo and M. Friedrich. are funded by the European Research Council under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme (grant agreement No. 803147-RESOLUTION, awarded to ST). C. Turney would like to acknowledge support of the Australian Research Council (FL100100195 and DP170104665). P. Reimer and W. Austin acknowledge the support of the UKRI Natural Environment Research Council (Grant NE/M004619/1). Radiocarbon (14C) ages cannot provide absolutely dated chronologies for archaeological or paleoenvironmental studies directly but must be converted to calendar age equivalents using a calibration curve compensating for fluctuations in atmospheric 14C concentration. Although calibration curves are constructed from independently dated archives, they invariably require revision as new data become available and our understanding of the Earth system improves. In this volume the international 14C calibration curves for both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, as well as for the ocean surface layer, have been updated to include a wealth of new data and extended to 55,000 cal BP. Based on tree rings, IntCal20 now extends as a fully atmospheric record to ca. 13,900 cal BP. For the older part of the timescale, IntCal20 comprises statistically integrated evidence from floating tree-ring chronologies, lacustrine and marine sediments, speleothems, and corals. We utilized improved evaluation of the timescales and location variable 14C offsets from the atmosphere (reservoir age, dead carbon fraction) for each dataset. New statistical methods have refined the structure of the calibration curves while maintaining a robust treatment of uncertainties in the 14C ages, the calendar ages and other corrections. The inclusion of modeled marine reservoir ages derived from a three-dimensional ocean circulation model has allowed us to apply more appropriate reservoir corrections to the marine 14C data rather than the previous use of constant regional offsets from the atmosphere. Here we provide an overview of the new and revised datasets and the associated methods used for the construction of the IntCal20 curve and explore potential regional offsets for tree-ring data. We discuss the main differences with respect to the previous calibration curve, IntCal13, and some of the implications for archaeology and geosciences ranging from the recent past to the time of the extinction of the Neanderthals. Publisher PDF

International audience; Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) L5/E5a interference environment is dominated by DME/TACAN and JTIDS/MIDS pulses causing a degradation of the effective Carrier to Noise (C/N0) observed by the receiver. This causes delay for the receiver satellite acquisition and impacts the tracking capability. As a mitigation technique, a time-domain blanker is implemented to mitigate their impact. RTCA DO-292 proposes a model to compute the (C/N0) degradation of the received useful signal by the increase of the noise power spectral density (PSD). This paper developed by ENAC and The MITRE Corporation as part of their cooperative efforts to support RTCA analyses, focus on the impact of Joint Tactical Information Distribution System/Multifunctional Information Distribution System (JTIDS/MIDS) Radio Frequency Interference (RFI) signals. Three relevant interfering scenarios are presented as well as a method to generate time-domain equivalent JTIDS/MIDS signals for interference analysis purposes. Simulated results as well as predicted results are presented for the interfering scenarios. The predicted results are calculated from an updated (C/N0) degradation formula with respect to RTCA DO-292 proposed formula. The impact of GNSS receiver Radio Frequency Front End (RFFE) filter bandwidth and blanker threshold are evaluated.

Nature Materials, 18 (3), ISSN:1476-1122, ISSN:1476-4660

Publisher's version (útgefin grein), Impact assessments for sonar operations typically use received sound levels to predict behavioural disturbance in marine mammals. However, there are indications that cetaceans may learn to associate exposures from distant sound sources with lower perceived risk. To investigate the roles of source distance and received level in an area without frequent sonar activity, we conducted multi-scale controlled exposure experiments ( n = 3) with 12 northern bottlenose whales near Jan Mayen, Norway. Animals were tagged with high-resolution archival tags ( n = 1 per experiment) or medium-resolution satellite tags ( n = 9 in total) and subsequently exposed to sonar. We also deployed bottom-moored recorders to acoustically monitor for whales in the exposed area. Tagged whales initiated avoidance of the sound source over a wide range of distances (0.8-28 km), with responses characteristic of beaked whales. Both onset and intensity of response were better predicted by received sound pressure level (SPL) than by source distance. Avoidance threshold SPLs estimated for each whale ranged from 117-126 dB re 1 µPa, comparable to those of other tagged beaked whales. In this pristine underwater acoustic environment, we found no indication that the source distances tested in our experiments modulated the behavioural effects of sonar, as has been suggested for locations where whales are frequently exposed to sonar., The research described in this paper was supported by US Office of Naval Research (ONR grants N00014-15-1-2533 and N00014-16-1-3059), US Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program (SERDP award RC-2337), the French Ministry of Defence (DGA) and the Netherlands Ministry of Defence. P.L.T. acknowledges support from the MASTS pooling initiative (Marine Alliance for Science and Technology for Scotland; supported by the Scottish Funding Council, grant reference HR09011, and contributing institutions). The funding sources had no role in the planning, execution, analysis or writing of this study.

Interneurons (INs) coordinate motoneuron activity to generate appropriate patterns of muscle contractions, providing animals with the ability to adjust their body posture and to move over a range of speeds. In Drosophila larvae several IN subtypes have been morphologically described and their function well documented. However, the general lack of molecular characterization of those INs prevents the identification of evolutionary counterparts in other animals, limiting our understanding of the principles underlying neuronal circuit organization and function. Here we characterize a restricted subset of neurons in the nerve cord expressing the Maf transcription factor Traffic Jam (TJ). We found that TJ+ neurons are highly diverse and selective activation of these different subtypes disrupts larval body posture and induces specific locomotor behaviors. Finally, we show that a small subset of TJ+ GABAergic INs, singled out by the expression of a unique transcription factors code, controls larval crawling speed., Spinal interneurons (IN) coordinate motoneuron activity to modulate locomotion behavior. Here, the authors characterize a subset of IN subtypes expressing the Maf transcription factor Traffic Jam (TJ) and report the distinct effects of their activation on body posture and locomotion in Drosophila larvae.

We present reverberation-mapping lags and black-hole mass measurements using the CIV 1549 broad emission line from a sample of 349 quasars monitored as a part of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Reverberation Mapping Project. Our data span four years of spectroscopic and photometric monitoring for a total baseline of 1300 days. We report significant time delays between the continuum and the CIV 1549 emission line in 52 quasars, with an estimated false-positive detection rate of 10%. Our analysis of marginal lag measurements indicates that there are on the order of 100 additional lags that should be recoverable by adding more years of data from the program. We use our measurements to calculate black-hole masses and fit an updated CIV radius-luminosity relationship. Our results significantly increase the sample of quasars with CIV RM results, with the quasars spanning two orders of magnitude in luminosity toward the high-luminosity end of the CIV radius-luminosity relation. In addition, these quasars are located at among the highest redshifts (z~1.4-2.8) of quasars with black hole masses measured with reverberation mapping. This work constitutes the first large sample of CIV reverberation-mapping measurements in more than a dozen quasars, demonstrating the utility of multi-object reverberation mapping campaigns., Comment: 42 pages (incl. 21 pages of tables): 12 figures, 5 tables. Submitted to AAS journals. Figures 8 and 12 are sets that will be provided in the online published version of the article, and the tables will also be provided fully online

S.R.P. and J.W.G.B. acknowledge the EPSRC (grant EP/N01717X/1) and Leverhulme Trust (grant RPG-2012-576) for financial support and the STFC for the provision of beam time at ISIS. F.D.M. acknowledges the EPSRC for financial support (grant EP/P024637/1). M.S.S. acknowledges the Royal Society for a University Research Fellowship (grant UF160265). The phonon-glass electron crystal concept is one of the key guiding principles for the development of efficient thermoelectric materials. Here, we confirm that SrTiO 3 becomes a phonon-glass for large numbers of A-site vacancies in the Sr 1-x La 0.67x → 0.33x TiO 3 series and show that its electron crystal properties are stymied by the presence of a core-shell grain structure. Thermal conductivity, heat capacity, and neutron powder diffraction, complemented by representational analysis and phonon calculations, were used to investigate the thermal transport. This reveals that the heat carrying modes are dominated by Sr motions and that these become more localized upon the introduction of the A-site vacancies, consistent with the observed phonon-glass state. Impedance spectroscopy and direct current electrical measurements were used to probe the electrical properties of insulating and conducting samples. This reveals the coring of grains due to oxidation on cooling from sintering temperatures. The resultant insulating shell limits the thermoelectric power factor to S 2 /ρ = 0.45 mW m -1 K -2 and the figure-of merit to ZT = 0.15 at 900 K for Sr 0.20 La 0.53 → 0.27 Ti 0.95 Nb 0.05 O 3?δ . The thermal properties of these materials are, therefore, controlled by an intrinsic feature of the microstructure (i.e., the A-site vacancies), whereas the electrical properties are grain boundary limited, which in principle can be controlled independently to raise S 2 /ρ and ZT. Postprint

Funding: Work in J.T, lab is supported by grant BB/M007200/1 from the U.K. Biotechnology and Biomedical Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) and by the Scottish Government's Rural and Environment Science and Analytical Services Division (RESAS). In eukaryotes, membrane contact sites (MCS) allow direct communication between organelles. Plants have evolved a unique type of MCS, inside intercellular pores, the plasmodesmata, where endoplasmic reticulum (ER)–plasma membrane (PM) contacts coincide with regulation of cell‐to‐cell signalling. The molecular mechanism and function of membrane tethering within plasmodesmata remain unknown. Here, we show that the multiple C2 domains and transmembrane region protein (MCTP) family, key regulators of cell‐to‐cell signalling in plants, act as ER‐PM tethers specifically at plasmodesmata. We report that MCTPs are plasmodesmata proteins that insert into the ER via their transmembrane region while their C2 domains dock to the PM through interaction with anionic phospholipids. A Atmctp3/Atmctp4 loss of function mutant induces plant developmental defects, impaired plasmodesmata function and composition, while MCTP4 expression in a yeast Δtether mutant partially restores ER‐PM tethering. Our data suggest that MCTPs are unique membrane tethers controlling both ER‐PM contacts and cell‐to‐cell signalling. Publisher PDF

Financial support for this research was provided by the Australian Research Council (ARC DP130102998, grant to MJW and RWB), Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (scholarship to JLR), the Australasian Society for the Study of Animal Behavior, the Australian Museum, and Macquarie University (scholarship to JLR). DWAN was supported by an ARC Discovery Early Career Research Award (DE150101774) and University of New South Wales Vice Chancellors Fellowship. An animal’s social environment can be both dynamic and complex. Thus, social species often garner fitness benefits through being plastic in their social behavior. Yet, social plasticity can be constrained by an individual’s experience. We examined the influence of early social environment on social behavior in the tree skink (Egernia striolata), a family-living lizard. In the first phase of this study, we reared juveniles in 2 different social environments for 1.5 years: either in isolation or in unrelated pairs. We quantified each lizard’s sociability at 4-month intervals using a standardized laboratory assay and found that isolated lizards were more sociable, spending the assay closer to an adult female, than socially-reared lizards. In the second phase of this study (at the end of 1.5 years), we released all lizards into a semi-natural environment, observed their associations, and used social network analysis to quantify social behavior. During the initial 6 weeks post-release, we detected no differences in social behavior between rearing treatments. However, during the following 6 months differences emerged. Isolated lizards were more homogeneous in the strength of their associations than socially-reared lizards. Also, at first, isolated lizards associated more strongly than socially-reared lizards. Over time, isolated lizard associations became weaker and involved fewer lizards. In contrast, the level and number of associations of socially-reared lizards were stable over time. Our findings suggest that early experience influences tree skink social behavior but does not constrain social plasticity: isolation rearing did not limit their ability to respond to a novel social environment. Postprint

Viral interferon (IFN) antagonists are a diverse class of viral proteins that counteract the host IFN response, which is important for controlling viral infections. Viral IFN antagonists are often multifunctional proteins that perform vital roles in virus replication beyond IFN antagonism. The critical importance of viral IFN antagonists is highlighted by the fact that almost all viruses encode one of these proteins. Inhibition of viral IFN antagonists has the potential to exert pleiotropic antiviral effects and thus this important protein class represents a diverse plethora of novel therapeutic targets. To exploit this, we have successfully developed and executed a novel modular cell-based platform that facilitates the safe and rapid screening for inhibitors of a viral IFN antagonist of choice. The platform is based on two reporter cell-lines that provide a simple method to detect activation of IFN induction or signaling via an eGFP gene placed under the control of the IFNβ or an ISRE-containing promoter, respectively. Expression of a target IFN antagonist in the appropriate reporter cell-line will block the IFN response and hence eGFP expression. We hypothesized that addition of a compound that inhibits IFN antagonist function will release the block imposed on the IFN response and hence restore eGFP expression, providing a measurable parameter for high throughput screening (HTS). We demonstrate assay proof-of-concept by (i) exploiting hepatitis C virus (HCV) protease inhibitors to inhibit NS3-4A's capacity to block IFN induction and (ii) successfully executing two HTS targeting viral IFN antagonists that block IFN signaling; NS2 and IE1 from human respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and cytomegalovirus (CMV) respectively, two clinically important viruses for which vaccine development has thus far been unsuccessful and new antivirals are required. Both screens performed robustly and Z′ Factor scores of >0.6 were achieved. We identified (i) four hit compounds that specifically inhibit RSV NS2's ability to block IFN signaling by mediating STAT2 degradation and exhibit modest antiviral activity and (ii) two hit compounds that interfere with IE1 transcription and significantly impair CMV replication. Overall, we demonstrate assay proof-of-concept as we target viral IFN antagonists from unrelated viruses and demonstrate its suitability for HTS., Highlights • Viral IFN antagonists represent a plethora of novel therapeutic targets not specifically targeted by current antivirals. • We developed a novel modular cell-based screening platform that potentially targets any viral IFN antagonist of choice. • The assay is based on eGFP reporter gene expression at the end-point of activated IFN induction and signaling pathways. • We demonstrate assay proof-of-concept via HCV protease inhibitors, which block NS3-4A's capacity to block IFN induction. • We successfully execute two high-throughput screens targeting IFN antagonists NS2 and IE1 from RSV and CMV, respectively.

We present measurements of the Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) scale in redshift-space using the clustering of quasars. We consider a sample of 147 000 quasars from the extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (eBOSS) distributed over 2044 square degrees with redshifts 0.8 < z < 2.2 and measure their spherically averaged clustering in both configuration and Fourier space. Our observational data set and the 1400 simulated realizations of the data set allow us to detect a preference for BAO that is greater than 2.8σ. We determine the spherically averaged BAO distance to z = 1.52 to 3.8 per cent precision: D (z = 1.52) = 3843 ± 147 (r/r) Mpc. This is the first time the location of the BAO feature has been measured between redshifts 1 and 2. Our result is fully consistent with the prediction obtained by extrapolating the Planck flatΛCDMbest-fitting cosmology. All of our results are consistent with basic large-scale structure (LSS) theory, confirming quasars to be a reliable tracer of LSS, and provide a starting point for numerous cosmological tests to be performed with eBOSS quasar samples. We combine our result with previous, independent, BAO distance measurements to construct an updated BAO distance-ladder. Using these BAO data alone and marginalizing over the length of the standard ruler, we find Ω > 0 at 6.6s significance when testing a ΛCDM model with free curvature.C 2017 The Authors Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Royal Astronomical Society, AJR is grateful for support from the Ohio State University Center for Cosmology and ParticlePhysics. HGM acknowledges support from the Labex ILP (reference ANR-10-LABX-63) part of the Idex SUPER, and received financial state aid managed by the Agence Nationale de la Recherche, as part of the programme Investissements d'avenir under the reference ANR-11-IDEX-0004-02. GBZ is supported by NSFC Grant No. 11673025, and by a Royal Society Newton Advanced Fellowship. RT acknowledges support from the Science and Technology Facilities Council via an Ernest Rutherford Fellowship (grant number ST/K004719/1) CHC is grateful for support from Leibniz-Institut fur Astrophysik Potsdam (AIP). EB and PZ acknowledge support from the P2IO LabEx (ANR-10-LABX-0038). JLT acknowledges support from National Science Foundation grant AST-1615997. YW is supported by the NSFC grant number 11403034. WJP acknowledges support from the UK Space Agency through grant ST/K00283X/1, and WJP acknowledges support from the European Research Council through grant Darksurvey, and the UK Science & Technology Facilities Council through the consolidated grant ST/K0090X/1. ADM was partially supported by the NSF through grant numbers 1515404 and 1616168. IP acknowledges the support of the OCEVU Labex (ANR-11-LABX-0060) and the A*MIDEX project (ANR-11-IDEX-0001-02) funded by the 'Investissements d'Avenir French government program managed by the AN. JPK acknowledges support from the ERC advanced grant LIDA. GR acknowledges support from the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) through NRF-SGER 2014055950 funded by the Korean Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (MoEST), and from the faculty research fund of Sejong University in 2016. Funding for SDSS-III and SDSS-IV has been provided by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation and Participating Institutions. Additional funding for SDSS-III comes from the National Science Foundation and the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science. Further information about both projects is available at www.sdss.org. SDSS is managed by the Astrophysical Research Consortium for the Participating Institutions in both collaborations. In SDSS-III, these include the University of Arizona, the Brazilian Participation Group, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Carnegie Mellon University, University of Florida, the French Participation Group, the German Participation Group, Harvard University, the Instituto de Astrofisica de Canarias, the Michigan State/Notre Dame/JINA Participation Group, Johns Hopkins University, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Max Planck Institute for Astrophysics, Max Planck Institute for Extraterrestrial Physics, New Mexico State University, New York University, Ohio State University, Pennsylvania State University, University of Portsmouth, Princeton University, the Spanish Participation Group, University of Tokyo, University of Utah, Vanderbilt University, University of Virginia, University of Washington, and Yale University. The Participating Institutions in SDSS-IV are Carnegie Mellon University, Colorado University, Boulder, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics Participation Group, Johns Hopkins University, Kavli Institute for the Physics and Mathematics of the Universe Max-Planck-Institut fuer Astrophysik (MPA Garching), Max-Planck-Institut fuer Extraterrestrische Physik (MPE), Max-Planck-Institut fuer Astronomie (MPIA Heidelberg), National Astronomical Observatories of China, New Mexico State University, New York University, The Ohio State University, Penn State University, Shanghai Astronomical Observatory, United Kingdom Participation Group, University of Portsmouth, University of Utah, University of Wisconsin and Yale University. This work made use of the facilities and staff of the UK Sciama High Performance Computing cluster supported by the ICG, SEP-Net and the University of Portsmouth. This research used resources of the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center, a DOE Office of Science User Facility supported by the Office of Science of the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC02-05CH11231.

This research was supported by the Economic and Social Research Council Studentship awarded to Radka Jersakova [ES/J500215/1]. This study employed the delayed judgment-of-learning (JOL) paradigm to investigate the content of metacognitive judgments; after studying cue-target word-pairs, participants predicted their ability to remember targets on a future memory test (cued recognition in Experiments 1 and 2 and cued recall in Experiment 3). In Experiment 1 and the confidence JOL group of Experiment 3, participants used a commonly employed 6-point numeric confidence JOL scale (0–20–40–60–80–100%). In Experiment 2 and the binary JOL group of Experiment 3 participants first made a binary yes/no JOL prediction followed by a 3-point verbal confidence judgment (sure-maybe-guess). In all experiments, on a subset of trials, participants gave a written justification of why they gave that specific JOL response. We used natural language processing techniques (latent semantic analysis and word frequency [n-gram] analysis) to characterize the content of the written justifications and to capture what types of evidence evaluation uniquely separate one JOL response type from others. We also used a machine learning classification algorithm (support vector machine [SVM]) to quantify the extent to which any two JOL responses differed from each other. We found that: (i) participants can justify and explain their JOLs; (ii) these justifications reference cue familiarity and target accessibility and so are particularly consistent with the two-stage metacognitive model; and (iii) JOL confidence judgements do not correspond to yes/no responses in the manner typically assumed within the literature (i.e. 0–40% interpreted as no predictions). Postprint

Maria Kempnich was supported by the University of St Andrews University Research Internship Placement Scheme and a Walker Trust Travel Scholarship. Josephine Urquhart was supported by the Economic and Social Research Council 1+3 Scheme. It is widely held that episodic retrieval can recruit two processes, a threshold context retrieval process (recollection) and a continuous signal strength process (familiarity). Conversely, and in spite of its importance for everyday memory, the processes recruited during semantic retrieval are less well specified. We developed a semantic task analogous to single-item episodic recognition to interrogate semantic recognition receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) for a marker of a threshold retrieval process. We then fit observed ROC points to three signal detection models: two models typically used in episodic recognition (unequal variance and dual process signal detection models) and a novel dual process recollect-to-reject (DP-RR) signal detection model that allows a threshold recollection process to aid both target identification and lure rejection. Given the nature of most semantic questions used here, we anticipated the DP-RR model would best fit the data obtained from our semantic task. In Experiment 1 (506 participants), we found evidence for a threshold retrieval process in semantic memory, with overall best fits to the DP-RR model. In Experiment 2 (316 participants), we found within-subjects estimates of episodic and semantic threshold retrieval to be uncorrelated, suggesting the relationship between the analogous memory processes is not straightforward. Our findings add weight to the proposal that semantic and episodic memory are served by similar dual process retrieval systems, though the relationship between the two threshold processes needs to be more fully elucidated. Postprint

European populations are characterized by an increasing share of immigrants and their descendants (Castles and Miller 2009; Rees et al. 2012). In the second half of the twentieth century, most immigrants arrived in Northern and Western European countries, whereas in the first decade of this century Southern European countries experienced a rapid increase of the immigrant population (Arango 2000; Cornelius 1994; Raymer, de Beer, and van der Erf 2011). Central and Eastern European countries with state socialist regimes and planned economies showed specific migration patterns during the post¿World War II period; some countries contributed to intra-European labor migration, others experienced emigration of political refugees. The East¿West migration streams significantly increased after the fall of Communism, and some Eastern European countries have experienced large emigration streams also in the first decades of the twenty-first century (Fassmann and Münz 1994; Frejka 1996; Raymer, de Beer, and van der Erf 2011; Rees et al. 2012). Over time, the share of the descendants of postwar immigrants has also increased (we also refer to them as ethnic minorities or the second generation). In many Northern and Western European countries, immigrants and their descendants form approximately one-fifth to one-fourth of the population (OECD 2014; Zimmermann 2005). Immigrants and their descendants thus increasingly shape demographic, social, and cultural trends in European societies. There is extensive research on different aspects of immigrants¿ lives, including their legal status and citizenship (Bauböck 2003; Seifert 1997), employment and education (Adsera and Chiswick 2007; Rendall et al. 2010), and residential and housing patterns (Arbaci 2008; Musterd 2005). There is also a growing interest in family and fertility dynamics among ethnic minorities. While the fertility of immigrants in European countries has received considerable attention in the recent demographic literature (Andersson 2004; Kulu and Milewski 2007; Milewski 2010b; Mussino and Strozza 2012; Sobotka 2008; Tromans, Natamba, and Jefferie 2009), the childbearing patterns among the descendants of immigrants have been little studied and understood. The few existing studies show that the descendants of immigrants from high-fertility countries usually have lower fertility levels than their parents¿ generation, but fertility levels for some groups remain high relative to the fertility of the host population (Coleman and Dubuc 2010; Dubuc 2012; Milewski 2010b; Sobotka 2008). The present study investigates the childbearing patterns among the descendants of immigrants in six European countries: the UK, France, Germany, Belgium, Sweden, and Spain. This group includes ¿old¿ and ¿new¿ immigrant countries as well as countries with different migration and family policies and fertility dynamics and patterns. The cross-country analysis of fertility behavior among ethnic minorities allows us to detect similarities and differences across European countries. Our main focus is on the fertility of the descendants of immigrants from high-fertility countries. We examine whether the fertility patterns of the second generation are similar to those of their parents¿ generation, which are often shaped by fertility patterns in the sending country, or those of the native population (defined here as native-born persons with native-born parents). Our study is the first to analyze ethnic minority fertility by parity, with and without controls for demographic and socioeconomic factors., The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under grant agreement no. 320116 for the research project FamiliesAndSocieties. We thank Didier Willaert for providing supplementary information on the Belgian census data. We also express our gratitude to Allan Puur and Laura Bernardi for valuable comments and suggestion on previous versions of this article.

The authors would like to thank sponsors, NL Ministry of Defence, NOR Ministry of Defence, U.S. Office of Naval Research (N00014-08-1-0984, N00014-10-1-0355, N00014-14-1-0390), FR Ministry of Defence (DGA; public market no. 15860052), World Wildlife Fund Norway (9E0682), and French Total Foundation and Bleustein-Blanchet Foundation. The statistical development work was supported by a separate grant from the U.S. Office of Naval Research (N00014-12-1-0204), under the project entitled Multi-study OCean acoustics Human effects Analysis (MOCHA). Time allocation to different activities and habitats enables individuals to modulate their perceived risks and access to resources, and can reveal important trade-offs between fitness-enhancing activities (e.g., feeding vs. social behavior). Species with long reproductive cycles and high parental investment, such as marine mammals, rely on such behavioral plasticity to cope with rapid environmental change, including anthropogenic stressors. We quantified activity budgets of free-ranging long-finned pilot whales in order to assess individual time trade-offs between foraging and other behaviors in different individual and ecological contexts, and during experimental sound exposures. The experiments included 1-2 and 6-7 kHz naval sonar exposures (a potential anthropogenic stressor), playback of killer whale (a potential predator/competitor) vocalizations, and negative controls. We combined multiple time series data from digital acoustic recording tags (DTAG) as well as group-level social behavior data from visual observations of tagged whales at the surface. The data were classified into near-surface behaviors and dive types (using a hidden Markov model for dive transitions) and aggregated into time budgets. On average, individuals (N=19) spent most of their time (69%) resting and transiting near surface, 21% in shallow dives (depth

Open Access for this article was paid for by the French Research Agency (ANR), project Escapade (ANR-12-AGRO-0003). The R package planor enables the user to search for, and construct, factorial designs satisfying given conditions. The user specifies the factors and their numbers of levels, the factorial terms which are assumed to be non-zero, and the subset of those which are to be estimated. Both block and treatment factors can be allowed for, and they may have either fixed or random effects, as well as hierarchy relationships. The designs are generalised regular designs, which means that each one is constructed by using a design key and that the underlying theory is that of finite abelian groups. The main theoretical results and algorithms on which planor is based are developed and illustrated, with the emphasis on mathematical rather than programming details. Sections 3–5 are dedicated to the elementary case, when the numbers of levels of all factors are powers of the same prime. The ineligible factorial terms associated with users’ specifications are defined and it is shown how they can be used to search for a design key by a backtrack algorithm. Then the results are extended to the case when different primes are involved, by making use of the Sylow decomposition of finite abelian groups. The proposed approach provides a unified framework for a wide range of factorial designs. Publisher PDF

We review recent observations and models concerning the dynamics of Cryogenian global glaciation and their biological consequences., Geological evidence indicates that grounded ice sheets reached sea level at all latitudes during two long-lived Cryogenian (58 and ≥5 My) glaciations. Combined uranium-lead and rhenium-osmium dating suggests that the older (Sturtian) glacial onset and both terminations were globally synchronous. Geochemical data imply that CO2 was 102 PAL (present atmospheric level) at the younger termination, consistent with a global ice cover. Sturtian glaciation followed breakup of a tropical supercontinent, and its onset coincided with the equatorial emplacement of a large igneous province. Modeling shows that the small thermal inertia of a globally frozen surface reverses the annual mean tropical atmospheric circulation, producing an equatorial desert and net snow and frost accumulation elsewhere. Oceanic ice thickens, forming a sea glacier that flows gravitationally toward the equator, sustained by the hydrologic cycle and by basal freezing and melting. Tropical ice sheets flow faster as CO2 rises but lose mass and become sensitive to orbital changes. Equatorial dust accumulation engenders supraglacial oligotrophic meltwater ecosystems, favorable for cyanobacteria and certain eukaryotes. Meltwater flushing through cracks enables organic burial and submarine deposition of airborne volcanic ash. The subglacial ocean is turbulent and well mixed, in response to geothermal heating and heat loss through the ice cover, increasing with latitude. Terminal carbonate deposits, unique to Cryogenian glaciations, are products of intense weathering and ocean stratification. Whole-ocean warming and collapsing peripheral bulges allow marine coastal flooding to continue long after ice-sheet disappearance. The evolutionary legacy of Snowball Earth is perceptible in fossils and living organisms.

This work was supported by CNRS, the Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR-14-OHRI-0001-01), IdEx Bordeaux (ANR-10-IDEX-03-02), Labex Brain (ANR-10-LABX-43), Conseil Régional d'Aquitaine (2011-1603009) and the France-BioImaging national infrastructure (ANR-10-INBS-04-01). A.G.G. acknowledges financial support from the Fondation pour la Recherche Médicale and the Fonds Recherche du Québec–Nature et Technologies. J.A.V. acknowledges funding from Marie Curie Individual Fellowship 326442. The brain is a dynamic structure with the extracellular space (ECS) taking up almost a quarter of its volume. Signalling molecules, neurotransmitters and nutrients transit via the ECS, which constitutes a key microenvironment for cellular communication and the clearance of toxic metabolites. The spatial organization of the ECS varies during sleep, development and aging and is probably altered in neuropsychiatric and degenerative diseases, as inferred from electron microscopy and macroscopic biophysical investigations. Here we show an approach to directly observe the local ECS structures and rheology in brain tissue using super-resolution imaging. We inject single-walled carbon nanotubes into rat cerebroventricles and follow the near-infrared emission of individual nanotubes as they diffuse inside the ECS for tens of minutes in acute slices. Because of the interplay between the nanotube geometry and the ECS local environment, we can extract information about the dimensions and local viscosity of the ECS. We find a striking diversity of ECS dimensions down to 40 nm, and as well as of local viscosity values. Moreover, by chemically altering the extracellular matrix of the brains of live animals before nanotube injection, we reveal that the rheological properties of the ECS are affected, but these alterations are local and inhomogeneous at the nanoscale. Postprint

P.d.V. was supported by a doctoral studentship from the French Ministère de la Recherche et de l’Enseignement Supérieur. H.S. was supported by an Emmy Noether fellowship from the German Research Foundation (SCHI 1188/1-1). S.N. is supported by a Future Fellowship, Australia (FT130100268). M.M. is supported by a University Research Fellowship from the Royal Society (London). The collection of the Soay sheep data is supported by the National Trust for Scotland and QinetQ, with funding from the Natural Environment Research Council, the Royal Society, and the Leverhulme Trust. Methods for inference and interpretation of evolutionary quantitative genetic parameters, and for prediction of the response to selection, are best developed for traits with normal distributions. Many traits of evolutionary interest, including many life history and behavioural traits, have inherently non-normal distributions. The generalised linear mixed model (GLMM) framework has become a widely used tool for estimating quantitative genetic parameters for non-normal traits. However, whereas GLMMs provide inference on a statistically-convenient latent scale, it is often desirable to express quantitative genetic parameters on the scale upon which traits are measured. The parameters of fitted GLMMs, despite being on a latent scale, fully determine all quantities of potential interest on the scale on which traits are expressed. We provide expressions for deriving each of such quantities, including population means, phenotypic (co)variances, variance components including additive genetic (co)variances, and parameters such as heritability. We demonstrate that fixed effects have a strong impact on those parameters and show how to deal with this by averaging or integrating over fixed effects. The expressions require integration of quantities determined by the link function, over distributions of latent values. In general cases, the required integrals must be solved numerically, but efficient methods are available and we provide an implementation in an R package, QGGLMM. We show that known formulae for quantities such as heritability of traits with Binomial and Poisson distributions are special cases of our expressions. Additionally, we show how fitted GLMM can be incorporated into existing methods for predicting evolutionary trajectories. We demonstrate the accuracy of the resulting method for evolutionary prediction by simulation, and apply our approach to data from a wild pedigreed vertebrate population. Publisher PDF

This article identifies four mechanisms (talking continuously; showing commitment to a community; strengthening operational focus; and accepting difficult decisions) in Venture Capitalist (VC) – Owner Manager (OM) relationships that serve to manage tensions and thus avert detrimental situations, namely conflicts. The results enrich the literature on VC-OM conflict by mobilizing a tension intensity variable and by providing evidence on how tense critical events can be managed. We offer recommendations and insight into managing tension intensity, which can help VCs and OMs derive the potential benefits of opposing viewpoints while avoiding major disruptions in their relationships. Postprint

The radial velocities of a young star are measured, revealing the presence of a planet of mass about three-quarters that of Jupiter, orbiting its host star very closely, and thus demonstrating that ‘hot Jupiters’ can migrate inwards in less than two million years. Jean-Francois Donati et al. present evidence for a close-in giant planet (hot Jupiter) orbiting the 2-million-year-old Sun-like star V830 Tau. It is thought that hot Jupiters form in the outer part of the primordial disk from which both the central star and surrounding planets are born, and then migrate inwards. This new finding supports that theory by demonstrating the formation and rapid inward migration of a hot Jupiter around a young star. Hot Jupiters are giant Jupiter-like exoplanets that orbit their host stars 100 times more closely than Jupiter orbits the Sun. These planets presumably form in the outer part of the primordial disk from which both the central star and surrounding planets are born, then migrate inwards and yet avoid falling into their host star1. It is, however, unclear whether this occurs early in the lives of hot Jupiters, when they are still embedded within protoplanetary disks2, or later, once multiple planets are formed and interact3. Although numerous hot Jupiters have been detected around mature Sun-like stars, their existence has not yet been firmly demonstrated for young stars4,5,6, whose magnetic activity is so intense that it overshadows the radial velocity signal that close-in giant planets can induce. Here we report that the radial velocities of the young star V830 Tau exhibit a sine wave of period 4.93 days and semi-amplitude 75 metres per second, detected with a false-alarm probability of less than 0.03 per cent, after filtering out the magnetic activity plaguing the spectra. We find that this signal is unrelated to the 2.741-day rotation period of V830 Tau and we attribute it to the presence of a planet of mass 0.77 times that of Jupiter, orbiting at a distance of 0.057 astronomical units from the host star. Our result demonstrates that hot Jupiters can migrate inwards in less than two million years, probably as a result of planet–disk interactions2.

This work was partly funded by the EPSRC Programme Grant REMS: Rigorous Engineering for Mainstream Systems, EP/K008528/1, the Scottish Funding Council (SICSA Early Career Industry Fellowship, Sarkar), an ARM iCASE award (Pulte), and ANR grant WMC (ANR-11-JS02-011, Maranget). In this paper we develop semantics for key aspects of the ARMv8 multiprocessor architecture: the concurrency model and much of the 64-bit application-level instruction set (ISA). Our goal is to clarify what the range of architecturally allowable behaviour is, and thereby to support future work on formal verification, analysis, and testing of concurrent ARM software and hardware.Establishing such models with high confidence is intrinsically difficult: it involves capturing the vendor's architectural intent, aspects of which (especially for concurrency) have not previously been precisely defined. We therefore first develop a concurrency model with a microarchitectural flavour, abstracting from many hardware implementation concerns but still close to hardware-designer intuition. This means it can be discussed in detail with ARM architects. We then develop a more abstract model, better suited for use as an architectural specification, which we prove sound w.r.t.~the first. The instruction semantics involves further difficulties, handling the mass of detail and the subtle intensional information required to interface to the concurrency model. We have a novel ISA description language, with a lightweight dependent type system, letting us do both with a rather direct representation of the ARM reference manual instruction descriptions. We build a tool from the combined semantics that lets one explore, either interactively or exhaustively, the full range of architecturally allowed behaviour, for litmus tests and (small) ELF executables. We prove correctness of some optimisations needed for tool performance.We validate the models by discussion with ARM staff, and by comparison against ARM hardware behaviour, for ISA single- instruction tests and concurrent litmus tests. Postprint

We would like to thank 3S partners and funders especially for enabling this research (NL Ministry of Defence, NOR Ministry of Defence, US Office of Naval Research, and World Wildlife Fund, Norway). PLT was supported by the Scottish Funding Council (grant HR09011) through the Marine Alliance for Science and Technology for Scotland. The time and energetic costs of behavioral responses to incidental and experimental sonar exposures, as well as control stimuli, were quantified using hidden state analysis of time series of acoustic and movement data recorded by tags (DTAG) attached to 12 sperm whales (Physeter macrocephalus) using suction cups. Behavioral state transition modeling showed that tagged whales switched to a non-foraging, non-resting state during both experimental transmissions of low-frequency active sonar from an approaching vessel (LFAS; 1-2 kH z, source level 214 dB re 1 μPa m, four tag records) and playbacks of potential predator (killer whale, Orcinus orca) sounds broadcast at naturally occurring sound levels as a positive control from a drifting boat (five tag records). Time spent in foraging states and the probability of prey capture attempts were reduced during these two types of exposures with little change in overall locomotion activity, suggesting an effect on energy intake with no immediate compensation. Whales switched to the active non-foraging state over received sound pressure levels of 131-165 dB re 1 μPa during LFAS exposure. In contrast, no changes in foraging behavior were detected in response to experimental negative controls (no-sonar ship approach or noise control playback) or to experimental medium-frequency active sonar exposures (MFAS; 6-7 kH z, source level 199 re 1 μPa m, received sound pressure level [SPL] = 73-158 dB re 1 μPa). Similarly, there was no reduction in foraging effort for three whales exposed to incidental, unidentified 4.7-5.1 kH z sonar signals received at lower levels (SPL = 89-133 dB re 1 μPa). These results demonstrate that similar to predation risk, exposure to sonar can affect functional behaviors, and indicate that increased perception of risk with higher source level or lower frequency may modulate how sperm whales respond to anthropogenic sound. Publisher PDF

The study of silicon (Si) isotopes in ocean island basalts (OIB) has the potential to discern between different models for the origins of geochemical heterogeneities in the mantle. Relatively large (several per mil per atomic mass unit) Si isotope fractionation occurs in low-temperature environments during biochemical and geochemical precipitation of dissolved Si, where the precipitate is preferentially enriched in the lighter isotopes relative to the dissolved Si. In contrast, only a limited range (tenths of a per mil) of Si isotope fractionation has been observed from high-temperature igneous processes. Therefore, Si isotopes may be useful as tracers for the presence of crustal material within OIB mantle source regions that experienced relatively low-temperature surface processes in a manner similar to other stable isotope systems, such as oxygen. Characterizing the isotopic composition of the mantle is also of central importance to the use of the Si isotope system as a basis for comparisons with other planetary bodies (e.g., Moon, Mars, asteroids). Here we present the first comprehensive suite of high-precision Si isotope data obtained by MC-ICP-MS for a diverse suite of OIB. Samples originate from ocean islands in the Pacific, Atlantic, and Indian Ocean basins and include representative end-members for the EM-1, EM-2, and HIMU mantle components. On average, Si isotope compositions of OIB are in general agreement with previous estimates for the Si isotope composition of bulk silicate Earth. Nonetheless, some small systematic variations are present; specifically, most HIMU-type (Mangaia; Cape Verde; La Palma, Canary Islands) and Iceland OIB are enriched in the lighter isotopes of Si, consistent with recycled altered oceanic crust and lithospheric mantle in their mantle sources., Comment: 23 pages, 5 figures, 2 tables

This paper investigates the relative importance of Islamic banks, alongside their conventional counterparts, in relation to banking and financial development and economic welfare. Using a sample of 22 Muslim countries, with dual-banking systems, during the period 1999–2011, this paper reports some significant positive relationship between the market share of Islamic banks and the development of financial intermediation, financial deepening and economic welfare, particularly in low income or predominantly Muslim countries, and countries with a comparatively higher uncertainty avoidance index. Additionally, the results reveal that a greater market share of Islamic banks is associated with higher efficiency of conventional banks. Postprint

Habitat complexity can influence predation rates (e.g. by providing refuge) but other ecosystem processes and species interactions might also be modulated by the properties of habitat structure. Here, we focussed on how complexity of artificial habitat (plastic plants), in microcosms, influenced short-term processes driven by three aquatic detritivores. The effects of habitat complexity on leaf decomposition, production of fine organic matter and pH levels were explored by measuring complexity in three ways: 1. as the presence vs. absence of habitat structure; 2. as the amount of structure (3 or 4.5 g of plastic plants); and 3. as the spatial configuration of structures (measured as fractal dimension). The experiment also addressed potential interactions among the consumers by running all possible species combinations. In the experimental microcosms, habitat complexity influenced how species performed, especially when comparing structure present vs. structure absent. Treatments with structure showed higher fine particulate matter production and lower pH compared to treatments without structures and this was probably due to higher digestion and respiration when structures were present. When we explored the effects of the different complexity levels, we found that the amount of structure added explained more than the fractal dimension of the structures. We give a detailed overview of the experimental design, statistical models and R codes, because our statistical analysis can be applied to other study systems (and disciplines such as restoration ecology). We further make suggestions of how to optimise statistical power when artificially assembling, and analysing, 'habitat complexity' by not confounding complexity with the amount of structure added. In summary, this study highlights the importance of habitat complexity for energy flow and the maintenance of ecosystem processes in aquatic ecosystems. This work was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness through the project SCARCE Consolider-Ingenio CSD2009-00065 (http://www.icra.cat/projects/consolider-ingenio-2010-scarce-assesing/1) to LF. The funder had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. LF was supported in part by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness through the project SCARCE Consolider-Ingenio CSD2009-00065.

The differentiation of Earth into a metallic core and silicate mantle left its signature on the chemical and isotopic composition of the bulk silicate Earth (BSE). This is seen in the depletion of siderophile (metal-loving) relative to lithophile (rock-loving) elements in Earth’s mantle as well as the silicon isotope offset between primitive meteorites (i.e. bulk Earth) and BSE, which is generally interpreted as a proof that Si is present in Earth’s core. Another putative light element in Earth’s core is sulphur; however, estimates of core S abundance vary significantly and, due to its volatile nature, no unequivocal S isotopic signature for core fractionation has thus far been detected. Here we present new high precision isotopic data for Cu, a chalcophile (sulphur-loving) element, which shows that Earth’s mantle is isotopically fractionated relative to bulk Earth. Results from high pressure equilibration experiments suggest that the sense of Cu isotopic fractionation between BSE and bulk Earth requires that a sulphide-rich liquid segregated from Earth’s mantle during differentiation, which likely entered the core. Such an early-stage removal of a sulphide-rich phase from the mantle presents a possible solution to the long-standing 1st terrestrial lead paradox. Publisher PDF

Hitherto, rings have been found exclusively around the four giant planets in the Solar System. Rings are natural laboratories in which to study dynamical processes analogous to those that take place during the formation of planetary systems and galaxies. Their presence also tells us about the origin and evolution of the body they encircle. Here we report observations of a multichord stellar occultation that revealed the presence of a ring system around (10199) Chariklo, which is a Centaur-that is, one of a class of small objects orbiting primarily between Jupiter and Neptune-with an equivalent radius of 124â â 9â kilometres (ref. 2). There are two dense rings, with respective widths of about 7 and 3 kilometres, optical depths of 0.4 and 0.06, and orbital radii of 391 and 405 kilometres. The present orientation of the ring is consistent with an edge-on geometry in 2008, which provides a simple explanation for the dimming of the Chariklo system between 1997 and 2008, and for the gradual disappearance of ice and other absorption features in its spectrum over the same period. This implies that the rings are partly composed of water ice. They may be the remnants of a debris disk, possibly confined by embedded, kilometre-sized satellites. © 2014 Macmillan Publishers Limited. Fil: Braga Ribas, F.. Observatório Nacional; Brasil Fil: Sicardy, B.. Universite Pierre et Marie Curie; Francia Fil: Ortiz, J.L.. Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas; España Fil: Snodgrass, C.. Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research; Alemania Fil: Roques, F.. Universite Pierre et Marie Curie; Francia Fil: Vieira Martins, R.. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; Francia. Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro; Brasil Fil: Camargo, J.I.B.. Ministério de Ciencia, Tecnologia e Innovacao. Observatorio Nacional; Brasil Fil: Assafin, M.. Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro; Brasil Fil: Duffard, R.. Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas; España Fil: Jehin, E.. Université de Liège; Bélgica Fil: Pollock, J.. Appalachian State University; Estados Unidos Fil: Leiva, R.. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile; Chile. Universidad Católica de Chile; Chile Fil: Emilio, M.. Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa; Brasil Fil: MacHado, D.I.. Universidade Estadual Do Oeste Do Pará; Brasil Fil: Colazo, C.. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba; Argentina. Ministerio de Educación de la Provincia de Córdoba; Argentina Fil: Lellouch, E.. Universite Pierre et Marie Curie; Francia Fil: Skottfelt, J.. University of Copenhagen; Dinamarca. Geological Museum; Dinamarca Fil: Gillon, M.. Université de Liège; Bélgica Fil: Ligier, N.. Universite Pierre et Marie Curie; Francia Fil: Maquet, L.. Universite Pierre et Marie Curie; Francia Fil: Benedetti Rossi, G.. Ministério de Ciencia, Tecnologia e Innovacao. Observatorio Nacional; Brasil Fil: Gomes, A. Ramos. Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro; Brasil Fil: Kervella, P.. Universite Pierre et Marie Curie; Francia Fil: Monteiro, H.. Instituto de Física e Química; Brasil Fil: Sfair, R.. Universidade Estadual Paulista Julio de Mesquita Filho; Brasil Fil: Moutamid, M. El. Universite Pierre et Marie Curie; Francia. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; Francia Fil: Tancredi, G.. Observatorio Astronómico Los Molinos; Uruguay. Universidad de la República; Uruguay Fil: Spagnotto, J.. Observatorio El Catalejo la Pampa; Argentina Fil: Maury, A.. San Pedro de Atacama Celestial Explorations; Chile Fil: Morales, N.. Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas; España Fil: Gil Hutton, Ricardo Alfredo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - San Juan. Complejo Astronómico ; Argentina Fil: Roland, S.. Observatorio Astronómico Los Molinos; Uruguay Fil: Ceretta, A.. Universidad de la República; Uruguay. Observatorio del IPA; Uruguay Fil: Gu, S.-H.. Chinese Academy of Sciences; República de China Fil: Wang, X.-B.. Chinese Academy of Sciences; República de China Fil: Harpsøe, K.. University of Copenhagen; Dinamarca. Geological Museum; Dinamarca Fil: Rabus, M.. Universidad Católica de Chile; Chile. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile; Chile. Max Planck Institute for Astronomy; Alemania Fil: Manfroid, J.. Université de Liège; Bélgica Fil: Opitom, C.. Université de Liège; Bélgica Fil: Vanzi, L.. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile; Chile. Universidad Católica de Chile; Chile Fil: Mehret, L.. Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa; Fil: Lorenzini, L.. Polo Astronômico Casimiro Montenegro Filho; Brasil Fil: Schneiter, E.M.. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Iate-conicet; Argentina Fil: Melia, R.. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba; Argentina Fil: Lecacheux, J.. Universite Pierre et Marie Curie; Francia Fil: Colas, F.. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; Francia Fil: Vachier, F.. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; Francia Fil: Widemann, T.. Universite Pierre et Marie Curie; Francia Fil: Almenares, L.. Universidad de la República; Uruguay. Observatorio Astronomico Los Molinos; Uruguay Fil: Sandness, R.G.. San Pedro de Atacama Celestial Explorations; Chile Fil: Char, F.. Universidad de Antofagasta; Chile Fil: Perez, V.. Universidad de la República; Uruguay. Observatorio Astronomico Los Molinos; Uruguay Fil: Lemos, P.. Universidad de la República; Uruguay. Observatorio Astronomico Los Molinos; Uruguay Fil: Martinez, N.. Universidad de la República; Uruguay. Observatorio Astronomico Los Molinos; Uruguay Fil: Jørgensen, U.G.. Universidad de Copenhagen; Dinamarca Fil: Dominik, M.. University of St. Andrews; Reino Unido Fil: Roig, F.. Ministério de Ciencia, Tecnologia e Innovacao. Observatorio Nacional; Brasil Fil: Reichart, D.E.. University of North Carolina; Estados Unidos Fil: Lacluyze, A.P.. University of North Carolina; Estados Unidos Fil: Haislip, J.B.. University of North Carolina; Estados Unidos Fil: Ivarsen, K.M.. University of North Carolina; Estados Unidos Fil: Moore, J.P.. University of North Carolina; Estados Unidos Fil: Frank, N.R.. University of North Carolina; Estados Unidos Fil: Garcia Lambas, Diego Rodolfo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Córdoba. Instituto de Astronomía Teórica y Experimental. Universidad Nacional de Córdoba. Observatorio Astronómico de Córdoba. Instituto de Astronomía Teórica y Experimental; Argentina

We re-examine issues of coordination in the standard RBC model. Can the unique rational expectations equilibrium be “educed” by rational agents who contemplate the possibility of small deviations from equilibrium? Surprisingly, we find that coordination along this line cannot be expected. Rational agents anticipating small but possibly persistent deviations have to face the existence of retroactions that necessarily invalidate any initial tentative “common knowledge” of the future. This "impossibility" theorem for eductive learning is not fully overcome when adaptive learning is incorporated into the framework., Nous réexaminons la question de la coordination des anticipations dans le modèle standard de cycles réels. L'équilibre à anticipations rationnelles unique peut-il être déduit de raisonnements d'agents rationnels confrontés à la possibilité de petites déviations de l'équilibre ? De façon quelque peu inattendue, nous donnons une réponse négative à cette question. Des agents rationnels faisant face à des possibilités de petites déviations persistantes ne peuvent écarter des rétroactions qui invalident nécessairement toute hypothétique «Connaissance Commune» initiale de l'avenir. Ce théorème d'impossibilité de l'apprentissage «divinatoire» a des contreparties qui mettent en exergue des difficultés parallèles de l'apprentissage «adaptatif» dans ce contexte.