1. The arrival of COVID‐19 in Brazil and the impact on coronary artery bypass surgery
- Author
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Valquiria Pelisser Campagnucci, Marcelo Arruda Nakazone, Omar Mejía, Alexandre Sousa, Gabrielle Barbosa Borgomoni, Alexandre. T. G. Falcão Filho, Lucas Molinari Veloso da Silveira, Gustavo Pampolha Guerreiro, Marcos Gradim Tiveron, Fabio Biscegli Jatene, Luiz Augusto Ferreira Lisboa, Marco Aurélio Oliveira, Luís Alberto Oliveira Dallan, Luís Roberto Palma Dallan, Pedro Gabriel Melo de Barros e Silva, and Maxim Goncharov
- Subjects
Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Logistic regression ,Risk Assessment ,law.invention ,03 medical and health sciences ,Coronary artery bypass surgery ,0302 clinical medicine ,Risk Factors ,law ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Coronary Artery Bypass ,Pandemics ,Retrospective Studies ,Receiver operating characteristic ,SARS-CoV-2 ,business.industry ,COVID-19 ,Perioperative ,Intensive care unit ,Confidence interval ,medicine.anatomical_structure ,030228 respiratory system ,Cardiology ,Surgery ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Brazil ,Artery - Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM OF THE STUDY: This study analyzed the arrival of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Brazil and its impact on coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery. METHODS: Patients undergoing isolated CABG in six hospitals in Brazil were divided into two periods: pre-COVID-19 (March-May 2019, N = 468) and COVID-19 era (March-May 2020, N = 182). Perioperative data were included on a dedicated REDCap platform. Patients with clinical and tomographic criteria and/or PCR (+) for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection were considered COVID-19 (+). Logistic regression analysis was performed to create a multiple predictive model for mortality after CABG in COVID-19 era. RESULTS: Compared to 2019, in 2020, CABG surgeries had a 2.8-fold increased mortality risk (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1-7.6, p = .041), patients who evolved with COVID-19 had a 11-fold increased mortality risk (95% CI: 2.2-54.9, p < .003), rates of morbidities and readmission to the intensive care unit. The surgical volume was decreased by 60%. The model to predict mortality after CABG in the COVID-19 era was validated with good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow = 1.43) and discrimination (receiver operating characteristic = 0.78). CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic had an adverse impact on mortality, morbidity and volume of patients undergoing CABG.
- Published
- 2021
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