1. Asymmetry and uncertainty in capital formation: an application to oil investment
- Author
-
Klaus Mohn and Petter Osmundsen
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,jel:A10 ,business.industry ,Fossil fuel ,Fixed capital ,Investment (macroeconomics) ,Capital formation ,Microeconomics ,Investment theory ,Empirical research ,Petroleum industry ,Return on investment ,Oil ,Investment ,Economics ,business - Abstract
Theories of irreversible investment suggest a negative relation between investment and uncertainty, and nonlinear adjustment costs open for asymmetries in the adjustment of fixed capital. We propose an econometric modelling approach to estimate and test the key predictions of modern investment theory, including asymmetric dynamics and various uncertainty indicators. Our application on a data set from the oil industry offers empirical support for both asymmetric dynamics and uncertainty in oil and gas investment.
- Published
- 2011
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