1. Balancing clean water-climate change mitigation trade-offs
- Author
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Beatriz Mayor, Yoshihide Wada, Taher Kahil, Edward Byers, Simon Parkinson, Oliver Fricko, Volker Krey, Nils Johnson, Catherine Raptis, Narasimha D. Rao, Matthew Gidden, Keywan Riahi, David L. McCollum, Ned Djilali, Zarrar Khan, and Daniel Huppmann
- Subjects
Sustainable development ,Water-energy nexus ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Global warming ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,010501 environmental sciences ,Energy planning ,Environmental economics ,Water efficiency ,01 natural sciences ,7. Clean energy ,6. Clean water ,12. Responsible consumption ,Scarcity ,Water conservation ,Climate change mitigation ,13. Climate action ,Environmental science ,water-energy nexus ,Sustainable Development Goals ,Paris Agreement ,integrated assessment modeling ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,General Environmental Science ,media_common - Abstract
Energy systems support technical solutions fulfilling the United Nations’ Sustainable Development 2 Goal for clean water and sanitation (SDG6), with implications for future energy demands and greenhouse 3 gas emissions. The energy sector is also a large consumer of water, making water efficiency targets in4 grained in SDG6 important constraints for long-term energy planning. Here, we apply a global integrated 5 assessment model to quantify the cost and characteristics of infrastructure pathways balancing SDG6 tar6 gets for water access, scarcity, treatment and efficiency with long-term energy transformations limiting climate warming to 1.5 ◦ 7 C. Under a mid-range human development scenario, we find that approximately 8 1 trillion USD2010 per year is required to close water infrastructure gaps and operate water systems consistent with achieving SDG6 goals by 2030. Adding a 1.5 ◦ 9 C climate policy constraint increases these costs by up to 8 %. In the reverse direction, when the SDG6 targets are added on top of the 1.5 ◦ 10 C policy 11 constraint, the cost to transform and operate energy systems increases 2 to 9 % relative to a baseline 1.5 ◦ 12 C scenario that does not achieve the SDG6 targets by 2030. Cost increases in the SDG6 pathways 13 are due to expanded use of energy-intensive water treatment and costs associated with water conserva14 tion measures in power generation, municipal, manufacturing and agricultural sectors. Combined global spending (capital and operational expenditures) in the integrated SDG6-1.5 ◦ 15 C scenarios to 2030 on water and energy systems increases 92 to 125 % relative to a baseline scenario without 1.5 ◦ 16 C and SDG6 17 constraints. Evaluation of the multi-sectoral policies underscores the importance of water conservation 18 and integrated water-energy planning for avoiding costs from interacting water, energy and climate goals.
- Published
- 2019