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Background and Aims: For patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the definition of high tumor burden remains controversial. This study aimed to compare the prognostic value of different criteria of tumor burden in patients with intermediate-stage HCC undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Methods: From 2007 to 2019, 632 treatment-naive patients with intermediate-stage HCC undergoing TACE were retrospectively enrolled. We compared different criteria of tumor burden in discriminating radiologic response and survival, including up-to-7, up-to-11, 5–7, 7 lesions criteria, and newly proposed 7–11 criteria. Results: The proportions of patients classified as high tumor burden were varied by different criteria. Among the 5 criteria, 7–11 criteria have the best performance to discriminate complete response (CR) and overall survival (OS) after TACE. In patients with low, intermediate, and high tumor burden classified by 7–11 criteria, the CR rate was 21, 12, and 2.5%, respectively (p < 0.001), and the median OS was 33.1, 22.3, and 11.9 months, respectively (p < 0.001). By multivariate analysis, 7–11 criteria were significantly associated with CR (intermediate vs. high burden, odds ratio = 4.617, p = 0.002; low vs. high burden, odds ratio = 8.675, p < 0.001) and OS (intermediate vs. high burden, hazard ratio = 0.650, p < 0.001; low vs. high burden, hazard ratio = 0.520, p < 0.001). Seven to 11 criteria also had the lowest corrected Akaike information criteria, highest homogeneity value, and highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in predicting 1-, 2-, and 3-year mortality among all criteria. Conclusion: Conventional definitions of tumor burden were not optimal for patients with intermediate HCC. The new 7–11 criteria had the best discriminative power in predicting radiologic response and survival in patients with intermediate-stage HCC undergoing TACE.

Introduction Outcomes of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are diverse because of the heterogeneity of tumor burden. Radiologic pattern is one criterion for determining whether TACE is unsuitable. However, additional evidences are required. This study determined the influence of radiologic morphology on the outcomes of initial and subsequent TACE. Methods From January 2007 to September 2021, 633 treatment-naïve patients with HCC with intermediate-stage HCC undergoing TACE were retrospectively enrolled. Of these patients, 386 patients received repeated TACE. The radiological features of HCC were evaluated by two radiologists and classified into encapsulated nodular type, simple nodular type with extranodular growth, confluent multinodular type, and infiltrative type. The objective response rate (ORR) and survival rate after initial and subsequent TACE among various radiologic morphologies were compared. Results After initial TACE, encapsulated nodular type HCC had the highest ORR (58%), followed by extranodular type (45.8%), confluent multinodular type (29%), and infiltrative type (19.5%). Notably, radiologic pattern was highly associated with tumor burden. Tumor burden and radiologic morphology was significantly associated with ORR and overall survival (OS) in the multivariate analysis. In 386 patients with subsequent TACE, encapsulated nodular type HCC had the highest ORR (48.7%), followed by extranodular type (37.3%), confluent multinodular type (26.2%), and infiltrative type (10%). In the multivariate analysis, radiologic features were significant independent predictors of ORR and OS after receiving subsequent TACE. Conclusion Radiologic patterns determine the outcomes of initial and subsequent TACE. Systemic therapy should be considered for patients with intermediate-stage HCC with unfavorable radiologic patterns.