1. Establishment and Validation of a Nomogram for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients Concerning the Prognostic Effect of Parotid Lymph Node Metastases
- Author
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Chao Lin, Ling Guo, Xin-Ling Li, Sai-Lan Liu, Xue-Song Sun, Nian Lu, Lin-Quan Tang, and Xiao-Yun Li
- Subjects
Oncology ,Male ,Cancer Research ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Multivariate analysis ,medicine.medical_treatment ,Nomogram ,Metastasis ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Clinical endpoint ,Overall survival ,Humans ,Retrospective Studies ,Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma ,Radiotherapy ,business.industry ,Parotid lymph node ,Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Prognosis ,Combined Modality Therapy ,Parotid Neoplasms ,Radiation therapy ,Survival Rate ,Nomograms ,Nasopharyngeal carcinoma ,Lymphatic Metastasis ,Parotid lymph node metastasis ,Original Article ,Female ,Lymph Nodes ,Neoplasm Recurrence, Local ,business ,Follow-Up Studies - Abstract
Purpose The prognosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients with parotid lymph node (PLN) metastasis remains unclear. This study was performed to investigate the prognostic significance and optimal staging category of PLN metastasis and develop a nomogram for estimating individual risk.Materials and MethodsClinical data of 7,084 non-metastatic NPC patients were retrospectively reviewed. Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint. A nomogram was established based on the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The accuracy and calibration ability of this nomogram was evaluated by C-index and calibration curves with bootstrap validation.ResultTotally, 164/7,084 NPC patients (2.3%) presented with PLNs. Multivariate analyses showed that PLN metastasis was a negative prognostic factor for OS, progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS). Patients with PLN metastasis had a worse prognosis than N3 disease. Five independent prognostic factors were included in the nomogram, which showed a C-index of 0.743. The calibration curves for probability of 3- and 5-year OS indicated satisfactory agreement between nomogram-based prediction and actual observation. All results were confirmed in the validation cohort.ConclusionNPC patient with PLN metastasis had poorer survival outcome (OS, PFS, DMFS, and LRFS) than N3 disease. We developed a nomogram to provide individual prediction of OS for patients with PLN metastasis.
- Published
- 2020