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Objective: To determine whether the morphologic features of the main pancreatic duct (MPD) of main-duct-involved-intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) (ie, main duct or mixed main duct/side branch) have implications for the risk of malignancy and extent of resection. Background: International consensus guidelines acknowledge the presence of various MPD morphologies (ie, diffuse vs segmental main-duct-involved-IPMN) without a precise definition of each entity and with limited data to guide treatment strategy. Methods: All consecutive main-duct-involved-IPMN patients (2005–2019) with a MPD diameter ≥5 mm by cross-sectional imaging were reviewed from a prospective institutional database. Morphologic features of the MPD were correlated with the identification of high-grade dysplasia or pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (HGD/PDAC) by logistic regression modeling. In patients who underwent partial pancreatectomy, preoperative MPD morphologic features were correlated with the future development of HGD/PDAC in the pancreatic remnant by Cox hazards modeling. Results: In a cohort of 214 main-duct-involved-IPMN patients, the overall rate of HGD/PDAC was 54.2%. MPD morphologic characteristics associated with HGD/PDAC included: maximal MPD diameter (5–10 mm: 29.8%; 10–14 mm: 59.0%; 15–19 mm: 78.6%; ≥20 mm: 95.8%; P <0.001), segmental extent of maximal dilation (<25%: 28.2%; 25%–49%: 54.9%; 50%–74%: 63.1%; ≥75%: 67.9%; P =0.002), and nonsegmental MPD diameter (<5 mm: 21.5% vs ≥5 mm: 78.5%, P <0.001). Diffuse MPD dilation involving ≥90% extent was rare (5.6%). After a median follow-up of 50 months, 7 (7.2%) patients who underwent partial pancreatectomy for IPMN without associated PDAC developed HGD/PDAC in the pancreatic remnant. Maximal MPD diameter, segmental extent of maximal dilation, or nonsegmental MPD diameter were not associated with the development of HGD/PDAC in the pancreatic remnant. However, a mural nodule on preoperative imaging was associated with the development of HGD/PDAC in the pancreatic remnant. Conclusions: "Diffuse" involvement with homogenous dilation of the MPD was rare. For the majority of patients with segmental main-duct-involved-IPMN, the MPD morphology conferred malignancy risk. Duct morphology was not predictive for the development of HGD or invasive disease in the pancreatic remnant, implying the safety of limited pancreatic resection for initial surgical management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: There is increased use of neoadjuvant fluorouracil, leucovorin, irinotecan, and oxaliplatin (FOLFIRINOX) in the management of localized pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), yet there are few validated biomarkers of treatment response.Study Design: Consecutive patients (n = 196) with resectable, borderline resectable or locally advanced PDAC (2012-2019) receiving FOLFIRINOX as initial treatment and with targeted sequencing of a pretreatment biopsy were identified in a prospective institutional database. Genomic alterations were determined in the 4 driver mutations (KRAS, TP53, CDKN2A, SMAD4), and associations between genomic alterations and clinical outcomes were assessed.Results: Alterations in KRAS (n = 172, 87.8%) and TP53 (n = 131, 66.8%) were common; alterations in CDKN2A (n = 49, 25.0%) and SMAD4 (n = 36, 18.4%) were less frequently observed. A total of 105 patients (53.6%) were able to undergo resection, of whom 8 (7.6%) had a complete/near-complete pathologic response. There were no somatic alterations associated with major pathologic response. Alterations in SMAD4 were associated with a lower rate of surgical resection (27.8% vs 59.4%, p < 0.001); this was additionally observed in a multivariable regression model accounting for resectability status (OR 0.35, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.15-0.85). Thirty-three patients (16.8%) developed metastatic disease while on neoadjuvant therapy. SMAD4 alterations were associated with a significant risk of metastatic progression on therapy when controlling for resectability status (OR 3.31, 95% CI 1.44-7.60).Conclusions: SMAD4 alterations are associated with more frequent development of metastasis during neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX and lower probability of reaching surgical resection. Evaluation of alternative chemotherapy regimens in patients with SMAD4 alterations will be important to distinguish whether this represents a prognostic or predictive biomarker. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: This study aims to present a full spectrum of individual patient presentations of pancreatic fistula risk, and to define the utility of mitigation strategies amongst some of the most prevalent, and vulnerable scenarios surgeons encounter. Background: The FRS has been utilized to identify technical strategies associated with reduced CR-POPF incidence across various risk strata. However, risk-stratification using the FRS has never been investigated with greater granularity. By deriving all possible combinations of FRS elements, individualized risk assessment could be utilized for precision medicine purposes. Methods: FRS profiles and outcomes of 5533 PDs were accrued from 17 international institutions (2003–2019). The FRS was used to derive 80 unique combinations of patient "scenarios." Risk-matched analyses were conducted using a Bonferroni adjustment to identify scenarios with increased vulnerability for CR-POPF occurrence. Subsequently, these scenarios were analyzed using multivariable regression to explore optimal mitigation approaches. Results: The overall CR-POPF rate was 13.6%. All 80 possible scenarios were encountered, with the most frequent being scenario #1 (8.1%) – the only negligible-risk scenario (CR-POPF rate = 0.7%). The moderate-risk zone had the most scenarios (50), patients (N = 3246), CR-POPFs (65.2%), and greatest non-zero discrepancy in CR-POPF rates between scenarios (18-fold). In the risk-matched analysis, 2 scenarios (#59 and 60) displayed increased vulnerability for CR-POPF relative to the moderate-risk zone (both P < 0.001). Multivariable analysis revealed factors associated with CR-POPF in these scenarios: pancreaticogastrostomy reconstruction [odds ratio (OR) 4.67], omission of drain placement (OR 5.51), and prophylactic octreotide (OR 3.09). When comparing the utilization of best practice strategies to patients who did not have these conjointly utilized, there was a significant decrease in CR-POPF (10.7% vs 35.5%, P < 0.001; OR 0.20, 95% confidence interval 0.12–0.33). Conclusion: Through this data, a comprehensive fistula risk catalog has been created and the most clinically-impactful scenarios have been discerned. Focusing on individual scenarios provides a practical way to approach precision medicine, allowing for more directed and efficient management of CR-POPF. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text Objective: To determine whether genomic risk groups identified by somatic mutation testing of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) can be used for "molecularly-guided" selection for adjuvant systemic chemotherapy and hepatic artery infusion of FUDR (SYS+HAI-FUDR). Background: Several genomic biomarkers have been associated with clinical phenotype and survival for patients with resectable CRLM. It is unknown whether prognostication afforded by genomic stratification translates into enhanced patient selection for adjuvant hepatic artery infusion therapy. Methods: Consecutive patients with resected CRLM and available mutational characterization via Memorial Sloan Kettering–Integrated Mutation Profiling of Actionable Cancer Targets were reviewed from a prospective institutional database. Patients were stratified into three genomic risk groups based on previously defined alterations in SMAD4 , EGFR and the RAS / RAF pathway. The association between SYS+HAI-FUDR and overall survival, relative to adjuvant chemotherapy alone (SYS), was evaluated in each genomic risk group by Cox proportional hazard regression and propensity score matched analyses. Results: A total of 334 patients (SYS+HAI-FUDR 204; SYS 130) were identified; the rates of RAS/RAF alterations and SMAD4 inactivation were 47.4% and 11.7%, respectively. After a median follow-up of 58 months, adjuvant SYS+HAI-FUDR was independently associated with a reduced risk of death (HR 0.50, 95%CI 0.26–0.98, P = 0.045) in the low-risk genomic group, but not in the moderate-risk (HR 1.07, 95%CI 0.5–2.07, P = 0.749) or high-risk (HR 1.62, 95%CI 0.29–9.12, P = 0.537) cohorts. Following propensity score matching, adjuvant SYS+HAI-FUDR remained associated with significant improvements in long-term survival selectively in the low-risk genomic cohort (5-year actuarial survival: 89% vs. 68%, P = 0.019). Conclusions: Genomic alterations in RAS/RAF , SMAD4, and EGFR may be useful to guide treatment selection in resectable CRLM patients and warrant external validation and integration in future clinical trial design. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text Objective: The aim of this study was to elucidate the impact of intraoperative blood loss on outcomes following pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). Background: The negative impact of intraoperative blood loss on outcomes in PD has long been suspected but not well characterized, particularly those factors that may be within surgeons' control. Methods: From 2001 to 2015, 5323 PDs were performed by 62 surgeons from 17 institutions. Estimated blood loss (EBL) was discretized (0 to 300, 301 to 750, 751 to 1300, and >1300 mL) using optimal scaling methodology. Multivariable regression, adjusted for patient, surgeon, and institutional variables, was used to identify associations between EBL and perioperative outcomes. Factors associated with both increased and decreased EBL were elucidated. The relative impact of surgeon-modifiable contributors was estimated through beta coefficient standardization. Results: The median EBL of the series was 400 mL [interquartile range (IQR) 250 to 600]. Intra-, post-, and perioperative transfusion rates were 15.8%, 24.8%, and 37.2%, respectively. Progressive EBL zones correlated with intra- but not postoperative transfusion in a dose-dependent fashion (P < 0.001), with a key threshold of 750 mL EBL (8.14% vs 40.9%; P < 0.001). Increasing blood loss significantly correlated with poor perioperative outcomes. Factors associated with increased EBL were trans-anastomotic stent placement, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, pancreaticogastrostomy reconstruction, multiorgan or vascular resection, and elevated operative time, of which 38.7% of the relative impact was "potentially modifiable" by the surgeon. Conversely, female sex, small duct, soft gland, minimally invasive approach, pylorus-preservation, biological sealant use, and institutional volume (≥67/year) were associated with decreased EBL, of which 13.6% was potentially under the surgeon's influence. Conclusion: Minimizing blood loss contributes to fewer intraoperative transfusions and better perioperative outcomes for PD. Improvements might be achieved by targeting modifiable factors that influence EBL. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text Objective: The aim of this study was to describe characteristics and management approaches for grade B pancreatic fistula (B-POPF) and investigate whether it segregates into distinct subclasses. Background: The 2016 ISGPS refined definition of B-POPF is predicated on various postoperative management approaches, ranging from prolonged drainage to interventional procedures, but the spectrum of clinical severity within this entity is yet undefined. Methods: Pancreatectomies performed at 2 institutions from 2007 to 2016 were reviewed to identify B-POPFs and their treatment strategies. Subclassification of B-POPFs into 3 classes was modeled after the Fistula Accordion Severity Grading System (B1: prolonged drainage only; B2: pharmacologic management; B3: interventional procedures). Clinical and economic outcomes, unique from the ISGPS definition qualifiers, were analyzed across subclasses. Results: B-POPF developed in 320 of 1949 patients (16.4%), and commonly required antibiotics (70.3%), prolonged drainage (67.8%), and enteral/parenteral nutrition (54.7%). Percutaneous drainage occurred in 79 patients (24.7%), always in combination with other strategies. Management of B-POPFs was widely heterogeneous with a median of 2 approaches/patient (range 1 to 6) and 38 various strategy combinations used. Subclasses B1–3 comprised 19.1%, 52.2%, and 28.8% of B-POPFs, respectively, and were associated with progressively worse clinical and economic outcomes. These results were confirmed by multivariable analysis adjusted for clinical and operative factors. Notably, distribution of the B-POPF subclasses was influenced by institution and type of resection (P < 0.001), while clinical/demographic predictors proved elusive. Conclusion: B-POPF is a heterogeneous entity, where 3 distinct subclasses with increasing clinical and economic burden can be identified. This classification framework has potential implications for accurate reporting, comparative research, and performance evaluation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: The aim of this study was to develop an alternative fistula risk score (a-FRS) for postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after pancreatoduodenectomy, without blood loss as a predictor. Background: Blood loss, one of the predictors of the original-FRS, was not a significant factor during 2 recent external validations. Methods: The a-FRS was developed in 2 databases: the Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Audit (18 centers) and the University Hospital Southampton NHS. Primary outcome was grade B/C POPF according to the 2005 International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery (ISGPS) definition. The score was externally validated in 2 independent databases (University Hospital of Verona and University Hospital of Pennsylvania), using both 2005 and 2016 ISGPS definitions. The a-FRS was also compared with the original-FRS. Results: For model design, 1924 patients were included of whom 12% developed POPF. Three predictors were strongly associated with POPF: soft pancreatic texture [odds ratio (OR) 2.58, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.80–3.69], small pancreatic duct diameter (per mm increase, OR: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.61–0.76), and high body mass index (BMI) (per kg/m2 increase, OR: 1.07, 95% CI: 1.04–1.11). Discrimination was adequate with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.71–0.78) after internal validation, and 0.78 (0.74–0.82) after external validation. The predictive capacity of a-FRS was comparable with the original-FRS, both for the 2005 definition (AUC 0.78 vs 0.75, P = 0.03), and 2016 definition (AUC 0.72 vs 0.70, P = 0.05). Conclusion: The a-FRS predicts POPF after pancreatoduodenectomy based on 3 easily available variables (pancreatic texture, duct diameter, BMI) without blood loss and pathology, and was successfully validated for both the 2005 and 2016 POPF definition. The online calculator is available at www.pancreascalculator.com. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text Objective: The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between drain fluid amylase value on the first postoperative day (DFA1) and clinically relevant fistula (CR-POPF) after distal pancreatectomy (DP), and to identify the cut-off of DFA1 that optimizes CR-POPF prediction. Background: DFA1 is a well-recognized predictor of CR-POPF after pancreatoduodenectomy, but its role in DP is largely unexplored. Methods: DFA1 levels were correlated with CR-POPF in 2 independent multi-institutional sets of DP patients: developmental (n = 338; years 2012 to 2017) and validation cohort (n = 166; years 2006 to 2016). Cut-off choice was based on Youden index calculation, and its ability to predict CR-POPF occurrence was tested in a multivariable regression model adjusted for clinical, demographic, operative, and pathological variables. Results: In the developmental set, median DFA1 was 1745 U/L and the CR-POPF rate was 21.9%. DFA1 correlated with CR-POPF with an area under the curve of 0.737 (P < 0.001). A DFA1 of 2000 U/L had the highest Youden index, with 74.3% sensitivity and 62.1% specificity. Patients in the validation cohort displayed different demographic and operative characteristics, lower values of DFA1 (784.5 U/L, P < 0.001), and reduced CR-POPF rate (10.2%, P < 0.001). However, a DFA1 of 2000 U/L had the highest Youden index in this cohort as well, with 64.7% sensitivity and 75.8% specificity. At multivariable analysis, DFA1 ≥2000 U/L was the only factor significantly associated with CR-POPF in both cohorts. Conclusion: A DFA1 of 2000 U/L optimizes CR-POPF prediction after DP. These results provide the substrate to define best practices and improve outcomes for patients receiving DP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text Objective: To identify a clinical fistula risk score following distal pancreatectomy. Background: Clinically relevant pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) following distal pancreatectomy (DP) is a dominant contributor to procedural morbidity, yet risk factors attributable to CR-POPF and effective practices to reduce its occurrence remain elusive. Methods: This multinational, retrospective study of 2026 DPs involved 52 surgeons at 10 institutions (2001–2016). CR-POPFs were defined by 2016 International Study Group criteria, and risk models generated using stepwise logistic regression analysis were evaluated by c-statistic. Mitigation strategies were assessed by regression modeling while controlling for identified risk factors and treating institution. Results: CR-POPF occurred following 306 (15.1%) DPs. Risk factors independently associated with CR-POPF included: age (<60 yrs: OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.05–1.82), obesity (OR 1.54, 95% CI 1.19–2.12), hypoalbuminenia (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.06–2.51), the absence of epidural anesthesia (OR 1.59, 95% CI 1.17–2.16), neuroendocrine or nonmalignant pathology (OR 1.56, 95% CI 1.18–2.06), concomitant splenectomy (OR 1.99, 95% CI 1.25–3.17), and vascular resection (OR 2.29, 95% CI 1.25–3.17). After adjusting for inherent risk between cases by multivariable regression, the following were not independently associated with CR-POPF: method of transection, suture ligation of the pancreatic duct, staple size, the use of staple line reinforcement, tissue patches, biologic sealants, or prophylactic octreotide. Intraoperative drainage was associated with a greater fistula rate (OR 2.09, 95% CI 1.51–3.78) but reduced fistula severity (P < 0.001). Conclusions: From this large analysis of pancreatic fistula following DP, CR-POPF occurrence cannot be reliably predicted. Opportunities for developing a risk score model are limited for performing risk-adjusted analyses of mitigation strategies and surgeon performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: The aim of this study was to identify the optimal fistula mitigation strategy following pancreaticoduodenectomy. Background: The utility of technical strategies to prevent clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) following pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) may vary by the circumstances of the anastomosis. The Fistula Risk Score (FRS) identifies a distinct high-risk cohort (FRS 7 to 10) that demonstrates substantially worse clinical outcomes. The value of various fistula mitigation strategies in these particular high-stakes cases has not been previously explored. Methods: This multinational study included 5323 PDs performed by 62 surgeons at 17 institutions. Mitigation strategies, including both technique related (ie, pancreatogastrostomy reconstruction; dunking; tissue patches) and the use of adjuvant strategies (ie, intraperitoneal drains; anastomotic stents; prophylactic octreotide; tissue sealants), were evaluated using multivariable regression analysis and propensity score matching. Results: A total of 522 (9.8%) PDs met high-risk FRS criteria, with an observed CR-POPF rate of 29.1%. Pancreatogastrostomy, prophylactic octreotide, and omission of externalized stents were each associated with an increased rate of CR-POPF (all P < 0.001). In a multivariable model accounting for patient, surgeon, and institutional characteristics, the use of external stents [odds ratio (OR) 0.45, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.25–0.81] and the omission of prophylactic octreotide (OR 0.49, 95% CI 0.30–0.78) were independently associated with decreased CR-POPF occurrence. In the propensity score matched cohort, an “optimal” mitigation strategy (ie, externalized stent and no prophylactic octreotide) was associated with a reduced rate of CR-POPF (13.2% vs 33.5%, P < 0.001). Conclusions: The scenarios identified by the high-risk FRS zone represent challenging anastomoses associated with markedly elevated rates of fistula. Externalized stents and omission of prophylactic octreotide, in the setting of intraperitoneal drainage and pancreaticojejunostomy reconstruction, provides optimal outcomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To compare the efficacy of adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and chemotherapy alone (CA) in gastric adenocarcinoma patients undergoing gastrectomy in the United States (US). Background: A majority of US gastric adenocarcinoma patients are inadequately staged (<15 nodes examined). Despite this, and limited data comparing adjuvant CRT with CA in US patients, national guidelines endorse CA in selected patients undergoing D2 lymphadenectomy. Methods: Resected stage IB-III gastric adenocarcinoma patients receiving adjuvant CRT or CA (n = 3008) were identified in the National Cancer Database (1998-2006). Cox regression identified covariates associated with overall survival (OS). CRT and CA cohorts were matched (3:1) by propensity scores based on the likelihood of receiving CA. OS was compared by Kaplan- Meier estimates. Results: Adjuvant CA was associated with an increased risk of death (HR 1.29, P<0.001) relative to CRT. Inadequate lymph node staging (LNS) and nodal positivity were strong predictors of risk-adjusted mortality (P<0.001). After propensity score-matching, CRT demonstrated superior median OS compared with CA (36.1vs28.9m; P<0.0001), regardless of stage. CRT was superior to CA in inadequately staged patients (33.1mvs 24.5m;P<0.001); this benefit was less pronounced with increasing nodal examination. CRT improved OS in node-positive disease (29.8 vs 22.2m;P<0.001), regardless of LNS adequacy. In node-negative disease, OS did not differ significantly between CRT and CA cohorts; however, node-negative patients undergoing inadequate LNS benefited from CRT. Conclusions: CRT is associated with improved stage-stratified OS compared with CA. Lymph node status and adequacy of surgical staging should influence adjuvant therapy selection in the United States. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]