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The aim of this study is to predict and map winter wheat yield in the Parvomay municipality, situated in the Upper Thracian Lowland of Bulgaria, utilizing satellite data from Sentinel-2. The main crops grown in the research area are winter wheat, rapeseed, sunflower, and maize. To distinguish winter wheat fields accurately, we evaluated classification methods such as Support Vector Machines (SVM) and Random Forest (RF). These methods were applied to satellite multispectral data acquired by the Sentinel-2 satellites during the growing season of 2020–2021. In accordance with their development cycles, temporal image composites were developed to identify suitable moments when each crop is most accurately distinguished from others. Ground truth data obtained from the integrated administration and control system (IACS) were used for training the classifiers and assessing the accuracy of the final maps. Winter wheat fields were masked using the crop mask created from the best-performing classification algorithm. Yields were predicted with regression models calibrated with in situ data collected in the Parvomay study area. Both SVM and RF algorithms performed well in classifying winter wheat fields, with SVM slightly outperforming RF. The produced crop maps enable the application of crop-specific yield models on a regional scale. The best predictor of yield was the green NDVI index (GNDVI) from the April monthly composite image. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Agricultural landscapes are characterized by diversity and complexity, which makes crop mapping at a regional scale a top priority for different purposes such as administrative decisions and farming management. Project 32194 of the Dragon 4 Program was implemented to meet the requirements of crop mapping, with the specific objective to develop suitable approaches for precise crop mapping with combined uses of European and Chinese high- and medium-resolution satellite images. Two sub-projects were involved in the project. The first was to focus on the use of time series high-resolution satellite data, including Sentinel-2 (S2, European satellite data) and Gaofen-1 (GF-1, Chinese satellite data), due to their similar spectral bands for Earth observation, while the second was to focus on medium-resolution data sources, i.e., the European Project for On-Board Autonomy–Vegetation (PROBA-V) and Chinese Fengyun-3 Medium Resolution Spectral Imager (FY-3 MERSI) satellite data, also due to their similar spectral channels. The approach of the European Space Agency (ESA) Sent2Agri project for crop mapping was adapted in the first sub-project and applied to the Yellow River irrigated district (YERID) of Ningxia in northwest China in order to assess its ability to accurately identify crop types in China. The goal of the second sub-project was to explore the potential of both European and Chinese medium-resolution satellite data for crop assessment in a large area. Methods to handle the data and retrieve the required information for the precise crop mapping were developed in the study, including the adaptation of the ESA approach to GF-1 data and the application of algorithms for classification. A scheme for the validation of the crop mapping was developed in the study. The results of implementing the scheme to the YERID in Ningxia indicated that the overall accuracies of crop mapping with S2 and GF-1 can be high, up to 94–97%, and the mapping had an accuracy of 88% with the PROBA-V and FY3B-MERSI data. The very high accuracy suggests the possibility of precise crop mapping with the combined use of time series high- and medium-resolution satellite data when suitable approaches are chosen to handle the data for the classification of crop types. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents the results of a sub-pixel classification of crop types in Bulgaria from PROBA-V 100 m normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) time series. Two sub-pixel classification methods, artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) were used where the output was a set of area fraction images (AFIs) at 100 m resolution with pixels containing estimated area fractions of each class. High-resolution maps of two test sites derived from Sentinel-2 classifications were used to obtain training data for the sub-pixel classifications. The estimated area fractions have a good correspondence with the true area fractions when aggregated to regions of 10 × 10 km2, especially when the SVR method was used. For the five dominant classes in the test sites the R2 obtained after the aggregation was 86% (winter cereals), 81% (sunflower), 92% (broad-leaved forest), 89% (maize), and 67% (grasslands) when the SVR method was used. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Vegetation indices, such as the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) or enhanced vegetation index (EVI) derived from remote sensing images, are widely used for crop classification. However, vegetation index profiles for different crops with a similar phenology lead to difficulties in discerning these crops both spectrally and temporally. This paper proposes a feature filtering and enhancement (FFE) method to map soybean and maize, two major crops widely cultivated during the summer season in Northeastern China. Different vegetation indices are first calculated and the probability density functions (PDFs) of these indices for the target classes are established based on the hypothesis of normal distribution; the vegetation index images are then filtered using the PDFs to obtain enhanced index images where the pixel values of the target classes are "enhanced". Subsequently, the minimum Gini index of each enhanced index image is computed, generating at the same time the weight for every index. A composite enhanced feature image is produced by summing all indices with their weights. Finally, a classification is made from the composite enhanced feature image by thresholding, which is derived automatically based on the samples. The efficiency of the proposed FFE method is compared with the maximum likelihood classification (MLC), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) in a mapping operation to determine the soybean and maize distribution in a county in Northeastern China. The classification accuracies resulting from this comparison show that the FFE method outperforms MLC, and its accuracies are similar to those of SVM and RF, with an overall accuracy of 0.902 and a kappa coefficient of 0.846. This indicates that the FFE method is an appropriate method for crop classification to distinguish crops with a similar phenology. Our research also shows that when the sample size reaches a certain level (e.g., 2000), the mean and standard deviation of the sample are very close to the actual values, which leads to high classification accuracy. In a case where the condition of normal distribution is not fulfilled, the PDF of the vegetation index can be created by a lookup table. Furthermore, as the method is rather simple and explicit, and convenient in terms of computing, it can be used as the backbone for automatic crop mapping operations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Image classifications, including sub-pixel analysis, are often used to estimate crop acreage directly. However, this type of assessment often leads to a biased estimation, because commission and omission errors generally do not compensate for each other. Regression estimators combine remote sensing information with more accurate ground data on a field sample, and can result in more accurate and cost-effective assessments of crop acreage. In this pilot study, which aims to produce crop statistics in Guoyang County, the area frame sampling approach is adapted to a strip-like cropping pattern on the North China Plain. Remote sensing information is also used to perform a stratification in which non-agricultural areas are excluded from the ground survey. In order to compute crop statistics, 202 ground points in the agriculture stratum were surveyed. Image classification was included as an auxiliary variable in the subsequent analysis to obtain a regression estimator. The results of this pilot study showed that the integration of remote sensing information as an auxiliary variable can improve the accuracy of estimation by reducing the variance of the estimates, as well as the cost effectiveness of an operational application at the county level in the region., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflict of interest.