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Climate change presents an unprecedented global challenge, demanding collective action to both mitigate its effects and adapt to its consequences. Soil health and function are profoundly impacted by climate change, particularly evident in the sensitivity of soil microbial respiration to warming, known as Q10. Q10 measures the rate of microbial respiration’s increase with a temperature rise of 10 degrees Celsius, playing a pivotal role in understanding soil carbon dynamics in response to climate change. Leveraging machine learning techniques, particularly explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), offers a promising avenue to analyze complex data and identify biomarkers crucial for developing innovative climate change mitigation strategies. This research aims to evaluate the extent to which chemical, physical, and microbiological soil characteristics are associated with high or low Q10 values, utilizing XAI approaches. The Extra Trees Classifier algorithm was employed, yielding an average accuracy of 0.923±0.009, an average AUCROC of 0.964±0.004, and an average AUCPRC of 0.963±0.006. Additionally, through XAI techniques, we elucidate the significant features contributing to the prediction of Q10 classes. The XAI analysis shows that the temperature sensitivity of soil respiration increases with microbiome variables but decreases with non-microbiome variables beyond a threshold. Our findings underscore the critical role of the soil microbiome in predicting soil Q10 dynamics, providing valuable insights for developing targeted climate change mitigation strategies.

Recent years have witnessed an increasing interest in air pollutants and their effects on human health. More generally, it has become evident how human, animal and environmental health are deeply interconnected within a One Health framework. Ground level air monitoring stations are sparse and thus have limited coverage due to high costs. Satellite and reanalysis data represent an alternative with high spatio-temporal resolution. The idea of this work is to build an Artificial Intelligence model for the estimation of surface-level daily concentrations of air pollutants over the entire Italian territory using satellite, climate reanalysis, geographical and social data. As ground truth we use data from the monitoring stations of the Regional Environmental Protection Agency (ARPA) covering the period 2019–2022 at municipal level. The analysis compares different models and applies an Explainable Artificial Intelligence approach to evaluate the role of individual features in the model. The best model reaches an average R2 of 0.84 ± 0.01 and MAE of 5.00 ± 0.01 μg/m3 across all pollutants which compare well with the body of literature. The XAI analysis highlights the pivotal role of satellite and climate reanalysis data. Our work can facilitate One Health surveys and help researchers and policy makers.

PSI data are extremely useful for monitoring on-ground displacements. In many cases, clustering algorithms are adopted to highlight the presence of homogeneous patterns; however, clustering algorithms can fail to consider spatial constraints and be poorly specific in revealing patterns at lower scales or possible anomalies. Hence, we proposed a novel framework which combines a spatially-constrained clustering algorithm (SKATER) with a hypothesis testing procedure which evaluates and establishes the presence of significant local spatial correlations, namely the LISA method. The designed workflow ensures the retrieval of homogeneous clusters and a reliable anomaly detection; to validate this workflow, we collected Sentinel-1 time series from the Sibari and Metaponto coastal plains in Italy, ranging from 2015 to 2021. This particular study area is interesting due to the presence of important industrial and agricultural settlements. The proposed workflow effectively outlines the presence of both subsidence and uplifting that deserve to be focused and continuous monitoring, both for environmental and infrastructural purposes.

A great deal of attention has been devoted to the analysis of particulate matter (PM) concentrations in various scenarios because of their negative effects on human health. Here, we investigate how meteorological conditions can affect PM concentrations in the peculiar case of the district of the city of Lecce in the Apulia region (Southern Italy), which is characterized by the highest tumor rate of the whole region despite the absence of nearby heavy industries. We present a unified machine learning framework which combines air quality and meteorological data, either measured on ground or forecast. Our findings show that the concentrations of PM10, PM2.5, NO2 and CO are significantly associated with the meteorological conditions and suggest that it is possible to predict air quality using either ground weather observations or weather forecasts.

Rankings are a well-established tool to evaluate the performance of actors in different sectors of the economy, and their use is increasing even in the context of the startup ecosystem, both on a regional and on a global scale. Although rankings meet the demand for measurability and comparability, they often provide an oversimplified picture of the status quo, which, in particular, overlooks the variability of the socio-economic conditions in which the quantified results are achieved. In this paper, we describe an approach based on constructing a network of world countries, in which links are determined by mutual similarity in terms of development indicators. Through the instrument of community detection, we perform an unsupervised partition of the considered set of countries, aimed at interpreting their performance in the StartupBlink rankings. We consider both the global ranking and the specific ones (quality, quantity, business). After verifying if community membership is predictive of the success of a country in the considered ranking, we rate country performances in terms of the expectation based on community peers. We are thus able to identify cases in which performance is better than expected, providing a benchmark for countries in similar conditions, and cases in which performance is below the expectation, highlighting the need to strengthen the innovation ecosystem.

The current guidelines recommend the sentinel lymph node biopsy to evaluate the lymph node involvement for breast cancer patients with clinically negative lymph nodes on clinical or radiological examination. Machine learning (ML) models have significantly improved the prediction of lymph nodes status based on clinical features, thus avoiding expensive, time-consuming and invasive procedures. However, the classification of sentinel lymph node status represents a typical example of an unbalanced classification problem. In this work, we developed a ML framework to explore the effects of unbalanced populations on the performance and stability of feature ranking for sentinel lymph node status classification in breast cancer. Our results indicate state-of-the-art AUC (Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve) values on a hold-out set (67%) while providing particularly stable features related to tumor size, histological subtype and estrogen receptor expression, which should therefore be considered as potential biomarkers.

Heavy metals are a dangerous source of pollution due to their toxicity, permanence in the environment and chemical nature. It is well known that long-term exposure to heavy metals is related to several chronic degenerative diseases (cardiovascular diseases, neoplasms, neurodegenerative syndromes, etc.). In this work, we propose a machine learning framework to evaluate the severity of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) from Human scalp hair analysis (HSHA) tests and genetic analysis and identify a small group of these clinical features mostly associated with the CVD risk. Using a private dataset provided by the DD Clinic foundation in Caserta, Italy, we cross-validated the classification performance of a Random Forests model with 90 subjects affected by CVD. The proposed model reached an AUC of 0.78 ± 0.01 on a three class classification problem. The robustness of the predictions was assessed by comparison with different cross-validation schemes and two state-of-the-art classifiers, such as Artificial Neural Network and General Linear Model. Thus, is the first work that studies, through a machine learning approach, the tight link between CVD severity, heavy metal concentrations and SNPs. Then, the selected features appear highly correlated with the CVD phenotype, and they could represent targets for future CVD therapies.

Currently the whole world is affected by the COVID-19 disease. Italy was the first country to be seriously affected in Europe, where the first COVID-19 outbreak was localized in the Lombardy region. The further spreading of the cases led to the lockdown of the most affected regions in northern Italy and then the entire country. In this work we investigated an epidemic spread scenario in the Lombardy region by using the origin–destination matrix with information about the commuting flows among 1450 urban areas within the region. We performed a large-scale simulation-based modeling of the epidemic spread over the networks related to three main motivations, i.e., work, study and occasional transfers to quantify the potential contribution of each category of travellers to the spread of the epidemic process. Our findings outline that the three networks are characterised by different weight dynamic growth rates and that the network “work” has a critical role in the diffusion phenomenon showing the greatest contribution to the epidemic spread.

In recent years personalized medicine reached an increasing importance, especially in the design of oncological therapies. In particular, the development of patients’ profiling strategies suggests the possibility of promising rewards. In this work, we present an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) framework based on an adaptive dimensional reduction which (i) outlines the most important clinical features for oncological patients’ profiling and (ii), based on these features, determines the profile, i.e., the cluster a patient belongs to. For these purposes, we collected a cohort of 267 breast cancer patients. The adopted dimensional reduction method determines the relevant subspace where distances among patients are used by a hierarchical clustering procedure to identify the corresponding optimal categories. Our results demonstrate how the molecular subtype is the most important feature for clustering. Then, we assessed the robustness of current therapies and guidelines; our findings show a striking correspondence between available patients’ profiles determined in an unsupervised way and either molecular subtypes or therapies chosen according to guidelines, which guarantees the interpretability characterizing explainable approaches to machine learning techniques. Accordingly, our work suggests the possibility to design data-driven therapies to emphasize the differences observed among the patients.

The COVID-19 pandemic has amplified the urgency of the developments in computer-assisted medicine and, in particular, the need for automated tools supporting the clinical diagnosis and assessment of respiratory symptoms. This need was already clear to the scientific community, which launched an international challenge in 2017 at the International Conference on Biomedical Health Informatics (ICBHI) for the implementation of accurate algorithms for the classification of respiratory sound. In this work, we present a framework for respiratory sound classification based on two different kinds of features: (i) short-term features which summarize sound properties on a time scale of tenths of a second and (ii) long-term features which assess sounds properties on a time scale of seconds. Using the publicly available dataset provided by ICBHI, we cross-validated the classification performance of a neural network model over 6895 respiratory cycles and 126 subjects. The proposed model reached an accuracy of 85%±3% and an precision of 80%±8%, which compare well with the body of literature. The robustness of the predictions was assessed by comparison with state-of-the-art machine learning tools, such as the support vector machine, Random Forest and deep neural networks. The model presented here is therefore suitable for large-scale applications and for adoption in clinical practice. Finally, an interesting observation is that both short-term and long-term features are necessary for accurate classification, which could be the subject of future studies related to its clinical interpretation.

Remote sensing images find application in several different domains, such as land cover or land usage observation, environmental monitoring, and urbanization. This latter field has recently witnessed an interesting development with the use of remote sensing for infrastructural monitoring. In this work, we present an analysis of Sentinel-1 images, which were used to monitor the Italian provinces of Bologna and Modena located at the Emilia Region Apennines foothill. The goal of this study was the development of a machine learning-based detection system to monitor the deterioration of public aqueduct infrastructures based on Persistent Scatterer Interferometry (PSI). We evaluated the land deformation over a temporal range of five years; these series feed a k-means clustering algorithm to separate the pixels of the region according to different deformation patterns. Furthermore, we defined the critical areas as those areas where different patterns collided or overlapped. The proposed approach provides an informative tool for the structural health monitoring of underground infrastructures.

Modeling disease progression through the cognitive scores has become an attractive challenge in the field of computational neuroscience due to its importance for early diagnosis of Alzheimer’s disease (AD). Several scores such as Alzheimer’s Disease Assessment Scale cognitive total score, Mini Mental State Exam score and Rey Auditory Verbal Learning Test provide a quantitative assessment of the cognitive conditions of the patients and are commonly used as objective criteria for clinical diagnosis of dementia and mild cognitive impairment (MCI). On the other hand, connectivity patterns extracted from diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) have been successfully used to classify AD and MCI subjects with machine learning algorithms proving their potential application in the clinical setting. In this work, we carried out a pilot study to investigate the strength of association between DTI structural connectivity of a mixed ADNI cohort and cognitive spectrum in AD. We developed a machine learning framework to find a generalized cognitive score that summarizes the different functional domains reflected by each cognitive clinical index and to identify the connectivity biomarkers more significantly associated with the score. The results indicate that the efficiency and the centrality of some regions can effectively track cognitive impairment in AD showing a significant correlation with the generalized cognitive score (R = 0.7).

In recent years, a number of different procedures have been proposed for segmentation of remote sensing images, basing on spectral information. Model-based and machine learning strategies have been investigated in several studies. This work presents a comprehensive overview and an unbiased comparison of the most adopted segmentation strategies: Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forests, Neural networks, Sen2Cor, FMask and MAJA. We used a training set for learning and two different independent sets for testing. The comparison accounted for 135 images acquired from 54 different worldwide sites. We observed that machine learning segmentations are extremely reliable when the training and test are homogeneous. SVM performed slightly better than other methods. In particular, when using heterogeneous test data, SVM remained the most accurate segmentation method while state-of-the-art model-based methods such as MAJA and FMask obtained better sensitivity and precision, respectively. Therefore, even if each method has its specific advantages and drawbacks, SVM resulted in a competitive option for remote sensing applications.

Characterizing both neurodevelopmental and aging brain structural trajectories is important for understanding normal biological processes and atypical patterns that are related to pathological phenomena. Initiatives to share open access morphological data contributed significantly to the advance in brain structure characterization. Indeed, such initiatives allow large brain morphology multi-site datasets to be shared, which increases the statistical sensitivity of the outcomes. However, using neuroimaging data from multi-site studies requires harmonizing data across the site to avoid bias. In this work we evaluated three different harmonization techniques on the Autism Brain Imaging Data Exchange (ABIDE) dataset for age prediction analysis in two groups of subjects (i.e., controls and autism spectrum disorder). We extracted the morphological features from T1-weighted images of a mixed cohort of 654 subjects acquired from 17 sites to predict the biological age of the subjects using three machine learning regression models. A machine learning framework was developed to quantify the effects of the different harmonization strategies on the final performance of the models and on the set of morphological features that are relevant to the age prediction problem in both the presence and absence of pathology. The results show that, even if two harmonization strategies exhibit similar accuracy of predictive models, a greater mismatch occurs between the sets of most age-related predictive regions for the Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) subjects. Thus, we propose to use a stability index to extract meaningful features for a robust clinical validation of the outcomes of multiple harmonization strategies.

Functional connectivity analysis aims at assessing the strength of functional coupling between the signal responses in distinct brain areas. Usually, functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) time series connections are estimated through zero-lag correlation metrics that quantify the statistical similarity between pairs of regions or spectral measures that assess synchronization at a frequency band of interest. Here, we explored the application of a new metric to assess the functional synchronization in phase space between fMRI time series in a resting state. We applied a complete topological analysis to the resulting connectivity matrix to uncover both the macro-scale organization of the brain and detect the most important nodes. The synchronization metric is also compared with Pearson’s correlation coefficient and spectral coherence to highlight similarities and differences between the topologies of the three functional networks. We found that the individual topological organization of the resulting synchronization-based connectivity networks shows a finer modular organization than that identified with the other two metrics and a low overlap with the modular partitions of the other two networks suggesting that the derived topological information is not redundant and could be potentially integrated to provide a multi-scale description of functional connectivity.

Signal processing and machine learning techniques are changing the clinical practice based on medical imaging from many perspectives. A major topic is related to (i) the development of computer aided diagnosis systems to provide clinicians with novel, non-invasive and low-cost support-tools, and (ii) to the development of new methodologies for the analysis of biomedical data for finding new disease biomarkers. Advancements have been recently achieved in the context of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) diagnosis through the use of diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) data. When combined with tractography algorithms, this imaging modality enables the reconstruction of the physical connections of the brain that can be subsequently investigated through a complex network-based approach. A graph metric particularly suited to describe the disruption of the brain connectivity due to AD is communicability. In this work, we develop a machine learning framework for the classification and feature importance analysis of AD based on communicability at the whole brain level. We fairly compare the performance of three state-of-the-art classification models, namely support vector machines, random forests and artificial neural networks, on the connectivity networks of a balanced cohort of healthy control subjects and AD patients from the ADNI database. Moreover, we clinically validate the information content of the communicability metric by performing a feature importance analysis. Both performance comparison and feature importance analysis provide evidence of the robustness of the method. The results obtained confirm that the whole brain structural communicability alterations due to AD are a valuable biomarker for the characterization and investigation of pathological conditions.

In this paper, we investigate the connectivity alterations of the subcortical brain network due to Alzheimer’s disease (AD). Mostly, the literature investigated AD connectivity abnormalities at the whole brain level or at the cortex level, while very few studies focused on the sub-network composed only by the subcortical regions, especially using diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) data. In this work, we examine a mixed cohort including 46 healthy controls (HC) and 40 AD patients from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) data set. We reconstruct the brain connectome through the use of state of the art tractography algorithms and we propose a method based on graph communicability to enhance the information content of subcortical brain regions in discriminating AD. We develop a classification framework, achieving 77% of area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve in the binary discrimination AD vs. HC only using a 12 × 12 subcortical features matrix. We find some interesting AD-related connectivity patterns highlighting that subcortical regions tend to increase their communicability through cortical regions to compensate the physical connectivity reduction between them due to AD. This study also suggests that AD connectivity alterations mostly regard the inter-connectivity between subcortical and cortical regions rather than the intra-subcortical connectivity.