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Human papillomavirus (HPV) type 16 is the major cause of cervical carcinoma, the incidence of which is decreasing in western countries. In Finland the incidence is, however, increasing in women aged <40 years, but possible underlying changes in HPV-16 epidemiology are unknown. To assess incidence trends of HPV infections, paired sera from a random sample of 8000 women with two pregnancies/sera within 5 years, taken from the serum bank of the Finnish Maternity Cohort (1983–98), were analysed for HPV-6, -11 and -16 antibodies. For 23–31-year-old women, HPV-16 incidence increased over the period 1983–97. HPV-16 seroprevalence increased from 17 % in 1983–85 to 24 % in 1995–97, but HPV-6 and HPV-11 prevalence was stable at 9–12 % throughout the study period. Epidemic spread of the oncogenic HPV-16, but not the non-oncogenic HPV-types, throughout the 1980s and 1990s preceded an increase in the incidence of cervical carcinoma in fertile-aged Finnish women.

To assess the stability of polyomavirus antibodies in serial samples over time and the incidence and age-specific prevalence of polyomavirus infections, we established enzyme immunoassays (EIAs) using purified yeast-expressed virus-like particles (VLPs) containing the VP1 major capsid proteins of JC virus (JCV) and the AS and SB strains of BK virus (BKV). A random subsample of 150 Finnish women who had serum samples taken during the first trimester of pregnancy and had a second pregnancy during a 5 year follow-up period was selected, grouped by age of first pregnancy. The polyomavirus antibody levels were similar in samples taken during the first and second pregnancies (correlation coefficient 0·93 for BKV SB and 0·94 for JCV). Analysis of serum samples from 290 Swedish children aged 1–13 years, grouped by age in 2 year intervals, demonstrated that BKV seropositivity increased rapidly with increasing age of the children, reaching 98 % seroprevalence at 7–9 years of age, followed by a minor decrease. JCV seroprevalence increased only slowly with increasing age and reaching 72 % positivity among mothers >25 years of age. The age-specific seroprevalence of the human polyomaviruses measured using this VLP-based EIA was similar to previous serosurveys by other methods. The stability of the antibodies over time indicates that polyomavirus seropositivity is a valid marker of cumulative virus exposure, and polyoma VLP-based EIAs may therefore be useful for epidemiological studies of these viruses.