1. Bayesian risk prediction model for colorectal cancer mortality through integration of clinicopathologic and genomic data
- Author
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Melissa Zhao, Mai Chan Lau, Koichiro Haruki, Juha P. Väyrynen, Carino Gurjao, Sara A. Väyrynen, Andressa Dias Costa, Jennifer Borowsky, Kenji Fujiyoshi, Kota Arima, Tsuyoshi Hamada, Jochen K. Lennerz, Charles S. Fuchs, Reiko Nishihara, Andrew T. Chan, Kimmie Ng, Xuehong Zhang, Jeffrey A. Meyerhardt, Mingyang Song, Molin Wang, Marios Giannakis, Jonathan A. Nowak, Kun-Hsing Yu, Tomotaka Ugai, and Shuji Ogino
- Subjects
Neoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogens ,RC254-282 - Abstract
Abstract Routine tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging of colorectal cancer is imperfect in predicting survival due to tumor pathobiological heterogeneity and imprecise assessment of tumor spread. We leveraged Bayesian additive regression trees (BART), a statistical learning technique, to comprehensively analyze patient-specific tumor characteristics for the improvement of prognostic prediction. Of 75 clinicopathologic, immune, microbial, and genomic variables in 815 stage II–III patients within two U.S.-wide prospective cohort studies, the BART risk model identified seven stable survival predictors. Risk stratifications (low risk, intermediate risk, and high risk) based on model-predicted survival were statistically significant (hazard ratios 0.19–0.45, vs. higher risk; P
- Published
- 2023
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