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Several studies have emphasised how positive and negative human papillomavirus (HPV+  and HPV-, respectively) oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) has distinct molecular profiles, tumor characteristics, and disease outcomes. Different radiomics-based prediction models have been proposed, by also using innovative techniques such as Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). Although some of these models reached encouraging predictive performances, there evidence explaining the role of radiomic features in achieving a specific outcome is scarce. In this paper, we propose some preliminary results related to an explainable CNN-based model to predict HPV status in OPSCC patients. We extracted the Gross Tumor Volume (GTV) of pre-treatment CT images related to 499 patients (356 HPV+ and 143 HPV-) included into the OPC-Radiomics public dataset to train an end-to-end Inception-V3 CNN architecture. We also collected a multicentric dataset consisting of 92 patients (43 HPV+ , 49 HPV-), which was employed as an independent test set. Finally, we applied Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) technique to highlight the most informative areas with respect to the predicted outcome. The proposed model reached an AUC value of 73.50% on the independent test. As a result of the Grad-CAM algorithm, the most informative areas related to the correctly classified HPV+ patients were located into the intratumoral area. Conversely, the most important areas referred to the tumor edges. Finally, since the proposed model provided additional information with respect to the accuracy of the classification given by the visualization of the areas of greatest interest for predictive purposes for each case examined, it could contribute to increase confidence in using computer-based predictive models in the actual clinical practice., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Non-Small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is one of the most dangerous cancers, with 85% of all new lung cancer diagnoses and a 30-55% of recurrence rate after surgery. Thus, an accurate prediction of recurrence risk in NSCLC patients during diagnosis could be essential to drive targeted therapies preventing either overtreatment or undertreatment of cancer patients. The radiomic analysis of CT images has already shown great potential in solving this task; specifically, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have already been proposed providing good performances. Recently, Vision Transformers (ViTs) have been introduced, reaching comparable and even better performances than traditional CNNs in image classification. The aim of the proposed paper was to compare the performances of different state-of-the-art deep learning algorithms to predict cancer recurrence in NSCLC patients. In this work, using a public database of 144 patients, we implemented a transfer learning approach, involving different Transformers architectures like pre-trained ViTs, pre-trained Pyramid Vision Transformers, and pre-trained Swin Transformers to predict the recurrence of NSCLC patients from CT images, comparing their performances with state-of-the-art CNNs. Although, the best performances in this study are reached via CNNs with AUC, Accuracy, Sensitivity, Specificity, and Precision equal to 0.91, 0.89, 0.85, 0.90, and 0.78, respectively, Transformer architectures reach comparable ones with AUC, Accuracy, Sensitivity, Specificity, and Precision equal to 0.90, 0.86, 0.81, 0.89, and 0.75, respectively. Based on our preliminary experimental results, it appears that Transformers architectures do not add improvements in terms of predictive performance to the addressed problem., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

For endocrine-positive Her2 negative breast cancer patients at an early stage, the benefit of adding chemotherapy to adjuvant endocrine therapy is not still confirmed. Several genomic tests are available on the market but are very expensive. Therefore, there is the urgent need to explore novel reliable and less expensive prognostic tools in this setting. In this paper, we shown a machine learning survival model to estimate Invasive Disease-Free Events trained on clinical and histological data commonly collected in clinical practice. We collected clinical and cytohistological outcomes of 145 patients referred to Istituto Tumori "Giovanni Paolo II". Three machine learning survival models are compared with the Cox proportional hazards regression according to time-dependent performance metrics evaluated in cross-validation. The c-index at 10 years obtained by random survival forest, gradient boosting, and component-wise gradient boosting is stabled with or without feature selection at approximately 0.68 in average respect to 0.57 obtained to Cox model. Moreover, machine learning survival models have accurately discriminated low- and high-risk patients, and so a large group which can be spared additional chemotherapy to hormone therapy. The preliminary results obtained by including only clinical determinants are encouraging. The integrated use of data already collected in clinical practice for routine diagnostic investigations, if properly analyzed, can reduce time and costs of the genomic tests., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

The application of deep learning on whole-slide histological images (WSIs) can reveal insights for clinical and basic tumor science investigations. Finding quantitative imaging biomarkers from WSIs directly for the prediction of disease-free survival (DFS) in stage I-III melanoma patients is crucial to optimize patient management. In this study, we designed a deep learning-based model with the aim of learning prognostic biomarkers from WSIs to predict 1-year DFS in cutaneous melanoma patients. First, WSIs referred to a cohort of 43 patients (31 DF cases, 12 non-DF cases) from the Clinical Proteomic Tumor Analysis Consortium Cutaneous Melanoma (CPTAC-CM) public database were firstly annotated by our expert pathologists and then automatically split into crops, which were later employed to train and validate the proposed model using a fivefold cross-validation scheme for 5 rounds. Then, the model was further validated on WSIs related to an independent test, i.e. a validation cohort of 11 melanoma patients (8 DF cases, 3 non-DF cases), whose data were collected from Istituto Tumori 'Giovanni Paolo II' in Bari, Italy. The quantitative imaging biomarkers extracted by the proposed model showed prognostic power, achieving a median AUC value of 69.5% and a median accuracy of 72.7% on the public cohort of patients. These results remained comparable on the validation cohort of patients with an AUC value of 66.7% and an accuracy value of 72.7%, respectively. This work is contributing to the recently undertaken investigation on how treat features extracted from raw WSIs to fulfil prognostic tasks involving melanoma patients. The promising results make this study as a valuable basis for future research investigation on wider cohorts of patients referred to our Institute., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

In breast cancer patients, an accurate detection of the axillary lymph node metastasis status is essential for reducing distant metastasis occurrence probabilities. In case of patients resulted negative at both clinical and instrumental examination, the nodal status is commonly evaluated performing the sentinel lymph-node biopsy, that is a time-consuming and expensive intraoperative procedure for the sentinel lymph-node (SLN) status assessment. The aim of this study was to predict the nodal status of 142 clinically negative breast cancer patients by means of both clinical and radiomic features extracted from primary breast tumor ultrasound images acquired at diagnosis. First, different regions of interest (ROIs) were segmented and a radiomic analysis was performed on each ROI. Then, clinical and radiomic features were evaluated separately developing two different machine learning models based on an SVM classifier. Finally, their predictive power was estimated jointly implementing a soft voting technique. The experimental results showed that the model obtained by combining clinical and radiomic features provided the best performances, achieving an AUC value of 88.6%, an accuracy of 82.1%, a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 78.2%. The proposed model represents a promising non-invasive procedure for the SLN status prediction in clinically negative patients., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

The dynamic contrast-enhanced MR imaging plays a crucial role in evaluating the effectiveness of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) even since its early stage through the prediction of the final pathological complete response (pCR). In this study, we proposed a transfer learning approach to predict if a patient achieved pCR (pCR) or did not (non-pCR) by exploiting, separately or in combination, pre-treatment and early-treatment exams from I-SPY1 TRIAL public database. First, low-level features, i.e., related to local structure of the image, were automatically extracted by a pre-trained convolutional neural network (CNN) overcoming manual feature extraction. Next, an optimal set of most stable features was detected and then used to design an SVM classifier. A first subset of patients, called fine-tuning dataset (30 pCR; 78 non-pCR), was used to perform the optimal choice of features. A second subset not involved in the feature selection process was employed as an independent test (7 pCR; 19 non-pCR) to validate the model. By combining the optimal features extracted from both pre-treatment and early-treatment exams with some clinical features, i.e., ER, PgR, HER2 and molecular subtype, an accuracy of 91.4% and 92.3%, and an AUC value of 0.93 and 0.90, were returned on the fine-tuning dataset and the independent test, respectively. Overall, the low-level CNN features have an important role in the early evaluation of the NAC efficacy by predicting pCR. The proposed model represents a first effort towards the development of a clinical support tool for an early prediction of pCR to NAC.