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Background: This systematic review aimed to investigate the current state of risk prediction for abdominal aortic aneurysm in the literature, identifying and comparing published models and describing their performance and applicability to a population-based targeted screening strategy., Methods: Electronic databases MEDLINE (via Ovid), Embase (via Ovid), MedRxiv, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library were searched for papers reporting or validating risk prediction models for abdominal aortic aneurysm. Studies were included only if they were developed on a cohort or study group derived from the general population and used multiple variables with at least one modifiable risk factor. Risk of bias was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool. A synthesis and comparison of the identified models was undertaken., Results: The search identified 4813 articles. After full-text review, 37 prediction models were identified, of which 4 were unique predictive models that were reported in full. Applicability was poor when considering targeted screening strategies using electronic health record-based populations. Common risk factors used for the predictive models were explored across all 37 models; the most common risk factors in predictive models for abdominal aortic aneurysm were: age, sex, biometrics (such as height, weight, or BMI), smoking, hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, and history of heart disease. Few models had undergone standardized model development, adequate external validation, or impact evaluation., Conclusion: This study identified four risk models that can be replicated and used to predict abdominal aortic aneurysm with acceptable levels of discrimination. None of the models have been validated externally., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of BJS Foundation Ltd.)

Background: Population-wide ultrasound screening programmes for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) for men have already been established in some countries. Women account for one third of aneurysm-related mortality and are four times more likely to experience an AAA rupture than men. Whole-population screening for AAA in women is unlikely to be clinically or economically effective. The aim of this study was to determine the outcomes of a targeted AAA screening programme for women at high risk of AAA., Method: Women aged 65-74 years deemed at high risk of having an AAA (current smokers, ex-smokers, or with a history of coronary artery disease) were invited to attend ultrasound screening (July 2016 to March 2019) for AAA in the Female Aneurysm screening STudy (FAST). Primary outcomes were attendance for screening and prevalence of AAA. Biometric data, medical history, quality of life (QoL) and aortic diameter on ultrasound imaging were recorded prospectively., Results: Some 6037 women were invited and 5200 attended screening (86.7 per cent). Fifteen AAAs larger than 29 mm were detected (prevalence 0.29 (95 per cent c.i. 0.18 to 0.48) per cent). Current smokers had the highest prevalence (0.83 (95 per cent c.i. 0.34 to 1.89) per cent) but lowest attendance (75.2 per cent). Three AAAs greater than 5.5 cm were identified and referred for consideration of surgical repair; one woman underwent repair. There was a significant reduction in patient-reported QoL scores following screening., Conclusion: A low prevalence of AAA was detected in high-risk women, with lowest screening uptake in those at highest risk. Screening for AAA in high-risk women may not be beneficial., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of BJS Society Ltd.)

Background: The incidence of, and risk factors for, acute kidney injury (AKI) after endovascular intervention for peripheral artery disease (PAD) remain unknown. The aim of this study was to assess the proportion of patients who develop AKI and explore the risk factors., Methods: Prospectively collected data on patients undergoing femoropopliteal endovascular intervention for symptomatic PAD across three vascular centres were analysed. The proportion of patients developing AKI (according to the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes definition) within 48 h, and the proportion developing the composite Major Adverse Kidney Events (MAKE) endpoints (death, dialysis, drop in estimated glomerular filtration rate at least 25 per cent) at 30 days (MAKE30) and remains 90 days (MAKE90) were calculated. Multivariable regression analysis was used to assess predictors of AKI, and the association between AKI and death., Results: Some 2041 patients were included in the analysis. AKI developed in 239 patients (11.7 per cent), with 47 (2.3 per cent) requiring dialysis within 30 days, and 18 (0.9 per cent) requiring ongoing dialysis. The MAKE30 and MAKE90 composite endpoints were reached in 358 (17.5 per cent) and 449 (22.0 per cent) patients respectively. Risk factors for AKI were age, sex, congestive heart failure, chronic limb-threatening ischaemia, emergency procedure, and pre-existing chronic kidney disease. AKI, dementia, congestive heart failure, and major amputation were risk factors for medium-term mortality., Conclusion: AKI is a common complication after intervention for PAD and is associated with medium-term mortality., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of BJS Society Ltd. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background: Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is known to reduce AAA-related mortality; however, the psychological impact of population AAA screening is unclear. The aim was to assess the impact of AAA diagnosis on quality of life (QoL) using data from an established AAA screening programme., Methods: Mental and physical QoL scores for men diagnosed with AAA through participation in the English and Welsh AAA screening programmes were compared with no-AAA controls. Participants were identified through the United Kingdom Aneurysm Growth Study (UKAGS), a nationwide prospective cohort study of men with an AAA of less than 55 mm diagnosed through voluntary participation in screening. The UKAGS participants completed QoL questionnaires at the time of screening and annually thereafter., Results: A transient reduction in mental QoL scores was observed following the diagnosis of AAA, returning to baseline levels after 12 months. Physical QoL remained consistently lower in the AAA cohort. Participants thought about their AAA and the AAA growth progressively less 12 months after the initial screening diagnosis. AAA growth rate had no influence over QoL parameters., Discussion: This study suggests that screening for AAA does reduce mental QoL; however, this effect is transient (less than 12 months). Men diagnosed with AAA have a consistently worse physical QoL compared with controls., (© 2018 The Authors. BJS published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of BJS Society Ltd.)

Background: The UK abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) screening programmes currently invite only men for screening because the benefit in women is uncertain. Perioperative risk is critical in determining the effectiveness of screening, and contemporary estimates of these risks in women are lacking. The aim of this study was to compare mortality following AAA repair between women and men in the UK., Methods: Anonymized data from the UK National Vascular Registry (NVR) for patients undergoing AAA repair (January 2010 to December 2014) were analysed. Co-variables were extracted for analysis by sex. The primary outcome measure was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcome measures included mortality by 5-year age groups and duration of hospital stay. Logistic regression was performed to adjust for age, calendar time, AAA diameter and smoking status. NVR-based outcomes were checked against Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) data., Results: A total of 23 245 patients were included (13·0 per cent women). Proportionally, more women than men underwent open repair. For elective open AAA repair, the in-hospital mortality rate was 6·9 per cent in women and 4·0 per cent in men (odds ratio (OR) 1·48, 95 per cent c.i. 1·08 to 2·02; P = 0·014), whereas for elective endovascular AAA repair it was 1·8 per cent in women and 0·7 per cent in men (OR 2·86, 1·72 to 4·74; P < 0·001); the results in HES were similar. For ruptured AAA, there was no sex difference in mortality within the NVR; however, in HES, for ruptured open AAA repair, the in-hospital mortality rate was higher in women (33·6 versus 27·1 per cent; OR 1·36, 1·16 to 1·59; P < 0·001)., Conclusion: Women have a higher in-hospital mortality rate than men after elective AAA repair even after adjustment. This higher mortality may have an impact on the benefit offered by any screening programme offered to women., (© 2017 The Authors. BJS published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of BJS Society Ltd.)

Background: Although women represent an increasing proportion of those presenting with abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) rupture, the current prevalence of AAA in women is unknown. The contemporary population prevalence of screen-detected AAA in women was investigated by both age and smoking status., Methods: A systematic review was undertaken of studies screening for AAA, including over 1000 women, aged at least 60 years, done since the year 2000. Studies were identified by searching MEDLINE, Embase and CENTRAL databases until 13 January 2016. Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scoring system., Results: Eight studies were identified, including only three based on population registers. The largest studies were based on self-purchase of screening. Altogether 1 537 633 women were screened. Overall AAA prevalence rates were very heterogeneous, ranging from 0·37 to 1·53 per cent: pooled prevalence 0·74 (95 per cent c.i. 0·53 to 1·03) per cent. The pooled prevalence increased with both age (more than 1 per cent for women aged over 70 years) and smoking (more than 1 per cent for ever smokers and over 2 per cent in current smokers)., Conclusion: The current population prevalence of screen-detected AAA in older women is subject to wide demographic variation. However, in ever smokers and those over 70 years of age, the prevalence is over 1 per cent., (© 2016 The Authors. BJS published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of BJS Society Ltd.)

Background: Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is often undetected until complications arise, despite it being a major healthcare burden and an independent risk factor for cardiovascular death and systemic atherosclerosis. Appropriate diagnostic tools are as important as clinical knowledge and skill to investigate patients for PAD. Currently, the ankle-brachial pressure index (ABPI) is the recommended diagnostic tool for PAD., Purpose: We explore current opinions on ABPI by general practitioners (GPs) and the limitations to its implementation in primary care practice., Methods: GPs attending a regional 1-day study event, were surveyed in October 2014. Survey questionnaires were placed at the top of each conference pack for each attendee. The survey questionnaire was modelled from the ankle-brachial index (ABI) usage survey questionnaire used in the PAD Awareness, Risk and Treatment: New Resources for Survival (PARTNERS) preceptorship study., Results: All respondents were GPs, with a survey response rate of 77.1%. All respondents regarded ABPI as an important test, that is primarily performed by nursing staff (79.5%) in their respective GP surgeries. 70% and 97% of GPs found ABPI useful for the diagnosis of asymptomatic and symptomatic PAD, respectively. 69% of GPs regarded ABPI as a feasible test in primary care practice. Time constraints (84%), staff availability (89%) and staff training (72%) were cited as the main limitations to its use., Conclusions: Targeted training of nursing staff may improve ABPI usage, although a less time-consuming test for PAD may be another option., (Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/)

Background: Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) has reduced the rate of AAA rupture. However, cardiovascular disease is still a major cause of death in men with an AAA. The aim of this study was to assess cardiovascular risk in patients with a small AAA., Methods: Standard PRISMA guidelines were followed. Analysis was performed of studies reporting cardiovascular outcomes in patients with a small AAA (30-54 mm). Weighted metaregression was performed for cardiovascular death in patients with a small AAA, and the prevalence of cardiovascular disease was reviewed., Results: Twenty-one articles were identified describing patients with an AAA, and the prevalence of, and death from, cardiovascular disease. Ten of these reported cardiovascular death rates in patients with a small AAA. Some 2323 patients with a small AAA were identified; 335 cardiovascular deaths occurred, of which 37 were due to AAA rupture. Metaregression demonstrated that the risk of cardiovascular death was 3·0 (95 per cent c.i. 1·7 to 4·3) per cent per year in patients with a small AAA (R(2) = 0·902, P < 0·001). The prevalence of ischaemic heart disease (44·9 per cent), myocardial infarction (26·8 per cent), heart failure (4·4 per cent) and stroke (14·0 per cent) was also high in these patients., Conclusion: The risk of cardiovascular death in patients with a small AAA is high and increases by approximately 3 per cent each year after diagnosis. Patients with a small AAA have a high prevalence of cardiovascular disease. Patients a small AAA should be considered for lifestyle modifications and secondary cardiovascular protection., (© 2015 BJS Society Ltd Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: MicroRNAs are crucial in the regulation of cardiovascular disease and represent potential therapeutic targets to decrease abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) expansion. The aim of this study was to identify circulating microRNAs associated with AAA., Methods: Some 754 microRNAs in whole-blood samples from 15 men with an AAA and ten control subjects were quantified using quantitative reverse transcriptase-PCR. MicroRNAs demonstrating a significant association with AAA were validated in peripheral blood and plasma samples of men in the following groups (40 in each): healthy controls, controls with peripheral arterial disease (PAD), men with a small AAA (30-54 mm), those with a large AAA (over 54 mm), and those following AAA repair. MicroRNA expression was also assessed in aortic tissue., Results: Twenty-nine differentially expressed microRNAs were identified in the discovery study. Validation study revealed that let-7e (fold change (FC) -1·80; P = 0·001), miR-15a (FC -2·24; P < 0·001) and miR-196b (FC -2·26; P < 0·001) were downregulated in peripheral blood from patients with an AAA, and miR-411 was upregulated (FC 5·90; P = 0·001). miR-196b was also downregulated in plasma from the same individuals (FC -3·75; P = 0·029). The same miRNAs were similarly expressed differentially in patients with PAD compared with healthy controls. Validated and predicted microRNA targets identified through miRWalk revealed that these miRNAs were all regulators of AAA-related genes (vascular cell adhesion molecule 1, intercellular cell adhesion molecule 1, DAB2 interacting protein, α1-antitrypsin, C-reactive protein, interleukin 6, osteoprotegerin, methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase, tumour necrosis factor α)., Conclusion: In this study, circulating levels of let-7e, miR-15a, miR-196b and miR-411 were differentially expressed in men with an AAA compared with healthy controls, but also differentially expressed in men with PAD. Modulation of these miRNAs and their target genes may represent a new therapeutic pathway to affect the progression of AAA and atherosclerosis., (© 2015 BJS Society Ltd Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: Many studies have investigated the systemic and local expression of biomarkers in patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). The natural history of AAA varies between patients, and predictors of the presence and diameter of AAA have not been determined consistently. The aim of this study was to perform a systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression of studies comparing biomarkers in patients with and without AAA, with the aim of summarizing the association of identified markers with both AAA presence and size., Methods and Results: Literature review identified 106 studies suitable for inclusion. Meta-analysis demonstrated a significant difference between matrix metalloproteinase (MMP) 9, tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase 1, interleukin (IL) 6, C-reactive protein (CRP), α1-antitrypsin, triglycerides, lipoprotein(a), apolipoprotein A and high-density lipoprotein in patients with and without AAA. Although meta-analysis was not possible for MMP-2 in aortic tissue, tumour necrosis factor α, osteoprotegerin, osteopontin, interferon γ, intercellular cell adhesion molecule 1 and vascular cell adhesion molecule 1, systematic review suggested an increase in these biomarkers in patients with AAA. Meta-regression analysis identified a significant positive linear correlation between aortic diameter and CRP level., Conclusion: A wide variety of biomarkers are dysregulated in patients with AAA, but their clinical value is yet to be established. Future research should focus on the most relevant biomarkers of AAA, and how they could be used clinically., (© 2014 BJS Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: The National Vascular Registry Report on Surgical Outcomes (NVSRO) coincided with the update of the National Health Service Standard Contract for Specialized Vascular Services in Adults (NHSSCSVS). The latter promises patients minimum standards for vascular centres. The present study aimed to determine whether current data support the standards proposed in the NHSSCSVS., Methods: Numbers of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repairs and carotid endarterectomies (CEAs) performed by hospital Trust and surgeon, and their outcomes were obtained from the NVRSO. These were assessed against NHSSCSVS recommendations that included: more than 60 AAA repairs per year per Trust, over 50 CEAs per year per Trust and at least six vascular surgeons per Trust., Results: Based on NVRSO data, 107 hospital Trusts (92.2 per cent) would fail to meet the minimum standards required to achieve vascular centre status. Outcomes were poorer in these hospitals (overall mortality rate after AAA: 2.7 versus 1.3 per cent; P = 0.007). There were strong associations between number of AAA repairs or CEAs per Trust and better outcomes (AAA repair, P < 0.001; CEA, P = 0.004). These remained significant when analysed by individual surgeon (AAA repair, P < 0.001; CEA, P < 0.001). Trusts undertaking 60 or fewer elective AAA repairs per year had significantly higher elective AAA mortality rates (2.7 versus 1·7 per cent; P = 0.010). Trusts performing a minimum of 50 CEAs per year had significantly lower perioperative mortality/morbidity rates (1.9 versus 3.0 per cent; P = 0.032). Trusts with seven or more surgeons demonstrated lower AAA-related mortality rates (1.7 versus 2.7 per cent; P = 0.018)., Conclusion: Data from the NVRSO suggest that the majority of hospital Trusts presently fail to meet the standards for vascular centre status. NVRSO data support a standard of more than 60 elective AAA repairs and 50 CEAs per Trust per year. A minimum of seven vascular surgeons per unit was associated with better outcomes. These data support the ongoing remodelling of vascular services in the UK., (© 2014 BJS Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: The aim was to assess the risk of rupture, and determine the benefits of intervention for the treatment of type II endoleak after endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR)., Methods: This systematic review was done according to PRISMA guidelines. Outcome data included incidence, spontaneous resolution, sac expansion, interventions, clinical success, and complications including conversion to open repair, and rupture., Results: Thirty-two non-randomized retrospective studies were included, totalling 21 744 patients who underwent EVAR. There were 1515 type II endoleaks and 393 interventions. Type II endoleak was seen in 10·2 per cent of patients after EVAR; 35·4 per cent resolved spontaneously. Fourteen patients (0·9 per cent) with isolated type II endoleak had ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm; six of these did not have known aneurysm sac expansion. Of 393 interventions for type II endoleak, 28·5 per cent were unsuccessful. Translumbar embolization had a higher clinical success rate than transarterial embolization (81 versus 62·5 per cent respectively; P = 0·024) and fewer recurrent endoleaks were reported (19 versus 35·8 per cent; P = 0·036). Transarterial embolization also had a higher rate of complications (9·2 per cent versus none; P = 0·043)., Conclusion: Aortic aneurysm rupture after EVAR secondary to an isolated type II endoleak is rare (less than 1 per cent), but over a third occur in the absence of sac expansion. Translumbar embolization had a higher success rate with a lower risk of complications., (© 2013 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)

Background: Lifelong surveillance is standard after endovascular repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm (EVAR), but remains costly, heterogeneous and poorly calibrated. This study aimed to develop and validate a scoring system for aortic complications after EVAR, informing rationalized surveillance., Methods: Patients undergoing EVAR at two centres were studied from 2004 to 2010. Preoperative morphology was quantified using three-dimensional computed tomography according to a validated protocol, by investigators blinded to outcomes. Proportional hazards modelling was used to identify factors predicting aortic complications at the first centre, and thereby derive a risk score. Sidak tests between risk quartiles dichotomized patients to low- or high-risk groups. Aortic complications were reported by Kaplan-Meier analysis and risk groups were compared by log rank test. External validation was by comparison of aortic complications between risk groups at the second centre., Results: Some 761 patients, with a median age of 75 (interquartile range 70-80) years, underwent EVAR. Median follow-up was 36 (range 11-94) months. Physiological variables were not associated with aortic complications. A morphological risk score incorporating maximum aneurysm diameter (P < 0·001) and largest common iliac diameter (measured 10 mm from the internal iliac origin; P = 0·004) allocated 75 per cent of patients to a low-risk group, with excellent discrimination between 5-year rates of aortic complication in low- and high-risk groups at both centres (centre 1: 12 versus 31 per cent, P < 0·001; centre 2: 12 versus 45 per cent, P = 0·002)., Conclusion: The risk score uses commonly available morphological data to stratify the rate of complications after EVAR. The proposals for rationalized surveillance could provide clinical and economic benefits., (© 2013 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: Any possible long-term benefit from endovascular (EVAR) versus open surgical repair for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) remains unproven. Long-term data from the Open Versus Endovascular Repair (OVER) trial add to the debate regarding long-term all-cause and aneurysm-related mortality. The aim of this study was to investigate 30-day and long-term mortality, reintervention, rupture and morbidity after EVAR and open repair for AAA in a systematic review., Methods: Standard PRISMA guidelines were followed. Random-effects Mantel-Haenszel meta-analysis was performed to evaluate mortality and morbidity outcomes., Results: The existing published randomized trials, together with information from Medicare and SwedVasc databases, were included in a meta-analysis. This included 25 078 patients undergoing EVAR and 27 142 undergoing open repair for AAA. Patients who had EVAR had a significantly lower 30-day or in-hospital mortality rate (1·3 per cent versus 4·7 per cent for open repair; odds ratio (OR) 0·36, 95 per cent confidence interval 0·21 to 0·61; P < 0·001). By 2-year follow-up there was no difference in all-cause mortality (14·3 versus 15·2 per cent; OR 0·87, 0·72 to 1·06; P = 0·17), which was maintained after at least 4 years of follow-up (34·7 versus 33·8 per cent; OR 1·11, 0·91 to 1·35; P = 0·30). There was no significant difference in aneurysm-related mortality by 2 years or longer follow-up. A significantly higher proportion of patients undergoing EVAR required reintervention (P = 0·003) and suffered aneurysm rupture (P < 0·001)., Conclusion: There is no long-term survival benefit for patients who have EVAR compared with open repair for AAA. There are also significantly higher risks of reintervention and aneurysm rupture after EVAR., (© 2013 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

The operative mortality following conventional abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair has not fallen significantly over the past two decades. Since its inception in 1991, endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) has provided an alternative to open AAA repair and perhaps an opportunity to improve operative mortality. Two recent large randomised trials have demonstrated the short and medium term benefit of EVAR over open AAA repair, although data on the long term efficacy of the technique are still lacking. This review aimed at providing an overview of EVAR and a discussion of the potential benefits and current limitations of the technique.

Background: Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair is associated with a systemic inflammatory response. This inflammatory response probably arises as a result of an ischaemia-reperfusion injury to the legs and gastrointestinal tract. In this study the relative contributions of these areas to the inflammatory response were assessed during elective AAA repair., Methods: Blood was sampled from the femoral vein, portal vein and radial artery of 14 patients undergoing elective AAA repair at five time points during the procedure. Plasma was snap-frozen for subsequent batch analysis of interleukin (IL) 6., Results: The plasma IL-6 concentration rose steadily throughout the procedure at all three locations. The increase in plasma IL-6 was significantly greater in the portal vein than in the radial artery during ischaemia (P = 0.020). The plasma IL-6 concentration was also significantly higher in the portal vein than in the femoral vein (P < 0.001) and radial artery (P < 0.001) during reperfusion. There were no significant differences between radial artery and femoral vein IL-6 levels at any time point., Conclusion: Ischaemia and reperfusion during AAA repair were associated with a marked increase in IL-6 concentration in the portal vein, suggesting that IL-6 was produced by the gastrointestinal tract., (Copyright 2004 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd.)

Background: Cytokines are key mediators of the inflammatory response to surgery and polymorphic sites in their genes have been shown to affect cytokine production in vitro. The aim of this study was to determine whether cytokine gene polymorphisms affect cytokine production in vivo in patients undergoing abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair., Methods: One hundred patients admitted for elective AAA repair had plasma levels of interleukin (IL) 1beta, IL-6, IL-10 and tumour necrosis factor (TNF) alpha measured at induction of anaesthesia and 24 h after operation. Genotypes for each patient were determined using induced heteroduplex genotyping for the following loci: IL-1beta + 3953, IL-6 - 174, IL-10 - 1082/-592 and TNF-alpha - 308., Results: Patients with an IL-10 - 1082 A allele had a significantly higher IL-10 response to surgery than those without an A allele (P = 0.030) and there was also a significant difference in IL-10 response between patients with IL-10 - 1082 AA genotypes and those with GG genotypes (P = 0.030)., Conclusion: Elective AAA repair results in a measurable cytokine response. In this study the magnitude of this response was not affected by the individual patient's cytokine gene polymorphisms., (Copyright 2003 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)

Background: Operative repair of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (RAAA) is associated with a high mortality rate but reported figures vary widely. The aim of this study was to estimate the operative mortality of RAAA repair and determine how it has changed over time., Methods: A meta-analysis of all English language literature quoting figures for operative mortality of RAAA repair., Results: The pooled estimate for the overall operative mortality rate of RAAA repair from 1955 to 1998 was 48 (95 per cent confidence interval 46 to 50) per cent. Meta-regression analysis of operative mortality over time demonstrated a constant reduction of approximately 3.5 per cent per decade (1954-1997) with an operative mortality rate estimate for the year 2000 of 41 per cent. Seventy-seven studies reported intraoperative mortality but, while this appears to have remained constant over time, there was evidence of the presence of publication bias in the subgroup of papers reporting this outcome. There was no evidence of publication bias for the overall operative mortality outcome., Conclusion: Contrary to the conclusion of recent studies, this paper demonstrates a gradual reduction with time in the operative mortality rate of RAAA repair.